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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Corpus Christi Texas
432 am CDT Friday Oct 24 2014

Short term (today through saturday)...upper level ridge building
in from the west will result in increased subsidence and drying
in the short term. Daytime high will range from the middle to upper
80s across the coastal plains...to near 90 across the brush
country today and Saturday under mostly clear skies. Another night
of radiational cooling should allow lows to dip once more into the
upper 50s to low 60s tonight. General light northeast to east flow
is expected through the Saturday...with winds veering out of the
southeast late Saturday as the surface high shifts east.

&&

Long term (saturday night through thursday)...GFS/ECMWF forecast a
progressive upper pattern with initially a ridge over the central
Continental U.S./Troughs over the west and east Continental U.S. Coasts. The western trough is
forecasted to move across the central/northern plains Sunday/Monday while another
system develops/moves across the southwestern Continental U.S.. as a result...a frontal
boundary is forecasted to enter the region. Concur with the GFS ensemble
mean which positions the front across cnrl/northern Texas Wednesday then across
southern/central Texas Thursday. Concur with GFS/European model (ecmwf) onshore flow...and
associated moisture increase...in response to the foregoing
disturbances. The GFS forecast precipitable water values to increase to near normal
levels by Wednesday. The combination of increasing moisture/proximity of
the frontal boundary/increasing instability to result in at least
isolated convection Wednesday/Thursday across the cwa/msa. Afterward...
concur with the GFS ensemble mean/European model (ecmwf) deterministic which depict
ridging aloft...associated southward movement of the frontal boundary
south of the cwa/msa...and subsequent drying...beginning late
Thursday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Corpus Christi 86 62 87 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 0
Victoria 87 58 88 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Laredo 89 66 91 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 0
Alice 88 61 90 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Rockport 82 64 84 67 81 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cotulla 89 62 90 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 0
Kingsville 87 60 89 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Navy corpus 84 67 85 68 80 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Crp watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
GM...none.

&&

$$

Cb/85...short term
wc/87...long term

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