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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
153 PM CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

issued at 153 PM CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

Sunshine across the southern County Warning Area associated with a dry slot ahead of
a deep upper low over north central Iowa will continue to gradually
diminish this evening and overnight. Cloud cover will develop from
the north and extend southward into southern Missouri as the upper
low continues to push east. Gusty southwesterly winds will taper off
around sunset, though with a strong pgf still in place, increased
veering winds will continue overnight. A vort Max associated with
the upper low to the north, combined with sufficient moisture, will
provide enough forcing to produce a few snow flurries for the
northern County Warning Area in addition to central Missouri Tuesday night and into
Wednesday morning. No measurable snowfall is expected with this
activity, however. Stratus clouds will linger throughout much of
Wednesday, and with some cold air advection as winds transition to northwesterly,
afternoon highs for Wednesday will be a few degrees cooler, peaking
in the upper 30s to low 40s. Skies will then begin to clear rapidly
Wednesday evening, and with persisting caa, overnight lows will drop
into the mid to upper 20s for much of the cwa, with lows in the
lower 20s for northwest Missouri.

The remainder of the week will be generally benign as a building
ridge enters the Central Plains Thursday evening. This will lead to
slightly above normal temperatures for the end of the work week and
abundant sunshine. This trend will continue into the weekend before
another upper low moves into the region early next week. At this
time, precipitation chances are marginal across areas south of the I-
70 corridor , and should anything develop, lower level temperatures
should remain warm enough to support all rain.


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon)
issued at 1044 am CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

Developing cloud cover will enter the area through the afternoon,
particularly this evening, as the backside of an upper low moves
eastward. Gusty winds out of the southwest will affect the terminals
ahead of this feature, prior to dropping off around sunset. At that
time, VFR stratus will transition to MVFR as the evening progresses.
There is a chance of a few snow flurries over northern Missouri, but
with the exception of kstj, these should remain well north of the
terminals. Low level moisture will likely produce IFR ceilings
overnight until gradually lifting Wednesday morning. Stratus will
linger through much of Wednesday before dissipating through the late


Eax watches/warnings/advisories...



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