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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
308 am CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016

Short term (today through wednesday)...
clear skies...dry air and light winds have allowed for
temperatures to drop into the 30s for most of the County Warning Area with upper
20s being observed across portions of The Hill Country.
Northwesterly winds will continue today with speeds less than
yesterday...only topping out in the 10 to 15 miles per hour range. Highs will
be a bit warmer than yesterday but will still remain in the upper
60s to lower 70s. Winds will be light again tonight but slightly
higher dewpoints should keep overnight lows several degrees
warmer. An upper level ridge currently across the western Continental U.S.
Will shift slightly east by Wednesday and we should see southwesterly
flow return to the region as surface cyclogenesis commences in the
Central Plains. This will begin a warm up across the region with
highs Wednesday topping out in the middle to upper 70s. Humidity
values will remain low in the short-term but wind speeds are
expected to be less than 15 miles per hour and not expecting elevated to
critical fire weather conditions.

&&

Long term (wednesday night through monday)...
the warming trend will continue in the long-term as upper ridging
continues to our west. Highs Thursday and Friday will be in the
upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Humidities will remain low...but
winds are not expected to be strong which will continue to keep
the fire weather threat low. By Saturday a weak front looks to
stall near our northern counties which could bring slightly cooler
temperatures to the north for the weekend. South flow would
quickly return by Sunday as a shortwave moves through the
northern plains Sunday morning. The GFS is showing some warm air
advection showers Sunday morning but will keep the forecast dry
for now as the European model (ecmwf) remains dry. As this shortwave exits the
plains Monday...a weak frontal boundary is prognosticated to move into
the area Sunday night or Monday. The GFS and European model (ecmwf) differ slightly
on the timing but both are showing enough moisture for 20 probability of precipitation for
the eastern counties. Whatever does fall...looks to be light.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 67 42 76 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 68 37 74 45 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 69 39 76 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 65 39 74 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
del Rio International Airport 71 41 79 45 81 / 0 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 66 38 74 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 72 38 77 42 79 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 68 39 74 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
La Grange - Fayette regional 66 40 73 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Antonio International Airport 70 42 75 47 77 / 0 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 71 40 76 45 79 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/aviation...04
synoptic/grids...Hampshire

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