Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford California 
235 PM PDT sun may 19 2013 


Synopsis... 
high pressure continues to build over the area resulting in clear 
skies and a gradual warming trend to above normal temperatures over 
the next few days. 


&& 


Discussion... 
northwest flow continues over central California as the region 
remains between the trough of low pressure in the Great Basin and 
the ridge of high pressure over the eastern Pacific. This has 
resulted in breezy conditions on the west side of the San Joaquin 
Valley today which will continue into the evening. Still breezy 
across the mountains and desert of Kern County as well...but less 
than yesterday. The ridge will continue to shift inland over 
California Monday with temperatures warming several degrees and 
lighter winds. 


Models continue to be in agreement in bringing a low pressure 
center into the Pacific northwest Tuesday with the trough digging 
south over California Wednesday. Temperatures will remain warm 
Tuesday then cool back down to near or slightly below normal 
levels Wednesday and Thursday. Although this system will be dry... 
this system will bring a return of gusty winds in the San Joaquin 
Valley and across the Kern County mountains and desert. 


This system will be slow to move out as the main center of low 
pressure will remain over the Pacific northwest as an Omega 
blocking pattern sets up over the U.S. Thursday and Friday. Closed 
low center over the Pacific northwest will keep onshore flow over 
the region with seasonal temperatures and dry conditions into the 
Holiday weekend. 




&& 


Aviation... 
VFR conditions will prevail across the central California interior. 


&& 


Air quality issues... 
none. 


&& 


Certainty... 


The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. 
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium. 


This information is provided as part of a trial project conducted 
by the National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford. 
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit 
www.Weather.Gov/hnx/certainty.Php /all lower case/ for additional 
information and/or to provide feedback. 


&& 


Climate... 
records 
site date hi_max:year lo_max:year hi_min:year lo_min:year 


Kfat 05-19 103:2008 63:1972 70:2009 42:1896 
kfat 05-20 102:1947 61:1921 71:1897 44:1962 
kfat 05-21 104:1892 56:1933 69:2001 42:1975 


Kbfl 05-19 101:1954 65:1916 73:1979 38:1893 
kbfl 05-20 103:1942 65:1923 70:2001 42:1902 
kbfl 05-21 103:1988 65:1903 71:2001 42:1902 
&& 


Hnx watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


Public...bean 
AVN/fw...jeb 
synopsis...wp 


Weather.Gov/Hanford