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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
701 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 23 2014

Aviation...

A strong line of showers and thunderstorms moved through this
state this afternoon. Current conditions show the line of
thunderstorms will impact kllq within the next hour. The leading
edge of these storms have produced winds in excess of 40-50kts.

Across the north clouds will gradually clear this evening...with
clearing spreading south. Some models were suggesting some light
patchy fog may develop during the overnight hours...however winds
are forecast to remain elevated enough that dense fog should not
be an issue.





&&

Previous discussion... /issued 228 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 23 2014/

Short term...tonight through Saturday night
high pressure continues over the western U.S. With a trough of low
pressure over the eastern U.S. This pattern will continue through
the short term period.

A cold front will continue to move through Arkansas this afternoon
and evening. Some of the storms could be severe with large hail and
damaging winds. Some of the storms could move slowly and produce
heavy rain and up to 2 to 3 inches of rainfall. Expect precipitation
to diminish this evening.

Drier air will be ushered into the state behind the front. No rain
is expected for Thursday through Saturday. A short wave will move
into northwest Arkansas late Saturday. This will bring a slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms to the north. Thursday will be a
bit cooler...then a warming trend will begin Friday and Saturday as
high pressure builds into western Arkansas briefly.

Long term...Sunday through Wednesday

Sundays cold front is looking even less impressive...quantitative precipitation forecast wise...than
it did this time yesterday and lowered probability of precipitation accordingly.
However...northwest flow following frontal passage will provide another cool
down to linger through the first few days of the work week. Added
some slight probability of precipitation towards the end of the period as the upper level
pattern amplifies and the next system builds over the OK/Texas
panhandles.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 66 85 60 90 / 30 10 0 10
Camden Arkansas 71 91 68 94 / 40 10 0 10
Harrison Arkansas 66 86 63 91 / 10 10 0 10
Hot Springs Arkansas 72 90 67 93 / 50 10 0 10
Little Rock Arkansas 72 88 62 92 / 50 10 0 10
Monticello Arkansas 72 90 66 94 / 30 10 0 10
Mount Ida Arkansas 70 90 66 93 / 40 10 0 10
Mountain Home Arkansas 66 87 61 91 / 20 10 0 10
Newport Arkansas 64 84 59 90 / 30 10 0 10
Pine Bluff Arkansas 72 85 64 93 / 40 10 0 10
Russellville Arkansas 72 91 66 92 / 30 10 0 10
Searcy Arkansas 71 85 62 91 / 40 10 0 10
Stuttgart Arkansas 71 83 61 92 / 40 10 0 10
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&

$$



Aviation...225

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