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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
204 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 30 2014

Short term...tonight through Saturday night

Rain was increasing over western Arkansas this afternoon. This was
in response to a storm system in the Southern Plains interacting
with a stalled front along the Gulf Coast.

Rain will continue spreading across the region overnight.
Precipitation will be heavy at times across the Ouachita Mountains
into portions of central Arkansas. Through Thursday morning...one to
two inch amounts are likely in this area...with locally over three
inches. A Flash Flood Watch has been posted.

During the afternoon/evening Thursday...areas of rain will
remain...but intensities will decrease. Chances for rain are in the
forecast Thursday night...mainly in the southeast half of the
state.

Given clouds/rain...temperatures on Thursday may not make it out of
the 60s in places...with 70s common in most locations. This is well
below normal...with some record cool highs for the month possibly
broken.

Other than isolated showers in the southeast on Friday...we will
start drying out heading into the weekend. Temperatures will start
warming up...but readings will stay subpar.

&&

Long term...Sunday through Wednesday

Northwest flow will be in place across the region at the start of the long
term as upper trough remains to the east. However...this trough will
be lifting NE by early next week...with more of a weak north flow over
the state as an upper level ridge attempts to expand from the west.
Initially...temperatures will persist at below normal levels...but some
gradual warming will be seen by early next week as this upper ridge
attempts to expand over Arkansas. Looks like the warmest temperatures will be at
the end of the forecast with most influence of the upper ridge seen
across the natural state. However...beyond this timeframe...another
front looks to push into the region...with chances for rain and
cooling temperatures possible for later next week.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 64 74 62 83 / 60 70 20 20
Camden Arkansas 67 76 63 83 / 40 70 40 30
Harrison Arkansas 61 74 60 82 / 70 50 20 20
Hot Springs Arkansas 66 72 62 83 / 90 90 30 20
Little Rock Arkansas 65 74 62 83 / 90 90 30 20
Monticello Arkansas 62 76 64 83 / 40 70 50 30
Mount Ida Arkansas 64 72 61 82 / 90 90 20 20
Mountain Home Arkansas 63 75 61 82 / 60 60 20 20
Newport Arkansas 63 75 62 83 / 50 70 20 20
Pine Bluff Arkansas 65 74 63 83 / 50 80 40 30
Russellville Arkansas 66 73 61 83 / 100 80 20 20
Searcy Arkansas 64 76 62 83 / 80 90 20 20
Stuttgart Arkansas 65 76 63 83 / 70 90 30 30
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...
Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday
morning for Garland-Johnson-Logan-Montgomery-Perry-Pike-Polk-
Pope-Scott-Yell.

&&

$$

Short term...46 / long term...62

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