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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
402 am CDT Monday Aug 3 2015

Short term...today through Thursday night
high pressure aloft remains over The Four Corners area. This area of
high pressure will build through middle week. An area of low pressure
will develop in The Rockies and move around the east side of the
ridge Tuesday and Wednesday. Northwest flow aloft will continue over
Arkansas through the period.

A cold front in northern Missouri this morning will slowly move
south today. The front is expected to stall in south Missouri near
the Arkansas border Tuesday. Expect mesoscale convective system development Tuesday night
and Wednesday night near the Missouri border. Expect rain chances to
be greatest in the northeast half of the state. Small rain chances
will continue on Thursday. Temperatures will be above normal through
Tuesday...then closer to normal for Wednesday and Thursday.&&

Long term...Friday through Sunday
rain chances will linger across the forecast area Friday and into the first part of the
weekend as a frontal boundary lingers over Arkansas. Northwesterly flow aloft will bring
additional upper support through the region Friday and Sat...interacting
with the fnt to produce scattered shra/tsra.

Rain chances will be diminishing late in the weekend as high pressure aloft
starts to build back eastward into the middle south. This will also allow for
hotter temperatures to return as well. Currently looks like heat indices will
remain blw advisory criteria...but conds will continue to be monitored for the
possibility of headlines.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 96 73 95 74 / 0 0 30 40
Camden Arkansas 99 73 98 75 / 0 0 20 20
Harrison Arkansas 94 71 91 70 / 0 0 30 40
Hot Springs Arkansas 99 72 97 76 / 0 0 20 30
Little Rock Arkansas 99 73 98 75 / 0 0 20 30
Monticello Arkansas 99 72 98 75 / 0 0 20 20
Mount Ida Arkansas 99 72 97 75 / 0 0 20 30
Mountain Home Arkansas 94 72 92 70 / 0 0 30 50
Newport Arkansas 96 73 95 74 / 0 0 30 40
Pine Bluff Arkansas 99 73 98 76 / 0 0 20 30
Russellville Arkansas 97 72 95 74 / 0 0 20 40
Searcy Arkansas 97 73 97 74 / 0 0 20 40
Stuttgart Arkansas 98 73 97 75 / 0 0 20 30
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&

$$

Short term...51 / long term...44

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