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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
519 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015

Update...
first period pops.

&&

Discussion...
already have showers kicking up across the NE Permian Basin and
this could be a trend for today so expanded isolated pops across
southeast nm and the Permian Basin.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 316 am CDT Thursday Jul 30 2015/

Discussion...
upper ridge centered over the Red River this morning will build
back across the west the next couple of days becoming centered over
nm. This may result in slightly cooler wx for much of the area and
put the region into northwest flow aloft.

Temperatures will continue to slowly trend downward the next few
days as ridge moves back to the west. Upper 90s should become more
common than 100s beginning today but usual hot spots along the
Pecos and Rio Grande will continue. Unusually high overnight
temps will continue as south to southeast flow keeps dewpts in the
50s and 60s and limit nocturnal cooling.

Have good coverage of storms over central and eastern nm this
morning with a few extending down into eddy and Lea County. These
storms are moving around the west side of the upper ridge but most
of these will stay north of the area today only skirting the
northern County Warning Area. With good low level moisture... daytime heating...
and outflow boundaries from recent convection cannot rule out a
few random storms popping over the area but do not want to cover
the whole County Warning Area in isolated pops so have not mentioned. The Davis
mtns have been very favorable for storm development this week but
models are indicating that will not be the case today or tomorrow
so have not included. Saturday storms look to have more coverage
over the eastern half of the area as disturbances roll around the
east side of the ridge. Low pops in the extended favor the eastern
Permian Basin.

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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Big Spring Texas 97 74 96 73 / 10 0 10 10
Carlsbad nm 96 71 95 69 / 10 0 0 10
Dryden Texas 100 76 99 75 / 0 0 0 10
Fort Stockton Texas 98 73 97 71 / 0 0 0 10
Guadalupe Pass Texas 89 70 88 68 / 10 10 10 10
Hobbs nm 95 69 94 68 / 10 10 10 10
Marfa Texas 88 61 87 60 / 10 0 10 10
Midland International Airport Texas 99 75 98 73 / 10 0 10 10
Odessa Texas 99 75 98 73 / 10 0 0 10
Wink Texas 101 75 100 72 / 10 0 0 10

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Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.

&&

$$

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