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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
255 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2014

Discussion...

* warm Thanksgiving day weekend ahead!
* Patchy fog late tonight?
* Strong Arctic front arriving early Monday morning
* modest warming through next Thursday

We'll get smacked back into winter Monday...more on that later.

Westerly to southwesterly flow will prevail for the next few days.
We will see a modest increase in low level moisture overnight, and
this in turn may create conditions favorable for patchy fog between
midnight to about 8 am. Temperatures will be some 10 to 15 degrees
above normal Friday through Sunday. Carpe diem!

A developing split flow regime across the eastern Pacific will dislodge
a pile of Arctic air over Canada this weekend. This wedge of unseasonably
cold air will arrive (faster and a bit colder than a consensus of
models suggest) across West Texas and southeastern New Mexico
beginning very early Monday morning. The front should shoot down
to the Pecos by sunrise Monday, then through The Big Bend by noon.
We'll see a drastic swing in temperatures between Sunday and
Monday, with highs Sunday around 10 degrees above normal, then
down to 15 to 20 degrees below normal for high temperatures
Monday. Limited moisture and meager dynamics will mean a dry
frontal passage; however, wouldn't be surprised to see some v dot
del(dirt) coming off the Cotton fields of the South Plains Monday,
resulting in blowing dust conditions

Winds will quickly turn to the south Tuesday, but the cold air
will modify only slightly. We'll see some clouds Wednesday and
Thursday as temperatures warm to around normal for the first week
of December. Dry conditions look to continue as well, at least
through next weekend.



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Andrews Texas 37 72 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
Big Spring Texas 41 72 41 73 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad nm 31 73 37 76 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden Texas 36 71 43 73 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton Texas 41 75 42 79 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass Texas 42 64 41 68 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs nm 30 73 35 73 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa Texas 26 67 38 70 / 0 0 0 0
Midland International Airport Texas 38 71 38 72 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa Texas 40 72 39 73 / 0 0 0 0
Wink Texas 32 75 40 76 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.

&&

$$

67/70

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