Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay area 
902 PM PDT Tuesday may 21 2013 


Discussion...as of 9:00 PM PDT Tuesday...an upper level low moved 
into the Pacific northwest today bringing a much cooler airmass 
to the area. Highs inland were 15-20 degrees cooler than 
yesterday while highs were 5-10 degrees cooler near the coast. 
Cool advection resulted in increased winds over mainly the north 
and East Bay and near the coast with winds 20-30 knots gusting as 
high as 45 knots. 


The upper low will continue over the Pacific northwest through 
Thursday. Temperatures may drop a few more degrees Wednesday and 
Thursday as the low shifts slightly south. With the cool air in 
place the airmass will stabilize and winds are expected to drop 
off by Wednesday. However winds may pick up some on Thursday 
afternoon as a vorticity center rotating around the upper low moves 
through the area. 


The upper low will shift northeast on Friday resulting in slightly 
warmer temperatures. But temperatures will continue to be below 
normal as another upper trough follows closely behind the low and 
moves towards the Pacific northwest Saturday. The Memorial Day 
weekend is shaping up to be cool though temperatures should be a 
little warmer on Memorial Day. 


&& 


Aviation...as of 6:26 PM PDT Tuesday...mainly clear skies are 
expected through tonight as tight gradients maintain strong winds 
across the region. Gusty winds will persist through this evening 
with lighter winds anticipated during the overnight hours. Strong 
and gusty winds will return to the region by Wednesday afternoon. 


Vicinity of ksfo...VFR. Strong and gusty west winds sustained at 
around 30 knots with gusts as high as 45 knots this afternoon. Airport 
weather warning in effect through 9 PM this evening. 


Ksfo bridge approach...similar to ksfo. 


Monterey Bay area terminals...VFR. Gusty west winds through late 
tonight. 


&& 


Mtr watches/warnings/advisories... 
... Reyes to Pigeon pt 0-10 nm 
Small Craft Advisory...Pigeon pt to pt pinos 0-10 nm 
glw...pt Arena to Pigeon pt 10-60 nm 
glw...pt pinos to pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm 
glw...Pigeon pt to pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm 
Small Craft Advisory...pt Arena to pt Reyes 0-10 nm from 3 am 
glw...pt Arena to pt Reyes 0-10 nm until 3 am 
Small Craft Advisory...sf Bay until 3 am 
Small Craft Advisory...mry Bay until 3 am 


&& 


$$ 


Public forecast: west pi 
aviation/marine: CW 


Visit US at www.Weather.Gov/sanfrancisco 


Follow US on facebook, twitter, and youtube at: 
www.Facebook.Com/US.Nationalweatherservice.Sanfranciscobayarea.Gov 
www.Twitter.Com/nwsbayarea 
www.Youtube.Com/nwsbayarea