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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE
1235 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2015

Short term...(today through monday)
issued at 256 am CDT Sat Apr 25 2015

Surface low at 08z was located in north central Kansas just south
of Fairbury and will slowly drift toward Kansas City through 18z
and then toward the lower Ohio Valley by this evening. A band of
steady showers currently located along i80 will persist and may
drift slightly north this morning. Meanwhile...north and south of
this persistent band the coverage will be more spotty...and some
areas in northeast Nebraska could even remain dry through the day.
Best instability will exist along/east of the Missouri River for a
couple hours this morning then diminishes greatly. Have probability of precipitation in
the 60 to 80 percent range for a good portion of the area this
morning...but will begin tapering those down through the
afternoon. Held onto a few lingering sprinkles in western Iowa
this evening. Otherwise...skies will remain cloud today thus temperatures
should be on the cooler side.

Clouds should begin to slowly clear tonight with a persistent east
southeasterly flow...but low clouds could linger in the western
and southern portions of the forecast area as low level relative humidity forecasts
remain rather moist...and those clouds could even linger into
Sunday morning.

Temperatures do recover Sunday...and should be back into the middle 60s in
the Missouri River valley...but still low 60s along the western
edge where cloud cover may be just higher.

Monday should be a great day with significantly sunnier
conditions with highs in the middle to upper 60s and persistent
easterly flow.

Long term...(monday night through friday)
issued at 256 am CDT Sat Apr 25 2015

Another weak front does move across the region on Tuesday...with
the European model (ecmwf) about 6 hours ahead of the GFS. There is limited marginal
moisture along the front...thus kept the forecast dry...but the
European model (ecmwf) the last couple of runs has hinted at least at slight chance
of storms so will continue to watch. Otherwise...the remainder of
the forecast remains dry with upper ridging building across the
region. High temperatures should progressively warm each day eventually
reaching the middle to upper 70s by the end of the week.

&&

Aviation...(18z tafs for kofk...klnk and koma.)
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2015

Low confidence in this taf cycle...as timing of exit of stratus
deck is questionable...as is potential for reduced visibilities as
clouds move out. IFR ceilings are widespread...and believe these
will continue for another couple of hours before lifting to
lower-end MVFR range for the afternoon. Kofk likely will see
ceilings break first...but low ceilings may end up lingering at
koma/klnk into the evening and possibly even for much of the
overnight. Should clouds depart tonight...fog potential will
increase...given wet ground/high low-level relative humidity and weak easterly
winds. Have included tempo mention of MVFR visible at both sites for
now.

&&

Oax watches/warnings/advisories...
NE...none.
Iowa...none.
&&

$$

Short term...Dewald
long term...Dewald
aviation...Mayes

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