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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
429 am CDT Friday Oct 31 2014

Discussion...
expanded freezing warning to cover all but a few of our western
North Texas counties. Low temperature forecast is not all that
clear cut with winds not expected to drop off completely except
for north-central through central Oklahoma. Winds will actually
increase from the southeast late tonight across far western and
northwest Oklahoma. Another fly in the ointment will be high level
clouds that have been consistently forecasted to drift over the region.
Confidence is low on how thick and persistent they will be so will
go with a consensus approach to low temperature forecast on mins tonight
which only changes previous forecast by a few degrees. Greatest
decrease in temperature forecast will be over central and southeast
portions of Oklahoma closer to surface ridge axis and drier air.
Hard freeze will be likely from around Ponca City and Enid...down
through Stillwater and areas east of okc.

Modest warm-up through the weekend as flow responds to incoming
longwave trough. Rain chances late in the weekend and first part
of next week where not changed much from previous forecast. Day 7
and beyond may need probability of precipitation added if model trends continue with
energy cutting off over New Mexico and Texas late next week.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 57 29 58 40 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 59 31 59 42 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 63 32 62 42 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 56 29 59 41 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 53 24 56 41 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 63 30 58 38 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...freeze warning from 1 am to 11 am CDT Saturday for okz004>048-
050>052.

Texas...freeze warning from 1 am to 11 am CDT Saturday for txz085-086-
089-090.

&&

$$

06/11

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