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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
515 am CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016

Discussion...
the 12z aviation discussion follows....

&&

Aviation...
a ridge of surface high pressure will cover the Southern Plains
today and tonight...which would normally relatively light winds.
However...a brisk northwest flow above the surface will cause an increase
in northwest winds at the surface once vertical mixing begins during the
morning. Toward sunset...the mixing will again diminish...as will
the surface winds. No significant cloud cover or visibility
restrictions are expected in the dry airmass through tonight.

Cms
&&

Previous discussion... /issued 427 am CST Tuesday Feb 9 2016/

Discussion...
winds will be lighter today...as the surface pressure gradient
greatly diminishes...although vertical mixing will result in a
moderate northwest breeze during the day. While we do not expect
conditions worthy of a headline...wildfire potential will be
fairly high today and tomorrow.

Tomorrow will be abruptly warmer across the region...with high
temperatures jumping to about 15 to 20 degrees above the average
for this time of year. Downslope winds will keep it dry...and as
mentioned above...there will be above-average wildfire potential.

The back-and-forth temperature pattern will continue...with
Thursday turning cooler...Friday warmer...and Saturday
substantially cooler...as the southwest edge of an Arctic airmass
clips the Southern Plains.

A significant upper-level wave will arrive around Sunday
night...but model timing is not yet very well coordinated.
This...plus only modest moisture availability...results in low
probabilities of precipitation with this system. If precipitation
does occur...it will probably be all rain.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 53 30 70 36 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 61 32 71 37 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 63 33 75 38 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 60 27 74 29 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 47 26 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 54 33 66 42 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

03/23/23

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