Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
626 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014
12z tafs...little if any lightning associated with precipitation
across West Texas this morning. Middle-level clouds will increase
this morning across western Oklahoma as a trough approaches.
Band of precipitation should move across western Oklahoma between 18-23z.
Clouds and precipitation will increase across central Oklahoma during the
afternoon with best chance of showers between 22z-4z.
Southerly winds should prevail through the period with mainly
Previous discussion... /issued 401 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014/
little if any cloud cover early this morning...but this will
change through the morning...as clouds increase in advance of a
trough. Meanwhile...light winds and high relative humidity across
south central and southeast Oklahoma...will result in patchy
dense fog. Most of the fog will dissipate quickly after sunrise.
A trough moving across the northern rockies and northern plains
today...will generally phase with another trough over eastern New
Mexico/Colorado. This should result in scattered showers mainly
this afternoon and evening. Although weak...enough instability is
expected for some storms.
After the trough moves east of the area on Thursday...very warm
temperatures will return...as a ridge builds over the Southern
Another system is forecast to move from the Pacific northwest and
across the central United States on Monday. The ec is the
strongest with the trough as it has been with the last few
systems. The GFS may be a little weak...but strong enough to push
a cold front across the area on Monday. For now...will keep
chances low for rain/storms with the cold front (monday into
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 80 57 80 56 / 10 40 10 0
Hobart OK 78 57 81 57 / 40 40 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 81 59 82 57 / 20 30 10 0
gage OK 78 54 79 51 / 40 30 0 0
Ponca City OK 80 59 78 55 / 10 50 20 0
Durant OK 78 55 76 56 / 0 20 20 0