Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
630 am CDT sun Mar 9 2014
VFR conditions expected through the period. VFR ceilings in southern areas
early this morning expect to scatter out by midday.
Previous discussion... /issued 440 am CDT sun Mar 9 2014/
clouds continue to slowly erode from the northwest this morning with northwest
half of the forecast area now mostly clear. Some patchy fog has developed in
north central OK but expect this to dissipate fairly quickly after
sunrise. Abundant sun and a gradual return to SW/S winds will
allow for much warmer temperatures today.
Fire weather threat will increase during the early part of the
week. Temperatures will warm into the 70s in most locations on Monday
with relative humidity approaching critical values in western
areas Monday afternoon. At this time winds for Monday appear marginal for
red flag so will hold off for now. A strong cold front is expected
to push into the region on Tuesday. Very warm temperatures expected ahead
of the front with readings from the upper 70s to the middle 80s
across southern parts of the forecast area and fire weather concerns will
again be elevated. Strong north winds are expected behind the
front...especially Tuesday afternoon and evening...and Wind Advisory
may be necessary. Will keep probability of precipitation low and confined to mainly northern OK
for Tuesday night as moisture remains limited and best lift will
remain north of the area. Much cooler temperatures expected on Wednesday
with the strong north winds gradually diminishing.
Northwest flow aloft will persist with generally dry weather expected
through the end of the week.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 61 36 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 62 35 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 60 37 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 67 31 79 37 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 59 37 75 48 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 56 40 74 51 / 10 10 10 10