Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
521 am CST Tuesday Jan 27 2015
expect VFR conditions at the terminals during the next 24 hours.
Previous discussion... /issued 338 am CST Tue Jan 27 2015/
(today and tonight)
A nice day in store across west central Texas. Highs will be well
above normal, with readings in the mid to upper 70s. This is
supported by NAM model temps in the 14 to 16 deg c range. There will
be some high clouds around and winds will remain light.
For tonight, southerly flow picks up at 925 mb. As a result lows
will mainly be in the 40s. However, a few upper 30s may still be
possible in low lying areas and river valleys across the southeast
part of the area.
(wednesday through monday)
The forecast area will continue under an upper ridge on Wednesday
with another day of afternoon temperatures well above normal in
the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. A cold front on Thursday will
cool the forecast area back to near normal afternoon highs in the
60s. An upper trough over California late Thursday will slowly
edge eastward into the coming weekend, closing off over northern
Mexico. The position of the upper trough and closed low will keep
the forecast area under a southwest flow aloft with rain chances
beginning on Friday and continuing through the weekend. The best
chance of rain will be Friday night into Saturday. Temperatures
are expected to remain above freezing with highs on Friday and
Saturday in the upper 40s to the lower 50s and lows generally in
the mid 30s to the lower 40s. Rain chances will end over the area
by late Sunday. Looking for sunny skies over the area on Monday
with afternoon highs in the lower 50s.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 76 48 77 47 62 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Angelo 77 45 78 47 66 / 0 0 0 0 5
Junction 78 44 78 47 69 / 0 0 0 0 5