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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
600 am CDT Thursday Oct 23 2014

Aviation...
/12z tafs/

VFR conditions with light winds will prevail at all terminals
through the next 24 hours.



&&

Previous discussion... /issued 356 am CDT Thursday Oct 23 2014/

Short term...
(today and tonight)

An upper level trough has moved east of the forecast area early this
morning as have associated rainfall and cloud cover. Northwest flow
aloft will continue through tonight in the wake of the departing
upper trough, as an upper high builds in from the west. Under mostly
sunny skies, the afternoon highs today will be in the upper 70s to
the lower 80s and morning lows tomorrow under mostly clear skies
will be in the mid 50s to the around 60 degrees.

Long term...
(friday through next thursday)

An upper level ridge will build across the plains through Saturday
and will move east of the area by Sunday. Southwest flow aloft
develops across the plains Sunday into Monday as an upper level
trough works its way east across The Rockies. We'll see dry
weather with above normal temperatures Friday through Monday.
As the trough enters the plains early next week, a cold front will
move south across the area by next Tuesday. Forecast confidence
decreases beyond Tuesday as the medium range models continue to
disagree with the upper pattern. The European model (ecmwf) has zonal flow aloft
developing behind the departing upper trough by midweek, while the
GFS maintains upper troughing across the mid section of the country.
Lack of model consistency will preclude mentioning pops next week
and will maintain a dry forecast at this time. Expect cooler
temperatures behind the front by mid week, with temperatures
returning to near normal values.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 80 60 85 61 87 / 5 5 0 0 0
San Angelo 80 58 85 58 87 / 10 5 0 0 0
Junction 82 56 84 57 86 / 10 5 0 0 0

&&

Sjt watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

15/24

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