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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
1225 PM CDT Wednesday Aug 20 2014

/18z tafs/

VFR conditions will continue across west central Texas through
this afternoon and evening. We did see some patchy stratus develop
this morning near kosa, Sonora, and models are indicating a more
extensive area by sunrise Thursday morning. Have introduce MVFR
cigs for the southern areas. They might make it as far north as
ksjt, San Angelo, but if they did it would be a brief window well
after sunrise.


Previous discussion... /issued 629 am CDT Wednesday Aug 20 2014/

/12z tafs/

Look for VFR conditions to continue for the next 24 hours. A
surface trough of low pressure, across eastern New Mexico, will
produce gusty southerly surface winds today. Otherwise, expect
southerly surface winds around 10 knots.

Previous discussion... /issued 400 am CDT Wednesday Aug 20 2014/

Short term...
(today and tonight)

A dry forecast has returned to west central Texas. The weak upper
low, which brought rain to much of west central Texas over the last
several days, has moved east. High pressure aloft will again
dominate. Highs today will be slightly warmer in most areas, with
more sunshine today than the last several days. Overnight lows
tonight will be near seasonal normals.

Long term...
(thursday through tuesday)

Our dominant weather influence will be an upper high, which
builds over the lower Mississippi Valley late this week. A
gradual warming trend ensues during the next few days as
850mb thermal ridge expands east into west central Texas.

During the weekend, center of the aforementioned upper high
will shift north over western Tennessee and western Kentucky.
Our area will be on its western periphery. May have a few weak
shortwaves lift northeast from southern New Mexico across far
West Texas and the Panhandle, into northwestern Oklahoma. Any
associated convection is expected to stay west and northwest of
our area.

Early next week the upper high is progged to be centered over
Kentucky, with our area on the southwestern periphery. A fairly
deep upper trough is progged to extend from the northern
rockies into Nevada and Utah, and may have continued weak
disturbances moving out of southern New Mexico and into the Texas
Panhandle. A steady-state pattern is indicated with our
temperatures during the weekend and first part of next week, with
highs expected to be a few degrees above normal. The warmest
readings will be across our northernmost counties.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 93 72 94 72 95 / 5 5 0 0 0
San Angelo 92 73 95 72 96 / 5 5 0 0 0
Junction 92 74 94 74 95 / 5 5 5 5 5


Sjt watches/warnings/advisories...



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