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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
638 am CDT sun Aug 30 2015

Update...
to add thunder to the grids...

&&

Discussion...
scattered showers with a few thunderstorms continue across much
of west central Texas south of Interstate 20. As temperatures
warm this afternoon and the weak upper level low remains across
the area, isolated embedded thunderstorms will continue to be
possible, so thunder was added to the grids. Otherwise, no other
changes are needed at this time.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 605 am CDT sun Aug 30 2015/

Aviation...
/12z tafs/

Scattered showers are occurring across much of west central Texas
early this morning, mainly south of Interstate 20. Expect shower
activity to persist into the afternoon hours, at all sites except
for kabi. Otherwise, light winds and VFR conditions are expected
through the next 24 hours.

Previous discussion... /issued 338 am CDT sun Aug 30 2015/

Short term...
(today and tonight)

An upper level low/weakness will remain across west central Texas
today and slowly drift south. Currently, isolated showers are
occurring across the Heartland, and short range models indicate
these expanding into parts of the Concho Valley and Interstate 10
corridor through the morning hours. Pops were added to the
forecast to account for the possible shower activity this morning
through the afternoon hours, mainly south of a Mertzon, to San
Angelo, to San Saba line. Rainfall totals are expected to
generally remain less than a tenth, although a few locations,
especially across the Interstate 10 corridor, may see up to one to
two tenths of an inch.

Similar to what we saw yesterday, cloud cover will help to
moderate afternoon highs this afternoon. Temperatures are forecast
to range from the mid 90s across the Big Country, where less cloud
cover is expected, to the low 90s across the Interstate 10
corridor. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Daniels

Long term...
(monday through saturday)

The overall theme for the long term will be continued hot and dry
weather.

The compact low that will bring the possibility of light showers
today to the area will continue migrating south and out of the
area by Monday, thus have kept the forecast dry. From Monday
through the rest of the week, a large upper level ridge will be in
control across most of the southern Continental U.S.. the weak upper level
low over the area today will slowly move to the east/northeast
along the Texas Gulf Coast, and into Louisiana by Friday, resulting
in possible showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast,
but we should remain dry for the most part. 850mb temperatures
will remain warm, and could even warm up a couple degrees by the
middle of the week, so will keep highs in the mid to upper 90s
through the end of the forecast.

20

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 95 71 98 72 / 5 0 0 5
San Angelo 94 69 99 71 / 20 5 0 5
Junction 91 68 95 70 / 20 5 5 0

&&

Sjt watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Daniels

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