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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
935 am EST sun Nov 29 2015

Morning update...
little change expected in the overall weather pattern. A very thin
layer of stratus this morning has given way to mainly sunny skies.
Expect scattered clouds to develop this afternoon with surface
heating/mixing. Mild temperatures will persist with highs in the
low to middle 80s. Northeast winds will continue as surface high
pressure remains to our north.


thin veil of stratus has more or less vanished this morning.
Expect northeasterly winds through the day with scattered VFR ceilings
during the afternoon hours. Some patchy fog/stratus will be
possible again early Monday the general weather
pattern remains fairly consistent.


high pressure will remain parked north of the waters...resulting
in persistent east/northeast flow. Modest easterly wind surges may
yield periods of cautionary winds offshore both tonight and Monday
night...with winds decreasing during the daylight hours. The
pressure gradient will slacken by middle week with the approach of a
frontal boundary...shifting winds more to the southeast. An area
of low pressure then looks to move over the waters...generating
increased chances for showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms middle
to late week. Post frontal northeast winds will then overspread
the waters...with cautionary to near advisory level winds possible
heading into next weekend.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 82 65 82 67 / 0 0 0 10
fmy 83 64 84 68 / 0 0 20 10
gif 82 64 82 65 / 0 10 10 10
srq 81 64 81 66 / 0 0 10 10
bkv 81 60 82 62 / 0 0 0 0
spg 77 67 77 67 / 0 0 0 10


Tbw watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...Beach hazards statement through Monday evening for coastal

Gulf waters...none.


long term/decision support...09/rude

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