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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1017 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014

Discussion...
patchy fog has mostly dissipated with all sites now reporting visible
of 3 miles or more. Aside from that will see another very warm
afternoon with some increasing clouds late this afternoon across
eastern OK ahead of approaching system. Will send out a quick
update to refresh morning wording but no significant changes to
other forecast elements will be made.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 636 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014/

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
Patchy fog early this morning will occasionally result in MVFR or
lower conditions through about 15z. After that time...VFR
conditions will prevail through this evening. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms may affect kbvo/ktul/krvs late
tonight...with MVFR conditions possible in any storms or heavier
showers.

Previous discussion... /issued 309 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014/

Discussion...
patchy fog continues to develop across eastern Oklahoma and
western Arkansas this morning. There are a few locations approaching
1/4 mile visibility. Don't anticipate a dense fog advisory at this
time with the fog more patchy in nature this morning when compared to
yesterday. Otherwise...another unseasonably warm day is on tap with
temperatures expected to top out in the 70s to around 80s degrees.

The next chance of showers and a few thunderstorms will come tonight
into Thursday morning as a middle-level shortwave moves across the plains.
Temperatures will be slightly cooler on Thursday due to the increased
cloud cover and precipitation.

A ridge of high pressure at the middle-levels will prevail over the
Southern Plains from Friday through the weekend. This will result
in afternoon temperatures that are 10 to 15 degrees above normal
for this time of year.

The chances for showers and thunderstorms return early next
week as the middle-level ridge is shoved off to the east by
an approaching shortwave. Trended this portion of the forecast
toward the more progressive European model (ecmwf) which pushes the associated
surface cold front through the region Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 79 57 75 56 / 10 40 40 10
fsm 79 50 72 52 / 0 10 20 10
mlc 79 53 72 54 / 0 20 30 10
bvo 80 55 76 52 / 10 50 30 10
fyv 73 46 71 48 / 0 10 20 10
byv 70 47 71 51 / 0 10 20 10
mko 78 53 73 52 / 0 20 30 10
Mio 77 53 74 52 / 0 30 40 10
f10 78 54 74 55 / 10 30 30 10
hhw 79 52 74 52 / 0 10 20 0

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...14
long term....07

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