Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 PM CST Friday Mar 6 2015
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
For the 0z tafs... VFR conditions will prevail at all sites throughout
the entire 24 hour forecast period.
Previous discussion... /issued 401 PM CST Friday Mar 6 2015/
clear skies with more season temperatures returned today across
the forecast area...and will persist into the weekend. Main
forecast concern will be the chances and locations for
precipitation late Sunday and into early next week.
An upper level trough affecting the central part of the nation has
shifted east...allowing upper level heights to rise...and an area
of surface high pressure to build over the Southern Plains.
Plentiful sunshine and light southern winds will keep conditions
much warmer than recent days...with highs slightly above average.
An area of low pressure...currently over the southwest...will
track eastward into the region over the next couple of days.
Southerly winds ahead of this feature will advect moisture
northward...increasing cloud cover late Saturday and into Sunday.
Chances for precipitation will develop late Sunday...mainly across
southern and eastern portions of the forecast area...and persist
into Monday night. Precipitation amounts will remain light...as
the upper level wave weakens as it passes over the area.
Conditions will quickly warm on Tuesday...as conditions clear and
weak high pressure again builds over the region. Winds will remain
out of the south into the end of next week...with highs reaching
into the upper 60s and even 70 degrees. Another chance of rain
looks to develop toward the end of the forecast period...mainly
across far eastern portions of the forecast area...as a
disturbance moves northward out of the Gulf.