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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
235 am CDT Sat Jul 4 2015

Discussion...

Surface analysis suggests frontal zone lies close to the Red
River this morning. A west-northwest to east-southeast oriented band of convection
continues north of the front across southern OK. The latest short
term hi res data suggests that this activity will continue to
gradually sink down to along or south of the Red River by the
daylight hours today. By afternoon...some isolated to scattered
showers and storms are possible across southeast OK over into
western Arkansas...with coverage and intensity generally less than
yesterday. As it appears now...Fourth of July festivities in the
evening should be good to go in most places. Shower and storm
chances increase after midnight and continue into Sunday in a warm air advection
regime with retreating boundary.

Quiet weather will prevail Sunday night and for most of the day
Monday. The next front will bring higher rain/storm chances Monday
night and Tuesday...tapering off as we head toward the middle to
latter part of the week.

A middle level ridge will build aloft over the south central states
by next weekend...maintaining hot and dry weather. Fortunately it
does not appear the ridge will be here to stay for long.

Lacy

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 90 72 89 75 / 0 30 50 10
fsm 88 71 89 73 / 20 20 50 10
mlc 88 73 88 75 / 30 30 40 10
bvo 90 70 89 74 / 0 30 40 10
fyv 85 68 86 71 / 20 10 40 10
byv 83 67 86 70 / 20 10 30 20
mko 88 71 88 73 / 10 30 50 10
Mio 88 69 88 73 / 10 20 40 10
f10 87 72 88 74 / 20 30 50 10
hhw 88 72 89 74 / 40 40 30 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Long term....30

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