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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1049 am CDT Friday Sep 19 2014

Discussion...

A rather moist boundary layer combined with radiational cooling
last night has lead to the development of widespread stratus and
fog across the region. WV imagery and model time/height plots show
dry middle to upper levels above the low cloud deck...thus insolation
should be able to erode it from above...allowing for a partly
cloudy to mostly sunny afternoon. Will not adjust high temperatures much
at all with this thought in mind.

Lacy

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 646 am CDT Friday Sep 19 2014/

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
IFR/MVFR ceilings/visibility across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas taf sites kbvo/ktul/krvs/kxna/kfyv/kfsm
early this morning. Low stratus cloud layer rather thin and
will likely dissipate between 14z and 17z...becoming VFR all
stations.

Previous discussion... /issued 312 am CDT Friday Sep 19 2014/

Discussion...
low clouds/patchy fog will continue across portions of eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas through middle morning before
lifting. Slow warming trend expected today and Saturday as winds
return to the south. Could see a few isolated showers/thunderstorms
on Saturday however overall precipitation chances appear low.
Cold front will move into northeast Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas
Sunday afternoon with isolated to widely scattered precipitation
again possible along and directly behind front.

Upper disturbance will move out of The Rockies and into the
northern plains Monday into Tuesday. Main precipitation in
association with system will likely remain north of the area but
could see a few showers north of Interstate 44. Otherwise...
mild and relatively dry conditions expected through much of next
week as surface ridge remains over the eastern Continental U.S. With deeper
moisture confined across the northern Gulf.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 86 69 88 70 / 0 10 20 20
fsm 83 68 87 68 / 0 10 20 20
mlc 86 69 87 66 / 0 0 20 20
bvo 85 66 89 66 / 0 10 20 20
fyv 82 63 84 63 / 0 10 20 20
byv 78 64 83 65 / 0 10 20 20
mko 85 67 88 67 / 0 10 20 20
Mio 83 66 86 66 / 0 10 20 20
f10 85 69 87 68 / 0 10 20 20
hhw 84 68 89 67 / 0 10 20 20

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...30

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