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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1146 am CDT Thursday Jul 31 2014

...

Discussion...
other than a few adjustments to cloud cover and probability of precipitation...forecast
looks on track. Scattered light rain showers and areas of drizzle
will persist through the afternoon hours. As the main area of
precipitation over southeast Oklahoma and southwest Arkansas
shifts toward the east...additional widely scattered showers will
develop across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. Rainfall
amounts will generally be light. With the cloud cover and
precipitation...temperatures will remain well below normal today.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 351 am CDT Thursday Jul 31 2014/

Discussion...
convective complex continues to slowly track across southeast
Oklahoma this morning...with impressive rainfall rates measured
within an airmass consisting of 2+ inch precipitable water
values. The precipitation will continue its slow advance eastward through
the day...with the additional rainfall contributing to a continued
flooding risk. Outside of the heavier precipitation axis the Flash Flood
Watch has been cancelled. Unseasonably cool high temperatures will
continue today.

Prevailing northerly flow aloft and persistent surface ridging through
the area will maintain below normal temperatures through the weekend. A
weak wave looks to pass overhead tomorrow west/ light quantitative precipitation forecast signals
shown in various data. However this may also be nothing more than
heavy fog tomorrow morning which is possible should cloud cover
diminish sufficiently. Either way precipitation chances will remain low
through the weekend.

Heights gradually rise into the first part of next week and surface
ridging weakens allowing more seasonable temperatures to return
briefly...before the next cold front arrives Wednesday night into
Thursday. This will increase precipitation chances and likely push temperatures
back below normal for late week.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 78 62 85 65 / 50 10 10 0
fsm 73 63 82 65 / 50 20 20 10
mlc 73 62 81 64 / 40 20 10 10
bvo 79 59 85 63 / 20 10 10 0
fyv 73 58 80 60 / 50 20 20 10
byv 74 59 81 61 / 50 20 20 10
mko 75 62 83 64 / 50 10 10 10
Mio 79 61 84 63 / 20 10 10 10
f10 75 62 82 65 / 40 10 10 10
hhw 71 64 78 65 / 60 20 20 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...16

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