Sandestin, Florida

... Flash Flood Watch in effect from Monday afternoon through
Tuesday morning...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama and northwest
Florida... including the following areas... in Alabama...
Butler... Clarke... Conecuh... Covington... Crenshaw... Escambia...
lower Baldwin... lower Mobile... Monroe... upper Baldwin... upper
Mobile and Wilcox. In northwest Florida... coastal Escambia...
coastal Okaloosa... coastal Santa Rosa... inland Escambia...
inland Okaloosa and inland Santa Rosa.

* From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning

* a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for eastern and coastal areas
of southwest Alabama generally east of the I-65 corridor including
Clark County in Alabama and all areas of northwest Florida from
midday Monday through midday Tuesday... due to excessive rainfall
from Ida. Ida is expected to move onshore early Tuesday morning
near the Florida Alabama border bringing heavy Rand bands to the
coastal areas of Florida and Alabama by mid afternoon on Monday
spreading inland over northwest Florida and parts of southwest
Alabama overnight and early Tuesday morning. Rainfall totals of 3
to 6 inches with locally higher amounts can be expected in watch
area... especially over the western Florida Panhandle.


Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

829 am CST sun Nov 8 2009

... Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect from 6 PM CST this
evening through late Monday night...

A coastal Flood Watch remains in effect from 6 PM CST this
evening through late Monday night.

The combination of strong easterly winds combined with high tide
levels is expected to create tide levels of 2 to 3 feet above
normal. This will create total tide levels of 3 to 4 feet. If Ida
is stronger than currently forecast across the southern Gulf...
the increased swell would cause even higher tide levels than the
current forecast.

Residents living in flood prone areas along the coastal sections
of Mobile and Baldwin counties... including Mobile Bay... along
with coastal sections of northwest Florida should take necessary
precautions to protect life and property in case these high tide
levels are reached.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Watch means that conditions favorable for
flooding are expected to develop. Coastal residents should be
alert for later statements or warnings... and take action to
protect property.

... Ida slightly stronger and moving northward...

... This product will be use din lieu of the hurricane local
statement until technical issues are resolved...

.Areas affected...
This local statement provides important information and recommended
actions for people in select locations of inland southeast
Mississippi... southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.

.Watches/warnings... A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the
northern Gulf Coast from Grand Isle Louisiana to Mexico Beach
Florida... including Mobile Pensacola Navarre and Destin. A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area... generally within 36 hours. Inland tropical storm
watches are in effect for inland southwest Alabama and interior
southeastern Mississippi.

Interests elsewhere along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Ida. Additional tropical cyclone
watches or warnings may be required tonight or Monday.

.Storm information... At 600 PM CST... the center of Hurricane Ida was
located near latitude 23.1 north... longitude 86.5 west or about
445 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Ida is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph. A gradual turn
toward the north and an increase in forward speed are expected
during the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track... Ida is
expected to cross the Gulf of Mexico tonight and Monday... and be
near the northern Gulf Coast Monday night or early Tuesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph... with higher
gusts. Ida is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Little change in strength is expected tonight... and Ida is forecast
to gradually weaken on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure from aircraft data is 979
mb... or 28.91 inches.

... Winds...
the latest forecast is for strong tropical storm force winds to
onset Monday. On the current forecast path... Ida should be located
near the mouth of Mobile Bay by sunrise Tuesday with near hurricane
force winds sustained winds in the 65 to 75 mph range... with higher
gusts. Expect 40 50 mph winds inland with higher gusts possible.
Ida will then turn more to the east during the morning hours. Strong
surface high pressure to the north will create a very windy
situation even if ida's center does pass in close proximity to any
given point... so do not just focus on the latest track's centerline.
Power outages are a strong possibility with this Ida... especially
along the coast.

... Storm surge... total tide heights of 5 to 7 feet are possible west
of the Alabama-Florida line... especially in the upper reaches of
Mobile bay(including bayou sara)... dog river... the west end of
Dauphin Island and Bayou La Batre. East of Orange Beach total tide
heights will range from 2.5 to 3.5 feet. The time of astronomical
high tide on Tuesday will range from 2 to 3 am across the region.
This will exacerbate storm related flooding since ida's forecast
landfall is just a few hours thereafter. If Ida moves in
earlier... the time of astronomical high tide may coincide with
landfall which could raise the aforementioned values.

... Seas...
coastal Alabama and northwest Florida seas will build from their
current 7 to 10 feet range tonight... reaching a maximum of 20 to 25
feet early Tuesday morning near the peak of the event. Final
preparedness activities should be drawing to a close.

... Tornadoes...
tornadoes will mainly occur in ida's outer rainbands from midday
Monday into Tuesday. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the
northeast quadrant of the storm and can happen a few hundred miles
from the storms center. Please be vigilant!

... Rainfall... ida's heaviest rainfall will be to the right of the
track and this will mainly fall along coastal areas of Alabama and
northwest Florida. Some 3 to 6 inches of rainfall could occur east
of I-65... especially closer to the coast. A Flood Watch may be
issued later.

.Next update...
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile by 11 PM.

Medlin

Pascagoula-MS 30.35n 88.55w
Indian-Pass-FL 29.68n 85.27w


Attn... WFO... lix... tae... mob...




843 PM CST sun Nov 8 2009

... Hurricane wind watch in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
... Hurricane Watch remains in effect...

... New information...
at 6 PM CST... the center of Hurricane Ida was located near
latitude 23.1 north... longitude 86.5 west... or about 140 miles
west-northwest of the western tip of Cuba. This is about
530 miles south of Mobile al... or about 510 miles south of
Pensacola FL. Storm motion was north-northwest or 340 degrees at 12
mph. Storm intensity was 105 mph.


... Precautionary/preparedness actions...
precautionary/preparedness actions...

Preparations should be made as soon as possible... before conditions
deteriorate tomorrow afternoon. Secure loose outdoor objects which
can be blown around. Strongly consider evacuating if you live in a
Mobile home... and do so if ordered by local officials.


... Storm surge and storm tide...
total tide heights of 5 to 7 feet are possible west
of the Alabama-Florida line... especially in the upper reaches of
Mobile bay(including bayou sara)... dog river... the west end of
Dauphin Island and Bayou La Batre. This is track dependent. If Ida
passes further east..the low end of these values will be realized
over coastal Alabama. East of Orange Beach total tide heights will range
from 3 to 6 feet. The time of astronomical high tide on Tuesday will
range from 2 to 3 am across the region. This will exacerbate storm
related flooding since ida's forecast landfall is just a few hours
thereafter. If Ida moves in earlier... the time of astronomical high
tide may coincide with landfall which could raise the aforementioned
values.


... Winds...
the latest forecast is for tropical storm force winds to onset by mid Monday
afternoon near the coast and spreading thereafter. On the current
forecast path... Ida should be located near the mouth of Mobile Bay by
sunrise Tuesday with near hurricane force winds sustained winds in
the 65 to 75 mph range... with higher gusts. Expect 40 50 mph winds
inland with higher gusts possible. Ida will then turn more to the
east during the morning hours. Strong surface high pressure to the
north will create a very windy situation even if ida's center does
pass in close proximity to any given point... so do not just focus on
the latest track's centerline. Power outages are a strong possibility
with this Ida... especially along the coast.

A general concern should be for the possibility of at least damaging
winds likely somewhere within the area.


... Inland flooding...
ida's heaviest rainfall will be to the right of the
track and this will mainly fall along coastal areas of Alabama and
northwest Florida. Some 3 to 6 inches of rainfall could occur east
of I-65... especially closer to the coast. A Flood Watch may be
issued later.

... Tornadoes...
tornadoes will mainly occur in ida's outer rainbands from midday
Monday into Tuesday. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the
northeast quadrant of the storm and can happen a few hundred miles
from the storms center.

... Due to technical difficulties we are unable to generate and issue
hurricane local statements (hls)...

Due to technical difficulties we are currently unable to generate or
issue hurricane local statements (hls). In the interim we will be
issuing hurricane information and potential impacts via Special
Weather Statement (sps) until the situation is resolved. Special
weather statements (sps) on Ida are posted on our website at
http://www.Srh.NOAA.Gov/mob/.