San Juan County Severe Watches & Warnings NOAA Weather Radio

Public Information Statement
Statement as of 3:30 PM PDT on September 30, 2014

...Are you ready for fall and winter weather?...

After a warm Summer...Fall weather has arrived and winter is just a few months away. Are you ready for fall and winter weather?

What does this winter have in store? The latest regional winter weather outlook from the National weather services climate prediction center is based on what the central and eastern tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures are doing. Right now they are close to average but trending toward warming for expected weak El Nino conditions this winter season.

Historically...El Nino brings warmer than normal temperatures to the Pacific northwest and near or a bit below normal precipitation. The latest outlook indicates increased odds on warmer than normal temperatures and increased chances of below normal precipitation for the entire winter season.

Does that mean the it will be warmer and drier all winter? No. It means that over the Long Run...there is a greater chance that temperatures will average out to be warmer than normal and precipitation to be below normal.

With expected warmer temperatures...the average snow level will tend to be higher likely translating into a below average mountain snow pack.

El ninos tend to have fewer heavy rain and flood events...wind storms and lowland snow events. Yet some El Nino events can be quite active. Of the top 10 snowiest Winters in Seattle...three of them were during El Nino Winters. The slow developing El Nino in 2006-07 resulted in major flooding in early November and the hanakkah eve wind storm in mid December.

It is important to prepare for adverse winter weather now...before the wind blows...the snow flies and the rivers rise. Here are a few key resources to help you get ready for this winter - at home...in your vehicle...and at work or school.

Http://www.Ready.Gov/ http://takewinterbystorm.Org

http://www.Emd.WA.Gov

Next week on October 7 and 8...the National Weather Service in Seattle will host two media and emergency management workshops to help our partners be better informed and prepared to work together before and during adverse winter weather. A speaker from the climate prediction center will discuss the latest winter weather outlook and address questions as a part of each workshop.

Those preparing and responding to adverse winter weather will be ready. Will you?