The Northeast Weather Blog...

HAHAHAHAHAHAH after all that, you pretty much echo the shot that Blizz called? HAHAHAHAH

Thanks Blizz, I shall post weather and totals and let you know what happens down here!

I'm so excited I probably will not be able to sleep tomorrow nite!!!!!

A possible WHITE CHRISTMAS in SOMD? Almost unheard of in this area!

hahaha 36 inches is a bit much, despite our being snow depraved. 8-12 inches will work just fine for me.

Look at 48!

Quoting Snowlover2010:
Look at 48!

Looks similar to 18Z. Also looks to be moving a bit slower. Another good run.

Quoting Blizzard92:
0z NAM is big hit again with 982mb low off of Delmarva crawing the coast, wow!!!

+1 Awesome. Now if that damn GFS could get on board.

Will any of the precipitation showing on the NAM really verify if the system moves that far out to sea, or should we expect much, much less?

What does it all mean?!!? I'm a newbie! I'm in Delaware...should I go to the store? LOL

Quoting Blizzard92:

The low is right off of Delaware, very close to the coast.

Just ignore my questions when they're that stupid. I'll be fine.

LOL - My Mainer friends find it hysterical that we Delawareans go for milk, bread and tp when it threatens a dusting.

Very nice run on the NAM 00z and showing some consistency towards this solution. Looks like the Delmarva could get hammered. The NAM shows strong omega forcing and mid level dynamics. Looks like the jet could allow to come up the coast a bit more near Long Island.

We'll see if the ECMWF or GFS follows the suite.

WHAT? are you saying 36 inches of snow in DC?

Quoting Blizzard92:
O my word, 974mb low!!! off of New Jersey. Blizzard over much of region, heavy QPF of over 1inch back west past Harrisburg.

Uh, so are we talking about a good old fashioned bomb here? if half true the whole i-95 corridor, VA to ME, is in for a bad (good) time

I agree Blizzard. Classic signature on water vapor imagery, this storm is a mean one. I already see the northern jet diving southeastward. A sign of a phasing storm soon. It is still windy here on Cape Cod, MA. We need this PV to move further north and stop this northwest flow to stop suppression. Anyways the Gulf of Mexico low is really slow moving and so is the Plains northern stream disturbance. A sign of a negatively tilting trough and amplifying of course. Now I am starting to worry about mixing issues for us on the Cape. Although winds will be more certain. I heard a NECN meteorologist Tim Kelley saying that hurricane force wind gusts could reach near Nantucket, MA. Also evaporational cooling will allow a colder storm, but who knows with a strong low to the south. Water temps in Cape Cod Bay is 46F, 46F!!!.

Bread and spiked egg nog, true mother's milk. Let it snow.

Quoting tinkahbell:
LOL - My Mainer friends find it hysterical that we Delawareans go for milk, bread and tp when it threatens a dusting.

I live in Northern Delaware I already bought my bread and milk :)

thanks for clarification Blizz. I'd love snow, but I don't want a ... historical ... blizzard (hide this comment from heavy)

Mt. Holly HWO:
A STORM MOVING UP THE COAST WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR AN
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
CHECK BACK FOR THE LATEST IN THE EVENT WINTER STORM WATCHES,
WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

I worry about baltimore RN or some handle similar to that. Said had to go to work in hospital. Sounds like emergency planners need to be polishing their plans to get/keep people in right places.

Baltimore RN works 7 pm - 7 am. I think I told her to call in dead. hahahahaha

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA Accuweather.com is DOWN!

Will this rival the December 1966 storm?

The Delmarva would see almost 3 feet of snow with 15:1 snow ratio.

*goes to forums.accuweather.com*

SERVICE UNAVAILABLE

BAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Quoting Blizzard92:
QPF totals...


*Remember add in 15:1 snow ratios especially for those of us in the northwest such as the Lower Susquehanna Valley. Probably a good 12-16in for us verbatum.

thanks for all the posts blizzard92. i'm off to bed dreaming of a 12+" snowfall. i'll be back on early tomorrow morn. Have a good night.

Baltimore RN will be packing a bag. It's a sleepover!

Hi Blizz and all... I've not been on a while due to my wife in the Hospital with Pnuemonia. She's home now and doing better.

I've seen the models and all i can say is "WOW" i knew the westward trend would verify with this storm. It will spread a precip shield much farther to the north than forcasted. This will blow up into a very strong low. People should prepare now along the coast from the Carolinas to Boston. It will affect millions. 18z was a good run, the 06z NAM clobbers the entire east coast!

Anyways, it's good to be back and i'll also be back for the Christmas storm as well. Get ready guys, this is our winter!

-Weatherbob in Storm Mode

Frame-by-frame analysis of the NAM looked like we were in for anywhere between 0.75-2.15 total QPF. With 12:1 ratios that gives us 9-26" and with 15:1 ratios it gives us 11-33". I'm not sure where to go from here. It sounds too incredible to be true. I still want to stick with my original 5-8" forecast and anticipate us hitting the top of that mark, but I feel I am being pessimistic in light of the recent model run. However, I want to refrain from exhibiting the Margusity-style optimism that begs for a bust. What do we do now? How much confidence can we put in the NAM?

Quoting WeatherBobNut:
Hi Blizz and all... I've not been on a while due to my wife in the Hospital with Pnuemonia. She's home now and doing better.

I've seen the models and all i can say is "WOW" i knew the westward trend would verify with this storm. It will spread a precip shield much farther to the north than forcasted. This will blow up into a very strong low. People should prepare now along the coast from the Carolinas to Boston. It will affect millions. 18z was a good run, the 06z NAM clobbers the entire east coast!

Anyways, it's good to be back and i'll also be back for the Christmas storm as well. Get ready guys, this is our winter!

-Weatherbob in Storm Mode

Glad to hear she is doing better. She will be in our thoughts.

Blizz, when do you think I'll see the snow begin on Sat. in SW CT? Was just at the grocery store near me, not busy at all, thats because our local mets are still down-playing the situation.

Pittsburg RN will you have to do same

Thanks Blizz, glad to be back, the forums everywhere are buzzing like i haven't seen since Christmas 2002! This is going to be a fun winter, way over-due! I'm thrilled.

Thanks for the warm welcome back. tty all soon!

-Weatherbob

I'm about to put the coffee on. When is the next model run?

When will all this stuff start? I'm hoping after 4. I teach in a juvenile detention center and I'm not really interested in spending the weekend there....though I could get my grading caught up...

Now I have read enough to be worried. Will check back in early tomorrow (we are up at 4:15) and see what is happening.....
May need another trip to store! anything over 4" and this county is shut down for a couple days.....