Blizzard conditions Feb. 9-10...

By: Zachary Labe , 8:21 PM GMT on February 03, 2010

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Most computer guidance is unanimous in a strengthening a double barrel low pressure setup redeveloping on the east coast. Climatology and past analogs support this, featuring a widespread precipitation event for the entire eastern seaboard. Due to animous blocking this will allow the storm system to affect southern areas more so than Northern New England.

Thoughts on February 5-7 Snowstorm...
A anomalous southerly flow is allowing cirrus clouds to stream overhead as 'the calm before the storm' infects the entire Middle Atlantic region. As this flow continues to increase, national water vapor loop is indicating over +4SD moisture anomalies streaming out of the Gulf of Mexico courtesy of a low pressure developing in Louisiana. As the infrared and water vapor loops take on the classic comma head approach, cloud tops continue to cool towards Texas and Louisiana noting the actual intensity of this storm system. As the low deepens below 1004mb, plumes of moisture will stream up the eastern seaboard with PWATs (precipitate waters) rising to near 1.2in across the southern Middle Atlantic. As the low pressure attempts to move northeastward, a low undergoing bombogenesis in the northern Atlantic is slow pulling away. The simple physics element of uniform polars repelling will be the example set forth by the unusual blocking scenario to the north where the low is already progged to be near 944mb. The exact displacement of this low is critical to the northern extent of the SLP (surface low pressure) track. Also to note is the correlating negative NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) phase below -1 along with a positive PNA (Pacific/North American Pattern) and negative EPO (Eastern Pacific Oscillation) ridge. These all indicative of cyclogenesis along the eastern seaboard. Located in southern Canada is also a polar vortex, which will slowly be retrograding northeastward, but will pose critical again to the northern progression of this storm system.

By Friday morning weak dbz (virga) will likely be across southern Virginia and West Virginia as mid levels around 10000ft are indicative of RH (relative humidity) less than 40% by GFS bufkit prognostics. But shortly thereafter moisture will stream into the region with the stratiform snowshield marching slowly to the north in contrast with a weakening and departing high over northern Pennsylvania. As the SLP tracks into South Carolina Friday mid morning precipitation will be into Washington DC and southern Maryland. A weak easterly flow at the surface will allow for thermals to favor rain for those south of the Virginia/North Carolina border, but increasing inversion heights will allow cold air damming to favor severe freezing rain in the foothills of the Appalachians. By Friday late morning things begin to get interesting as the 850hPa low tracks into southern North Carolina on a east-northeast trajectory. Using the typical rule of thumb of the heavy snow axis about 100+mi north of the 850hPa low track, heavy snow will likely be across northern Virginia into Maryland as a strong convergence zone develops across the region. Increasing isentropic lifts heights will favor precipitation rates over .1/hr for standard QPF (Quantitative Precipitation Forecast). With a favorable low level jet near 60knots around 850-925mb aloft, strong vertical lift will favor frontogenesis heights increasing over Maryland and northern Virginia by early afternoon with snowfall totals already around 2-4in for parts of northern Virginia and into West Virginia. As the 700hPa low tracks through southern Kentucky, the stratiform precipitation shield will finally lift northward above the Pennsylvania I-76 turnpike by early afternoon with precipitation in the form of snow. As for temperatures during most of this event, use a simple rule of thumb... Take your wetbulb/dewpoint temperature at the onset of falling precipitation and add on 3-4F. That then will likely be the temperature for the most part during the entire system especially considering WAA (warm air advection) is confined to southern Virginia on southward.

By Friday evening, the northern extent of the precipitation shield will likely be between I-76 and I-80 with virga to the north. A strong convergence axis in northern Maine with increasing momentum transfer of air particles will favor cold air diving into the northern edge of the storm with favorable snow growth zones highlighted as followed. High resolution models are indicative of increasing dendritic growth along the Pennsylvania turnpike south to northern Maryland with H85s temperatures near (-5)-(-8)C during a majority of the event. With excellent snow growth levels around 10000ft, ratios in this region will be in the realm of 12:1 or 15:1 making for a fluffy snowfall once again. Take for instance KMDT (Middletown/Harrisburg, PA) QPF totals from December 19 at .66in, yet 8.8in of snow was officially measured. Keep in mind ratios are defined by temperatures aloft, and not boundary layer (2m-10m) temperatures. Another mesoscale feature will likely occur from Washington DC northward into northern Maryland and perhaps southern Pennsylvania with the formation of coastal/surface front which will serve as an axis for snowfall rates near 2-3in/hr. Finally the formation of a CIS/CCB band is likely towards central and northern Maryland also as a potential gravity wave forms in central Virginia along the northern right front quadrant north of the warm front as rising air parcels continue to rise and sink favoring anomalous precipitation rates. These mesoscale features will serve in isolated higher amounts of snowfall in the northern Middle Atlantic during the height of the event Friday night.

As pressure falls along the SLP track near the Virginia/North Carolina border increase to -3mb/hr, cyclogenesis will favor in a deformation axis towards Maryland and Virginia in particular adding an additional .5in of QPF that northern areas will not see in the precipitation shield. This axis will also be accompanied by strong vertical lift courtesy of the cold air covergence layer favoring mixing aloft allowing a transfer of winds to the surface with gusts over 35-40mph along the coast with blizzard thesholds being met potentially as far west as Annapolis.

As the low pulls away during the later half of Saturday, precipitation will quickly end from west to east leaving a sigificant snowfall in its wake especially over Maryland and northern Virginia into northern Delaware. The northern edge of this precipitation shield is highly uncertain with guidance recently trending to the south courtesy of anomalous blocking, so at this point those from the Pennsylvania turnpike and on northward should be playing on the conservative route. There will likely be a sharp cutoff between the horizontal lines of Indiana, Pennsylvania-Harrisburg, Pennsylvania-Allentown, Pennsylvania and Butler, Pennsylvania-Williamsport, Pennsylvania-Scranton, Pennsylvania. This exact location is yet to be determined, but guidance suggests this may even sink south especially looking at foreign models. In any case elevation and orographic lift along with higher snow ratios may favor heavy snow along and south of the Pennsylvania turnpike. The bullseye appears to be in northern Maryland from southern to central Hartford County and a country east and west of that. Isolated snow totals may be near 30-32in in this region. See more information below on snow totals. Also for those in southern Pennsylvania, watch for the slim possibility of a mesoscale band forming along the cold conveyor belt of the northern end of the precipitation shield. This sometimes is a common factor in terms of strong blocking with limited northern extent of QPF. This was noted recently from the past light to moderate snowfall that 'overperformed.' At this point the highest "bust" potential so to speak exists from Altoona to Harrisburg to Allentown to New York City. There will be sharp line between 12in and 1-2in. In any case this will be a high impact event, but fortunately the low will not be cutoff from the jet allowing for a general quick motion of the SLP out into the Atlantic with the duration of the storm only around 18hrs or so for most locations as the storm is out of here for many areas especially in Pennsylvania north of the deformation by noon. Stay tune for any updates and/or changes during the day Friday. Have a great day!!!

Radar...
Radar...

Warnings...
Warnings...

NAO...
NAO...

This is my current rain/snow line...

Farmville, Virginia - Ashland, Virginia - Warsaw, Virginia - Salisbury, Maryland - Ocean View, Delaware

*Note this line is a general estimation for precipitation type (rain vs. snow) during the height of the precipitation. As the deformation axis departs, this line will likely drop southward. Also during any intense convection correlated with a gravity wave development may favor brief periods of sleet especially towards La Plata, Maryland and the southern suburbs of Washington DC. Also south towards the Appalachians in North Carolina a major freezing rain/ice storm is likely to occur with QPF amounts in excess of .5in of pure freezing rain. North of this line by about 20mi will definitely have all snow.

Storm Reports...
COMING WHEN PRECIPITATION COMMENCES!!!

Storm Impacts...
1. Impressive mesoscale banding in northern quadrant favoring isolated snow totals up to 30in in northern Maryland.
2. High winds near 40-60knots aloft will allow for mixing to filter gusts over 35mph especially within 50mi of the coast.
3. High impact on Friday evening commute with precipitation lasting through Saturday afternoon.
4. Heavy snow (+4in) will fall from western Virginia northward into southern New York state and southern Connecticut.
5. Sharp northern QPF gradient favoring a line horizontally across Pennsylvania between Mansfield, Pennsylvania and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

Snow Map...

*Note the region at the 5-9in/12in line will more likely be in the range for 8-14in. There is a high bust potential in this event considering the sharp northern cutoff, so any swing of 25mi for the surface low track will change forecasts dramatically.

Selected City Accumulations for the Northeast...
Hagerstown, MD- Heavy snow, 18-26in isolated higher amounts
Baltimore, MD- Blizzard conditions, 14-22in isolate higher amounts
Salisbury, MD- Sleet/freezing rain/snow, 3-7in
Washington, DC- Blizzard conditions, 14-22in isolated higher amounts
Wilmington, DE- Heavy snow, 12-18in
Dover, DE- Heavy snow/sleet/freezing rain, 5-12in
Trenton, NJ- Heavy snow, 6-10in
New York City, NY- Moderate snow at times, 2-5in
Poughkeepsie, NY- Cloudy with flurries, coating of snow
Binghamton, NY- Cloudy with flurries, coating of snow
Albany, NY- Cloudy with flurries
Hartford, CT- Cloudy with light snow, C-1in
Concord, NH- Cloudy
Providence, RI- Cloudy
Worcester, MA- Cloudy
Boston, MA- Cloudy
Nantucket, MA- Cloudy with light snow, C-3in
Hyannis, MA- Cloudy with light snow, C-3in
Portland, ME- Mostly cloudy
Bangor, ME- Partly cloudy
"Subject to Change"

Model Analysis
Computer model mayhem can best be describing this entire scenario with striking differences for the northern edge of the QPF shield. The GFS/ECMWF combo seems to have the best consistency, but the NAM/ETA/MM5 seem a good deal further south highlighting strong confluence to the north. For now I took a general 1.0in QPF line from Pittsburgh to Harrisburg to Reading with 2.0in QPF along the Mason-Dixon line. This fits well with local SREFs except for a bit of tweaking. The biggest concern is the NAM and GGEM runs, but for now the NAM seems to have have some initiating issues illustrating 5 vortices of energy at the height of the storm indicative of QPF problems. It also has a east-southeast trajectory at one point which is suspicious to say the least. The GFS seems to have a better hold on the system, but looking back at similarities in the December 19th event, the GFS did have the precipitation shield well too far northwest with the NAM scoring on the chalkboard so this arises some concern. In any case high resolution models for the 0z cycle will be interesting, but probably siding more towards the NAM. I also took my .1in line about as far north as KUNV with little QPF towards IPT. In any case this event is marginal in terms of confidency so stay tuned to the latest.

After the storm...
Interesting potential lies ahead in the medium and long range as the AO (Arctic Oscillation) continues to be well below normal negative values diving once again into off the charts territory. With a similar negative AO oriention I expect a constant feed of cold Canadian air into the northern half of the United States. With above normal geopotential heights over the northern Atlantic blocking will continue to favor favorable conditions for east coast cyclogenesis and below normal temperatures. The first threat appears quickly on the horizon for Monday-Tuesday with ECMWF taking a miller B scenario with 6-10in amounts across the entire northeast on the 12z 2/4/10 run. The GFS takes a less amplified approach with light amounts scraping New England perhaps with some higher totals. In any case wavelengths have also favored this time period for an east coast storm threat. I have not really focused, as expected, on this scenario, but it is the next threat posed towards the east coast. Also towards Sunday-Tuesday upslope from weak shortwave rotating through the Great Lakes will favor 1-4in of light snow over the snow belts of northwestern Pennsylvania and the Laurel Highlands into Garret County, Maryland. Cold air advection will also be widespread across the northern Middle Atlantic with highs Sunday-Tuesday ranging 7-14F below normal into the low to mid 20s with lows in the single digits courtesy of 850mb temperatures around -10C or below and 1000-500mb thicknesses below 530dm. After the Monday-Tuesday threat, wavelengths favor a day 8 threat with foreign guidance such as the JMA posing a Miller A winter storm threat with a low pressure ejecting out of the gulf of Mexico. In any case the next two weeks are likely to feature well below normal temperatures with several threats of snow from coastals to clippers. On a side note Lake Erie surface ice has definitely increased especially towards the shallow portions of the lake near Cleveland so the heavy lake effect snow is likely done for the season.

Please post storm reports in this blog from across the Northeast during the winter storm and please post location of observation in each report...

This blog is in progress. Check back soon...

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"Here northeast of Harrisburg 2009-2010 winter statistics"
(Snow Stats)
Current Snow Cover- 20.75in
Monthly Total- 43.25in
Seasonal Total- 61.35in
October Total- 0.0in
November Total- Trace
December Total- 16.0in
January Total- 2.1in
February Total- 43.25in
Winter Weather Advisories- 5
Winter Storm Warnings- 3
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 2
Winter Storm Watches- 3

(Temperature Stats)
Lowest High Temperature- 18.8F
Lowest Low Temperature- 11.7F
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0

(Winter Storms Stats)
Dec 5 - 1.5in - First accumulating snow of season
Dec 8-9 - 2.5in - Snow changed to plain rain
Dec 13 - .1in - Freezing rain
Dec 19 - 9.0in - Heavy snow, higher amounts to south
Dec 31 - 3.0in - 2.5hr warm air advection event
Dec 31 #2 - .2in - Freezing rain/sleet later in day
Jan 8 - 1.5in - Light snow associated with clipper
Feb 2 - 3.75in - Weak coastal storm
Feb 5-7 - 19.0in - 10th largest snowstorm on record
Feb 9-10 - 20.5in - Blizzard conditions/snow depth up to 36in

Weather wizard (Patriot News)Link.

Sure has been a long cold spell" is a lackluster comment you'd hear at a social gathering when a person can't think of anything else to say.

Not so with Zachary Labe. The 17-year-old junior at Central Dauphin High School is passionate about weather. So passionate that he's one of just 28 high school students who've been accepted for membership in the American Meteorological Society, the association for radio and television forecasters.

If that isn't passionate enough, there are the weather instruments in Labe's bedroom. They make noise. Day and night. One goes off if the temperature makes an abrupt change, another when a storm begins, and there are more.

Even if it's 2 a.m. and snow or rain snow begins, the alarm wakes Labe. In seconds he's out of bed, running through the upstairs hall yelling, "There's a storm!" And out he goes in the middle of it. In a rainstorm, he takes a lightning detector.

Among Labe's large collection of weather equipment is a top-of-the-line weather station that the federal government uses, but he doesn't use it. "It's not very accurate," he said.

After taking a National Weather Service class, Labe could get an account from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which gives him information to interpret for a weather forecast. And Labe is usually right on. In fact, his prediction is accurate more often than professional forecasters,' he said.

Take the night of Jan. 22-23. Several meteorologists said we'd have rainstorms, perhaps thunder. Labe's prediction said nothing about precipitation. Not a drop fell.

"It's impossible to be perfect in predicting," Labe said. "But you can be less imperfect than others."

Forecasts can't be perfect because forecasters make interpretations. NOAA's "super computers" take information such as wind velocity and humidity and use mathematical equations to transfer the results onto maps and graphs.

Labe interprets NOAA's information, figures out a forecast, then color codes several of NOAA's blank maps of the U.S. to indicate information including temperatures, the jet stream swish and humidity.

In 2007, at age 14, Labe started forecasting with about 10,000 other amateur meteorologists on the Web site Weather Underground -- www.wunderground.com -- under the name "Blizzard92," which he used because he was young and the Internet can be a dangerous place.

The folks at the California-based site noticed Blizzard92's accuracy and in 2009 sent Labe an e-mail asking if he'd be one of nine featured forecaster bloggers in the country, taking on Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland. Of course, he would.

As a featured blogger, Blizzard92 had to upload a photograph of himself. This took the cat that was his age right out of the bag. Not only were the Weather Underground people amazed that he was 17 and had expert knowledge, Labe received thousands of comments on the site.

And the other eight people selected? They all have degrees in meteorology.

Labe's interest in weather ignited long before he was 12. He often heard his grandparents and uncle discussing the weather. They were farmers, and weather was vital to their livelihood.

Labe didn't say a whole lot, but he started accumulating books on meteorology and weather history. He stayed up nights watching the skies during storms, recorded information in a weather journal and asked for a weather station. His parents bought him an inexpensive one to start. It, of course, led to more equipment.

Labe belongs to Skywarn Storm Spotter for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. When there's a storm and tree branches fall or other damage happens, he reports it to NOAA.

Among his other memberships are the Mount Washington Weather Observation Service in New Hampshire and the Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network, to which he sends precipitation amounts every 24 hours.


Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

Major Winter Storm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow
Major Winter Storm...
Major Winter Storm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow
Major Winter Storm...
Major Winter Storm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow
Major Winter Storm...
Major Winter Storm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow
Major Winter Storm...
Significant snowstorm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow...
Significant snowstorm...
Significant snowstorm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow...
Significant snowstorm...
Significant snowstorm... (Blizzard92)
19.0in of snow...
Significant snowstorm...

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NWS has upped us from 10 - 14 to 12 - 16 in the LSV.
Member Since: January 31, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 2250
No snow yet in Mechanicsburg, PA.

It’s freaky looking though. The disk of the sun is visible, but it is obscured enough so I can stare directly into it.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 62
Matt Noyes just said that DC/Balt might not get as much snow because your ratios might get down to 10-1 or even 8-1 because of warmer air coming in
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Posted my snow map in my blog, let me know what you think Blizz
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Hey jrzy, we aren't using Gore's name. He has already gotten way more attention than he ever deserved!
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Quoting TheRasberryPatch:
btw - what are the temps of everyone getting snow?

It was 36 when the snow started falling 90 minutes ago. It's now down to 34 with light snow.
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Blizz - I just had the chance to read the newspaper article. As a high school English teacher, I spend a lot of time around folks your age. Young people like you keep teachers like me going! Not only are you a great meteorologist, but your writing is very mature as well. It will be a pleasure to keep reading this site and watch your illustrious career unfold!
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Okay...we've got snow in Balt County!
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 84
809. zotty
If there is another one coming mid week, maybe Blizzard I, Blizzard II, etc
Member Since: August 19, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 760
OK Storm names...
"THE BLIZZARD OF 'AUGHT10"

"2010 SUPERBOWL BLIZZARD'

"THE AL GORE REPUDIATION BLIZZARD OF AUGHT 10" (a little wordy?)
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807. zotty
Quoting originalLT:
Hi Zotty and all,(not you PP, I'll let you work) I wonder if this slight shift N will give us anything in the NYC. area(those of us NE of the city by 20-40 miles) Its funny New Rochelle could get an inch or two more then Stamford, and we're so close!


yes, nuts. I guess this is what happens, for these storms...

PP- try to grab a bloody, or maybe even that hangover helper with the raw egg in it- anyone know that one? A bartender made it for me once and it worked wonders...
Member Since: August 19, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 760
Quoting 717WeatherLover:

PP, let me help you. There is a little red box with a white X in it, in the upper right corner of your screen. Move your cursor over it and click and it will be much easier to work!


Nuh uh. Not in Chrome! And don't try to argue with me on this lol. I build the internets!
Member Since: January 31, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 2250
Hello VA Neighbors! We're in Ruckersville...hunkered down and planning a HUGE snow - something (we're thinking Snow Henge, but we may be upgrading our plans soon). It looks like we have about 2" now, and the heavy stuff is still down in Roanoke.

Hey Blizz-How about extending your forecast area down to Central VA? It must be a challenging area to forecast since the local guys never seeem to get it right.
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Quoting PalmyraPunishment:
QUIET DOWN!!!! I'M TRYIN TO FRIGGIN WORK HERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


SHUTUP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

PP, let me help you. There is a little red box with a white X in it, in the upper right corner of your screen. Move your cursor over it and click and it will be much easier to work!
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 270
Hi Zotty and all,(not you PP, I'll let you work) I wonder if this slight shift N will give us anything in the NYC. area(those of us NE of the city by 20-40 miles) Its funny New Rochelle could get an inch or two more then Stamford, and we're so close!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7768
btw - what are the temps of everyone getting snow?
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I'm out into it. Back on later. At work now.

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
QUIET DOWN!!!! I'M TRYIN TO FRIGGIN WORK HERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


SHUTUP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Member Since: January 31, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 2250
798. zotty
for all of us north of trenton and 40 degrees, the Euro model has the Tues/Wed storm phasing which will lead to significant snow for the Mid Altantic, and, yes, the northeast. so there is hope for us all...
Member Since: August 19, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 760
Quoting MarylandGirl:
Heavy have you fallen out of your chair yet?


Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha.

On the floor.

Ahahahahahahahahahaahahhahahahahahahahahaha
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
Quoting HeavySnow:



ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahaha


HEY HEAVY, SMACK !!!! Snap out of it !!!
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Well said HeavySnow!
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I'm a sucker when it comes to feeding the birds. I don't even want to think about how much money we've already spent on seed this year!
Quoting Snargle:
Thanks for the reminder...Of course by attracting all these birds, I'll probably be issuing a buffet invitation to the neighborhood Cooper's Hawk...but he's got to eat also!


On Tuesday it was like shooting fish in a barrel out there for the hawks. I even saw a Kestrel!

I don't feel too bad about the bird loss, though, since the main course on the menu seems to be "Brown-headed Cowbird". The others always manage to get away.
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Heavy have you fallen out of your chair yet?
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Quoting HeavySnow:
Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah ahahahahahahaha



ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahaha
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
Quoting P451:


Unlikely. If it did it'd be minimal...like 10 miles minimal. However 10 miles further north means another inch accumulation possibly more.

A cutoff low is when a low gets cut off from the jet and it loses it's steering currents. So it will meander on it's own in a light steering environment.

So while the primary system moves out to sea the cutoff low remains basically in place continuing the wind and snow. However it loses a lot of it's energy so you are left with a lighter event - but - a prolonged period of snow until it winds down and eventually gets kicked out by the leftover upper level low from the west.

There is some thought that after the main event passes this cutoff, if it happens, could give an addition six hours or so to the event for coastal regions. In fact some models try to strengthen this possible cutoff giving another 4-6" of snow for coastal NJ to coastal VA.

This part of the forecast....is an unknown right now.


Thanx. MORE BEER NOW!!! THIS IS NOW A BEER EMERGENCY !!! hick
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Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah ahahahahahahaha
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
Quoting TraderRon:
Thirty Inches?Highly unlikely.

Looks like over 30" is projected now
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Quoting PressureDrop:


I'm really not prepared for 20 to 30 feet of snow. That would probably break some record.



i said 20 too 30" not feet


if they got that march then the whait house would be under the snow lol
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Quoting MarylandGirl:
SNOWING in Leonardtown, MD!


Snowing in Waldorf, MD!!
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Thanks for the reminder...I need to fill my feeders when I get home this afternoon. I'm also going to put out some more suet blocks...the birdies need that high-energy fat to keep those little bodies warm!

Of course by attracting all these birds, I'll probably be issuing a buffet invitation to the neighborhood Cooper's Hawk...but he's got to eat also!

Quoting pastagirl:
I'm praying that we have enough seed for the birds, poor little buggers! I think I'll go out there now, and spread some around under the porch...

Member Since: December 25, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 88
Here in Barboursville, VA (15 miles North of Charlottesville, VA) we've gotten 1.75 inches with a temp of 31...bring it on!!!
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P451 - Thanks for the updates and maps. I was wondering why Mount Holly was so far behind with their updates. The warnings don't mention Philadelphia either - only amounts for DE and southern NJ.
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Hi All!

I'm glad to see there are others posting from Virginia: we have about 1-2 inches here already in Madison County. I'm so glad to have finally found a reliable source of information re. my area, thanks to Blizzard!

It looks like we might actually get close to 3 feet here. It's a good thing we stocked up on all of the important items, like vodka and toilet paper. And some chocolate chips for the husband - in case of a real emergency!

I'm praying that we have enough seed for the birds, poor little buggers! I think I'll go out there now, and spread some around under the porch...







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Quoting P451:
Here's a crude example of the two forecasts I speak of.



This is our difference.


I like that northern track!!

P451 do you think at this point it could track farther north giving me a change-over to rain?yuck

Also, a small explanation of what a "cutoff low" means. I am assuming it means stalling off the coast?
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SNOWING in Leonardtown, MD!
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Lots of little snowflakes now. Coffee's on; Beer's in the fridge; tunes are filling the air along with the flakes.
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Tune into MaTT nOYE RIGHT NOW, SOMEBODY IS GONNA GET CRIPPLED! ANALYZING GFS... TRENDING NORTH... http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/

wOOPS DOUBLE POST. VERY EXCITING!!!!!!! kEEP COMING NORTH BABY!!!!!!
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Thanks P451...I guess BGE might have reason to warn folks in our area then...heavy wet snow & high wind is a really bad mix.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 84
Tune into Matt Noye right now he is analyzing 12Z GFS! Somebody is gonna get absolutley crippled!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Heavy, I see your snow has started, we are still waiting. You are 2 degrees warmer than we are right now...
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Quoting PressureDrop:


I'm really not prepared for 20 to 30 feet of snow. That would probably break some record.


hahahaha

It's snowing nicely already. 20-28. I've heard 32. Heaven.
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
They just increased our totals from 12-20 to 20-28...what's going on? Is it because it stalls or what?
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 84
Quoting Tazmanian:
WOW OMG 20 too 30ft of snow for DC??? WOW thats a lot


I'm really not prepared for 20 to 30 feet of snow. That would probably break some record.
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hey whats start a snow fall poll for evere city thats going to get hit by this storm and see oh wins


i go with DC 20 too 30" of snow
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About Blizzard92

Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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Personal Weather Stations

Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Temperature: 24.2 °F
Dew Point: 15.2 °F
Humidity: 68%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 9.0 mph
Updated: 10:37 AM EST on January 18, 2014

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