The Northeast Weather Blog... |
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| Posted by: Zachary Labe, 4:40 PM GMT on December 27, 2011 | +3 |
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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Student; Central PA SKYWARN Storm Spotter; American Meteorological Society Member; PA CoCoRaHS Branch Member
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52 °F
Overcast
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Linglestown, PA
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| Elevation: | 520 ft |
| Temperature: | 62.5 °F |
| Dew Point: | 61.9 °F |
| Humidity: | 98% |
| Wind: | Calm |
| Wind Gust: | 0.0 mph |
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Updated: 9:48 PM EDT on May 23, 2013
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I'll take a coating at this point! I'm already tired of looking at bare limbs.
;-)
Whenever you hear: "Western slopes of the Green Mountains" ~ that's here!
Strange, I'm sure I've clicked on that map and come up elsewhere before. It might have been at Sully's, and I know Crowe made it clickable on his blog. Somehow I thought I'd done it from here too... *scratches head*
35F here and supposed to go up to 51 today. *sigh*
Wednesday morning, 01/04 forecast lows F and (daily records F in parenthesis)
Caribou: -4F (-27F)
Burlington: -2F (-27F)
Portland: 9F (-18F)
Concord: 0F (-23F)
Syracuse: 6F (-18F)
Albany: 7F (-15F)
Mount Pocono: 9F (-23F)
Boston: 14F (-4F)
New York: 19F (-3F)
Pittsburgh: 14F (-8F)
Harrisburg: 18F (3F)
Philadelphia: 20F (2F)
Baltimore: 17F (4F)
Washington: 22F (-3F)
Also, the 980mb low over Quebec early next week is so large and strong that the wind effects are felt all the way down into the Carolinas, with strong west winds blowing well offshore not allowing south/east winds to blow from the Gulf Stream to the shore, inhibiting cyclogenesis there.
Am I right/wrong in my analysis of the situation?
Your analysis is completely accurate. The flow is definitely too progressive next week for the low pressure to move along the coast; had there been a blocking mechanism, perhaps things would be different. Latest 12z ECWMF strengthens the low about 300mi off the coast, but there really isn't any feature that should pull it back west.
Any glimmer of hope on the horizon(or further)?
Winter of 2012-2013?
We can cross our fingers that a lake effect snow shower moves east of the mountains next week, although down there I doubt there is much chance. Looks like a warm spell is coming next weekend already. I predict this month will feature temperature mean anomalies of +3.0F for most areas.
Blizz is this the opposite to last year where all of the cold air spilled out of the arctic and into the U.S. Now this year it's all bottled up?
Polar vortex over Alaska is killing us allowing Pacific air to flood the entire nation.
originalLT- Farther inland was a low snow year compared to the I-95 corridor last winter. We ended with nearly 10in below average here in Harrisburg. And we missed the heaviest snows during 09-10.
You are 100% correct; totally different setup last year which was very conducive to eastern snowfalls. We just unfortunately missed out here to the west. You are reading that chart correctly, but it is based on Middletown Airport (KMDT). Their average is 4in lower than the actual city of Harrisburg. And then up here along the mountain you can add about another 4in to the average. I would say here in Linglestown, I am around 38in for a seasonal average. Middletown is along the river and a good bit south of here including the city of Harrisburg. It always makes me angry that our records are based at a location so displaced from the actual city which holds the record title.
I hope that made sense, lol.
Currently were forecast to receive c-2in on monday, 2-4in monday night and c-1in for tuesday.. Pattern change still don't look good for january...maybe Feb? but anyways I'll take what ever i can get at this point.
Up to 51F here currently; feels extremely warm outside today!
I am up here in Niles, MI just north of South Bend. They have Winter Storm Watch for Sunday evening into Tuesday morning. Heavy snow is predicted from the LES. Any thoughts? I am travelling supposedly Monday AM, but I am afraid it will be bad road conditions all day Monday from the Indiania Toll Rd into Ohio Turnpike and through to Somerset. I realize LES isn't easy to predict. The winds are supposed to be strong with temps on Monday in low 20's. I just am concerned the road conditions with snow, blowing and drifting snow. Not fun. I may just leave on Sunday afternoon with temps closer to freezing.
I would advise leaving as early as possible. Conditions are going to rapidly deteriorate by Sunday evening through Tuesday night with blizzard conditions across all of the snow belt regions. It is pretty much guaranteed for several severe bands isolated through the entire area of interstate. Winds will be nearing 45mph, so blowing snow will be a major problem with whiteout conditions.
I sort of thought conditions would be bad with the winds they were predicting. This will be the first LES here in Niles, MI. Pretty incredible and figures it almost always occurs when I am traveling back.
Do you think conditions will be bad throughout the PA turnpike? or just the snowbelt regions? I noticed they don't have much for LSV forecast.
Thank you for your thoughts LT. I have done this drive in the past white knuckled and it isn't fun.
The Laurels could be pretty bad on the turnpike between Latrobe and Bedford. Conditions could be near whiteout by late Sunday night into Monday around Somerset. A few squalls are likely to make it into the LSV, but predicting those will be impossible to track where until a few hours before (maybe 322 band). Winds along the turnpike may be howling upwards of 55mph above 1500ft Sunday night.
I am working on a new blog detailing the lake effect and cold outbreak. It will probably be posted Sunday morning or so.
The 10in is an accretion of several smaller snow events over the longer range around the day 10-16 range.
Hopefully, once I get over the mountain and that tunnel just east of Somerset it won't be bad.
On my way out here on Wednesday I hit a lot of snow showers from Carlisle through Pittsburgh. There was snow on the ground from Somerset all the way to Niles. The snow is gone with temps getting into the upper 40's yesterday. Yesterday we had 0.31" of rain. Today is pretty nice with highs in the low 40's.
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