Cooler weather pattern takes hold in the Northeast to open April...

By: Zachary Labe , 10:53 PM GMT on March 29, 2012

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After a very mild few weeks in the Northeast, cooler weather and a little taste of winter are headed towards some viewers. While the snow will be short-lived, long term prognostics indicate a potentially cool beginning of April for those in the east.

"Afternoon Thoughts" (Updated 3/29)
The 2010 award winning Sundance Film Festival's "Waiting for Superman" highlights critical flaws in today's public education system. The premise behind the film highlights the struggles of parents and students in Harlem in the fight against the poor public schools in the city. Families have the option to chose charter schools as an alternative education, but the competition is fierce especially for schools such as Harlem Success Academy. In fact to receive admissions into these charter schools, one is entered in a random lottery where odds are often very slim. A similar documentary, "The Lottery," provides a another storyline again highlighting the issues in public schools particularily in highly urbanized areas. Through evidence such as Michelle Ree's attempt to evaluate and reform the Washington DC public school system, the movies take a critical approach without posing direct blame on any one factor.

Both documentaries highlight charter schools as a superior alternative to public schools. They also indicate that it is not the students fault for failing federal test guidelines, but instead the adult bureaucracy whom many of which have no experience in the classroom. The failing scores of American students against other foreign countries shows there are clear differences.

A 2011 Wall Street Journal Article (Link) by Stephanie Banchero poses a possible model solution to better equip students in a failing public school system. The solution is simple; provide a strong and healthier adult-student relationship in the schools. Current theologies in many schools value just making sure the student passes (partly due to the dreadful No Child Left Behind Act) without any concern for the value of his/her education. I have personally had educators mention that their only goal is to see us (the students) walk across that graduation stage. By providing strong bonding relationships in the school itself, not only is a mentor-like figure provided, but someone to whom the student is accountable especially if parental figures show no particular support or interest.

Boundaries need to be broken in public education, and the entire current system is in desparate need of reform. Both documentaries listed above providing a quick, but shocking glimpse at many of the problems. While they provide limited solutions, they more importantly highlight the problem.

The purpose of educated students is to prepare them to be hard-working and decent citizens. Instead present curriculums seek the easiest methods to solve a problem. Students need to be challenged and better prepared not only through increased academic work, but also in moral code. And along with providing a closer staff-student bond, these factors can be reached.

"Regional Radar"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Regional Satellite"

(Courtesy of Penn State Meteo.)

"Regional Advisories"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Weekly Forecast" (Updated 3/29)
Friday- A weak trough centered over the Northeast will begin to lift northward as warm air advection filters in from the southwest. Sunshine will likely start the day for many areas after a cold morning courtesy of radiational cooling. A heavy frost/freeze is likely for areas as far south as central and northern Maryland. Increasing cirrus ahead of the next advancing shortwave will give way to a mostly cloudy afternoon and evening with temperatures rounding up in the middle 50s for the Middle Atlantic. But a thermal boundary over the southern tiers will maintain a cooler profile for New England with H85s below 0C from the I-90 on northward. Friday night will feature an advancing QPF shield from the Ohio Valley into western areas with lows dipping to near freezing from I-80 on northward.

Saturday- Overnight Friday and into Saturday early afternoon will feature the bulk of QPF as a weak shortwave advancing in a due west to east manner. Current global guidance generally indicates a surface low track over Pennsylvania and New Jersey. The GFS and GGEM remain on the northern limits with the NAM and ECMWF a bit further south. QPF will generally be less than .6in for most all areas and limited to a narrow 100mi or so zone. Given the antecedent cooler air mass in place over New England, boundary layer temperatures will be at or below freezing from the southern tiers to I-90. This axis stretching east into Connecticut will see the potential for a light wet snow event. H85s will be around -1 to -3C with 1000-500mb thicknesses below the central 540dm threshold. Poor dendritic snow growth and limited Omega will limit snow rates to at or below .5in/hr at the height of the event. Ground temperatures will also be another limiting factor with accumulations generally limited to grassy surfaces. The highest accumulations will be across the higher elevations in the Catskills particularily above 1200ft with possible peak amounts at 6in on a stray peak. A snow map has been posted below, but I may have been a bit generous with amounts given the marginal setup. Rain is expected elsewhere south across Maryland, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. A strong confluent flow over New England an associated 1020mb anticyclone will maintain dry conditions north of I-90.

Sunday- By Sunday morning any lingering clouds will begin to clear as the northwest confluent flow begins to wane as warm air advection and increasing 850mb thermals begin to dominate. A warm front will attempt to lift northward in the Ohio Valley under the southwest flow. Temperatures will soar in the 60s for areas south of I-80. Latest GFS/NAM/ECMWF guidance indicates a back door cold front for Sunday across the Northeast along with a developing 1008mb anticyclone over Nova Scotia. This may prevent and limit the extent of the warmth ahead of the next cold front approaching from the west.

Monday- The back door cold front will likely linger across southern New England. Slight frontogenic lift along with front will set the stage for scattered rain showers on Monday across southern New England and the northern Middle Atlantic. QPF will remain less than .1in for most all areas. Temperatures will warm to near 70F towards Washington DC, but remain in the lower 50s and upper 40s across New England courtesy of a tight thermal gradient.

Tuesday- The back door cold front and maritime flow will begin to push northward on Tuesday as a strong warm front lifts northward over the entire Northeast. H85s will rise to above +10C for many areas ahead of the cold front with 2m temperatures up towards 70F as for north as I-80. Weak forcing and lift along the front will limit QPF with generally convective precipitation trends. It appears like it will be a dirty warm sector and therefore will limit CAPE and subsequent surface instability. Also a developing low pressure along the front in North Carolina will steal most of the moisture from the front. Thunderstorm potential will be highest for those across southern Pennsylvania and into Maryland. Elsewhere just light rain showers are likely.

Wednesday-Friday- Much cooler weather is likely to settle in towards Easter weekend with a deep trough over the east and 1000-500mb thicknesses at sub 530dm for many areas. 2m temperatures will also likely be below normal, but overall conditions will be dry.

"Current Surface Map and Weekly History of Jet Stream Position"

(Courtesy of Weather Underground)

"Wildfire Outlook" (Updated 3/29)
A potentially dangerous wildfire season is possible for parts of the Northeast given the early mild spring temperatures and accompanied dry conditions. The recent warm spell resulted in many brush fires stretching from Pennsylvania through Maine, but many of these were minor in nature. The threat will continue through the next several weeks especially considering the forecasted dry pattern. Many areas in parts of New England have received at or less than two inches of rain over the past 60 days. While on the heels of one of the wettest years on record, low snow packs and depleting ground water from excess rain is resulting in potential drought risks over the next few months. The geology of the Northeast is very different than that of the western United States, so year to year rainfall does not have long-last effects. Dry vs. wet conditions are quite a bit more variable in the east and therefore the recent dry spell is already having consequential effects. Long range guidance suggests continued dry periods ahead with QPF at or less than .5in for the next 16 days over much of the Northeast in a continued progressive unamplified jet.

Here is a link to the criteria for fire development... Link.

Criteria for rapid initiation and spread of wildfires:

1. Winds must be sustained at 15 mph (13 knots) for two hours or more, and

2. Minimum Relative Humidities (which usually occur in the afternoon) must be 30 percent or less, and

3. 10-hour Fuel Moistures must be 15 percent or less (and expected to remain there for two or more days).

"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Gardening Outlook" (Updated 3/29)
March will likely prove to be one of the warmest March's on record for much of the contiguous United States courtesy of nearly persistent ridging across the middle and eastern portions of the nation. The jet stream has allowed much of the colder air to linger across the extreme polar regions. The lack of polar and arctic air this winter has allowed for a very 'early spring' to reach the Northeast. Many plants are nearly 2-3 weeks ahead of schedule for blooms including flowering fruit trees many of which are already past peak. The warm temperatures have also allowed many animals to come out of hibernation earlier than normal. Both of these factors set the stage for a possible dangerous situation should a rapid freeze affect much of the Northeast in the coming few weeks. The lack of cold temperatures in the winter will also allow an increase in tick and mosquite populations along with other insects and pathogens which may wreak havoc on local farmers. Anytime anomalous temperatures dominate the weather pattern for an extended period of time will result in major agricultural problems.

Given the mild temperatures during the past few weeks, I was able to plant a few crops in my vegetable garden raised beds. For those unfamiliar, my vegetable garden consists of 5 raised boxes with a mixture of hummus/manure, peat moss, garden soil combination. I also have a side in-ground bed consisting of several berry bushes (which I have no luck with, lol). After adding a few organic feeds to the soils and doing the seasonal turning of the soils, I planted my onion sets, parsley, broccoli, lettuce, peas, and radishes. After my issue of overcrowding last year, I am constructing lines of strings between each crop for extra organization in the garden. I will post pictures later in the spring.

This past week's freeze did seem to kill many of the flowers on the fruit trees, but overall other damage looks limited. Looking ahead another frost/freeze is likely Monday night as far south as central Maryland. And even farther ahead, the pattern is showing signs of cooling down across the east with in fact prognostics indicating quite a cool (winter-like?) start to the month of April. This may pose many problems for the early 'green-out' for much of the Northeast particularily in New England where temperatures in the 80s may be followed by several chances of snow in the coming weeks. It is still uncertain if there will be any long term effects environmental effects this summer from this recent warm winter, but according to experts it appears like most plants and animals seem to have adapted fairly well. The concern for farmers in the coming weeks will be watching very closely the threats for frosts.

Also as a side note, very dry conditions particularily towards New England have been recorded during the last two months. While not of immediate concern currently, there may be the potential for drought possibilities given a quick look at the long range. Stay tuned.

"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Severe Weather Outlook" (Updated 3/29)
Severe weather chances for the Northeast look limited over the next two weeks, which is to be expected for the Northeast given climatological odds. But the pattern over the entire United States suggested a potential active several week period is possible. The one limiting factor is the relatively progressive flow and inactive jet stream. But an increasing thermal gradient will likely polarize across the Midwest given the expected cool down in the east and warm up in the west and central plains. In fact the latest GFS and ECMWF operational and ensemble runs indicate a few instaneous examples where H85s approach -15C towards Chicago meanwhile while areas from Pennsylvania on northward are at or below 0C. This sharp gradient will likely be the catalyst for several severe weather outbreaks over the Midwest during the next few weeks. In the shorter term severe weather parameters are shaping up for a particularily active period as a cold front advances across the nation on Sunday and Monday. Keep an eye on areas in the deep south and along the Mississippi Valley where squall line development is possible given the latest prognostics. Farther east, a stable cool layer will prevent all thunderstorm development for the Northeast.

"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

"Monthly Outlook" (April)
Long term peristence argues for once again mild temperature anomalies for much of the Northeast. But the warmth will be subdued for monthly averages courtesy of a likely cold period for the first two or so weeks of April. The current teleconnection pattern suggests a chance of a west-based -NAO allowing likely a weak trough to form over the east. This will likely result in several backdoor cold fronts with the coldest anomalies for those farthest north. The AO is also forecast to approach neutral or negative values suggesting that colder air will become more available to parts of North America in the coming two weeks. This also corresponds will the predicted Madden Jullian Oscillation phase changes. Recent NAEFS output also indicates cooler temperatures for the east coast. Overall roll-over techniques highlight that this will likely be short-lived with warmer temperatures headed back towards the region for the second half of April. Therefore the month will not feature a below normal departure for temperatures.

Temperatures- Anomalies ranging from (+)1.0-(+)2.5 for most all climatological reporting sites in the Northeast. Cooler temperatures will prevail earlier in the month with milder air for the second half likely giving way to a well above normal temperature pattern as we approach May.

Precipitation- Precipitation will likely be average below normal for stations across the Northeast fueled by a continued inactive jet and progressive pattern. Long term ensemble output indicates drier conditions persisting through the early summer.

"Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks from Climate Prediction Center for next 30 days"

(Courtesy of NOAA)

Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

Follow my 24hr forecasts on Twitter... Link and Facebook... Link.

"Linglestown, PA 2012 statistics"
(Severe Weather Stats...)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches- 0
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings- 0
Tornado Watches- 0
Tornado Warnings- 0
Total Thunderstorms- 3

(Precipitation Stats...)
Flash Flood/Flood Watches- 0
Flood Warnings- 0
Flash Flood Warnings- 0

(Temperature Stats...)
Heat Advisories- 0
Excessive Heat Warnings- 0
90degree days- 0
Highest Temperature- 78F

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137. snowinvermont
2:27 AM GMT on April 18, 2012
Quoting listenerVT:
The high temperature today at Massena International Airport/Richards Field in Massena New York was 86 degrees. This breaks the previous high temperature for April 16th of 82 degrees set in 2002. If the temperature should rise any further today... then
an updated record event report will be sent.

The high temperature today on top of Mount Mansfield in northwest Vermont reached 68 degrees. This ties the record high temperature for April 16th of 68 degrees set in 2002.
~WU


What a difference a couple of days make. Hiked up Mt. Mansfield on Friday and there was at least 4 feet at the stake and even the at the antennas at the Nose, there was a couple of feet of snow. Today, the Sunset trail and much of the west side of the mountain is bare. Maybe snow again for the mountain on Monday(eve). Glad you had great news with little Ally!!!
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 83
136. Zachary Labe
12:36 PM GMT on April 17, 2012
Good morning all! Looks like the pattern will hold a few more chances for some rain in the coming two weeks which is certainly good news for many areas that are already looking like potential drought conditions may exist this summer.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
135. listenerVT
5:08 AM GMT on April 17, 2012
The high temperature today at Massena International Airport/Richards Field in Massena New York was 86 degrees. This breaks the previous high temperature for April 16th of 82 degrees set in 2002. If the temperature should rise any further today... then
an updated record event report will be sent.

The high temperature today on top of Mount Mansfield in northwest Vermont reached 68 degrees. This ties the record high temperature for April 16th of 68 degrees set in 2002.
~WU
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
134. listenerVT
5:07 AM GMT on April 17, 2012
Quoting PhillySnow:

That little girl is really a trooper. And her parents! It's like witnessing a little miracle growing in your family.


That says it, and so well that you've brought tears to my eyes. Thank-you. ♥

It means so much to be reminded of Ally's victory tonight, as my brother-in-law made a fast trip back to the hospital today. These moments sure set life in perspective.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
133. bwi
8:48 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
More encouraging (for rain) discussion from NWS DC this afternoon:

GFS/ECMWF CONSENSUS NOW FORMS A CUTOFF/CLOSED LOW OVER THE SERN
CONUS SATURDAY...LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC SUNDAY AND
INTO NEXT WEEK. THE CURRENT SCENARIO WOULD BE A DROUGHT BUSTER WITH
UP TO A COUPLE INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...
CONSIDERING THE INCONSISTENCY OF THESE MODELS WE CANNOT YET COUNT ON
THIS TO BE A SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENT. THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE
WEATHER ARE ALSO IN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY...PARTICULARLY IF THE
TRACK IS WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. SNOW ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS
AS THE LOW EXITS. RAISED LIKELY POPS FOR SRN/WRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA
WITH CHANCES FOR BALT-WASH BASED ON CURRENT SETUP. OBVIOUSLY THIS
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.-- End Changed Discussion --

Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1384
132. PhillySnow
8:02 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting listenerVT:



Thanks, Philly!

My understanding is that there will never be a time when Ally never has to think about a return of such a virulent neuroblastoma. She may someday get to the point where they only do scans once every 6 months or once a year. But every time there will be the horrible build up to "what if?" and the tenterhooks of waiting for results. Fortunately, the scans are read right away, while she's still there.

Meanwhile, it's time to heal up her tummy and get some more weight on her, so Ally can Rock on! ♥

That little girl is really a trooper. And her parents! It's like witnessing a little miracle growing in your family.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
131. listenerVT
5:55 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
82F here today, though it feels more like 70's, and for that I am grateful.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
130. listenerVT
5:55 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting PhillySnow:
Congratulations on Ally's scans, Listener! Scary part coming up with monitoring and waiting. Is there a time period after which they can say "OK, if it hasn't come back so far, she's clear?"

Forecast of 87F here today. We had some sprinkles Saturday night; really sweet scent in the air when we woke up. Now the forecast is dry all week.



Thanks, Philly!

My understanding is that there will never be a time when Ally never has to think about a return of such a virulent neuroblastoma. She may someday get to the point where they only do scans once every 6 months or once a year. But every time there will be the horrible build up to "what if?" and the tenterhooks of waiting for results. Fortunately, the scans are read right away, while she's still there.

Meanwhile, it's time to heal up her tummy and get some more weight on her, so Ally can Rock on! ♥
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
129. bwi
5:05 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
From DC areas extended discussion:
COMPLEX WX PATTERN THIS WEEKEND AS THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES
OVER THE ERN CONUS IN RESPONSE TO A STRONG DISTURBANCE THAT DIGS ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS INCREASE
SAT AS A DEEP MOISTURE CONNECTION FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION EXISTS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. MOST EXTENDED-
RANGE GUIDANCE FCST THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CLOSED LOW ALONG THE ERN
SEABOARD LATE IN THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL LOW AND ITS POTENTIAL IMPACTS
TO THE REGION. EYES WILL BE ON THIS SYSTEM AS IT MAY BRING A NEEDED
CHANCE FOR RAIN.
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1384
128. PhillySnow
1:55 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Congratulations on Ally's scans, Listener! Scary part coming up with monitoring and waiting. Is there a time period after which they can say "OK, if it hasn't come back so far, she's clear?"

Forecast of 87F here today. We had some sprinkles Saturday night; really sweet scent in the air when we woke up. Now the forecast is dry all week.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
127. listenerVT
1:44 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting bwi:
Very dry in central MD. I remember other April/May dry spells that were relieved just in time by good rains in June, just before the heat of July and August. Hope that happens again this year, without the flooding!


May it be so!!

It's dry here too. Today it hit 75F and tomorrow it will be in the 80's. Concord, NH is expecting 93F~!!

We can't bear having days borrowed out of Summer now
unless come Summer we get some Spring days paid back.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
126. bwi
1:13 PM GMT on April 15, 2012
Very dry in central MD. I remember other April/May dry spells that were relieved just in time by good rains in June, just before the heat of July and August. Hope that happens again this year, without the flooding!
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1384
125. listenerVT
5:27 AM GMT on April 15, 2012
Quoting Pcroton:
Doing a little better each and every month, Goofy.

Well folks it is not looking any better for precip with a zonal flow setup showing in the 7 to 21 day range. A dry April is never a good sign.

I guess after 30 months of high precip events it was bound to happen.

This feast or famine pattern of recent times is frustrating.


It sure is. If instability is the new normal, what will become of forecasts?
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
124. Pcroton
3:03 PM GMT on April 14, 2012
Doing a little better each and every month, Goofy.

Well folks it is not looking any better for precip with a zonal flow setup showing in the 7 to 21 day range. A dry April is never a good sign.

I guess after 30 months of high precip events it was bound to happen.

This feast or famine pattern of recent times is frustrating.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 49 Comments: 7741
123. listenerVT
2:00 AM GMT on April 14, 2012
TheRaspberryPatch ~

Thanks too for your words about my brother-in-law. At this point we're all waiting to hear what the plan is, but it doesn't sound promising. We are grateful that he made it through his rounds of treatments last year and got to meet his newest granddaughter in January (the daughter of his daughter who had leukemia!).
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
122. listenerVT
1:50 AM GMT on April 14, 2012
TRP, F1 and weathergeek5...

Thanks so much for your kind Ally notes! Here's the rest of the story, for anyone interested. I expect that this will be the last Ally posting until her scan in July. It's amazing to think we're at this point.

From Ally's Mom:

We also spent time talking with Ally's Oncologist today. As many of you know we are now done with the 3f8 treatment in NYC. We (Mommy and Daddy) are/were very nervous to completely stop treatment, as Neuroblastoma is very aggressive and tends to come back, usually with a vengeance. After talking with the doctor it is clear that any treatment (chemo, MIGB therapy, different antibodies, etc.) would just cause side effects, and is not proven to prevent the cancer from coming back. Not only would further treatment have a whole host of side effects, it would make whatever treatment we were doing less effective, should the tumor return. So...our plan is to completely stop treatment. Ally will continue to be scanned (MIBG only) every 3 months. This will expose her to less radiation (as the CT scan is relatively high radiation) and save her the pain of bone marrows. We are all hopeful that the chemo, radiation, surgeries, and 3f8 did what they were supposed to do, and that Ally will remain NED [no evidence of disease].

We also spoke with the nutritionist at our NH medical center today. Ally has plateaued in her weight gain. She is stuck at 27.5 pounds (and today she was 38 inches tall). An average 3 year old girl weighs a little more than 27 pounds, and an average 5 year old girl should weigh around 40 pounds. A 3 and a half year old girl is around 38 inches, and a 5 year old girl should be closer to 43 inches. We are going to try a few changes to her diet to see if it will help with her 3-4 daily #2 bathroom trips (her food just goes right through her), and see if that helps her keep the weight on. It is also a possibility that she is just using all of her calories; because she is so active. Hopefully we will be able to get more weight on her, and hopefully, since her 2nd tooth came out tonight she will eat better as well!

That's all for now! (Except that we are looking into starting her immunizations up again, as she has none at this point and we are trusting in the Concord community to immunize their kids, so Ally won't get polio as well!) We will scan again in July. We all have vacation in a couple of weeks, and we are excited about the upcoming warm weather. Have a fantastic weekend. Hopefully I will not have to update for a while!!!
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
121. TheF1Man
1:40 AM GMT on April 14, 2012
All the best to ally and your family Listener, great to hear her scans were clean :)

Can't wait for the next month to be over. The end of the semester is a nightmare. How are you doing blizz?

Member Since: February 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 676
120. TheRasberryPatch
1:07 AM GMT on April 14, 2012
LT - I hope you have a great time

VT - that is great news about Ally. my prayers are with your brother-in-law.

Blizz - they still have low 80's for Sunday, but breezy. Sounds like a day of Springtime in the Park at Hersheypark will be just fine. Have you seen the latest rollercoaster? I can see it from my house 5 miles away
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6256
119. weathergeek5
8:45 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
AWESOME!!!! Listener!!!
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
118. listenerVT
8:27 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
This just in (it isn’t even up on her message board yet!)

*** ♥Clear Scans for Ally!!!♥ ***



........................................ o ............ o
....................*O* ...............\\ .. O .. //
................"==||==" ..............\\ .||. //
..................... || .......................||
....................//..\\ ................ == \\
..................//....// .................\\ ... \\
..................=.....= ..............= .......=
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
117. PhillySnow
5:47 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
Quoting PhillySnow:
Edit Failed!
Ok; now I'm quoting myself. Sorry to waste your time reading my posting errors - hope it's been fun for a laugh at least. I'm done now.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
116. PhillySnow
5:44 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
Quoting PhillySnow:
Got too fancy and messed up my last comment. Just wanted to wish Ally and Larry the best of luck, Listener. Very hard stuff to go through.

Have a great trip, LT! Hope the car drive is not too difficult.

Sunny here. A few sprinkles yesterday. Remember April showers? Remember winter? Really don't know what to expect at this point.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
115. PhillySnow
5:27 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
Got too fancy and messed up my last comment. Just wanted to wish Ally and Larry the best of luck, Listener. Very hard stuff to go through.

And have a great trip, LT! Hope the car drive is not too difficult.

Sunny here. A few sprinkles yesterday. Remember April showers? Remember winter? Really don't know what to expect.
Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
114. weathergeek5
5:03 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
I am trying to post the latest image from the US drought monitor. It has parts of Eastern PA in a severe drought.



Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
113. originalLT
2:38 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
All the best to your family Listener. Driving to FLA. with my wife, leaving 2:30pm today. Going even with her back problem-(She will have an operation on April 24th to remove a synovial cyst that is giving her shooting pains down both leggs). We'll try to spend alot of time in the pool, that should help her feel better. Also she'll sit in a whirl pool that is down there. Take care to everyone, looks like weather on the drive down should be good. LT
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7507
112. PhillySnow
12:20 PM GMT on April 13, 2012
Quoting listenerVT:
Happy Friday the 13th! Here's hoping it's a Good Luck Day for Ally's scan! :-)

The family needs some good news this week. Ally's Uncle Larry (my brother-in-law) learned on Tuesday that his pancreatic cancer has returned, and spread, and is Stage IV. :-( Good luck to Ally, Listener, and to Larry. My brother-in-law had pancreatic cancer and it was very difficult and sad. I'm sorry to hear your family is going through this.

Member Since: December 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1234
111. listenerVT
4:53 AM GMT on April 13, 2012
Happy Friday the 13th! Here's hoping it's a Good Luck Day for Ally's scan! :-)

The family needs some good news this week. Ally's Uncle Larry (my brother-in-law) learned on Tuesday that his pancreatic cancer has returned, and spread, and is Stage IV. :-(

Ally and her Mom have been making him cookies from time to time this past year and he calls them his Cookie Fairies. The extended family is taking the news hard, as Larry's Mom died of the same cancer, and it had the very same pattern. (Larry is my husband's brother.)

Send super good vibes Ally's way!

If you want to light an online Ally candle, here's the link:
http://www.gratefulness.org/candles/candles.cfm?l =eng&gi=allys
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
110. listenerVT
4:48 AM GMT on April 13, 2012
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:

I do believe the Vulcans have had warp drive for awhile. Maybe they will break the prime directive this one time


Is there a way to send out a collective "pretty please"?
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
109. listenerVT
4:45 AM GMT on April 13, 2012
Quoting anduril:
Am I seeing things or is wunderground forecasting 88f for Sunday for the 17011 rea?


Yep, well, I now see 84 on Sunday and 86 on Monday!
I guess they want to make up for your freeze warning.


Even up here in NW VT they're talking mid-70's!
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
108. HeavySnow
4:12 AM GMT on April 13, 2012
That wind speed record was broken in recent years. Barrow Island, Australia recorded a 253 mph gust in 2006. 231 mph is still impressive!
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
107. TheRasberryPatch
9:36 PM GMT on April 12, 2012
For those that didn't read this

Did you know that...
On this date in 1934, the weather station on Mount Washington, N.H. recorded a wind gust of 231 mph and a five minute wind average of 186 mph. The gust was the highest wind speed ever recorded. Interestingly, the gust may have actually been higher, but the anemometer broke.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6256
106. Zachary Labe
1:37 PM GMT on April 12, 2012
Quoting anduril:
Am I seeing things or is wunderground forecasting 88f for Sunday for the 17011 rea?

Sounds like that might be an error. 70s are possible, but nothing that warm should be expected.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
105. goofyrider
9:56 PM GMT on April 11, 2012
@ 104 Enjoy but keep the long johns handy.
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2777
104. anduril
8:04 PM GMT on April 11, 2012
Am I seeing things or is wunderground forecasting 88f for Sunday for the 17011 rea?
Member Since: August 29, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 169
103. originalLT
6:42 PM GMT on April 11, 2012
Interesting pic. on Blizz's visible sat. I guess that shows alot of instability cloudyness and those light, spotty, showers, along with some sunshine.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7507
102. goofyrider
5:06 PM GMT on April 11, 2012
Afternoon:

PC how you doing? Just dry, cold and windy here. Guess the Barrens are getting close to tinder.

Anyone know how Sully is making out?

So far this month we down about 7 - 8 inches with 3-4 in the can. Anyone ever see data on salt content of rainfall from tropical cyclones?
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2777
101. originalLT
1:39 PM GMT on April 11, 2012
Well, unfortunately, at almost 63 now, I won't be around to see it!:( 2063 is along way away. Blizz and you younger guys and gals should be around though, good luck !
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 7507
100. TheRasberryPatch
12:42 AM GMT on April 11, 2012
Quoting weathergeek5:


According to the movie it will be on April 5, 2063. The planet was recovering from the Third World War.


Quoting listenerVT:


2063


I would think that before then we would have some type of break through of faster propulsion to what we have now

I do believe the Vulcans have had warp drive for awhile. Maybe they will break the prime directive this one time
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6256
99. weathergeek5
11:13 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:
It is amazing that it seems ingenuity has been lacking. I would have thought there would have been some inventions that would have made our burden on fossil fuels decrease. I wish we could come up with some incredible invention that could harness the sun or some other type of fuel that would take care of all our electrical needs and a better means of transportation. Are we becoming a society of lazy people that are happy with what we have today, just as long as we have the internet and our smartphones and downloadable music and tv?

How long before Zephram Cochrane develops warp drive? I think I read sometime this century


According to the movie it will be on April 5, 2063. The planet was recovering from the Third World War.
Member Since: December 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1744
98. listenerVT
9:13 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
We had a good, soaking rain most of the day.
It really cheers a person up.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
97. listenerVT
9:12 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Quoting TheRasberryPatch:

How long before Zephram Cochrane develops warp drive? I think I read sometime this century


2063
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
96. listenerVT
9:08 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Quoting TheF1Man:
Hope everyone had a nice weekend and Easter!

listener, I was on that road earlier today, thought not that far up. Had no idea there was a brush fire going on!

Any precip in sight? Doesn't appear that way.


It got started in the evening. So sad that it burned up some beautiful walking trails that were open to the public. Apparently the land is owned and tended by a local church; perhaps the people who walked the trails will pitch in to recreate the space.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
95. TheRasberryPatch
8:51 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
It is amazing that it seems ingenuity has been lacking. I would have thought there would have been some inventions that would have made our burden on fossil fuels decrease. I wish we could come up with some incredible invention that could harness the sun or some other type of fuel that would take care of all our electrical needs and a better means of transportation. Are we becoming a society of lazy people that are happy with what we have today, just as long as we have the internet and our smartphones and downloadable music and tv?

How long before Zephram Cochrane develops warp drive? I think I read sometime this century
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 6256
94. Zachary Labe
4:54 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Quoting HeavySnow:


This is from an article in TIME magazine.


The International Agency for Research on Cancer has estimated 16,000 cancer deaths in Europe through 2065 that would not have happened but for Chernobyl. Because radiation spread beyond Europe to other areas in the northern hemisphere — Asia, Africa and the Americas — the Union of Concerned Scientists, a nonprofit watchdog, puts the global death toll closer to 27,000.

Read more: http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,206 7562,00.html#ixzz1refGu79h


So it seems that your assertation that nuclear is benign may be a bit off.

I am all for nuclear, but I still remain very skeptic of side-effects that have been hidden from an accident like Chernobyl.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
93. HeavySnow
4:23 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
Quoting MariettaMoon:


I completely agree with the development of more nuclear. The amount of energy produced on the small parcel of land is enormous. Some greens who were previously opposed to nuclear development are beginning to realize that nuclear is environmentally almost completely benign. I personally don't mind wind & solar as I think they are also necessary in the overall use of future energy.

I believe there is fear involved with nuclear and the prospects of a nuclear accident, but these fears may be overdone. After the Chernobyl accident, the worst nuclear accident of all, all the residents of the area are perfectly healthy. There was intitially a lot of damage done to vegetation, but the area has recovered better than ever imagined. Since the area was almost entirely abandoned years ago (just a few decided to stay), biodiversity has boomed and many animals such as wolves have since inhabited the area. Biological tests on the animals reveal that they are in perfect health. Even the people who decided to stay are healthy. Amazing...

The recent Japan meltdown doesn't help the fear factor in people's minds. I will lay money down that the couple people who have stayed will be just fine. I very strongly believe Nuclear Power is necessary if we want to live sustainably on this planet without drastically and immediately altering our high consumption lifestyles. We won't be able to continue without it.

People are afraid of nuclear. As a politician, if you push for further development of nuclear, you risk losing your election. It stinks, but that's why it's not talked about.

NUCLEAR IS GREEN!


This is from an article in TIME magazine.


The International Agency for Research on Cancer has estimated 16,000 cancer deaths in Europe through 2065 that would not have happened but for Chernobyl. Because radiation spread beyond Europe to other areas in the northern hemisphere — Asia, Africa and the Americas — the Union of Concerned Scientists, a nonprofit watchdog, puts the global death toll closer to 27,000.

Read more: http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,206 7562,00.html#ixzz1refGu79h


So it seems that your assertation that nuclear is benign may be a bit off.
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
92. Zachary Labe
1:18 PM GMT on April 10, 2012
As I have highlighted in my blog, I am growing increasingly concerned about drought conditions possibily this summer. This threat will only be heightened if we continue to face dry weather through the Spring. Any precipitation will definitely need to be highly welcomed.
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 284 Comments: 15112
91. TheF1Man
12:49 AM GMT on April 10, 2012
Hope everyone had a nice weekend and Easter!

listener, I was on that road earlier today, thought not that far up. Had no idea there was a brush fire going on!

Any precip in sight? Doesn't appear that way.
Member Since: February 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 676
90. listenerVT
11:48 PM GMT on April 09, 2012
Two brush fires right now near my cousin's house in CT:
http://www.ctpost.com/news/article/Brush-fires-ha lt-Metro-North-service-3469582.php#ixzz1rab5fsek


Today, in NW VT, it has been in the 40's and raining most of the day. It's amazing how quickly our brick walkway dries off between showers. I am so grateful for this rain! I'm wishing some upon everyone here whose land is too dry.

Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5501
89. NEwxguy
1:55 PM GMT on April 09, 2012
Rain,Rain,we need rain.What a dry start to the year.This is not good down the road if we don't get a good two day steady rain.Brush fires are popping up all over the place.
Hope everyone had a nice Easter.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 878 Comments: 15737
88. Pcroton
1:02 PM GMT on April 09, 2012
Blizz how is your first year shaping up?

Any idea when we will see a shift to moist conditions?
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 49 Comments: 7741
87. Pcroton
1:00 PM GMT on April 09, 2012
Hello all.
goofy, LT, and everyone else.

Marietta: Got any PRECIP records? We must benear some minimums so far in 2012.

Impressive retrograding low to our north continues our dry breezy wx.
Soon the plants are going to run out of their stored water. No appreciable precip visible in the near term.

We should all be back to well above normal temps by next weekend but where is the rain?
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 49 Comments: 7741

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Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Undergrad; Research Assist.- Onset of Spring Indices Toolbox; Interests- Small spatial scale climatolology

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