Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy: Do you see anything out there that could develop into a depression in the next 3 days? I don't....
It could potentially develop into something as the perturbation tightens up. Right now there is not enough support to suggest development of a tropical storm.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
It could potentially develop into something as the perturbation tightens up. Right now there is not enough support to suggest development of a tropical storm.
Just checking my vocabulary.
Is "perturbation" just a fancy word for disturbance?
Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 17 Comments: 1604
Thanks, and the lift from the convergence at 1000MB causes lift thus creating convection.
Looking at satellite imagery it looks like the disturbance entangled in the ITCZ. Do you agree?
Correct. When we look at the Quicksat we see winds coming west and winds coming from east that meet up creating a convergence axis. This axis is where the lift occurs. The disturbance is very entangle within the ITCZ.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
Correct. When we look at the Quicksat we see winds coming west and winds coming from east that meet up creating a convergence axis. This axis is where the lift occurs. The disturbance is very entangle within the ITCZ.
What causes perturbation's that are dependent on the ITCZ to spin off?
Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 17 Comments: 1604
What causes perturbation's that are dependent on the ITCZ to spin off?
A closed area of low pressure form that has completely bent the flow within the ITCZ. It pulls away from the ITCZ to better establish itself as the circulation becomes more defined.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
A closed area of low pressure form that has completely bent the flow within the ITCZ. It pulls away from the ITCZ to better establish itself as the circulation becomes more defined.
Thank You Drakoen. That all makes perfect sense, and now I better understand how the ITCZ works.
Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 17 Comments: 1604
Good evening to you Drak... I have been lurking with nothing much to add to any tropical discussion... IMO, with the ITCZ finally lifting north, and westerly shear also slacking off, I do believe that there will be some REAL activity to follow in the next ten days.
Keep up the excellent work!!!
Member Since: July 4, 2005 Posts: 204 Comments: 8196
Quoting GetReal: Good evening to you Drak... I have been lurking with nothing much to add to any tropical discussion... IMO, with the ITCZ finally lifting north, and westerly shear also slacking off, I do believe that there will be some REAL activity to follow in the next ten days.
Keep up the excellent work!!!
Yes it is possible although nothing is imminent as we head deeper into August we really gotta watch think as conditions overall become more favorable. Thanks for stopping by!
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29010
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Yea it does. The blogs usually are capable of going much further into the thousands. I've never seen their limit
2000 comments, eh? Heck that could cover less than four hours if there's something really going on out there.
LOL!
He edited it.
Line of convergence/perturbation south of the CV islands should be watch for development. There are no signs of a surface low at this time.
It could potentially develop into something as the perturbation tightens up. Right now there is not enough support to suggest development of a tropical storm.
Just checking my vocabulary.
Is "perturbation" just a fancy word for disturbance?
Correct. These disturbances typical start out as a line of convergence with a bend in the flow (cyclonically curved band.
Thanks, and the lift from the convergence at 1000MB causes lift thus creating convection.
Looking at satellite imagery it looks like the disturbance entangled in the ITCZ. Do you agree?
Correct. When we look at the Quicksat we see winds coming west and winds coming from east that meet up creating a convergence axis. This axis is where the lift occurs. The disturbance is very entangle within the ITCZ.
What causes perturbation's that are dependent on the ITCZ to spin off?
A closed area of low pressure form that has completely bent the flow within the ITCZ. It pulls away from the ITCZ to better establish itself as the circulation becomes more defined.
Thank You Drakoen. That all makes perfect sense, and now I better understand how the ITCZ works.
I guess some people like to gossip.
Keep up the excellent work!!!
Yes it is possible although nothing is imminent as we head deeper into August we really gotta watch think as conditions overall become more favorable. Thanks for stopping by!
1935 Keys Hurricane...
1926 Miami Hurricane...
Quicksat, Surface Observations, Microwave imagery, Precipitable water imagery, Upper air soundings
LOL!
No problem!
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