November 01, 2007- December 31, 2007
Quad Cities webcam..
Significant Snow
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November 21 - Less than an inch
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Nov Monthly total = less than 1 inch
December 1 - Ice Accumulations (between 0.50 to 0.75 in)
December 4 - 4 inches
December 6 - 3.5 inches
December 11 - .25 in of ice accumulation
December 15 - 5.8 inches
December 23 - 1 inch
December 28 - 5.9 inches
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Dec Monthly total = 20.2 inches, 1.0 in ice
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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2007 season
01January 2008 0:00 a.m. UTC/31December 2007 18:00 p.m. CST
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Information used for this blog are from
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
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Northwest Pacific
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Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
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Northern Indian Ocean
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India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
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Northeastern Pacific Ocean
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National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL
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Central Northeastern Pacific
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Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii
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CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD
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South Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
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BOM - Perth (90E-130E, South of 10S)
BOM - Northern Territory (130E-140E, South of 10S)
TCWC Jakarta, Indonesia (90E-130E, North of 10S)
Bureau of Meteorology - Perth
(1) Central South Indian Ocean
TROPICAL LOW
9.8S 100.4E - 30 knots 994 hPa
Tropical Cyclone Warning #2
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At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Low [994 hPa] located near 9.8S 100.4E had 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots. The tropical low is moving east-southeast at 17 knots.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles in northern quadrants
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Tropical Disturbance Summary (1600z 30Dec)
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An area of convection (92S) located near 8.2S 95.9E or 245 NM north-northwest of the Cocos Islands. The convection is associated with an elongated low level circulation center under an area of moderate vertical wind shear and favorable diffluence aloft.
Maximum sustained winds near the center is 15-20 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1004 mb. The potential of this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR.
(2) Southeast Indian Ocean
TROPICAL CYCLONE MELANIE [CAT 1]
18.8S 111.5E - 45 knots 980 hPa
Tropical Cyclone Warning #17
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At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Melanie [980 hPa] located near 18.8S 111.5E had 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts up to 65 knots. The cyclone is moving west at 4 knots.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 120 nautical miles of the centre decreasing to 50 nautical miles by 0600
UTC 1 January.
FORECAST
Maximum winds to 45 knots near the centre decreasing to 35 knots by 0600 UTC 01January.
Gale-Force Winds within 120 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.
Forecast and Intensity
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24 HRS: 19.5S 109.7E 35 knots [Cat 1]
48 HRS: 20.3S 107.7E 30 knots [Tropical Low]
Bureau of Meteorology - Northern Territory
Tropical Cyclone Outlook (31December)
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An active monsoon trough lies across the Top End with a developing, slow moving low about 200 kms east of Katherine. The low is expected to remain overland for a day or so but could move into the Gulf of Carpentaria later in the week.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION POTENTIAL
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Tuesday: Low
Wednesday-Thursday: Moderate
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Tropical Disturbance Summary (0600z 31Dec)
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An area of convection (90P) located near 15.0S 135.1E or 285 NM east-southeast of Darwin, Australia. Recent animated multispectral satellite imagery shows a well defined area of low level cyclonic turning overland, but tracking eastward towards the Gulf of Carpentaria. Pressure falls at the center are near 2 mb in 24 hours. A TRMM Image shows convective banding on southern periphery of the disturbance. Upper level analysis reveals a 200 MB anticyclone has developed just to the east of the low level circulation center causing vertical wind shear values to lower.
Maximum sustained winds near the center is 20-25 knots with a mimimum sea level pressure of 995 mb. Since the system is tracking closer to the coast and the upper level conditions are improving, the porential of this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is FAIR.
Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)
November
03U.Lee - 984 hPa (moved into SW Indian Ocean)
December
04U.MELANIE - 966 hPa
05U.NONAME - 994 hPa
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South Pacific Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
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RSMC Nadi - Fiji Meteorological Services (E of 160E)
Bureau of Meteorology - Brisbane (W of 160E/S of 10S)
TCWC - Port Moresby (W of 160/N of 10S)
TCWC Wellington - New Zealand (E of 160E/S of 25S)
RSMC Nadi
No Current Tropical Bulletins/Advisories
Brisbane Bureau of Meteorology - Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Outlook (31December)
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The low pressure system located over the Coral Sea is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone. It is still producing Gale-Force Winds over a broad area east of Queensland and along coastal waters south of about St. Lawrence.
At the present time there are no other disturbances in the Coral Sea that would possibly develop into a tropical cyclone during the next three days.
Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)
November
02U.Guba - 970 hPa (Port Moresby named)
02F.NONAME - 1001 hPa
03F.NONAME 999 hPa
December
04F.Daman - 925 hPa
05F.NONAME - 1000 hPa
06F.NONAME - 1006 hPa
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Northwest Pacific Ocean
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Japan Meteorological Agency
No Tropical Cyclone Bulletins/Warnings
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Tropical Disturbance Summary (0230z 31Dec)
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The convection (98W) near 7.5ºN 111.4ºE has dissipated and is now no longer considered for tropical cyclone formation.
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
November
T0721.Peipah/Kabayan 970 hPa
T0722.Tapah - 996 hPa
T0724.Hagibis/Lando - 970 hPa
T0723.Mitag/Mina - 955 hPa
Tropical Depression 25W - 1004 hPa JTWC
Tropical Depression 26W - 1000 hPa JTWC
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Southwestern Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
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RSMC Metro France - La Reunion
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE ELNUS
19.1ºS 41.0ºE - 35 knots 995 hPa
Tropical Cyclone Warning #6
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At 0:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Elnus [995 hPa] located near 19.1S 41.0E or 1500 kms west of the coast of Reunion had 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts up to 50 knots. The storm is moving south-southwest at 4 knots
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale force winds 35 knots extending to 80 nm from the center in the southeastern sector.
Near Gale force winds within 20 NM from the center extending up to 70 NM in the southeastern semi-circle.
Forecast and Intensity
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24 HRS: 20.3S 40.5E 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropical)
48 HRS: 22.2S 40.4E 70 knots (CYCLONE Tropicale)
Additional Information
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The system has slightly intensified over the last hours and have reached moderate tropical storm stage. Moderate Tropical Storm Elnus track slowly southwars. It should keep on generally tracking southward and regularly intensify thanks to a very favorable environment (Warm sea surface temperatures of 29-30C, good low level inflow and upper level outflows).
Winds extension are measured according to satellite data. Stronger winds extend further in the south of the system due to the gradient with the subtropical high pressures.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Warning #2
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Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)
November
02R.Ariel-Lee 980 hPa
03R.Bongwe 976 hPa
December
04R.Celina - 992 hPa
05R.Dama - 995 hPa
06R.ELNUS - 995 hpa
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North Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
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India Meteorological Department
No Tropical Cyclone Bulletins
Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)
November
ARB02.noname - Deep Depression
BOB09.Sidr - 944 hPa (IMD estimate)
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Thanks goes to MargieKieper for this helpful chart =)
T-num_____JMA__________US__________SS_Cat_____Aus_Scale
__________(10_min)_____(1_min)
Tropical Depression
1.0______25_kt___________25_kt_______________Tropical_Low
1.5______30_kt___________30_kt
2.0______30_kt___________35_kt__________
Tropical Storm
2.5______35_kt___________40_kt__________________Cat_1
3.0______45_kt___________50_kt__________
Severe Tropical Storm
3.5______55_kt___________55_kt__________________Cat_2
Typhoon
4.0______65_kt___________65_kt__________1_______Cat_3
4.5______70_kt___________75_kt__________1-2
5.0______80_kt__________ 90_kt__________2-3
5.5______90_kt__________100_kt__________3_______Cat_4
6.0______95_kt__________115_kt__________4
6.5_____100_kt__________130_kt__________4
Super Typhoon
7.0_____110_kt__________140_kt__________5_______Cat_5
7.5_____115_kt__________155_kt__________5
8.0_____120_kt__________170_kt__________5
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Updated: 1:05 AM GMT on January 01, 2008
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