TC Bud - Manzanillo, Mexico / TC Sanvu - Sea East of Philippines
TC Sanvu / TC Bud
Posted by: HadesGodWyvern, 12:46 AM GMT on May 01, 2012 +2


BLOG INFORMATION LAST UPDATED

24MAY2012 2:00 a.m. UTC/23MAY2012 21:00 p.m. CDT


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NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================
Information used for this blog are from

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

-----------------
Northwestern Pacific
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Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines

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Northern Indian Ocean
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India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department

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Northeastern Pacific Ocean
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National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL

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Central Northeastern Pacific
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Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii

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Southern Indian Ocean
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Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center

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Southern Pacific Ocean
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Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington

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CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD



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Northeast Pacific Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center

TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD (EP022012)
14.2ºN 107.9ºW - 60 knots 991 hPa

Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
====================================

SUBJECT: "BUD" ALMOST A HURRICANE

At 8:00 PM PDT, Tropical Storm Bud (991 hPa) located at 14.2N 107.9W or 355 NM southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 16.1N 107.0W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.4N 105.9W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 19.0N 105.6W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued along the pacific coast form Punta San Telmo to La Fortuna

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
EP012012.Aletta - 1003 hPa
EP022012.BUD - 991 hPa


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North Central Pacific Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center

Central Pacific Hurricane Center

Tropical Cyclone Outlook
===============================
Season Officially Begins June 1, 2012

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Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
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RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Japan Meteorological Agency

Tropical Disturbance Summary
===============================

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Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration

TROPICAL STORM SANVU (T1202)
18.6ºN 139.4ºE - 45 knots 990 hPa

Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
===========================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM JST, Tropical Storm Sanvu (990 hPa) located at 18.6N 139.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
170 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
130 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 21.2N 139.5E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 23.2N 141.1E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 24.9N 143.5E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm)

Additional Information
=======================

Tropical storm will move at the same speed for the next 72 hours
:Cyclone will recurve within 24 hours northward then move northeastward

Tropical storm will be upgraded to severe tropical storm within 12 hours

Tropical storm will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperatures

Final Initial Dvorak will be 3.5 after 24 hours

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
T022012.SANVU - 990 hPa

Next ID TD04

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North Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
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RSMC: India Meteorological Department

Tropical Cyclone Outlook
============================

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May

Next ID BOB01/ARB01

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Southeastern Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
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Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center

Tropical Cyclone Outlook
=====================================

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

"Jakarta" Tropical Depression - 1000 hPa

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Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Tropical Cyclone Outlook
===========================

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

Next ID 14R


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T-num     RSMC   JMA      IMD     US      SS Cat       Aus Scale
           (10 min)      (3 min) (1 min)

=================================================                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         
Tropical Depression
----------------------
1.0        25 kt   25 kt   Low    25 kt            Tropical Low
1.5        30 kt   25 kt   30 kt
2.0        30 kt   30 kt   30 kt  35 kt 
Tropical Storm
---------------------
2.5        35 kt  35 kt   35-40  40 kt                  Cat 1
3.0        45 kt  45_kt   45-50  50_kt 
Severe Tropical Storm
---------------------
3.5        55 kt  55 kt   50-60  55 kt                   Cat 2
Typhoon
--------------------------
4.0        65 kt  65 kt   65-70  65 kt     1             Cat 3
4.5        70 kt  70 kt   77-85  75 kt     1-2
5.0        80 kt  80 kt    90    90 kt     2-3
5.5        90 kt  90 kt    102   100 kt     3             Cat 4
6.0        100 kt 95 kt    115   115 kt     4
6.5        115 kt 100 kt   127   130 kt     4
Super Typhoon
-----------------------------
7.0        120 kt 110 kt  140   140 kt     5             Cat 5
7.5        135 kt 115 kt  155   155 kt     5
8.0        150 kt 120 kt  170   170 kt     5

Note: India Meteorological Department intensity now according to their website FAQ section.


Thanks goes to MargieKieper for this helpful chart =)

274
TCNA21 RJTD 280600
CCAA 28060 47644 CHABA(1014) 18248 11292 12344 265// 90508=

October 28 2010, 0600z
Typhoon Chaba (TY 18)
24.8N 129.2E
Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

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