First Atlantic Invest, 90L is here; oil now 350 miles west of Key West

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:40 PM GMT on May 21, 2010

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An extratropical low pressure system has developed a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas today, and has been designated as the first "Invest" of the year (90L) by the National Hurricane Center. (For those of you who were wondering, a discussion of what an "Invest" is can be found in the Tropical Cyclone FAQ). This low has the potential to develop into the season's first named storm--Alex--and could be a threat to the Southeast U.S. coast by Tuesday. Wind shear is currently 40 knots over the low, and the high shear ripped apart a low level circulation that was attempting to form this morning. Water vapor loops show a large amount of dry, continental air exists to the west of the storm, and this dry air will hamper transition of 90L to a subtropical storm. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward towards the Southeast U.S. coast, and could bring 20 - 30 mph winds and heavy rain to the coast of North Carolina by Tuesday. While the storm will initially form in a region of high wind shear and be entirely extratropical, it will move into a region of lower wind shear in a gap between the polar jet stream to the north and the subtropical jet stream to its south early next week. At that time, the low will be positioned near the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and will have the opportunity to develop a shallow warm core and transition to a subtropical storm. The models are divided on whether the storm will eventually make landfall on the Southeast U.S. coast 5 - 7 days from now, and it is too early to offer odds on this occurring. The counter-clockwise flow of air around this low will probably lead to northeasterly winds over the oil spill region Tuesday through Wednesday, keeping oil away from the coasts of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle, but pushing oil southwards towards the Loop Current. Wunderbloggers Weather456 and StormW have more detailed discussions of the potential development of 90L.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of 90L this afternoon.

Potential heavy rainfall threat to Haiti next week
Long-range forecasts from the NOGAPS model, and to a lesser extent, the ECMWF and GFS models, continue to predict an increase in moisture and decrease in wind shear over the Western Caribbean 4 - 6 days from now, leading to development of a tropical disturbance with heavy rains in the Western Caribbean early next week. A strong subtropical jet stream over the southern Gulf of Mexico will steer the disturbance to the north and east, and the potential exists for heavy rains of 2 - 4 inches to affect eastern Cuba, Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic in the Wednesday - Thursday time frame next week. The models are less enthusiastic about the prospects for tropical development than they were in yesterday's runs, and it currently appears that high levels of wind shear will make formation of a tropical depression improbable.

Oil spill continues to impact Louisiana shores
Light southeast to east winds are expected to blow over the northern Gulf of Mexico today through Sunday, resulting in potential oiling of Louisiana shorelines from the mouth of the Mississippi River westward 150 miles, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA. These winds may be creating strong enough surface currents that the flow of oil southwards towards the Loop Current may be significantly reduced or shut off over the next few days, as suggested by the latest SAR satellite imagery (Figure 2). However, winds will shift to offshore out of the north or northeast by Tuesday, due to counter-clockwise flow of air around the approaching 90L storm. If 90L becomes strong and lingers off the Southeast U.S. coast for several days, a significant amount of oil could get pumped into the Loop Current next week.


Figure 2. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) image of the oil spill taken at 11:53pm EDT May 20, 2010, by the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. The plume of oil being drawn south towards the Loop Current appears truncated, and very little oil may be flowing south. Image credit: Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science. SAR images have a resolution of 8 - 50 meters, and can be taken through clouds and precipitation.

Oil now 350 miles due west of Key West
Satellite imagery from today's 12:15pm EDT pass of NASA's Terra satellite (Figure 3) shows that a narrow ribbon of oil is caught in the Loop Current. The oil has moved south and then southwest, and the leading edge of the oil is now about 350 miles due west of Key West, Florida. The oil is substantial enough to modify the cumulus clouds in the Gulf of Mexico, though NOAA characterizes this portion of the oil spill as "numerous light sheens with some emulsified patties and streams." The oil is now headed away from the Keys towards a major kink in the Loop Current. By Saturday, the oil should double back towards the Keys in a eastward flowing branch of the Loop Current, and will likely pass just south of Key West by Tuesday. However, this is not a sure thing. As I discussed in my post Wednesday, the Loop Current is very unstable right now, and is ready to cut off into a giant clockwise-rotating eddy, an event that occurs every 6 - 11 months. This event could occur today or tomorrow, in which case the ribbon of southwestward-moving oil would turn due west and then north, eventually winding up back near the site of the Deepwater Horizon blowout. Roffer's Ocean Fishing Forecast Service has a nice discussion on the possibility of the Loop Current cutting off into a Loop Current Eddy. Keep in mind, though, that during the first month that a Loop Current Eddy forms, it exchanges a considerable amount of water with the Loop Current. Even if a Loop Current Eddy forms today, I still expect we will see some oil make the turn eastward and flow past the Florida Keys by Wednesday.


Figure 3. Visible satellite image from NASA's MODIS instrument for 12:15pm EDT May 21, 2010. I've enhanced the region along the eastern boundary of the Loop Current showing the south and southwestward moving ribbon of oil. Note that the oil is substantial enough to be affecting the low level cumulus clouds along portions of the ribbon of oil. The oil has reached the latitude of the Florida Keys.

Oil spill resources
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
NOAA trajectory forecasts
Deepwater Horizon Unified Command web site
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
ROFFS Deepwater Horizon page
Surface current forecasts from NOAA's HYCOM model
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

I'll be back with a new post Saturday afternoon.

Jeff Masters

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1300. Bordonaro
2:52 AM GMT on May 23, 2010
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
1298. gator23
9:13 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I remember a 6.0 in the Gulf of Mexico 4 years ago.

It was very fortunate it didn't happen under New Orleans or Mobile or Tampa. A 6.0 under a city without earthquake codes could be very nasty.


Tampa cant get earthquakes
Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2165
1296. stillwaiting
8:31 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
looks like the LC's going to pinch one off!!!;)
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970
1295. WatchingThisOne
8:14 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting bappit:
Top shot schedule slipping.


It will continue to slip. I finally found a video of the leak at the riser kink above the blow-out preventer (the leak they are working so feverishly on is 450 feet away from the 40 foot tall BOP on the seabed).

This "kinked riser" situation is what the top shot or kill shot is supposed to address. It's very serious and the big concern is putting too much back pressure on something like the riser (the low pressure marine risers that are used when the BOP is on the bottom of the sea are only rated to something like 500 psi).

The video is from May 17, and the leak can only have become worse from continued sandblasting in the intervening 5 days. *nothing* has been attempted at this leak, and for good reason. I expect they will continue to run into difficulties of one sort or another until August, when the relief well can be expected to intersect the DWH bore. Unless they already have an open well situation and can do no further damage.

Here is the real problem ...
Member Since: July 15, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1262
1294. masonsnana
8:13 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting wadedanielsmith:
Patrap:

If a category 1 came with a Gustav track right now, you'd have oil possibly miles inland and also into the lakes.

I mean, with a few feet of storm surge, the barrier islands and almost all of the wetlands would be completely over-washed with oil.

Pretty sick when you think about it. Possible total ecosystem wiped out. Everything except certain bacteria...all your grasses, alga, and shrubs dead. Turtles, gators, snakes, fish, insects, birds, worms, everything...goodness...


How bad does an oil spill have to be before it starts to rival the damage from Chernobyl?

Horrible thought, sooo sad!!
Member Since: February 14, 2004 Posts: 2 Comments: 663
1293. Grothar
8:09 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Weather456:


Could you explain how?


He might be referring to the wind field which is always asymmetrical.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 25976
1291. JRRP
8:07 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting WinterAnalystwx13:
Interesting?


2009???
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5693
1290. Grothar
8:04 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting xcool:
newwwwwwww blogggg


Where?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 25976
1289. IKE
8:01 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
From Morehead City,NC...

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AS OF 330PM SAT...THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE TRACK AND INTENSITY (AND OVERALL STRUCTURE) OF THE
SFC LOW EXPECTED TO DRIFT NW TOWARDS THE SE COAST DURING THE
BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM (TUE-WED). HOWEVER THE TREND IN TODAYS
12Z GUIDANCE HAS MOSTLY BEEN TO KEEP THE SYSTEM A LITTLE FURTHER
OFFSHORE.
PRECIP CHANCES/QPF AMOUNTS THUS EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE
LOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...WITH THE BEST CHANCES NEAR THE
S/SE COAST CLOSER TO BOTH THE SFC AND UPPER LOWS. HAVE LIMITED
POPS TO 30-40 PERCENT AT THIS TIME GIVEN UNCERTAINTY. MAIN IMPACTS
FROM THIS SYSTEM CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE MARINE/COASTAL AS NOTED
IN MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW.

WHILE THERE REMAIN DIFFERENCES WITH THE DETAILS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE FOR WED NITE-THU...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW A SHORT WAVE
PIVOTING AROUND A STRONGER GYRE NEAR AND JUST EAST OF THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. THIS IS EXPECTED TO SEND A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE AREA ON THU. MEANWHILE THE WEAKER AND MOSTLY STACKED LOW OFF THE
SE COAST IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND START MOVING SE AWAY FROM THE
REGION.
HAVE LIMITED POPS TO SCHC ON THU WITH THE BACKDOOR FRONT AS
MSTR LOOKS LIMITED. COASTAL IMPACTS SHUD GRADUALLY EASE INTO NEXT
WEEKEND ALTHOUGH SUSPECT E/SE SWELL WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE WHICH
WILL KEEP AN ELEVATED RIP CURRENT/SURF THREAT GOING MUCH OF THE
WEEK.

TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF NORMAL IN THE LONG
TERM ALTHOUGH WILL LIKELY WARM A BIT LATE IN THE PERIOD AS HEIGHTS
ALOFT BUILD A BIT FROM THE WEST.
-- End Changed Discussion --


MARINE...
AS OF 2 PM SATURDAY...CONT QUIET THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS
AS HIGH TO THE NE EXTENDS INTO THE AREA. SLOW INCREASE IN SE
SWELL ENERGY WILL LEAD TO MORE 4 FOOT SEAS SUNDAY. STILL HAVE
SOME TIMING/TRACK DIFFERENCES FOR OFFSHORE LOW THAT WILL IMPACT
REGION NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH 00Z ECMWF STILL TRACKS THE LOW FURTHER
W THAN OTHER MDLS IT HAS TRENDED A BIT FURTHER E. I LEANED TOWARD
A BLEND OF THE NAM/GFS THROUGH TUE THEN HPC BEYOND THAT. THIS
PRODUCED STRONGEST WINDS LATER TUE WITH 20 TO 25 KTS SRN TIER.
THIS LONG FETCH OF ONSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO SEAS BUILDING TO
MARGINAL SCA MOST WTRS LATE MON WITH 7 TO 10 FT SEAS OFF OBX LATE
TUE INTO WED. LOW MAY BEGIN TO SLOWLY PULL AWAY THU HOWEVER
LINGERING SWELL AND COLD FRONT DROPPING S THROUGH THE AREA WILL
KEEP WINDS UP AND SEAS ABOVE SCA LVLS. AS MENTIONED PAST FEW DAYS
STILL LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS LOW AND THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS. EVEN WITH A WEAKER AND FURTHER E
SOLUTION EXPECT ROUGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPING
LATER MON AND CONT INTO THU.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1288. xcool
8:00 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
newwwwwwww blogggg
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15648
1287. Drakoen
8:00 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Weather456:


ohok...its a possibility.


Yea. The way the 12z models are coming in i'm just not sold on a subtropical system; it's looking more like warm-seclusion. The way the warm air cuts off, the pressure gradient to the north, and frontal features, and cold SST makes it highly suspect.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30110
1286. WatchingThisOne
8:00 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting louisianaboy444:


I would be lying if i told you...from what i understood it was a week or so before the oil spill...the funny thing is they were even spotted in IOTA this is a one red light country town lol thats why it was so funny


So, um, what were they spotted *doing*? Stopping for gas? Glad you are finding the humor in it. As Flood would say, *PROOF*
Member Since: July 15, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1262
1285. Cavin Rawlins
8:00 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:


They can be symmetrical or asymmetrical


Could you explain how?
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1284. pottery
7:59 PM GMT on May 22, 2010


NEW BLOG guys...
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24215
1283. Patrap
7:59 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Wait till a Mature Hurricane sets its sights ona Coastline with the Oil between the Storm and the Coastline.

Gonna not be a pretty pic.

No sir,

..I dont like it.


Ma nature is setting someone up for a Calamity of a different nature..

BP poked a Hole into Hade's sewer line..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
1282. weathersp
7:59 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting WinterAnalystwx13:
Interesting?



Check the date on that image. ;)
Member Since: January 14, 2007 Posts: 17 Comments: 4140
1281. HaboobsRsweet
7:59 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Recon not going into 90L tomorrow.


Good...shouldnt waste the flight. Nothing to fly into right now.
Member Since: May 20, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1640
1280. MiamiHurricanes09
7:58 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting WinterAnalystwx13:
Interesting?

That's from November.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21099
1278. Grothar
7:57 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting louisianaboy444:


I'm guessing your from around these parts


Spent a lot of time there over the years. Mostly in Alexandria and Lafeyette, but all those places have a fond places in my heart. I just don't talk like Patrap, though, I always talk dis way.

It just makes me sick to see what is happening in the Gulf. I don't even like to blog about it. The pictures are enough.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 25976
1277. IKE
7:57 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Zone Forecast: Coastal waters from Cape Lookout to Surf City NC out 20 nm

Last Update: 228 PM EDT SAT MAY 22 2010
Marine Zone Forecast
Synopsis...HIGH PRES WILL CONTINUE NE OF THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO LIFT N FROM THE BAHAMAS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AND CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY N OFFSHORE OF THE COAST THROUGH WED. THE LOW WILL START TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA THU AS A COLD FRONT DROPS S THROUGH THE REGION.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1276. Patrap
7:56 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Watched Joe Vs the Volcano on TWC with Tom Hanks.

But I had the Flu and was bedridden upstairs..with no one home and no remote.

Was kinda like water-boarding in a way
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
1275. Cavin Rawlins
7:56 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:


I know they do not just spin up. This is an extratropical storm that may undergo warm-seclusion as indicated by the models.


ohok...its a possibility but not by all models.

Here we see one of the several characteristics of a subtropical cyclone as it detaches itself from the front...90L here is clearly a subtropical cyclone with a ST number of 3.0







Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1274. Chucktown
7:55 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting HurricaneKyle:


Yea, he went to Texas in (march?) for a local weather station. I don't think he appreciated only getting 2 minutes every hour to talk about something that could ruin thousands of lives if in the wrong place.


Steve Lyons is now the Meteorologist in Charge (MIC) at the NWS office in San Angelo, TX. Nice 6 figure government gig and a lot less hassle with being on TV.
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1735
1273. MiamiHurricanes09
7:55 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Recon not going into 90L tomorrow.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21099
1272. xcool
7:55 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15648
1271. Drakoen
7:54 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Weather456:


Warm seclusions are apart of a life-cycle, they don't just spin up. Maybe its non-tropical but not a warm seclusion.


I know they do not just spin up. This is an extratropical storm that may undergo warm-seclusion as indicated by the models.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30110
1270. louisianaboy444
7:54 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Well at least before a Cat 5 hurricane destroys my city i can relax and watch a bad science movie on the Weather Channel! Get the Popcorn!
Member Since: August 29, 2006 Posts: 22 Comments: 1345
1268. IKE
7:54 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
3-7 day forecast from HPC keeps 90L off shore.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1267. Drakoen
7:53 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Weather456:


Warm seclusions may have cloud-free, eye-like features at their center (reminiscent of tropical cyclones), significant pressure falls, hurricane force winds, and moderate to strong convection. The most intense warm seclusions often attain pressures less than 950 millibars (28.05 inHg) with a definitive lower to mid-level warm core structure.[27] A warm seclusion, the result of a baroclinic lifecycle, occurs at latitudes well poleward of the tropics.


So you agree on warm seclusion
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30110
1266. Patrap
7:53 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
WWL's Carl Arredondo started on TWC,he's been here least 10 years or so now,in NOLA.

solid Met.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
1265. DVG
7:53 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Auuurrrrghhhh. Dr Lyons is the only reason TWC held any possible interest left.
Member Since: August 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 259
1264. Cavin Rawlins
7:53 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:


They can be symmetrical or asymmetrical


Warm seclusions are apart of a life-cycle, they don't just spin up. Maybe its non-tropical but not a warm seclusion.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1262. leo305
7:51 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
convection is flaring up near the "center" which I believe really is the center
Member Since: April 17, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1753
1261. Cavin Rawlins
7:51 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Drakoen:
Warm seclusion phases:






Warm seclusions may have cloud-free, eye-like features at their center (reminiscent of tropical cyclones), significant pressure falls, hurricane force winds, and moderate to strong convection. The most intense warm seclusions often attain pressures less than 950 millibars (28.05 inHg) with a definitive lower to mid-level warm core structure.[27] A warm seclusion, the result of a baroclinic lifecycle, occurs at latitudes well poleward of the tropics.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1260. Drakoen
7:51 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Weather456:


Was thinking the same thing too.

But one difference is that a warm seclusion will be analyzed by a bent-backed warm front but the models indicate no asymmetry.

Another thing is that the wind-field contracts which you would not see in an extra-tropical system.

The SSTs in that area however and the intensity is leading me to believe that upper forcing will be generating much of the energy so your point maybe valid.


They can be symmetrical or asymmetrical
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30110
1259. DVG
7:51 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting Weather456:
You should also read the article when Jim Cantore got upset because the TWC choose to air Friday movie night while severe weather is going on. I mean c'mon, how ridiculous can that channel get?


I have no doubt given time, we will have that answer.

I used to watch TWC all the time. I never do now. Not even during hurricanes.

It is not only the programming, it is the accentuated way they present the weather.

If they were smart, they would do live HDTV reports around the globe. They could show festivals, sporting events, traffic, skyline shots of cities and locations of note or interest.

The weather is more than just storms. It can be sunsets/sunrises, all kinds of things. Just use some imagination.
Member Since: August 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 259
1258. Patrap
7:51 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting louisianaboy444:


if you get all that oil into Louisiana's rivers and streams it will destroy all our seafood products that could be bad


If..?

thats kinda moot now.


Oil Fouls Grand Isle Beaches Thursday
Added by John McCusker on May 20, 2010 at 5:50 PM
JOHN MCCUSKER / THE TIMES-PICAYUNE Dying hermit crabs lay covered in oil near Elmer's Island Thursday, May 20, 2010.


Oil Fouls Grand Isle Beaches Thursday
Added by John McCusker on May 20, 2010 at 5:50 PM
JOHN MCCUSKER / THE TIMES-PICAYUNE A dying hermit crab sit covered in oil on the beach on Elmer's Island Thursday, May 20, 2010.



Oil Fouls Grand Isle Beaches Thursday
Added by John McCusker on May 20, 2010 at 5:50 PM
JOHN MCCUSKER / THE TIMES-PICAYUNE Oil collects against a boom in Caminada Bay Thursday, May 20, 2010 near Grand Isle.


Oil Fouls Grand Isle Beaches Thursday
Added by John McCusker on May 20, 2010 at 5:50 PM

JOHN MCCUSKER / THE TIMES-PICAYUNE A crew scrapes oil off the beach at Grand Isle Thursday, May 20, 2010. Tar balls and sheen came ashore on the west side of the island.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
1257. IKE
7:50 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting HurricaneKyle:


Kinda unfortunate aint it?


Yeah it is....

... The Weather ChannelĀ® Companies (TWCC) names Dr. Richard Knabb as the network's new hurricane expert and tropical program manager. Dr. Knabb will be TWC's on-camera hurricane expert providing in-depth forecast analysis and tropical storm updates as they happen. In making the announcement, Geoffrey Darby, executive vice president of programming for The Weather Channel, said, "Rick brings tremendous experience to this role and is no stranger to high profile hurricane activity, having worked with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) during the record-setting 2005 Atlantic season. He will help lead our on-air and cross-platform tropical coverage, providing continuous updates as hurricanes and tropical storms develop." As a senior hurricane specialist at NHC from 2005-2008, he prepared and issued official forecasts and warnings during the 2005 hurricane season with Hurricanes Dennis, Emily, Katrina, Rita ..
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1256. HurricaneKyle
7:50 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Richard Knabbs (you might recognize that name from the bottom of several hurricane advisories) is replacing Steve Lyons.
Member Since: August 10, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 672
1254. pottery
7:49 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
OH come ONNNN Muller.........
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24215
1253. Cavin Rawlins
7:49 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Quoting HurricaneKyle:


Yea, he went to Texas in (march?) for a local weather station. I don't think he appreciated only getting 2 minutes every hour to talk about something that could ruin thousands of lives if in the wrong place.


Amen, not to mention he had to protect the Caribbean cruise companies that sponsor TWC.
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1252. Hurricanes101
7:49 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Guess the pendulum is swinging towards 90L not getting a name
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7475
1251. Drakoen
7:48 PM GMT on May 22, 2010
Warm seclusion phases:



GFDL:



Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30110

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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