Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting lickitysplit:
Pretty disturbing video from the GOM

Yes. I hope BP goes out of business for this. With record profits last year it appears unlikely though.

Quoting StormW:


Something for snake bites.

Very irritated gator's being pushed out of their swampy home...

Quoting TampaSpin:
Outside of the storm that started with an "A" that we are all familiar with....was anyother storm that was the first named storm a Major Hurricane.......i don't know of any off the top of my head without doing research?

I'm not sure but with 93L, I would expect the unexpected...The potential is there for this to become a major hurricane once it gets into the NW Caribbean.

Quoting Levi32:


Notice how much weaker the trough is on the GFS.

Still 10 days out the trough could be flatter and the ridge could be stronger....it's not wise to make track forecasts yet. I'm just voicing the other side right now. West gulf should be watching this closely as well. I want to see what the 12z Euro shows.

It is not that much weaker and the trough is in place which means erosion will occur. The GGEM shows the same thing as well.

Quoting sebastianflorida:
My Forecast:
1)There are 10,000 blog entries prior to 93L becoming a named storm.
2)1200 bloggers will be poofed prior to any landfall.
3)1200 posts will state a Cat 5 is comming to S. Florida.
4) Some People will start boarding up within 3 days.
5) 600 posts will call this a fish storm, even though unlikely.
6) Someone will claim 100 degree waters in the Gulf.
7) 500 posts will have graphics of prior storms, 10 will claim Andrew is comming.
8) Several bloggers will tell you they know it is comming to them because the racoons are behaving oddly.
9) Rapidly intensifying will be stated 300 times.
10) I have a cruise on the 24th, should I go.
11) I'm in Iceland, any chance the outerbands affect me.
12) This thing is moving Southwesr over the last 10 minutes, I know it, will be stated a few times.
Just my predictions.
5)

ROFLOL. That's hilarious. Especially about the raccoons. :)

Quoting leelee75k:
you guys are awesome, thanks for thinking of things I didn't think of. clothespins and clothesline definitely going on my list as well as the rest of the suggestions. Unfortunately we don't have a generator and I don't think one is in our budget for this year.

tampaspin, how do you store extra propane tanks? I thought it was unsafe to store them indoors and worry about leaving them outdoors during the storm.

I'm prepared with all the basics, pretty much have everything that listed on your normal hurricane supply list, I was just looking for things that we forget or overlook.

Garage keep.......everything comes inside.

First we have to get 93L to even develop at all before talking specifics about track and intensity. We still have 2 models to bring into the fold that aren't showing any development. I believe this will develop but without a defined center all specific track forecasts are worthless. All we have is a general idea that a weakness in the ridge will likely curve this northwest into the gulf, but where it goes in the gulf is up in the air.

Big ol' trough on the GFS 12z

Quoting Drakoen:


It is not that much weaker and the trough is in place which means erosion will occur. The GGEM shows the same thing as well.

Erosion yes or this would be going into the Yucatan....how much erosion though remains to be seen. We cannot make a call on that yet. We simply can't.

Quoting StormW:


Something for snake bites.

Snakes won't bite OILY GREASY legs will they...JUST SAYIN

Quoting sporteguy03:

Audry?

Alma? 1966.

If you live anywhere along the Caribbean Sea, to the Gulf of Mexico and along the Atlantic Coast from Florida to the Canadian Maritimes, including Bermuda, the Bahamas and the Azores... you need to remain alert for this potentially dangerous storm currently named 93L... LOL!!!!

12z CMC is a mess....takes 93L as a weak system into the Yucatan and tries to develop the wave behind it and curve it up towards Florida. Bringing the latter feature northwest while punching 93L into the Yucatan makes no sense.

Quoting Levi32:
12z CMC is a mess....takes 93L as a weak system into the Yucatan and tries to develop the wave behind it. Bringing the latter feature northwest while punching 93L into the Yucatan makes no sense.

I was just fixing to post that.

Nothing major on that run.

Link. Hurricane Alma.

store important documents in the dishwasher, did it in '04 but remember to take them out before you do the dishes:)

tampa, but what if you don't have a garage? would you then bring them inside the house?

Good afternoon everyone!

Looks like 93L will keep this blog perculating for the days to come.

Hello everybody!!!!!! we are here in South Florida any early concerns of what develops from 93L,coming this way?,the CMC model have the system making a sharp turn to the right crossing Cuba and coming to South Florida,any thoughts??,thanks!!

Quoting leelee75k:
a random question directed to those who have experienced hurricanes and lengthy power outages.

Besides the typical hurricane supplies we are all familiar with, what item or items do you consider to be invaluable either during or after a storm that is not commonly thought of?

thanks

water water watter. cant get enough of it. not just potable water but water for flushing the toilet and watering animals. a digital converter box if your tv sets are older models for when cable and satellite goes out.

Quoting leelee75k:
tampa, but what if you don't have a garage? would you then bring them inside the house?

Yes you would have to but, be careful....and never light it inside the house....which you know!

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1054
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT MON JUN 21 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN AND CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

VALID 211728Z - 211830Z

WATCH WILL BE NEEDED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF NRN AND
CENTRAL MO INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL IL.

EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESEWD
FROM NERN IA THROUGH CENTRAL IL/IND INTO SRN OH. REGIONAL
RADARS/LIGHTNING DATA INDICATED AN AREA OF TSTMS TRACKING ENEWD
ACROSS SERN IA ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE REMNANT IA MCS AND
ASCENT WITH ATTENDANT MCV/SHORTWAVE TROUGH. ADDITIONAL STORMS WERE
DEVELOPING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL IL SWWD INTO CENTRAL MO WHERE STRONG
SURFACE HEATING IS WEAKENING SBCINH SUFFICIENTLY FOR SURFACE BASED
STORMS. ALTHOUGH STORMS IN WEST CENTRAL IL MAY STILL BE SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED TO THE NNE OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY... WHICH EXTENDED FROM
SRN IL NWWD TO NERN MO...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY
WILL BECOME SURFACE BASED AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH
THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /7-7.5 C PER
KM/ WILL FURTHER CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE TO VERY STRONG INSTABILITY
THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES ALREADY RANGING FROM 1500-3000
J/KG FROM MO INTO SERN IA AND SRN/CENTRAL IL. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
INDICATED EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR INCREASING INTO THE DISCUSSION AREA
WITH FURTHER INCREASE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

..PETERS.. 06/21/2010


ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...

LAT...LON 39239450 39979322 40789185 40929050 40808979 40088926
38938969 38719117 38769382 39239450

Quoting hydrus:
Alma? 1966.

Allen - 1980..

Linkerooo....

Quoting winter123:


Yes. I hope BP goes out of business for this. With record profits last year it appears unlikely though.

and to think Obama had Ken Salazar go to bat for BP so it could drill after Washington DC court ruled in April of 2009 that BP and others could not drill due to environmental safety concerns.

After our inept Government helps destroy the Gulf, Obama and the gang are pushing Nuclear, which will lead to something possibly as bad inland within a couple years if Court decisions and laws are not respected.

Quoting leelee75k:
a random question directed to those who have experienced hurricanes and lengthy power outages.

Besides the typical hurricane supplies we are all familiar with, what item or items do you consider to be invaluable either during or after a storm that is not commonly thought of?

thanks

Fill the bathtub. I did not think to do it with Wilma. Would have helped a lot.

Link.... Audrey. 1957.

Floater up.

NHC has the floater positioned on 93L, only problem is, it says 92L lol.. Looking closely at the visible, I see a small spin 14.2N 68.5W. I believe that is where the LLC might form in the next 24-40 hours.

Quoting TampaTom:


Allen - 1980..

Nope, more like Audrey... but only if it gets spinning soon or the disturbance behind it will be the one to watch.

Quoting Baltimorebirds:
I can't belive people are forgetting that andrew was the first named storm,and it was a cat'5

people arent forgetting, we just dont mention it. there are some storms that are better off not being mentioned due to the traumatic impact they have had on many of the bloggers here.

Quoting TampaTom:


Allen - 1980..

Sorry. I thought he meant June storms.

Quoting leelee75k:
tampa, but what if you don't have a garage? would you then bring them inside the house?

did you see the dishwasher comment? I think it was patrap that said after katrina they found everything in a dishwasher completely spotless.

Quoting hydrus:
Sorry. I thought he meant June storms.

Look at me. Do I look upset to you?

favorable pattern START NOW.

Should we be looking at normal July tracks if 93L develops or are the tropics still in a June type track pattern?

Quoting leelee75k:
thanks boyznme!

Another great suggestion and one I didn't think of.

Has anyone said fans? If you live where hurricanes hit it means you live where it's good and hot well into possibly October so fans come in really handy at keeping you cool! That is if you have a generator to power them.

Quoting leelee75k:
Thanks patrap, that's exactly the type of things I'm looking for, didn't think of either one of those to have.

anyone else?

Having a piece of flint to start a fire to stay warm (and cook with if you don't have propane) is always a great thing. Also, if you need water right away and don't have any stored or you have lost your supplies for one reason or another, the tablets to sterilize water are good to have. Also to have a little backpack or something with all your supplies together in one place in case you have to evacuate all of a sudden is always useful as well.