The Atlantic is quiet; Pakistan monsoon rains continue; last day of Russian heat wave
A tropical wave in the Caribbean near Jamaica is generating disorganized thunderstorm activity over the central Caribbean. Wind shear is a moderate 10 - 20 knots over the region, and water vapor satellite images show that there is some dry air to the west of Jamaica that will interfere with any development that might occur. None of the reliable computer models develop this wave.
The GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF continue to predict that a tropical storm will form between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands 3 - 7 days from now. A strong tropical wave currently moving off the coast of Africa is a good candidate for such a development. The NOGAPS model is predicting the development of a strong tropical disturbance near the coast of Honduras this weekend.
Figure 1. Extreme flooding along the Indus River in Pakistan has swollen the river to 16 miles (24 km) wide in sections, as seen in the top image from yesterday. For comparison, and image taken a year ago at this time in August (bottom image) shows that the Indus is normally just 1 - 2 km wide during monsoon season. Image credit: NASA Natural Hazards web site.
Extreme flooding and monsoon rains continue in Pakistan
In flood-ravaged Pakistan, heavy monsoon rains hit the Punjab region in the northeastern portion of the country yesterday, dropping up to 113 mm (4.45") of precipitation. The main river in Pakistan, the Indus, continues to cause extreme flooding, and has expanded to 16 miles (24 km) wide in some sections (Figure 1.) Dr. Ricky Rood, who writes our Climate Change Blog, has a sister that works in Pakistan. He has a must-read analysis of the catastrophe in Pakistan, "Pakistan: A Climate Disaster Case Study".
Moscow hits 93°F on the final day of the Great Russia Heat Wave of 2010
Temperatures at Moscow's Domodedovo airport hit 34°C (93°F) today, which is 13°C (22°F) above average. However, pressures are falling rapidly and winds are picking up out ouf the southwest in advance of a powerful cold front that promises to sweep through all of European Russia tonight, finally bringing an end to the Great Russian Heat Wave of 2010. The latest forecast for Moscow predicts Thursday's high will be just 21°C (69°F)--essentially average. With tonight's cold front will come rain to help put out the fires that continue to plague Russia with toxic smoke. Cool temperatures near of below average over the coming week will also help fire-fighting efforts.
Jeff Masters
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awwww....I'd share them with everyone. Unless they were just chocolate coins then I'd be greedy.
For all you local HAM weather lurkers in Florida, YES!! APRS is having difficulties tonite. Be patient!!
LOL Doorman.
Where are you?
Yeah, it's just a fact of hurricane season. Three fish storms isn't out of the question for this year.
I'd wager that around half the observed storms this year won't recurve. Not wishcasting, just saying.
Here lol In Louisiana
Translation please...
Nice!
I think what you're saying is very reasonable. I'd also wager a third of this years storms are major hurricanes with all the heat in the basin.
To Cyberteddy and MiamiHurricanes09: What is exactly taking place with the development off the African coast? When is this development suppose to take place but i have been hearing debate as to whether PGI31L or PGI33L will develop
reported
Thanks Hollywood!!!
Just 5 of 14 storms affected land in 98 and it was enough to cause:
$12.2 billion of damage
and over 10thousand deaths
So yeah... :S
Hello friends!! What has happened with our future hurricane?
There you go! XD
LOL! It looks so!
Had a mostly sunny one here. In fact rainfall for the past 4 days has been 2mm.
Hope it lasts a while longer too.
Sorry about your "pounding"!
Appreciate that...
Also agree.
Looks similar to what the GFS is thinking could happen with PGI31L or PGI33L.
The map doesn't go that far east!
Nice...but you could have just used this:
Click image for full-size
it's not pig latin.
Well maybe to YOU it is.
*Deleted the quote, it didn't deserve to be quoted.*
Jeez what's your problem, read the translation I posted.
Now we're NOT on the same page. lol
I would have died in both of those years.
That, is a good question. I don't have a answer, I'm still pretty confused on what might happen. I think PGI31L might become dominate. Not sure.
Hurry UP !
I think 1950 is a good analouge for the number of hurricanes and major hurricanes: Link
You meant Couch-Paster...??
Go crawl back in your hole. It's Spanish and he is from Puerto Rico. He was asking a legitimate weather question.
Actually seven.
Bonnie (North Carolina)
Charley (Texas)
Earl (Florida)
Frances (Texas)
Georges (Louisiana/Mississippi)
Hermine (Louisiana)
Mitch (Central America)
Yeah Im getting confused on what is suppose to take place too..all of the models are showing Cape-Verde development so we all know SOMETHING is going to happen we just dont know what will come of it or how it is going to come together
Yup.
You're right!
Well then, half, just like you said 2010 could be.
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