2010: tied with 2005 for warmest year in history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:23 PM GMT on January 16, 2011

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The year 2010 was tied with 2005 as Earth's warmest year in history, according to separate calculations performed by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Temperatures during 2010 were 1.12°F (0.62°C) above the 20th century average. Reliable global temperature records go back to 1880. NOAA reported that the Northern Hemisphere had its warmest year on record in 2010, the Southern Hemisphere its 6th warmest, land areas their 2nd warmest, and the oceans their 3rd warmest. Global satellite-measured temperatures of the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere during 2010 were virtually tied with 1998 for warmest on record, according to the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). The 1998 temperatures were 0.01°C warmer than 2010, but the difference is so small that the two years should be considered tied for first place. These measurements are very sensitive to the effect of major El Niño events that warm the waters and atmosphere over the Eastern Pacific. Thus the 1998 El Niño--the strongest such event ever recorded--set a global lower atmospheric temperature record that had been impossible to match until 2010.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for 2010. Image credit: NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.

Earth's warmest temperatures in 2010, relative to average, occurred in western Greenland and eastern Canada, where record-duration sea ice loss contributed to temperatures that were 9°F (5°C) above average for the year (Figure 1.) The coolest temperatures, relative to average, were in central Siberia, 5.4°F (3°C) below average. In addition to being the warmest year on record globally, it was also the wettest (Figure 4.)


Figure 2. The latest rankings by NOAA of the hottest years globally since 1880. Earth's ten hottest years have all come since 1998, and the decade of the 2000s was by far the warmest decade in the historical record. Image credit: NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.


Figure 3. Global departure of temperature from average for 1880-2010, as computed by NASA.


Figure 4. Global departure of precipitation from average for 1900 - 2010. The year 2010 set a new record for wettest year in Earth's history. The difference in precipitation from average in 2010 was about 13% higher than that of the previous record wettest year, 1956. Image credit: NOAA's National Climatic Data Center.

A record warm year during a deep solar minimum: an unusual occurrence
The 2010 record warmth was unusual in that it occurred during a period when energy from the sun was at its lowest levels since satellite measurements began in the 1970s. The 11-year sunspot cycle causes a 0.1% variation in the amount of energy reaching the Earth. White et al. (1997) found that sea surface temperatures varied by about 0.04 - 0.07°C on time scales of 11 - 22 years due to this change in solar energy, with temperatures lagging the sunspot cycle by 1.5 - 3 years (because the ocean is slow to heat up and cool down in response.) So, although solar activity began to pick up somewhat in 2010, the 1.5 - 3 year lag in ocean temperature response meant that the record low solar activity of 2008 - 2009 was what affected global temperatures in 2010. Given that the departure of Earth's temperature from average during 2010 was 0.62°C, this difference would have been perhaps 10% greater had we been 2 - 3 years past the peak of the 11-year sunspot cycle. The previous global temperature record, set in 2005, occurred 3 - 5 years after the twin-peaked previous solar cycle. It is very difficult to get a record warm year during a deep solar minimum, making the 2010 record one likely to be broken later this decade as the sun begins to exert a greater warming influence on the planet.


Figure 5. During 2008 - 2009, the energy from the sun arriving at the top of Earth's atmosphere (Total Solar Irradiance, or TSI) as measured by satellites fell to its lowest value since satellite measurements began in 1978. Image credit: Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos World Radiation Center.

References
Skepticalscience.com has an in-depth discussion of Solar activity & climate: is the sun causing global warming?

Wunderground climate change blogger Dr. Ricky Rood has a comprehensive 5-part series on how the sun affects climate.

Gray, L.J., J. Beer, M. Geller, J.D. Haigh, M. Lockwood, 2010, "Solar Influences on Climate", Accepted in Rev. Geophys, 2010.

White, W.B., J. Lean, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger (1997), Response of global upper ocean temperature to changing solar irradiance, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 3255-3266.

Thunderstorms hurl antimatter into space
NASA announced this week that mature thunderstorms can produce antimatter when exceptionally powerful lightning bolts occur. The antimattter beams were detected by the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope. The amount of antimatter produced is tiny, though, and probably not enough to help power a starship.

"Cap'n, we're running low on antimatter to power the warp engines. Can you fly in low over those thunderstorms to replenish our reserves? We'll use the transporters to gather the antimatter and funnel it into the antimatter containment vessel."

"OK, Scotty!"

I'll have a new post on Tuesday.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Jedkins01:
that whole forecast of mainly light to moderate rain, with mainly a rumble of thunder didn't work out too well.

Neither did a QPF forecast of 0.45 work out well either... lol

BTW, my rain guage has reached 3.56 inches... We still have some steady but fairly heavy stratiform rain right now.

Also, I don't know if anyone else noticed but it looks like the line of convection may be attempting to stall to my south. That's good news for Central Floridians, the more rain we can get outta this, the better!

ok, just like that the rain stopped for now. I got 3.07 in the gauge and now have a stiff wind out of the east.
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nasty little line coming in around bradenton...
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Quoting MrMixon:


I think it's interesting to see how these so-called "debates" always follow the same patterns.  One party suggests that our current gun laws could be improved and the other party immediately concludes that the first party wants to take all of their guns away.  Saying our gun laws are flawed is not the same thing as saying there should be no right to bear arms in this country.

The same thing happens with debates about global warming, environmental protection, abortion, etc.  It seems that many of us either forget or cannot comprehend the gray area that lies between the extreme positions on any given topic.  The ultimate irony is that a vast majority of our opinions do, indeed, lie in this gray area.  But, when we start debating these topics it's like we only think we're debating properly if we take an extreme position.

I think it would be fitting, on this Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday,  for us to remember that no issue is truly "black and white".  It's critical for our democracy that we debate important topics like climate change and gun control, but  when we debate our differences, let's not forget the many things that make us the same.
Dave
From you're mouth to God's ear.
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Quoting Neapolitan:

The cost of preparing a second planet for human inhabitance and transporting enough people there to guarantee the future of the species would easily soar into the tens if not hundreds of trillions of dollars. It would be far more cost effective to clean up the mess we've made here than simply kick the can down the road in a very expensive way. Besides, our species hasn't yet demonstrated that it can take care of the one planet we've been given; why should it get the chance to ruin another?


Ruin another? lol you know, I'm not happy about what we've done to our planet either, but we are flawed. That's part of the conscience of being intelligent is the ability to choose right and wrong. Sadly, the drive to choose wrong runs in our blood so to speak.

Not only that, technology is increasing rapidly as I'm sure you know. As I will stress again science in the past though much of what we know in the future now to not even be possible. That being said, I don't see any wrong with dreaming of going to other planets. And considering I am a human being, you know I personally don't like to cut down the fact that I am human. That's pretty illogical, and very pointless, as well as depressing if you ask me.

Also, as much as I know we had very much mistreated our resources here on planet Earth, and as much as I believe it is important to be good stewards of what we've been given. I'm not a terrestrial worshiper. I'm sorry, I'm not trying to be rude, but to say its wrong for us to go to other planets because we will ruin them, is sort of anti-humanity.
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Quoting presslord:


something fishy is up with this...Preval (Haiti President) has said several times that if Baby Doc returned he would be arrested and tried for killing thousands and stealing millions...our Haiti contacts are quite concerned...
Wasn't someone supposed to be watching this moral mutant? Who in the world let him on an airplane? Nothing good can come from this.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Flawed gun laws? If your intimidated by the American way, I suggest you go to Europe :)

Sorry dude, but its a wicked world, personally I'll stick with keeping my family safe from people like him. Rather than a Federal government telling me I can't own one.

And we won't even get into the other issues that come from taking away guns. If you have any ounce of wisdom left in you. I would hope you can at least respect what I am saying.

I think it's interesting to see how these so-called "debates" always follow the same patterns.  One party suggests that our current gun laws could be improved and the other party immediately concludes that the first party wants to take all of their guns away.  Saying our gun laws are flawed is not the same thing as saying there should be no right to bear arms in this country.

The same thing happens with debates about global warming, environmental protection, abortion, etc.  It seems that many of us either forget or cannot comprehend the gray area that lies between the extreme positions on any given topic.  The ultimate irony is that a vast majority of our opinions do, indeed, lie in this gray area.  But, when we start debating these topics it's like we only think we're debating properly if we take an extreme position.

I think it would be fitting, on this Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday,  for us to remember that no issue is truly "black and white".  It's critical for our democracy that we debate important topics like climate change and gun control, but  when we debate our differences, let's not forget the many things that make us the same.
Dave
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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 5 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN FLORIDA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

IN SOUTH FLORIDA

BROWARD MAINLAND MONROE MIAMI-DADE PALM BEACH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF... FLAMINGO... FORT LAUDERDALE... MIAMI AND WEST PALM BEACH.

TORNADOES... HAIL TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER... THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH... AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

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466. Skyepony (Mod)
Brevard, Indian River & Oceola Counties just got a Tornado Watch til 7pm..
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that whole forecast of mainly light to moderate rain, with mainly a rumble of thunder didn't work out too well.

Neither did a QPF forecast of 0.45 work out well either... lol

BTW, my rain guage has reached 3.56 inches... We still have some steady but fairly heavy stratiform rain right now.

Also, I don't know if anyone else noticed but it looks like the line of convection may be attempting to stall to my south. That's good news for Central Floridians, the more rain we can get outta this, the better!
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Quoting Jedkins01:



Some people think plans to make living on other planets possible is a waste of money and time. I would disagree, not only is it something to look into with the population heading the way it is. But also, being science minded person, colonizing on other planets is just a really awesome concept. We are in future, boys and girls.

The cost of preparing a second planet for human inhabitance and transporting enough people there to guarantee the future of the species would easily soar into the tens if not hundreds of trillions of dollars. It would be far more cost effective to clean up the mess we've made here than simply kick the can down the road in a very expensive way. Besides, our species hasn't yet demonstrated that it can take care of the one planet we've been given; why should it get the chance to ruin another?
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13802
Quoting calusakat:


Actually, that is not quite true.

The real disaster waiting in the wings so to speak is the population explosion.

Triple the population by 2070.

How do you prevent pollution with 18 billion people going potty each day. How do you feed those souls. How on earth can you shelter them.

That disease problem will come from the sheer numbers of people on the planet, climate will play such an insignificant role in the grand scheme of things. It is not even funny.

AGW is way back at the end of the bus. Heck, its hanging on to the bumper outside the bus.

Time to let it go bumpity bumpity.



Oh, I see. So a Malthusian nightmare brought on by unchecked population growth will see millions die from hunger and pandemic before the full effects of man-made climate change are fully realized? I have to tell you, neither end sounds much better than the other.

Seriously, though, do you not see how droughts, floods, rising sea levels, and the loss of important fisheries via ocean acidification would greatly exacerbate any population crisis?
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13802
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1124 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

FLC009-171645-
/O.CON.KMLB.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110117T1645Z/
BREVARD-
1124 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM EST FOR NORTHERN
BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 1106 AM EST...A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 3
MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PORT ST. JOHN. THE STORM PRODUCING THE
FUNNEL CLOUD WAS MOVING MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
NORTHEASTERN BREVARD COUNTY AT 1140 AM EST

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR
HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER
YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 2848 8057 2847 8059 2855 8058 2859 8062
2845 8065 2841 8072 2847 8074 2846 8075
2840 8074 2837 8082 2855 8089 2861 8080
2846 8075 2860 8073 2862 8078 2869 8065
2860 8058 2850 8054
TIME...MOT...LOC 1623Z 253DEG 28KT 2848 8067

$$



BRAGAW
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Quoting Neapolitan:

A few thoughts while I'm working and waiting for the rain:

A) I'm an American. This is my country, and I'll try to make of it what I will. That's my right; that's my duty. Please don't resort to the juvenile tactic of telling others to leave if they don't like what's going on here. That's not patriotism; that's anti-American, empty-headed jingoism or something worse, and it has no place in a grown-up discussion. Speaking of which...

B) The discussion wasn't about guns. I was responding to a member's oft-repeated rant regarding the out-of-context Rahm Imanuel quote about not wasting a crisis, and in that response I used a couple of very solid analogies to illustrate that it was actually a good policy. One of those analogies involved a major event that took place just nine days ago, so I think it's very appropriate. But since you brought it up...

C) It's my feeling that anyone who has an ounce of "wisdom" (or logic, or intelligence, or common-sense) would realize that a country which has by far the largest number of guns overall in the world, the highest per-capita gun ownership in the world, one of the highest crime rates in the world, one of the highest incarceration rates in the world, and by far the most non-combat gun injuries and deaths in the world probably has some serious flaws in its paranoid reasoning that need to be addressed. Which leads me finally to this:

D) I respect your desire to not talk about this issue any further, but you realize, of course, that one can't simply make a proclamation then duck out with the admonition that no one else discuss, correct?

Anyway, onward. And I'm still waiting for the rain here in Naples.



You can say what you want to say, I'm just letting you or anyone else know, I won't be arguing about it.
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TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA AND THE KEYS


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 5
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1125 AM UNTIL 700
PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INVOF
SHALLOW WARM FRONT EDGING NE ACROSS S FL THROUGH THIS AFTN. LOW LVL
SHEAR EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONGEST ALONG AND JUST NE OF FRONT...WITH
SFC-BASED INSTABILITY MAXIMIZED TO ITS WEST. LARGE SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN WEAK. BUT COMBINATION OF SIZABLE LOW LVL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR/LOW LCLS NEAR FRONT...PRESENCE OF A FEW LONG-LIVED
UPDRAFTS...AND POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT AS AREA OF
STORMS NOW OFF THE SE FL CST CONTINUES ENE SUGGESTS RISK FOR A
COUPLE TORNADOES AND/OR LOCALLY DMGG WIND THROUGH EARLY EVE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
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There is a strong line of storms just moving out of the zephyrhills area.Lots of wind and rain. I got .78 inches just out of that band. Almost up to 3 now.
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Quoting calusakat:


Actually, that is not quite true.

The real disaster waiting in the wings so to speak is the population explosion.

Triple the population by 2070.

How do you prevent pollution with 18 billion people going potty each day. How do you feed those souls. How on earth can you shelter them.

That disease problem will come from the sheer numbers of people on the planet, climate will play such an insignificant role in the grand scheme of things. It is not even funny.

AGW is way back at the end of the bus. Heck, its hanging on to the bumper outside the bus.

Time to let it go bumpity bumpity.





Some people think plans to make living on other planets possible is a waste of money and time. I would disagree, not only is it something to look into with the population heading the way it is. But also, being science minded person, colonizing on other planets is just a really awesome concept. We are in future, boys and girls.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


Did it touch the ground?

No, got close though, wind was really blowing from all directions, and sideways rain.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Flawed gun laws? If your intimidated by the American way, I suggest you go to Europe :)

The people who criticize most are those who fail to appreciate. I don't think you realize how important the right to bear arms is. And if you understood reality more, maybe you would realize that all gun control would do is keep guns out of law abiding peaceful people's hands. Meanwhile, the law breakers who use guns for terrible acts like in Arizona don't give a **** about laws, they will still get their hands on guns.

Sorry dude, but its a wicked world, personally I'll stick with keeping my family safe from people like him. Rather than a Federal government telling me I can't own one.

And we won't even get into the other issues that come from taking away guns. If you have any ounce of wisdom left in you. I would hope you can at least respect what I am saying.

A few thoughts while I'm working and waiting for the rain:

A) I'm an American. This is my country, and I'll try to make of it what I will. That's my right; that's my duty. Please don't resort to the juvenile tactic of telling others to leave if they don't like what's going on here. That's not patriotism; that's anti-American, empty-headed jingoism or something worse, and it has no place in a grown-up discussion. Speaking of which...

B) The discussion wasn't about guns. I was responding to a member's oft-repeated rant regarding the out-of-context Rahm Imanuel quote about not wasting a crisis, and in that response I used a couple of very solid analogies to illustrate that it was actually a good policy. One of those analogies involved a major event that took place just nine days ago, so I think it's very appropriate. But since you brought it up...

C) It's my feeling that anyone who has an ounce of "wisdom" (or logic, or intelligence, or common-sense) would realize that a country which has by far the largest number of guns overall in the world, the highest per-capita gun ownership in the world, one of the highest crime rates in the world, one of the highest incarceration rates in the world, and by far the most non-combat gun injuries and deaths in the world probably has some serious flaws in its paranoid reasoning that need to be addressed. Which leads me finally to this:

D) I respect your desire to not talk about this issue any further, but you realize, of course, that one can't simply make a proclamation then duck out with the admonition that no one else discuss, correct?

Anyway, onward. And I'm still waiting for the rain here in Naples.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13802
455. Skyepony (Mod)
Oh.. I realize the weather station at the pad got knocked out of service... was on rapid fire, hasn't updated..
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Quoting geepy86:
I had a funnel cloud go over my house.


Did it touch the ground?
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I had a funnel cloud go over my house.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


If there is truly anything to really worry about with Climate change, it would be disease/viral issues. That I will agree with.


Actually, that is not quite true.

The real disaster waiting in the wings so to speak is the population explosion.

Triple the population by 2070.

How do you prevent pollution with 18 billion people going potty each day. How do you feed those souls. How on earth can you shelter them.

That disease problem will come from the sheer numbers of people on the planet, climate will play such an insignificant role in the grand scheme of things. It is not even funny.

AGW is way back at the end of the bus. Heck, its hanging on to the bumper outside the bus.

Time to let it go bumpity bumpity.


Member Since: October 10, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 716
451. Skyepony (Mod)
Cyber~ that's the scratching the surface of the events surrounding that launch..

I see there was a 46mph gust at the shuttle, winds of 23 mph at the moment. Looks like the wind & hail core is sliding just north of the pads.
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3" of rain in Downtown Clearwater. It appears that the worst is over as the main line drifts southward. Looks like south of Tampa Bay is in for a rough afternoon.
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Quoting JRRP:


I find it pretty crazy how the water temps are above average in the north Atlantic. Mainly because of all the cold weather that has occurred in Europe. Weather is weird indeed sometimes.

The water temps in the southeast are way below average which makes sense.

Pacific water temp trends are still showing La Nina with a strong hold. Thank God La Nina has been loosening is dry grip in Florida lately though. The fire danger was getting scary before all this rain.
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446. JRRP
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Quoting cchsweatherman:


Same here. I knew we would see severe weather, but didn't expect the action to be getting going this early in the day.


Yeah it seems that these winter storm systems seem to rush in faster than forecasted. However I'm not pointing the finger, when people ask me what time of day stormy weather will arrive, or how long it will take, I usually say, "I don't really know, We'll see when it gets here:

Timing forecasts are hard. Very hard.
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Quoting Skyepony:
Bellview, Sharpes & Courtney are next. Really looks bent on hitting the Shuttle launch facility..


Would figure, a lot of bad crap has happened regarding the space shuttle the last week or so. Mark Kelly's wife of course is Gabrielle Giffords, Sen. Nelson announces that there is no real need for STS-135, NASA announces that a new Heavy-Lift Launch Vehicle would not be ready by 2016 and would cost billions more in dollars, and most recently Tim Kopra, mission specialist on the next shuttle mission apparently broke his hip and his flight is just over a month away.
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Amazing the number of, and low tops on these Meso's.

Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8188
Quoting severstorm:

I hear ya and all the rain is welcome. Most of the time the rain goes around north zephyrhills and i get little to none. Today what a difference and i am almost at 2.50 no end in site. I worry about fire in this area. Alot of kids playing around with there 4-wheeler and starting fires. Woke up last year 4 am to sirens, someone started a big grass fire behind the house. NOT EXCITING.



Yeah, I love being a country boy, but the only issue is you never know what kinda people are out there. Either they are great hard working people, or they are misfits that either are too ignorant to know what they are doing, or they have that old confederate outlaw running in their blood, lol.

I live in the more rural side of Pinellas County (believe it or not Pinellas still has some beautiful country left). So I do worry about fires being started by crazies over here too when its this dry. Thankfully though, the country folk around here are more of the hard working law abiding type.
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Quoting Jedkins01:
Looking at the dynamics coming into place, I knew last night that today was gonna get a little crazy. I never thought we would get widespread severe weather. However I had a feeling a couple warnings would be issued.


Same here. I knew we would see severe weather, but didn't expect the action to be getting going this early in the day.
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438. Skyepony (Mod)
Bellview, Sharpes & Courtney are next. Really looks bent on hitting the Shuttle launch facility..
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Looking at the dynamics coming into place, I knew last night that today was gonna get a little crazy. I never thought we would get widespread severe weather. However I had a feeling a couple warnings would be issued.
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Quoting Skyepony:
Tornado headed toward Kennedy Space center..
That is rather unsettling..Good morning to you Sky, although it will not be so good if the space center gets whacked.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Yeah, but there is sometimes hope in March and May, depending on the year, April is almost always dry. Accept last year, many spots had 5 to 9 inches for the month of April, last year was pretty weird rainfall wise, though.

January and February typically are the wetter months of the dry season, so, hopefully it will rain plenty more into December.

I hear ya and all the rain is welcome. Most of the time the rain goes around north zephyrhills and i get little to none. Today what a difference and i am almost at 2.50 no end in site. I worry about fire in this area. Alot of kids playing around with there 4-wheeler and starting fires. Woke up last year 4 am to sirens, someone started a big grass fire behind the house. NOT EXCITING.
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TORNADO WARNING
FLC009-095-171645-
/O.NEW.KMLB.TO.W.0001.110117T1549Z-110117T1645Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1049 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SHARPES...TITUSVILLE AIRPORT...
TITUSVILLE...PORT SAINT JOHN...PLAYALINDA BEACH...LONE CABBAGE FISH
CAMP...
SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1145 AM EST.

* AT 1048 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF LONE CABBAGE FISH CAMP...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CANAVERAL GROVES...KENNEDY SPACE CENTER AND MERRITT ISLAND WILDLIFE
REFUGE

THE IMMEDIATE DANGER OF A TORNADO IS HIGH. PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS
DEVELOPING TORNADO ARE URGED TO QUICKLY PREPARE FOR ITS APPROACH.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION! ACT NOW AS SECONDS CAN SAVE LIVES!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STRONG BUILDING ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR...IN AN INTERIOR ROOM SUCH AS A BATHROOM OR CLOSET.
KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF
STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY.

EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO
SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 2847 8059 2855 8058 2858 8061 2845 8065
2841 8072 2847 8074 2840 8074 2834 8090
2834 8103 2845 8110 2861 8080 2846 8075
2860 8073 2862 8078 2868 8068 2866 8067
2869 8065 2860 8058 2850 8054 2849 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 1549Z 253DEG 28KT 2841 8096

$$



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
433. Skyepony (Mod)
Frotenac is getting worked.. Hope that's missing the flea market.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting cchsweatherman:
For those in Central and Southern Florida, be prepared for severe weather throughout the day. Below is the Mesoscale Discussion regarding the situation from the SPC.



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0025
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0917 AM CST MON JAN 17 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...S FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 171517Z - 171715Z

PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND SRN FL WILL ARE BEING MONITORED FOR INCREASING
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND A WW COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS
MORNING...AND ALONG AN E-W ORIENTED SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD
ACROSS N CNTRL FL. BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S F LURKING JUST OFFSHORE AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY...ALTHOUGH
COOL/STABLE CONDITIONS CURRENTLY EXIST OVER MUCH OF CNTRL FL WITH
DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 50S F.

TO THE S...A WARM FRONT WAS NOTED ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND ACROSS THE
SE COAST OF FL...WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WERE ALREADY IN THE
LOWER 70S AND DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID 60S F. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
WAS OCCURRING SWD ALONG A CONFLUENCE LINE WHICH MAY DEMARCATE A
SLIGHTLY MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

THERE APPEARS TO BE TWO SEPARATE THREAT AREAS OVER FL TODAY...THE
FIRST OVER THE SERN PENINSULA WHERE STORMS WILL PERSIST ALONG A
RETREATING WARM FRONT. STORMS ACROSS THE KEYS AND OFFSHORE HAVE
SHOWN SIGNS OF ROTATION AT TIMES...AND THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE AS
THE STORMS MOVE ACROSS SRN FL THIS AFTERNOON WHEN AT LEAST SOME
FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS ANTICIPATED. WITH A MOIST AIR MASS IN
PLACE AND AMPLE SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE PROFILE...ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.

THE SECOND AREA WILL BE ALONG THE MAIN SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER CNTRL
FL...WHERE DESTABILIZATION THROUGH ADVECTION AS WELL AS POCKETS OF
HEATING WILL OCCUR. STORMS CURRENTLY TRAINING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
MAY STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE DAY AND BECOME MORE SURFACE BASED WITH
TIME...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.



We already have been hit with some awesome weather watching at my place in Pinellas County. Wind gusts over 40 mph, a rain total over 3 inches from torrential summer-like rains, and cloud to ground lightning that is very impressive considering we have cold air, cold water temps, and just that its January.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting calusakat:


Why are you apologizing for stating the truth?

Not only that you stated it quite well also.




I'm not apologizing, I just know, I will likely receive ridiculous responses, so I am ahead of time, letting those people know, that I won't engage in arguments with them.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
For those in Central and Southern Florida, be prepared for severe weather throughout the day. Below is the Mesoscale Discussion regarding the situation from the SPC.



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0025
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0917 AM CST MON JAN 17 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...S FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 171517Z - 171715Z

PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND SRN FL WILL ARE BEING MONITORED FOR INCREASING
CONVECTIVE TRENDS AND A WW COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS
MORNING...AND ALONG AN E-W ORIENTED SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD
ACROSS N CNTRL FL. BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S F LURKING JUST OFFSHORE AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY...ALTHOUGH
COOL/STABLE CONDITIONS CURRENTLY EXIST OVER MUCH OF CNTRL FL WITH
DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE 50S F.

TO THE S...A WARM FRONT WAS NOTED ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND ACROSS THE
SE COAST OF FL...WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WERE ALREADY IN THE
LOWER 70S AND DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID 60S F. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
WAS OCCURRING SWD ALONG A CONFLUENCE LINE WHICH MAY DEMARCATE A
SLIGHTLY MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

THERE APPEARS TO BE TWO SEPARATE THREAT AREAS OVER FL TODAY...THE
FIRST OVER THE SERN PENINSULA WHERE STORMS WILL PERSIST ALONG A
RETREATING WARM FRONT. STORMS ACROSS THE KEYS AND OFFSHORE HAVE
SHOWN SIGNS OF ROTATION AT TIMES...AND THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE AS
THE STORMS MOVE ACROSS SRN FL THIS AFTERNOON WHEN AT LEAST SOME
FURTHER DESTABILIZATION IS ANTICIPATED. WITH A MOIST AIR MASS IN
PLACE AND AMPLE SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE PROFILE...ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.

THE SECOND AREA WILL BE ALONG THE MAIN SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER CNTRL
FL...WHERE DESTABILIZATION THROUGH ADVECTION AS WELL AS POCKETS OF
HEATING WILL OCCUR. STORMS CURRENTLY TRAINING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
MAY STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE DAY AND BECOME MORE SURFACE BASED WITH
TIME...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Thank you.

I about spit my coffee when I saw him out of all people making a comment about gun laws.


Your welcome. And yeah, this country doesn't get everything right, are there flaws? Is there corruption? Sure, yeah, its called being human and living with other humans. I personally am proud to be American, and I will stand by the laws the make this country great.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Jedkins01:
Also, I won't continue to talk over gun control any further, because for one, it is off topic, and second, I'm not getting into more silly debates that just cause trouble here.

I just needed to say what needed to be said. I'm not saying I'm smarter or something form expressing the view. Rather Ive opened my mind to wisdom that's been passed on to me from those more wise than me.


Why are you apologizing for stating the truth?

Not only that you stated it quite well also.


Member Since: October 10, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 716
426. Skyepony (Mod)
Tornado headed toward Kennedy Space center..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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