Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Another flooding mega-disaster: Sri Lanka recovers from extreme flooding
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:14 PM GMT on January 19, 2011 +3
At least 43 are dead and thousands still in refugee camps due to extreme flooding in eastern Sri Lanka caused by record monsoon rains. According to the United Nations, the rains in recent weeks in Sri Lanka have been the heaviest in nearly 100 years of record keeping, and the flood that resulted was a 1-in-100 year event, according to The U.N. Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System. Rainfall at Batticaloa, Sri Lanka, during the 42-day period December 1 - January 12 was 1606 mm (63"), which is about how much rain the station usually receives in an entire year (1651 mm, or 65".) Sri Lanka's previous most devastating flooding disaster was the 2004 tsunami, but as The Economist commented, "in terms of the numbers of people displaced and farmland inundated, the floods have been even more devastating than the tsunami of December 2004." Damage estimates start at $500 million, and much of Sri Lanka's agriculture has been severely damaged by the disaster. Also of concern is the large number of land mines from the recent Sri Lanka civil war that may have been unearthed by the floods. Water is also a major concern in the flood-hit area, as fighting between government forces and Tamil Tigers rebels from mid-2007 to May 2009 damaged or destroyed almost all of the water facilities.


Figure 1. A family affected by the 2011 Sri Lanka floods braves the flood waters. Image credit: United Nations.

Sri Lanka is now the fifth nation in the past six month to suffer a flooding disaster unprecedented in its history. As I reported in a previous post, the other four mega-impact floods--the July 2010 Pakistan floods, the December - January Queensland Australia floods, the November 2010 Colombia floods, and the January 2011 Rio de Janeiro floods--were all accompanied by an atmosphere laden with moisture, due, in part, due to sea surface temperatures over nearby ocean areas that were the 2nd or 3rd warmest on record. However, that was not the case for the Sri Lanka floods. Ocean temperatures during December 2010 were 0.2°C below average in the 5x5 degree square of ocean adjoining the island (5N - 10N, 80E - 85E). The floods appear to be due to the normal monsoon rains that typically affect the region this time of year, enhanced by the strong La Niña event occurring in the Eastern Pacific.


Figure 2. Satellite-estimated precipitation over Sri Lanka for January 3 - 9. Up to 18 inches (525 mm) fell over eastern Sri Lanka. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Flood
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501. EnergyMoron 5:26 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:


Did you know the water in your avatar moves when you look at it enlarged? Bet you knew that.


Had 40 minutes of silence yesterday night...
Member Since: December 8, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
502. Grothar 5:27 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Well sure I do....is it frightening?


No, Grothar is not afraid of anything, except Mrs. Bjornsen. (pseudonym)
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19550
503. Grothar 5:28 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting EnergyMoron:


Had 40 minutes of silence yesterday night...


Why, where did your wife go?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19550
504. EnergyMoron 5:28 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:


No, Grothar is not afraid of anything, except Mrs. Bjornsen.


RLOL (engels).

Snell... wel te rustig.

Member Since: December 8, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
505. Skyepony (Mod) 5:29 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Energymoron~ I couldn't help but get in the debate a little this morning..

Continuing with current explosions & contaminations from all this use of oil..there was yet another today.

More than 30 people were hurt following an explosion at PetroChina Co.’s Fushun refining complex in northwestern Liaoning province, the official Xinhua News Agency said, without citing anyone. No deaths were reported. A fire that started after the explosion has been brought under control, Xinhua said. Mao Zefeng, PetroChina’s Beijing- based spokesman, said the country’s biggest oil and gas producer is investigating and couldn’t provide more details. The explosion is the second in less than five months at Fushun complex, after local news website lnd.com.cn and Caijing Online reported a blast at the plant in September. The incidents trailed a series of industrial accidents last year, including a blast at an abandoned chemical factory in Nanjing city in July that killed at least six people and wounded more than 300. Today’s explosion occurred at 9:25 a.m. local time and sparked a fire at a heavy-oil catalytic cracking unit, used to break down heavy oil products into lighter fuels including gasoline, Xinhua said. Fushun complex is capable of processing 11.5 million metric tons of crude annually and producing 1.84 million tons of chemicals a year, according to the website of PetroChina’s parent, China National Petroleum Corp. Last year, acid leaked from one of Zijin Mining Group Co.’s copper mines into a river in Fujian province, while an oil spill in northeastern China shut beaches and a port.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29358
506. EYEStoSEA 5:30 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:


No, Grothar is not afraid of anything, except Mrs. Bjornsen.


LOL....well, wouldnt want to itimidate anyone with my cross-eyed avatar....have a good one with a hurricane on it, but gonna save it for "the season"
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1491
507. EnergyMoron 5:31 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:


Why, where did your wife go?


Er zijn vragen die het beste zijn onbeantwartd
Member Since: December 8, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
508. Grothar 5:32 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Skyepony:
Energymoron~ I couldn't help but get in the debate a little this morning..

Continuing with current explosions & contaminations from all this use of oil..there was yet another today.

More than 30 people were hurt following an explosion at PetroChina Co.%u2019s Fushun refining complex in northwestern Liaoning province, the official Xinhua News Agency said, without citing anyone. No deaths were reported. A fire that started after the explosion has been brought under control, Xinhua said. Mao Zefeng, PetroChina%u2019s Beijing- based spokesman, said the country%u2019s biggest oil and gas producer is investigating and couldn%u2019t provide more details. The explosion is the second in less than five months at Fushun complex, after local news website lnd.com.cn and Caijing Online reported a blast at the plant in September. The incidents trailed a series of industrial accidents last year, including a blast at an abandoned chemical factory in Nanjing city in July that killed at least six people and wounded more than 300. Today%u2019s explosion occurred at 9:25 a.m. local time and sparked a fire at a heavy-oil catalytic cracking unit, used to break down heavy oil products into lighter fuels including gasoline, Xinhua said. Fushun complex is capable of processing 11.5 million metric tons of crude annually and producing 1.84 million tons of chemicals a year, according to the website of PetroChina%u2019s parent, China National Petroleum Corp. Last year, acid leaked from one of Zijin Mining Group Co.%u2019s copper mines into a river in Fujian province, while an oil spill in northeastern China shut beaches and a port.


Did you see this one this morning?

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19550
509. EnergyMoron 5:33 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Skyepony:
Energymoron~ I couldn't help but get in the debate a little this morning..


Folks who walk the talk are welcome in the debate anytime.

The Doc also had a ready answer on the personal commitment question.

Keep it up :).
Member Since: December 8, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
510. Grothar 5:36 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting EnergyMoron:


Er zijn vragen die het beste zijn onbeantwartd


Ik hoor u. Wij zijn alle daar geweest. LOL

Nice weather we have been having. Hope is stays that way.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19550
511. Grothar 5:39 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Night everyone. Got to catch up on the beauty sleep. I figure 2 weeks should do it. Have fun.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19550
512. EYEStoSEA 5:40 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Been trying to remember the last day we had sunshine, but my brain cells are to depleted from lack of it....
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513. caneswatch 5:44 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
One more for the night:

Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
514. EnergyMoron 5:44 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:
Night everyone. Got to catch up on the beauty sleep. I figure 2 weeks should do it. Have fun.


Well, will click out after this...

Thanks for the link (as taz would say, "reported").

Gro, at your age, "beauty sleep"? As in "the beast"?

hit post then click (the instructions)
Member Since: December 8, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
515. xcool 5:49 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Member Since: September 26, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 15503
516. Skyepony (Mod) 6:02 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Wow~ How did I miss that explosion..

EnergyMoron~ I've really over the years done more than my share of debate here on AGW. Actually swayed some. I'm too short on time to rehash it these days. There is so much coming out in recently published articles (like the one I posted earlier) & new info to digest to keep riding the ones that don't get science & never had a chem class, though I'm glad others are. I suppose I've changed my debate again..lately it's been more~ are all these explosions worth the pollution this stuff causes? We've been too dumbed down & fed lies. That's why the scientific debate of AGW will never get us off oil & why the focus stays on that. Majority never took the sort of classes where they could understand the concept. The why we need to change to renewables needs to be simplified to other easier to understand problems the common person can grasp~ so we can keep the Appalachians, so they don't turn the northern midwest into Canada's Tar fields, we don't need anymore oil spills, have you seen the price of gas? Jeez that's gonna raise the price of beer..alot.

One last look at that blob NE of Fiji & I'm out.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29358
518. Neapolitan 10:40 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
The heat in the western U.S.--and the lack of anything but normal cold elsewhere--rolls on. In the past four days, there have been just 11 record daily low or low maximums set or tied across the country--against a whopping 376 record daily highs or high minimums. Among those low temps: 56 in Waikiki, Hawaii. Among the highs: 43 in Libby, Montana, and 89 in McAllen, Texas. (Not to pick on JB, but this might just be the final nail in the coffin for his "coldest January since 1985" forecast; with the exception of three or four days of bitter cold two weeks ago, the country has been mostly normal.)

It's 60 here, headed for a nice high of about 80. One quick bit of cool is expected over the weekend, but every other day for the next ten is expected to be in the 70s. As I so often say, sounds good to me.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11166
519. aquak9 11:01 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
g'morning wu-bloggers worldwide

I'd say it looks like a lovely day, except it's so foggy, I can't tell. Poor Moon has on her high beams, just so I can see her.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
520. IKE 11:05 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
My weekend forecast on NFL conference championship weekend....

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 50. North northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 53. Calm wind becoming northwest between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 55.

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
521. aquak9 11:25 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
EEEK!!! Ike! 25º??

now tell me- have they been yanking your saturday night low temp all over the board? cause we have gone from 49º, to 31º, back up to 39º...but our local NWS did admit they were having a hard time get a handle on the temps.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
522. IKE 11:29 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting aquak9:
EEEK!!! Ike! 25º??

now tell me- have they been yanking your saturday night low temp all over the board? cause we have gone from 49º, to 31º, back up to 39º...but our local NWS did admit they were having a hard time get a handle on the temps.


I haven't really been paying that much attention to it. Busy working.

Maybe they've dropped the lows a few degrees this weekend.

I was wanting to work in my yard some more this weekend. Highs in the low-mid 50's might be warm enough:)

Nice out this morning. 42.6 at my location.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
523. IKE 11:44 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Heard this on Sirius yesterday....Link
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
524. aquak9 11:45 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
that is good that you are busy, ike. I am still working 64 hours a week, except every third week, and then I work 72.

It is, what it is... :(

real foggy here, but the moon is still glowing. Spring will come soon, ike.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
525. IKE 11:47 AM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting aquak9:
that is good that you are busy, ike. I am still working 64 hours a week, except every third week, and then I work 72.

It is, what it is... :(

real foggy here, but the moon is still glowing. Spring will come soon, ike.


I've been real busy since November. It's slowed down this week, but still profitable.

You work a lot.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
528. aquak9 12:50 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
cat5- sorry, we floridians are being greedy with our warmer temps :)

ike- I will work till I die...can't listen to the link at work :(
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
532. aquak9 1:12 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
we are dense fog up here in Jax, too, cat5. I'm on the 8th floor and can not see anything.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
535. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 1:20 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting aquak9:
that is good that you are busy, ike. I am still working 64 hours a week, except every third week, and then I work 72.

It is, what it is... :(

real foggy here, but the moon is still glowing. Spring will come soon, ike.
two more moons till spring
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 144 Comments: 40636
536. aquak9 1:24 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
hi keeper

2 more moons? ahh well.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
538. IKE 1:28 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting aquak9:
cat5- sorry, we floridians are being greedy with our warmer temps :)

ike- I will work till I die...can't listen to the link at work :(


George Harrison...When we was Fab...1987...only got up to #23. WTH?
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
543. Skyepony (Mod) 1:47 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Navy declared the blob NE of Fiji (06F) an invest..95P is born.

Aqua~Thick fog last few has been such a treat.. the moisture. That would be torcher, behind glass, skin/lungs deprived of drinking it in.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29358
544. Sergej7 1:55 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
20 January 2011 — The Met Office and the University of East Anglia have today released provisional global temperature figures for 2010, which show the year to be the second warmest on record.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2011/2010-global-temperature

Link
Member Since: March 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 35
545. kwgirl 1:56 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Good morning everyone. Well for the 4th time in the last 2 weeks the Keys are socked in with fog. In my 50 years living here I do not recall such an occurance. Real strange since this is our "dry" season. Lot of moisture in the air. Hopefully, it will dampen the fire season in Florida. Our visibility this morning was 500 feet in some places. And nice and quiet. The only other times I have seen fog thicker is when I was traveling through the panhandle during Dec in 1970. It was so thick the bus had missed the exit ramp off I10 and backed up to take it. I have never been so scared!
Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530
546. aquak9 1:57 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
skye- is not so bad, like being in a fantasy land up here, barely seeing the edge of a treetop, looking down.

the fog is sweet, soft. Yeah I wish I could be outside playing in it, tho.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
547. calusakat 2:00 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Xyrus2000:


But how?

You believe that everything and anything even remotely related to climate science is distorted by some giant conspiracy. You've built your arguments on that wild belief, and have committed about every logical fallacy known while doing so from Ad Hominem to Strawman.

There IS no logical argument to be made because you've started from the point of fallacious reasoning. EVERYTHING said from the science stand point is wrong, by virtue of it being climate scientists. We might as well argue about the existence of a deity, because it's about as pointless with your logic.

You don't address questions. You don't post verified data. You make wide sweeping accusations with no verifiable proof. From your postings you don't even understand the basics of climate science. You constantly fall back on "The Lords Of Climate" or some other middle school-esque antics dismissing anything you don't wish to address with passive aggressive behavior and an arrogance bordering on that of extreme religious leaders.

If this is your view of how a constructive debate is had about a subject, especially a scientific one, you either need to go back to school or grow up (or both). Your "discussion" abilities are more suited to the schoolyard or arguing "My god can beat up your god" nonsense.

I don't care if you don't think that climate change is happening. Good for you. Ignorance is bliss. But if you can't partake intelligently and maturely in a discussion then keep your beliefs to yourself, because that is all they are.


Ah more trash talk from the Great X.

As long as weather scientists can look us in the eye and tell us that altered and falsified data, collected using admitted sloppy data gathering techniques, is somehow made true and accurate through the use of the 'Disclaimer', your defense of those scientists and their conclusions, by slandering those who see through the sham is specious at best and reprehensible is probably a more appropriate description.

These discussions are about the future of this planet and we must all insist on high levels of accuracy in order to be sure we make a truly informed decision when dealing with AGW and its supposed dangers. Even those who worship the concept of AGW, as you so clearly do, should at least have the strength of character to demand those same high levels of accuracy as well. Your catterwalling and railing against those who see things differently seem to suggest that you, down deep, know it is wrong to allow such sloppy science.

I think it was Mark Twain who once said..'A man always gets angry when he's wrong.'

Maybe, someday you will wake up.

Until then we will keep the light on for you.



Member Since: October 10, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 716
548. Skyepony (Mod) 2:00 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
95P got a floater even..


Aqua~ That must be surreal being so high up in thick fog.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29358
549. aquak9 2:08 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Skyepony:
95P got a floater even..


Aqua~ That must be surreal being so high up in thick fog.


it's better than being in a lockdown mental/criminal/forensic facility, hahaha...expect it's more depressing here.

The windows (we are windows all around) are glowing.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
550. biff4ugo 2:15 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Good Morning/Evening

Michael,
It looks like there is a periodic cold year, timed with the US presidential cycle (every 4th year)since 2000. I'm surprised to see a signal like that arrise out of all the model noise in the previous 15 to 25 years.
Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 107 Comments: 1188
551. calusakat 2:17 PM GMT on January 20, 2011    
Quoting Sergej7:
20 January 2011 — The Met Office and the University of East Anglia have today released provisional global temperature figures for 2010, which show the year to be the second warmest on record.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2011/2010-global-temperature

Link


'Provisional'?

Are they changing from 'Disclaimer'? Hmmmm.

Keep an eye on that word folks.


Member Since: October 10, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 716

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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