Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Nor'easter poised to dump heavy snows; Australian tropical cyclone season heats up
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:31 PM GMT on January 26, 2011 +3
A developing low pressure system along the North Carolina coast will intensify today and move northeast towards Cape Cod, Massachusetts, bringing heavy rain and snow to the mid-Atlantic and New England. A swath of 6 - 10" of snow is expected over inland regions of New England, from Philadelphia to Boston. A storm surge of up to 2.5' is expected along the Massachusetts coast, which will cause mostly minor coastal flooding, but considerable erosion damage.

The 1.9" of snow that fell in Hartford, Connecticut yesterday brought that city's January snowfall total to 44.9", a new record for the month. With an additional 6 - 10 inches expected today, Hartford will surpass its record for snowiest month of all-time, the 45.3" that fell in December 1945.

The storm brought heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches to much of the Southeast yesterday, easing that region's La Niña-related drought. The low swept a cold front across Florida last night, bringing severe thunderstorms with damaging winds gusts of up to 75 mph to twenty locations in the state. One tornado was reported, but no significant damage was reported.


Figure 1. The cold front from today's Nor'easter swept across Florida last night, bringing a line of severe thunderstorms that spawned one tornado and numerous reports of damaging winds.

Tropical Cyclone activity heats up near Australia
The year's first Category 4 tropical cyclone is Tropical Cyclone Wilma, which is churning the waters near Tonga in the Southern Hemisphere with sustained winds of 135 mph (minimum Category 4 strength.) Wilma passed over American Samoa as a strong tropical storm, and hit Tonga as a Category 3 storm. Substantial damage has been reported on Tonga, but no deaths or injuries. Wilma is recurving out to sea, and will not affect Australia.

Australia is keeping an eye on Tropical Cylone Bianca, which is expected to skirt the northwest coast of the country over the next few days. Of much greater concern for Australia are two potential tropical cyclones that could hit the flood-ravaged state of Queensland next week. Both the European Center and GFS models predict that the remains of Tropical Cyclone Anthony will regenerate into a tropical storm late this week and hit Queensland early next week. A second and potentially more powerful storm is forecast to form next week in the islands to the east of Australia, and threaten Queensland at the end of the week. This is potentially terrible news for Australia, which is attempting to recover from record floods. As reported in the latest Bureau of Meteorology climate statement and flood summary, the past four months (September - December) have been the rainiest such period in Queensland's history, and the resulting flooding disaster has been Australia's most expensive natural disaster in history.


Figure 2. Tropical Cyclone Wilma, the globe's first major tropical cyclone of 2011, as seen at 01:45 GMT on January 26. 2011 by NASA's Aqua satellite. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Winter Weather
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251. SWFLgazer 9:18 AM GMT on January 27, 2011    
I never thought I'd ever agree with Michael, but thundersnow in the Midwest is at least a once a year phenomena. I grew up in Southern Indiana. It may not be normal, but it is far from unheard of.
Member Since: August 14, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 447
252. greentortuloni 9:30 AM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting aspectre:
Forget Armageddon, this is SERIOUS

Floodwaters turning Aussies into glow-in-the-dark mutant Smurfs


I remember the summer I spent teaching diving in Roatan. I lived next to Spooky Channel, at night we'd go out on the dock and look down and see bioluminescence, look up and see shooting stars and heat lightning. The heat lightning (whatever the real cause) used to occur when the sky was so clear you can see the milky way and you wouldn't think there were any clouds, then from one side of hte sky to the other, the sparks would start and suddenly all these enormous clouds would be visible. I don't know if the bioluminescence included the string-of-pearls glows, but we dove a lot at night and it was something else spectacular.
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253. aquak9 12:46 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
wow...where's dayshift?
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25007
254. AussieStorm 1:39 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Evening all. Here is the RADAR from Learmouth WA showing TC Bianca. 75km(120Mile) Eye atm.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13321
255. kwgirl 1:42 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Good Morning. I'm here and I see I missed the party as well. Beautiful cool, sunny day in the Keys. Got some rain yesterday with the front moving through, but nothing like the storm Central Fla. had. This sure has been a wet winter for the Keys. I have to find some time to mow the grass. Though I shouldn't complain, it has been a month since I did it last. It is a weekly chore in the summer.
Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530
256. Sergej7 1:43 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Tokyo Climate Center - The annual anomaly of the global average surface temperature in 2010 (i.e. the average of the near-surface air temperature over land and the SST) was +0.36°C (preliminary value) above normal (based on 1971-2000 average), and was the 2nd warmest since 1891.
Five Warmest Years (Anomalies)
1st. 1998(+0.37°C), 2nd. 2010(+0.36°C), 3rd. 2005(+0.32°C), 4th. 2009,2006,2003,2002(+0.31°C)

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/gwp/temp/ann_wld.html
Link

Member Since: March 3, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 35
257. txag91met 1:57 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting EnergyMoron:


Gig em.

I'm a dinosaur and working with an Aggie right now too (petroleum engineering, although natural gas related).

Yea he was my professor at A&M.
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258. Orcasystems 2:15 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Complete Update





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259. hydrus 2:47 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting AussieStorm:
Evening all. Here is the RADAR from Learmouth WA showing TC Bianca. 75km(120Mile) Eye atm.
Hello Aussie..Parts of Australia getting hammered with severe weather. And it looks like there will be more of it. I hope nature will give all of you a break soon...This could be a big storm for the U.S...Link
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14283
260. Skyepony (Mod) 2:47 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting bappit:

Good info. Thanks for the post!


Really that Onion spoof~ good info? lol My favorite parts was the NWS dude declaring it a cat 5, F4, and Level 7 redemptive act of God.. 15' of snow in TN & the second landfall on FL to wipe out the 4 remaining cities..

Here's the link in case anyone needs a good morning laugh. I think it referred to that storm that near 1/2 circled the globe & was partially blamed for el Nino being so strong. I want to say it started with a T, guy name?..2008, out of the WPAC..diving me crazy, can't remember it's name.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29293
261. hydrus 2:49 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting Xyrus2000:


If you were in eastern Maryland, it was thundersnow.
Good morning Xyrus..Did you see this.?...Link
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14283
262. washingtonian115 3:01 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
All D.C public schools are closed.A huge tree branch has snapped in my front yard!!.And I didn't put the exclaimation marks for excitment,but for shock/surprise.Now we're going to have to get someone to cut it.That tree however is old.it's about 105+ years old.Some cars on the beltway are still abandon,and in the city.D.C and surrounding areas weren't prepard for this snow to come down the way it did.It came down fast and heavy.
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263. washingtonian115 3:03 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Xyrus2000 is from Maryland?.DMV in the house!!!!
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10635
264. Neapolitan 3:22 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11153
265. hydrus 3:23 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Xyrus2000 is from Maryland?.DMV in the house!!!!
You might like this...Link
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14283
266. kwgirl 6:26 PM GMT on January 27, 2011    
Quoting hydrus:
Hello Aussie..Parts of Australia getting hammered with severe weather. And it looks like there will be more of it. I hope nature will give all of you a break soon...This could be a big storm for the U.S...Link
That looks like it could be another Groundhog day storm for Florida.
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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