Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Weekend tornado outbreak causes heavy damage in Virginia, Iowa
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:00 PM GMT on April 11, 2011 +3
Floods, fires, and tornadoes hammered the nation this weekend, a sure sign that April is here. The severe weather action began on Friday night in the mid-Atlantic when twin tornadoes touched down in Pulaski, Virginia. The twisters, one a strong EF-1 with 105 - 110 mph winds, and the other an EF-2 with 125 mph winds damaged 450 buildings, caused $8 million in damage, and injured eight people. The most significant day of the weekend tornado outbreak occurred on Saturday as a powerful storm over the Upper Midwest dragged a cold front through Iowa. Twenty-seven tornado reports were recorded in Iowa by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center. The most powerful of these tornadoes was the huge, 3/4 mile-wide tornado that plowed through the tiny town of Mapleton, Iowa on Saturday evening, leaving a trail of destruction 3.5 miles long. The tornado, preliminarily rated as an EF-3 with 136 - 165 mph winds, flattened 20% of the town of 1200 residents and damaged half of the buildings. Fourteen were injured, but miraculously no one died. The severe weather continued on Sunday with seven reports of tornadoes over Wisconsin. The most serious was a tornado in Lincoln County, which destroyed or heavily damaged 30 buildings, and caused three serious injuries.


Figure 1. Tornado chaser video from Saturday's twisters over Iowa from tornadovideos.net.

More severe weather today
As the cold front that triggered the weekend's severe weather progresses eastwards across the U.S. today, NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed a wide swath of the Northeast and Southeast under their "slight" risk area for severe weather, one notch down from the "Medium" risk that was posted for Wisconsin on Sunday and Iowa on Saturday. Tuesday and Wednesday should be relatively quiet days for severe weather, but Thursday will see a renewed chance of a significant severe weather outbreak in the Oklahoma-Arkansas region, as a major new spring storm gathers strength over the Midwest.


Figure 2. Severe weather outlook from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center for Monday places much of the Northeast and Southeast in the "Slight" risk area for severe weather.

Tornado season near average so far this year
According to statistics compiled by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, 2011's tornado season has been near-average so far. The preliminary number of tornadoes reported as of April 10 was 301, and the six-year average from 2006 - 2010 was 339. Preliminary tornado counts are typically about 15% too high, so the actual number of confirmed tornadoes will end up being around 256. The peak part of tornado season is just getting started--typically, only 17% of the season's activity has occurred by April 10. The number of strong (EF-2 and EF-3) tornadoes has been rather low so far; the Mapleton tornado was just the seventh EF-3 of 2011. There have been no violent EF-4 or EF-5 tornadoes so far this year. The death toll of just three so far in 2011 is remarkably low for mid-April, a testament to good warnings and a good helping of luck.

Jeff Masters
Cold in April (Railheel)
Hail, wind, and rain came through with unknow damage as of now. did break windshilds.
Cold in April
Tornado-damaged house (ChrisAnthemum)
Early Tuesday morning, a tornado raked along Ararat Road in Pilot Mountain, NC, damaging several houses and downing many trees. A cleanup crew was working on this one when we drove by on Sunday.
Tornado-damaged house
Categories: Tornado
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402. ILwthrfan 2:42 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting eddy12:
Neo I have caught some of the facts you post on here to be false and never have you ever said I stand corrected if you dispute something I post here as false and can prove it I will admit I was wrong and thank you for correcting me that is how we get more knowledge.


Nobody's perfect but Nea gets his facts right as good as anyone else on this blog and he is always citing and linking his sources which enables the reader to come their own conclusions.
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404. ILwthrfan 2:50 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting eddy12:
ILwthr fan sorry to hear that but on the other side for all the damage you descibed didn't 7000 dollar seem a little cheap.


Of course, but the adjuster was the head #*$& in charge. It didn't matter what we thought. He blew smoke up our pipe when we questioned any of the damages he priced out. It was just laughable with his reasoning on the tranny not being need to be tested or checked. Apprieciate the condolences, but I should probably stop crying about insurance. It is a weather blog, and I am bogging the blog down today with this... So apoligies to the crowd for that.
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405. BobinTampa 2:55 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting ILwthrfan:


Of course, but the adjuster was the head #*$& in charge. It didn't matter what we thought. He blew smoke up our pipe when we questioned any of the damages he priced out. It was just laughable with his reasoning on the tranny not being need to be tested or checked. Apprieciate the condolences, but I should probably stop crying about insurance. It is a weather blog, and I am bogging the blog down today with this... So apoligies to the crowd for that.


I work in insurance so I don't mind trying to help out a fellow wublogger. do you have the car back already? If so, is it running okay?
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 508
406. sunlinepr 2:56 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Income Gap Between Rich, Poor the Widest Ever
Census Bureau Finds Record Income Equality; Richest 20% of Americans Earn Nearly Half of All Nation's Income

(AP) The income gap between the richest and poorest Americans grew last year to its widest amount on record as young adults and children in particular struggled to stay afloat in the recession.

The top-earning 20 percent of Americans - those making more than $100,000 each year - received 49.4 percent of all income generated in the U.S., compared with the 3.4 percent earned by those below the poverty line, according to newly released census figures. That ratio of 14.5-to-1 was an increase from 13.6 in 2008 and nearly double a low of 7.69 in 1968.

A different measure, the international Gini index, found U.S. income inequality at its highest level since the Census Bureau began tracking household income in 1967. The U.S. also has the greatest disparity among Western industrialized nations.

At the top, the wealthiest 5 percent of Americans, who earn more than $180,000, added slightly to their annual incomes last year, census data show. Families at the $50,000 median level slipped lower.

"Income inequality is rising, and if we took into account tax data, it would be even more," said Timothy Smeeding, a University of Wisconsin-Madison professor who specializes in poverty. "More than other countries, we have a very unequal income distribution where compensation goes to the top in a winner-takes-all economy."

Lower-skilled adults ages 18 to 34 had the largest jumps in poverty last year as employers kept or hired older workers for the dwindling jobs available, Smeeding said. The declining economic fortunes have caused many unemployed young Americans to double-up in housing with parents, friends and loved ones, with potential problems for the labor market if they don't get needed training for future jobs, he said.

Rea Hederman Jr., a senior policy analyst at The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank, agreed that census data show families of all income levels had tepid earnings in 2009, with poorer Americans taking a larger hit. "It's certainly going to take a while for people to recover," he said.

The findings are part of a broad array of U.S. census data being released this month that highlight the far-reaching impact of the recent economic meltdown. The effects have ranged from near-historic declines in U.S. mobility and birth rates to delayed marriage and the first drop in the number of illegal immigrants in two decades.

The census figures also come amid heated political debate in the run-up to the Nov. 2 elections over whether Congress should extend expiring Bush-era tax cuts. President Barack Obama wants to extend the tax cuts for individuals making less than $200,000 and joint filers making less than $250,000; Republicans are pushing for tax cuts for everyone, including wealthy Americans.

The 2009 census tabulations, which are based on pre-tax income and exclude capital gains, are adjusted for household size where data are available. Prior analyses of after-tax income made by the wealthiest 1 percent compared to middle- and low-income Americans have also pointed to a widening inequality gap, but only reflect U.S. data as of 2007.

Among the 2009 findings:

--The poorest poor are at record highs. The share of Americans below half the poverty line - $10,977 for a family of four - rose from 5.7 percent in 2008 to 6.3 percent. It was the highest level since the government began tracking that group in 1975.

--The poverty gap between young and old has doubled since 2000, due partly to the strength of Social Security in helping buoy Americans 65 and over. Child poverty is now 21 percent compared with 9 percent for older Americans. In 2000, when child poverty was at 16 percent, elderly poverty stood at 10 percent.

--Safety nets are helping fill health gaps. The percentage of children covered by government-sponsored health insurance such as Medicaid and the Children's Health Insurance Program jumped to 37 percent, or 27.6 million, from 24 percent in 2000. That helped offset steady losses in employer-sponsored insurance.

The 2009 poverty level was set at $21,954 for a family of four, based on an official government calculation that includes only cash income. It excludes noncash aid such as food stamps.

Arloc Sherman, a senior researcher at the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, noted the effects of expanded government programs in cushioning the impact of skyrocketing unemployment. For example, the Census Bureau estimates that 3.6 million people would have been lifted above the poverty line if food stamps were counted - a number that would have reduced the 2009 poverty rate from the official 14.3 percent to 13.2 percent.

Sheldon Danziger, a University of Michigan public policy professor, said while the U.S. has developed policies to combat poverty, it has trouble addressing ever-widening income inequality - even with a growing federal deficit and previous warnings by former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan about soaring executive pay.

An Associated Press-GfK Poll this month found that by 54 percent to 44 percent, most Americans support raising taxes on the highest U.S. earners. Still, many congressional Democrats have expressed wariness about provoking the 44 percent minority so close to Election Day.

"We're pretty good about not talking about income inequality," Danziger said.
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407. ILwthrfan 2:57 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Anyways. Looks like Brownsville is knocking on the door to 80 degree water temps, meanwhile the gulf stream off Florida's east coast as spiked up to 86 degrees in Melbourne points south to Miami.

4/11/2011
Atlantic



4/11/2011
Gulf

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408. aquak9 2:59 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
swoon
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409. BobinTampa 3:01 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting Neapolitan:

Good morning. Well, they do get a donation of sorts courtesy of Florida's insurance commissioner allowing them to jack up rental property premiums by 62%. After all, we really need All State to remain "viable in the marketplace"--meaning that any net profit less than $5 million a day is simply unacceptable.

On another note, I'm going to try to no longer engage those who can't discuss things calmly and politely, and instead resort to name-calling whenever they sense they're on the wrong end of any disagreement. I was on debate squads all-through high school and college, and much as we wanted to do so at times, cursing at the opposing team was always frowned upon--even when the opponent was clearly winning.



you may want to go back and reread my initial post where basically all I did was ask questions. Then reread the tone of your response.

As for State Farm (not Allstate), they actually do lose money in Florida. Almost all homeowners insurance carriers do (mostly due to sinkhole claims). There are plenty of other options for State Farm's policyholders. If they choose to stay with State Farm because they trust the name, why would I care? If they choose a lower premium with another carrier, that's cool too.

State Farm is high on auto insurance here as well. But many people have been with them for years and don't want to switch. Even when the other option is a well-known carrier like Travelers or Hartford. That's their choice though and I don't begrudge them.

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410. sunlinepr 3:02 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
NEW BLOG!!!
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411. ILwthrfan 3:03 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting BobinTampa:


I work in insurance so I don't mind trying to help out a fellow wublogger. do you have the car back already? If so, is it running okay?




Your insight is greatly apprieciated! I didn't mean any disrespect to your profession. My agent unfortunately just doesn't have the power to do anything for us. The higher keepers are staying firm with thier initial reasoning. What they say goes unfortunately.

I have only drove the vehicle once and that was yesterday for about 5 minutes, so I didn't get a great feel for the car. Nor did I get a chance to use the 4,5,and 6 gear. They still have a tire to replace and I didn't want to put any strain on the old damaged one that was still on there. The car rode smooth but it seemed harder to turn left than right. And the point of impact was right on the left front tire.
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412. overwash12 3:03 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Hurricanes heading for the gulf this season will surely put a damper on the economy,gas prices will be in the 5 to 6 dollar range IMO!
Member Since: June 24, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1049
413. BobinTampa 3:04 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
ILwthrfan,
Have you contacted your State Farm agent to discuss the issues you're having with the adjuster?

Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 508
414. ILwthrfan 3:09 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting BobinTampa:
ILwthrfan,
Have you contacted your State Farm agent to discuss the issues you're having with the adjuster?

Yes sir, sure did. Thats when they had upper management contact us for any questions. The result was pretty much "we are not changing our stance on this" Our Agent was not happy with the adjuster, but the agency had the adjusters back so to speak. Claiming he was in the right. Despite the underestimating the damage of the car by $8,000.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1033
415. aspectre 3:11 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Yesterday's magnitude6.2earthquake was epicentered
142miles(~229kilometres) at 191.3degrees(SSW) from FukushimaDaichi
51miles(~82kilometres) at 113.3degrees(ESE) from centralTokyo
Today's magnitude6.0earthquake was epicentered
34miles(~55kilometres) at 212.3degrees(SSW) from FukushimaDaiichi
105miles(~167kilometres) at 31.2(NNE) from centralTokyo
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846
416. aspectre 3:13 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
NEW BLOG
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417. hurricanejunky 3:27 PM GMT on April 12, 2011    
Quoting biff4ugo:
Great Information on here today.

I'm glad the storms sweeping into FL today look weaker.

Why are polititians afraid to raises taxes, but let gas prices flucutate wildly and crush our economy on a daily basis? Makes no sense to me.

They want to build houses to create jobs, but we have too many houses already... hence the drop in value. We need to stoke the green economy! PV farms are growing, but slowly.


GREAT POST!! +1000
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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