Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Deadly tornadoes rip OK, KS, and AR; high tornado risk today; Joplin tornado an EF-5
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:48 PM GMT on May 25, 2011 +4
America's deadliest tornado season since 1953 continued its relentless onslaught of violent tornadoes yesterday. Numerous destructive and deadly tornadoes raked Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas, and Arkansas, killing at least nine people. Yesterday's deadliest tornado hit El Reno and Piedmont, Oklahoma, about 30 miles to the west and northwest of Oklahoma City. Four people died, and one child is missing. Video of the damage from this tornado near the town of Piedmont shot by a news9.com helicopter shows damage characteristic of an EF-4 tornado, with many homes completely demolished and swept off their foundations. This tornado produced a wind gust of 151 mph at an Oklahoma Mesonet station in El Reno, Oklahoma.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado that killed at least four people about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City.


Figure 2. Doppler velocity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado.


Figure 3. Top wind gusts recorded by the Oklahoma Mesonet yesterday showed that over 2/3 of the state received gusts of 40 mph or greater, and ten stations got gusts in excess of 58 mph (the definition of a severe thunderstorm.) A remarkable gust of 151 mph was recorded in El Reno, about 30 miles west of Oklahoma City.


Video 1. Chase video of the 1/2-mile wide tornado that killed four people in Canadian/Caddo Counties about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City on Tuesday, May 24, 2011.

Joplin, Missouri got a scare last night when Doppler radar showed a rotating thunderstorm approaching the city from the southwest. A tornado warning was issued and the sirens sounded, but the storm passed just to the northwest of the city, bringing Joplin only heavy rains, wind gusts to 41 mph, and intense lightning. A tornado warning forced the evacuation of NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma late yesterday afternoon, and the center was out of commission for a 50-minute period. However, yesterday's dangerous tornadoes missed the most heavily populated areas of Oklahoma, and SPC was able to resume normal activity after the storms cleared Oklahoma City. The center logged 47 reports of tornadoes yesterday, bringing the preliminary 4-day total of the current outbreak to 153 twisters. With more tornadoes expected today over a wide swath of the country from Arkansas to Ohio, this week's tornado outbreak is likely to rank as one of the top ten tornado outbreaks in history. This year already has the two largest tornado outbreaks in history, the April 25 - 28 outbreak (327 tornadoes) and the April 14 - 16 outbreak (162 tornadoes.)

This year's tornado death toll is in the 495 - 499 range, making it the deadliest year for tornadoes in the U.S. since 1953, when 519 people died. That year, three heavily populated cities received direct hits by violent tornadoes. Waco, Texas (114 killed), Flint, Michigan (115 killed), and Worcester, Massachusetts (90 killed) all were hit by violent F-4 or F-5 tornadoes. A similar bad tornado year occurred in 1936, when violent tornadoes hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.)


Figure 4. Satellite image taken at 22:32 UTC (6:32pm EDT) May 24, 2011, showing a line of tornadic thunderstorms over Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.


Figure 5. Radar image of an unusual "J"-shaped tendril emerging from a tornadic thunderstorm near Dallas, Texas. This storm had unusually high radar reflectivity (note the pink colors of 70 dbZ echoes), because of large hail in the storm. This thunderstorm produced softball-sized hail (4.5 inch diameter.)


Video 2. Chase video of several Oklahoma tornadoes intercepted yesterday by Reed Timmer of tornadovideos.net.

The Joplin tornado an EF-5, and the costliest tornado in history
The Springfield, Missouri office of the National Weather Service announced yesterday that storm surveys of the 7-mile long, 3/4 mile-wide path of damage carved by the Joplin tornado revealed that winds in the violent tornado exceeded 200 mph, making it the 4th EF-5 tornado of the year. The twister roared through Joplin beginning at 5:41pm CDT on Sunday, May 22. In nine terrifying minutes, the tornado killed at least 125 people, injured 750 more, and destroyed 2,000 buildings. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) rates this year's Joplin tornado as the 8th deadliest U.S. tornado of all-time, and the deadliest since at least 1947, when a violent F-5 tornado hit Woodward, Oklahoma, killing 181.

Catastrophe risk modeling firm EQECAT said yesterday that insured damages from the Joplin tornado could be between $1 billion and $3 billion dollars. According to NOAA's National Severe Storm Laboratory, the costliest tornado between 1890 - 1999 was the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City tornado, which did $1 billion in damage (1999 dollars.) There were no tornadoes during the period 2000 - 2010 capable of causing $1 billion in damage; the only two EF-5 tornadoes during that period, the 2007 Greensburg, Kansas tornado and the 2008 Parkersburg, Iowa tornado each did less than $300 million in damage. Thus, with the possible exception of this year's Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornado of April 27, the Joplin tornado is probably the most damaging tornado of all-time.

Another "High Risk" day for severe weather and violent tornadoes today
The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of seven states, from Arkansas to Indiana, in their "High Risk" region for severe weather potential, and warn of the potential for long-lived strong or violent tornadoes. This is their second consecutive "High Risk" forecast day, and fourth of the year. A high risk forecast was also issued on April 27, which was the busiest tornado day in world history, with 198 tornadoes occurring in a 24-hour period. Over 300 people died. The other "High Risk" forecast by SPC came during the final day of the April 14 - 16 outbreak over the Southeast U.S. Fifty-two tornadoes hit that day, and 26 people died in North Carolina and Virginia. The severe weather threat will diminish considerably on Thursday, when only a slight risk of severe weather is expected from Alabama to New York.


Figure 5. Severe weather threat for Wednesday, May 25, 2011.

Joplin tornado the 7th U.S. billion-dollar weather disaster of 2011
The Joplin tornado is the 7th U.S. weather disaster of 2011 costing more than a billion dollars. With hurricane season still to come, 2011 has an excellent chance of beating 2008's record of nine billion-dollar weather disasters. The billion dollar weather disasters of 2011 so far:

1) 2011 Groundhog Day's blizzard ($1- $4 billion)
2) April 3 -5 Southeast U.S. severe weather outbreak ($2 billion)
3) April 8 - 11 severe weather outbreak ($2.25 billion)
4) April 25 - 28 super tornado outbreak ($3.5 - $6 billion)
5) Mississippi River flood of 2011 ($9 billion)
6) Texas drought ($1.2 billion)
7) Joplin tornado ($1 - $3 billion)

Links
The New York Times has an interactive tornado fatality map showing how this year's killer tornadoes have mostly clustered over the Southeast U.S., with the glaring exception of the Joplin, Missouri tornado.

NOAA's Visualization Laboratory has an impressive animation of the satellite imagery during the month of April, showing the locations of all the tornadoes as they happened.

Helping out tornado victims
For those who want to lend a helping hand to those impacted by the widespread destruction this month's severe weather has brought, stop by the Red Cross website, or portlight.org blog. Portlight has been very active bringing aid to the victims of this year's tornadoes.

Jeff Masters

joplin lightning (thestig1)
The storm in Joplin Mo. before destruction
joplin lightning
Tornado (smyezek)
Tornado near Okeene, Ok
Tornado
Much clearer view of it as it roped out (vortecguy)
Much clearer view of it as it roped out
()
Categories: Tornado
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251. IceCoast 8:14 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Latest from SPC...

...MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK IS UNDERWAY...

BASED ON LATEST TRENDS IN TORNADIC SUPERCELL EVOLUTION HAVE MADE A
NWWD ADJUSTMENT TO HIGH RISK ACROSS MO. RADAR AND DIAGNOSTIC DATA
SUGGEST A SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK EXTENDS ALONG THE WARM FRONT
DRAPED ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR FROM CNTRL MO...EWD INTO THE STL
AREA. FOR THIS REASON HAVE INCREASED THE PROBABILITY FOR
SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES TO ACCOUNT FOR NUMEROUS...POTENTIALLY
LONG-TRACK AND DAMAGING TORNADOES SPREADING ACROSS ERN MO TOWARD
WCNTRL/SRN IL. ADDITIONALLY...CU FIELD IS EXPANDING/DEEPENING
ACROSS MUCH OF AR AND SCT-NUMEROUS TORNADIC SUPERCELLS SHOULD EVOLVE OVER THIS REGION THEN SPREAD INTO WRN TN/KY BY EARLY EVENING.
Member Since: October 17, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1254
252. emcf30 8:14 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    

Its going to get alot crazier soon. Storms are going to start firing in Ar then will move into TN.
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253. Neapolitan 8:14 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting RitaEvac:
And as this drought continues to worsen, this is upping the odds of a tropical cyclone hit later this year along TX

000
SXUS74 KEPZ 240709
RERELP

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO, TX
106 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...RECORD LONG DRY STREAK AT EL PASO...

YESTERDAY WAS THE 110TH CONSECUTIVE DAY IN EL PASO WITHOUT
PRECIPITATION. THIS BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 109 DAYS
WHICH WAS SET IN 2002.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11153
254. kmanislander 8:15 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


There are some scattered showers to the east of you.Looks like the air is more moist in the Central Caribbean part.



Indeed. We did have about an inch and a half of rain over the past couple of days which was really welcome but have since returned to dry conditions as the ULL that was over the Yucatan channel lifted out. The models are showing moisture coming back to the NW Caribbean over the next several days.
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255. Jax82 8:17 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
seems there is a tornado warning for half of missouri. This is a pretty scary radar.


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256. sunlinepr 8:17 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
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257. emcf30 8:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
21 Tornadoes reported so far today before 4 EST. Not even prime time yet. We are going to have a potential of high numbers today. Yesterday we has 48 I believe
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258. ProphetessofDoom 8:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Hi all! I'm a long time follower, but finally decided to join up! Hoping the boards won't be as volatile this season! :)
I don't want to seem unconcerned about the Midwest (I hope for the best for all who may be impacted), but I have a hurricane question. If I recall, the drier the month of May has been in South Florida, the more likely it is for tropical activity to strike later during the season. Is this correlation a supported one? If so, what will that mean for an area that is 5 inches under average rainfall for the month? Thanks!
Member Since: May 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
259. IceCoast 8:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting emcf30:

Its going to get alot crazier soon. Storms are going to start firing in Ar then will move into TN.


Yup, the show has already begun. Tornado Warning on the cell just North of Little Rock now. Several more storms are forming behind this one that will move close to downtown.


TORNADO WARNING
ARC045-085-119-145-252100-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0160.110525T2012Z-110525T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
312 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN WHITE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN FAULKNER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN LONOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 310 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MAUMELLE...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF WEST LITTLE
ROCK. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
WARD... VILONIA... ROLAND...
OLMSTEAD... MT VERNON... MORGAN...
MAYFLOWER... MAUMELLE... MARCHE...
GREYSTONE... SALTILLO... ROMANCE...
PALARM... OTTO... NATURAL STEPS...
EL PASO... CATO... ZION HILL...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 135 AND 145.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.
Member Since: October 17, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1254
260. Titoxd 8:19 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
TORNADO WARNING
MOC183-189-510-252100-
/O.NEW.KLSX.TO.W.0090.110525T2016Z-110525T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
316 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN ST. CHARLES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
EASTERN ST. LOUIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
ST. LOUIS CITY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 313 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR THE INTERSECTION THE INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATES 44 AND 270.
A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
DANGEROUS STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRENTWOOD...CREVE COEUR...LADUE...MAPLEWOOD...RICHMOND HEIGHTS...
CLAYTON...OLIVETTE...UNIVERSITY CITY...ST. LOUIS...OVERLAND...ST.
ANN...HILLSDALE...ST. JOHN...WOODSON TERRACE...BEL-RIDGE...
BRIDGETON...NORMANDY...NORTHWOODS...COOL VALLEY AND BERKELEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3880 9012 3877 9017 3875 9018 3873 9021
3870 9021 3865 9018 3850 9034 3859 9054
3894 9034 3892 9030 3892 9026 3885 9011
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 211DEG 24KT 3862 9038

$$

BRITT
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 242
261. DookiePBC 8:20 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
AT 313 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR THE INTERSECTION THE INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATES 44 AND 270.
A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
DANGEROUS STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRENTWOOD...CREVE COEUR...LADUE...MAPLEWOOD...RICHMOND HEIGHTS...
CLAYTON...OLIVETTE...UNIVERSITY CITY...ST. LOUIS...OVERLAND...ST.
ANN...HILLSDALE...ST. JOHN...WOODSON TERRACE...BEL-RIDGE...
BRIDGETON...NORMANDY...NORTHWOODS...COOL VALLEY AND BERKELEY.


Wow...that's some populated real estate...Hope it doesn't get too bad!
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262. TropicalAnalystwx13 8:20 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Things are going to get a whole lot worse during the next 2 hours...
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263. Skyepony (Mod) 8:24 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
It's a beast..

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 25 MAY 2011 Time : 190000 UTC
Lat : 14:04:10 N Lon : 126:55:12 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.6 / 930.5mb/129.6kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.6 6.6 6.6

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR :N/A km

Center Temp : -59.2C Cloud Region Temp : -81.0C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS

Ocean Basin : WEST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 115km
- Environmental MSLP : 1006mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 26.6 degrees
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29312
264. HadesGodWyvern 8:24 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Cyclone Warning
============================

As of 18:00 PM UTC - May 25th
--------------------------
Severe Typhoon 04W - 115 knots

Significant wave height associated with 04W is 35 feet
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36686
265. IceCoast 8:25 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
KSDK Live stream St. Louis
Link
http://www.ksdk.com/news/article/260424/3/LIVE-VI DEO-and-CHAT-Severe-Weather
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266. Skyepony (Mod) 8:25 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
SONGDA
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267. emcf30 8:30 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting Skyepony:
SONGDA


Has become impressive
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268. emcf30 8:31 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Major damage is being reported West of St. Louis
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269. srada 8:31 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Wow that scene on the TWC didnt look good..look like some explosion happened
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270. pottery 8:34 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
KEEPEROFTHEGATE is in St. Louis, isnt he ???
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271. RitaEvac 8:36 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting pottery:
KEEPEROFTHEGATE is in St. Louis, isnt he ???


No, he's in Ontario Canada
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272. StAugustineFL 8:37 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
KSDK news live feed from STL
Link
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273. blsealevel 8:37 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
St Louis Livestreaming

Link
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274. pottery 8:39 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting RitaEvac:


No, he's in Ontario Canada

thanks
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275. emcf30 8:41 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting srada:
Wow that scene on the TWC didnt look good..look like some explosion happened


Yea I think that was Montgomery City. They showed debris falling from sky. There was fires burning and small buildings was leveled from what was shown. The live feed that was posted watching is showing nothing like that.
Looked like a rural area which is good
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276. StAugustineFL 8:44 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting StAugustineFL:
KSDK news live feed from STL
Link


This one may be better.


Link
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277. mbjjm 8:50 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
St.Louis tv stream
 ">
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278. Floodman 8:50 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Funnel clouds reported at I44 and I270 in south St Louis County; heavy thunderstorms happening in extreme north St Louis County. Heavy thiunderstorms moving into cetral and eastern St Charles county
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279. StAugustineFL 8:53 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
There's 2.8 million people in the St Louis metro area and rush hour is approaching. Let's hope for the best.
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280. connieottawa 8:53 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
That circular motion in the Mid-west, it looks like a hurricane on land. Does anyone know the air pressure in the center of that?
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281. mbjjm 8:55 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
I think it will be similar like dallas last night. Damaging winds,hail , funnel clouds but they will be spared.
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283. TropicalAnalystwx13 8:57 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Concerned about the storm east of Columbus, Indiana. Only storm in the area, and there is likely a tornado on the ground right now. Headed towards Greensburg.
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284. watchingnva 8:57 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting mbjjm:
I think it will be similar like dallas last night. Damaging winds,hail , funnel clouds but they will be spared.


why do you think that...just thinking positive?
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286. mbjjm 9:00 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting watchingnva:


why do you think that...just thinking positive?


Already tornado warnings for St.Louis canx
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287. hurricanehunter27 9:01 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Dont think there will be any strong tornado's cause there are so many cells bunched up causing the stroms to interfear with eachother. But the lone super cells up front might do somthing.
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289. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:01 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Dont think there will be any strong tornado's cause there are so many cells bunched up causing the stroms to interfear with eachother. But the lone super cells up front might do somthing.


I wouldn't be so sure.
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291. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:04 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Tornado headed west of Winchester in Illinois.
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292. zschmiez 9:04 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Concerned about the storm east of Columbus, Indiana. Only storm in the area, and there is likely a tornado on the ground right now. Headed towards Greensburg.


Not seeing the "green" rotation on the other side of the velocity imagery to support tornado touchdown, but the view im using is pretty coarse
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294. MrMixon 9:06 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting connieottawa:
That circular motion in the Mid-west, it looks like a hurricane on land. Does anyone know the air pressure in the center of that?



I found one map that said 996 hPa, but couldn't get a link to it to work.

This weather station near Kansas City says 992 hPa:

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296. mbjjm 9:07 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting KrippleCreekFerry:
I pray to Allah that they be spared!

Religion, Politics and sex best not be discussed
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298. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 9:08 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting KrippleCreekFerry:
I pray to Allah that they be spared!


allada convection out there for sure
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299. CothranRoss 9:08 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
Quoting ProphetessofDoom:
Hi all! I'm a long time follower, but finally decided to join up! Hoping the boards won't be as volatile this season! :)
I don't want to seem unconcerned about the Midwest (I hope for the best for all who may be impacted), but I have a hurricane question. If I recall, the drier the month of May has been in South Florida, the more likely it is for tropical activity to strike later during the season. Is this correlation a supported one? If so, what will that mean for an area that is 5 inches under average rainfall for the month? Thanks!


hey new commenter, what's up.

i too, made the mistake of having my first comment during a major tornado outbreak.
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300. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:09 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
The problem right now is that the line is not allowing for solid tornado development, such as the Winchester one...its rotation is gone now. This should change a little later on once storms begin to develop alone.
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301. katzanddogz 9:09 PM GMT on May 25, 2011    
My father in law lives in Galva, Ill. He is 93yrs. I'm wondering if anyone can tell me if the storms will stay south of his area.
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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