Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:34 PM GMT on June 21, 2011

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Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.

The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.

Jeff Masters

Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris (enghorn)
Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris

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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
Need to start a chart. We are not near the peak of the seaon.
LOL that is true blog has been really slow for the last week or so. once we get a major spinning up and the comments really shoot through the roof, we'll get some real gems (hypocritical comments)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
Quoting DestinJeff:


when you have to cool your sunglasses in the A/C after they have sat in the car's storage for the afternoon, it is too hot.
Sounds like a fairly reliable rule of thumb.
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Quoting TomTaylor:
:(

it will be pretty damn hard to top that though. I'm forecasting reed's comment to remain in the #1 position for the rest of the year
Need to start a chart. We are not near the peak of the seaon.
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...BEATRIZ WEAKENING QUICKLY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 106.5W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 345 MI...560 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES

I do not think Beatriz is as strong as they have her...But I'm just going off Satellite appearance, I'm sure they have a good explanation for it.
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Thought I might post a blog update.
Models finally hinting at tropical mischief in the Atlantic 6/21/11
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Junky is on fire!!!!!


These storms are not firing the way i expected them in SWFL... maybe a late evening round. sucks


Link


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Quoting hurricaneben:
Has anyone ever heard of the Emergency Alert System?


Yup...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_alert_syst em

http://transition.fcc.gov/pshs/services/eas/
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Quoting Patrap:
www.solarham.com



Long Duration Flare (Early Tuesday) - SXI

Long Duration Flare: At 03:25 UTC Tuesday morning a long duration C7.7 Solar Flare peaked and was centered around Sunspot 1236. A minor full-halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is seen in the new Lasco movie but does not appear to have a large earth directed component. Part of this cloud may still sweep past earth and stir up minor geomagnetic storming within 72 hours. More information later today after the NOAA update. Click HERE to download the Lasco C2 movie of the CME.



Whew...I thought that was the Green lantern.
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Code Purple Air Quality alert here....Whoa.

Very bad, very bad smoke.
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


What did you do? Stick it on top of a telephone pole?


they tell me the 'heat index' is 112...frankly, I can't tell much difference between 100 and 112...there comes a point where it's just hot...
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Has anyone ever heard of the Emergency Alert System?
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Quoting hurricanejunky:
Back to weather...sorry...anyone know for sure when MJO is coming back? I've heard last week of June. Is that still correct?


It's already over most of the Atlantic basin, although it is weak for the time being. It should fully enter our basin this week, and may stay for over two weeks.

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Quoting Jax82:
Well guys, the days only get shorter from here on out.


They usually last around 24 hours a day here, Jax. Year round.
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237. Jax82
Well guys, the days only get shorter from here on out.
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


What did you do? Stick it on top of a telephone pole?


OK, now THAT was funny! :D
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235. DEKRE
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:
From BBC

21 June 2011 Last updated at 06:29 E

Cryosat mission delivers first sea-ice map

Another totally biased and unreliable article. At least according to someone on the blog I am sure. ;)

I apologize if this has already been posted and flogged to death.


Thanks for the link
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Wow, the board is getting vicious today...

Is there a possibility of the massive storm crossing the US getting severe again today?
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
Quoting presslord:
Weather Station
Charleston (KJZI)
Elevation
16 ft
Station Select
Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
97 °F
Feels Like 110 °F



What did you do? Stick it on top of a telephone pole?
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A lot of moisture being pulled out of the gulf of mexico into that storm over the US

Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4358
From BBC

21 June 2011 Last updated at 06:29 E

Cryosat mission delivers first sea-ice map

Another totally biased and unreliable article. At least according to someone on the blog I am sure. ;)

I apologize if this has already been posted and flogged to death.
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Quoting Buffmuffin:


I think you need to check your sarcasm fluid, you appear to be about a quart low...

Regardless, you also need to consider FEMA's clientele.

Those who refuse mandatory evacuation orders and free bus rides out of the below sea-level bowl prior to a cat 3 storm could probably use a step by step instructional.

These are the people for whom the instructions on how to remove toothpaste from the tube were written.

Regards!~


Just a question for you. WHO were you going to get to drive those buses and WHERE were they going to go? Just curious.
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Quoting Skyepony:


It kinda is since it usually starts refreezing in early to mid August. Worth the mention for being a record.

I wasn't being facetious; I am agreeing with you. Five days there is a tremendous difference, and a huge indicator of the state of things to come... ;-)
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


GFS says it will stay asymmetric cold-core throughout its entire life.


Thanks for the info Cyberteddy,
Looked interesting enough to talk about.
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What's that to the northwest of Bermuda? Looks interesting.
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Back to weather...sorry...anyone know for sure when MJO is coming back? I've heard last week of June. Is that still correct?
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219. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting Neapolitan:

That's incredible. Five days makes a big difference. Huge.


It kinda is since it usually starts refreezing in early to mid August. Worth the mention for being a record.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 207 Comments: 39033
Quoting reedzone:
We'll have to see if it can work it's wayy down to the surface, and maybe pull of a Subtropical transition, waters are warm enough for it. Wind shear is not too bad, 10-20 knots. GFS was hinting at this being a possible situation a couple of days ago.



GFS says it will stay asymmetric cold-core throughout its entire life.
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Quoting clwstmchasr:


You made this same stupid post a couple of times before.


Its just stormtop, flag, ignore, he'll go away.. only to be back on another alt 3 days later, ya know.
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We'll have to see if it can work it's wayy down to the surface, and maybe pull of a Subtropical transition, waters are warm enough for it. Wind shear is not too bad, 10-20 knots. GFS was hinting at this being a possible situation a couple of days ago.

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That area near 70W, whoever said high wind shear, look again, look closely...

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o lordy.. politics.

*looks to the tropical Atlantc*

Bueller?
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Quoting Skyepony:
Hans Kiesewetter reports melt ponds at the North Pole 5 days before the previous record of June 24, 2003


He reports that the first melting ponds were visible on June 19th.


He sends these links for photo examples:

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/npole/2011/images/noaa 1-2011-0619-092045.jpg or

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/npole/2011/images/noaa 1-2011-0620-012033.jpg.

Hans tells us that these ponds occurred 5 days before the previous record of June 24th in 2003.


See page: http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/detect/ice-npole.shtml

That's incredible. Five days makes a big difference. Huge.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.