Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest
Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.

Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.
Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.

Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.
The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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Theres nothing going on, god knows that we talk about worse on here haha
tiger bait tiger bait
Wow, you posted that twice, I guess you're in one of the areas that needs the rain :-)
Daughter @ LSU school of Nursing
Geaux Tigah's..!
Saturdays can be Loud here in da Fall
NWS JAX discussion:
THURS/FRI...THE GOOD NEWS IS THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE IS FORECAST
TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT SOUTH. THE INTERACTION OF INCREASING MOISTURE
AND ARRIVAL OF LOBES OF PVA WILL BRING INCREASING COVERAGE OF
PRECIP...WITH NUMEROUS SHRA/STORMS EXPECTED THURS AFTN. PWATS WILL
INCREASE TO 2 INCHES OR HIGHER ON FRI WITH SCTD TO NUM DIURNAL
SHRA/STORMS.
.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS
WEEKEND...IN RESPONSE TO LARGE ANTICYCLONE ANCHORING OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN US...ALLOWING FOR A LARGE SCALE TROUGH TO ESTABLISH
OVER THE EASTERN US. TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
CLIMO AND COUPLED WITH INCREASING MOISTURE...EXPECT SCTD TO NUM
SHRA/STORMS TO DEVELOP EACH DAY. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INITIATE
ALONG THE GULF COAST SEABREEZE DUE TO A PREVAILING SOUTHWEST
FLOW. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL DEFICITS WILL CONTINUE...MUCH NEEDED
RAINFALL WILL AT LEAST MITIGATE THE EFFECTS OF THE ONGOING DROUGHT.
Dang, that's a big watch to stretch across Texas like that! I'm just south of it in the rain dead-zone known as College Station.
Link
It went to 100 and started over. :)
I suppose there are 2 ways to look at it at least and lots more if we want to.
We can descend into contemplating the newest pop stars taste in shades of eye shadow next?
Or we could speculate on the outcomes of an assortment of powerful storms that wont affect the Americas
Not a baiting troll in sight tonight, to laugh at?
Dr. M jumped on one late night about a week ago to report that the station was offline while they were doing some remodeling. Accuweather continued to report the temperature from this location based on a "correction" applied to the Las Vegas temperature. Quite a few errors of 10° F or more.
The link that accompanied his post.
Link
Sure is at 14F. Fitting name though - Furnace Creek.
yup
but if it was real then evere one in the uesa would be heading there right now LOL
So if you add 14 to 100, the temp oughtta be about right. Unless of course this was the second time it hit 100, so then we're at 214.
Dancing in circles then off to download!!!
The windchill of 14°F is probably right at 8% humidity - even though fairly academic
We once lost 10 acres in a night, at our place,{in Europe,} as the river was falling, ''no problem with the river high.'' The morning after we had ''Roman,'' corrals in site in the new river bed, covered in silt and stones for centuries.
how you like it ?
Last year we had conditions warranting the storms staying to the south, are those factors still in place for 2011?
San Andres Isla / Sesquicentenario, Colombia
(SKSP) 12-35N 081-43W 6M
Conditions at
2011.06.21 2200 UTC
Wind from the ENE (070 degrees) at 8 MPH (7 KT)
Visibility greater than 7 mile(s)
Sky conditions mostly cloudy
Temperature 82 F (28 C)
Dew Point 78 F (26 C)
Relative Humidity 88%
Pressure (altimeter) 20.79 in. Hg (704 hPa)
ob SKSP 212200Z 07007KT 9999 FEW014 BKN080 28/26 A2079 REDZ
Something is wrong here for sure LOL.
Pressure is falling in the SW Caribbean.
No, this season the pattern will most likely favor USA landfalls.
Good so far ;-)
oh PLEASE. Really.
REALLY??
He's correct, this pattern in place is similar to years like 2008. US landfalls are likely this year, and besides it would be unprecedented to have a 3 year drought and a 6 year drought of no hurricanes and major hurricanes respectively not hitting the USA (though in most regards, Gustav and Ike where majors at landfalls)
You can't tell what is going to happen with the trough and ridge pattern when a storm approaches the coast. As unscientific as it sounds (and I'm a met), you have a 50/50 chance of getting hit, either you do or you don't. Just be prepared. I don't care where the Bermuda High is now or what the NAO is doing or what the pattern has been up to this point, you don't know what the synoptic setup will be in August and September. Its always timing.
firefox 5 is out
if you are still uesing firefox 4.0 plzs upgrade or downlode firefox 5.0 today !
all so firefox 4.0 is at the end of it life
i sure hop some of you guys are still not on firefox 3.5 or 3.6 LOL
good
Correction - I shouldn't say likely but the pattern in place that has been in place in previous years like this have featured US landfalls.
I thought the NWS Windchill Temperature (WCT) index did not use humidity in the calculation.
After last night's 2am wakeup THUNDERBOOM and Lightining show here in DFW....i'll just take a nice Seattle rain today, but west Tx is looking crazy.... :(
ike was olny 110mph at land fall same thing for gustav
JMO
Although I agree with you, that statement makes me want to run and hide. It really could be that kind of year, huh?
I was kind of asking that question myself.
I do WAIT WATCH SEE Keeper. You almost sound like you're wishcasting there, did JFV steal your name?
When I'm up wityh everyone else here watching the hunter data scare the living bejeezus out of us, at 2am, I'll be a believer.
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