Tropical Depression Emily Reforms, Rain for the Bahamas
As of 11PM EDT, Tropical Depression Emily was located at 27.4N, 78.2W, 70 miles NNE of Freeport, Grand Bahama Island. It was moving north at 8 mph with sustained winds of 35 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1011 mb. No watches or warnings are in effect for Emily at this time.
Figure 1 IR satellite view of Emily taken at 1200AM EDT, August 7, 2011
The remnants of Tropical Storm Emily were recognized as a tropical depression after analysis of surface observations, satellite imagery, and Hurricane Hunter flights showed that Emily had achieved a closed circulation again. However, at this time, it is not expected to do much beyond raining heavily (1-3 inches, 6 inches in isolated regions) over the Bahamas. As Figure 2 shows, NHC forecasts Emily to move north and then sharply eastwards before dissipating as it merges with a front. The westerly wind shear associated with this front will be the likely cause for Emily's second demise.
Figure 2 Official track forecast of Emily.
As Figure 3 shows, the concerns for rain from Emily is justified based on past behavior. Satellite estimates shows that on August 4, 3-5 inches of rain fell just south of Hispaniola, with 1-2 inches falling on the southern Dominican Republic.
Figure 3 Satellite-estimated precipitation (mm) for Thursday, August 4 using the CMORPH techniques. Data provided by the Climate Prediction Center
If the situation warrants, we will have a new blog entry Sunday. Otherwise, we will resume the normal posting schedule on Monday.
Thanks for reading,
Dr. Rob Carver
Reader Comments
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TropicalDepressionEmily's travel-speed was 18.2mph(29.2k/h) on a heading of 55.0degrees(NE)
The easternmost line-segment is the straightline projection. Using straightline projection of the travel-speed&heading derived from the ATCF coordinates for 12mGMT then 6pmGMT :
TD.Emily was headed toward passage over Bares,Spain ~8 days 12&1/4 hours from now
Copy&paste 25.6n78.1w, 26.4n78.2w-27.2n78.1w, 27.2n78.1w-28.4n77.6w, 28.4n77.6w-29.7n76.6w, 29.7n76.6w-30.6n75.1w, meo, lcg, bda, 29.7n76.6w-43.79n7.688w into the GreatCircleMapper for more info
The previous mapping (for 12mGMT)
Very impressive circulation. It will be interesting to see if it can start firing convection tomorrow morning, if so we may see 93L.
Same Here! I just stepped in a poodle!
(Sorry, couldn't resist)!
Well, here's something fun to do. Search dust devils on youtube.
Me and a lot of people driving up a hill in Austin got to witness a really big one, probably 100' high X 7' wide. It was beautiful, coming off a construction site so the structure was totally visible.
Got home and googled it, found vids of duststorms everywhere, even Mars. The ones on the ski slopes are especially beautiful: prismatic fresh powder vortexing
up and down ski lifts.
Getting sheared form the east! Thats a little different for this time of year out where it is!
it is rough out today wasnt to bad this morning but man this afternoon is well Bad
hoping on those afternoon showers to get here, looks like i got some coming from the west
How long of a drive is from West Palm Beach to Fort Myers?
You'll recover more quickly with high dose vitamin D about 10,000 IU a day plus 400 mg of magnesium. Sadly, vitamin D deficiency is very widespread thanks to junk science used by gov't agencies and we're having to catch up past 5 years after 30-40 years of dark age in that area. It may take 10-20 before gov't agencies finally catch up. They move so slow... You likely had lifelong chronic vitamin D that forced you to have new hip replacement. It sucks but it's very common yet not widely unknown. You may want to visit vitamin D council to learn tons about vitamin D to prevent further complications in the later life including significantly reducing risk of getting cancer, upper respiratory like cold and flu and many others. http://www.vitamindcouncil.org/health-conditions/m usculoskeletal/
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21393111 - expect more new studies like this to come out in the near future showing that mainstream medical establishment was very wrong about the amount of vitamin D that we really need... it's much higher.
I'm suprised the tstorms made it this far west usually they dry out inland, they were strong, but very short.
Im very certain you will have an interesting afternoon...:)
Really coming down in Jupiter right now.
and see if it plays out though
It's sedatives that the folk on this blog will need for the next week lol
FISH!!!!111!
LOL.
Is there a circulation on the southern end of the wave that will emerge?
Hmm, I'm not overly sure about the possibilities of a TC forming northwest of the Azores....
It was the headline that amused me.
'This WILL be the FINAL NHC advisory...'
NOOOOOooooo... 92 was supposed to be a TX storm. Although what's brewing atop S. America is a lot closer.
No
nothing their, but what do i know i just look at the pictures and let you guys do the forcasting stuff.
Link
Lol, it seems a little weird, but the one's who make the maps no more than I do...
Welcome back fishcasters.
Hope they have it under control.
Finished...finally.
92L is going to have an uphill battle with the Saharan Air Layer it's fighting against.
Can we get back to the topic of AGW then??
hehehehh
Just woods in that area, mostly.
good riddance
now we can watch ice melt
I struggle just figuring out theterminology on most of this I'm just to simple like most of the general public something to keep in mind for you up and coming Mets out their. (kiss) keep it simple stupid :)
True!
Although the SAL is there, and pretty minimal actually, there is a pool of dry air associated with that and 92L will be hard pressed to find enough moisture to do anything over the next few days.
Just sayin', LOL....
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