Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

July 2011: Most extreme July on record for the U.S.
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:43 PM GMT on August 09, 2011 +20
According to the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Extremes Index, July 2011 was the most extreme July on record (since 1910) with a value of 37%. The Climate Extremes Index is created by merging the various climate indicators (drought, flood, extreme heat, extreme cold, etc.) into an index that can be tracked over time. This month's record CEI was due to extreme warm minimum temperatures across the country, wet northern Plains and Great Lakes, extreme warm maximum temperatures, and the severe drought across the South and Gulf Coast.

It was the fourth warmest July on record for the nation, and the fourth warmest month overall with an average temperature of 77°F. Extreme heat continued to bake the South, and Oklahoma and Texas both had their warmest months on record. Oklahoma's statewide average temperature was a remarkable 88.9°F in July, which is the warmest monthly statewide average for any state in any month. Dallas, Texas hit or exceeded 100°F on 30 out of the 31 days in July. For the entire South climate region, which comprises Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Mississippi, July 2011 was the warmest month on record for any of the climate regions.

As we noted in a previous blog, an unprecedented area of exceptional drought covered the United States in July, the largest area in the history of the U.S. Drought Monitor. 75% of Texas was in an exceptional drought, and the entire state of Oklahoma was in moderate to exceptional drought in July. The NCDC estimates that it would take 20 inches of rain to end the drought in one month in the worst hit areas of Oklahoma and Texas.


Figure 1. Texas and Oklahoma had its hottest and the state of Washington had its 11th coolest July on record last month, according to the NCDC.


Figure 2. Texas had its second driest July on record, and Oklahoma had its 9th driest according to the NCDC. California continues to be wetter than average, and last month was its 8th wettest July on record.

Angela
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652. aquak9 2:04 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
I thought they outlawed those kinda shorts...

(runs)
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008
653. JLPR2 2:06 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
The second weak storm developed by the GFS following 92L but heading into the Caribbean instead is supposed to come from this area about to exit Africa.

Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 7487
654. dearmas 2:06 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
I had 6" in northern Hillsborough this afternoon, 1" yesterday, and a half inch the day before lol.


5.5" in Wesley Chapel. LOVE IT
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655. Stormchaser2007 2:06 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
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656. dearmas 2:09 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


And it's on it's way to me in Wesley Chapel Fl (Pasco county)
Member Since: August 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 115
657. FrankZapper 2:10 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    


????
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658. hahaguy 2:11 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting hunkerdown:
and Rita "the meter maid" and Katrina "walking on sunshine" were intimidating...and doesn't Andrew give you the impression of a geek/nerd with horned rim glasses ?


Katrina and the waves or the oj's singing back stabber. Kind of ironic don't you think?
Member Since: August 12, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 2838
660. mcluvincane 2:14 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
TropicFreak, thanks for the email. Got him on Ignore now. He sent me the same thing he sent you lol
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662. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:15 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
I think this is the lowest Wind shear has been so far this season:

1.) Current Wind shear
2.) Current mid-level Wind shear
3.) Wind shear tendency
-------------




Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25315
663. KoritheMan 2:17 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting lovemamatus:
I would like to offer an amazing and insightful analysis of the Remnants of Emily. Unfortunately, if I were to do so, I would be in violation of community standards.


Mactavish numbers too low for redevelopment? ;)
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664. ProgressivePulse 2:17 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Looking at the clouds tonight in SEFL. If I didn't know any better I would say something is trying to spin up off the east coast. MDLVL clouds moving briskly NE tonight. Not a typical sight on a SEFL mid-summer night.
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665. EYEStoSEA 2:19 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Hello all...

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666. JLPR2 2:19 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    


92L is the one controlling the Eastern Atl right now, nice spin shown on here, getting nicer; that other spin to its east should be absorbed by 92L.
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667. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:19 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting ProgressivePulse:
Looking at the clouds tonight in SEFL. If I didn't know any better I would say something is trying to spin up off the east coast. MDLVL clouds moving briskly NE tonight. Not a typical sight on a SEFL mid-summer night.


Well, as I said a little earlier, a lot of the models show at least an area of strong vorticity moving ENE from off the coast of Florida. May see a Bret-type situation.
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670. JLPR2 2:21 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Another thing to mention about the mimic loop is that wall of precipitable water rising against the dry air is pretty interesting.
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671. EYEStoSEA 2:24 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
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672. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:24 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting JLPR2:
Another thing to mention about the mimic loop is that wall of precipitable water rising against the dry air is pretty interesting.


Yeah, I noticed that. Its like a wall of moisture going out to battle the dry air.

Cool.
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673. ProgressivePulse 2:25 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Flow starting to pile up in the extreme eastern Caribbean tonight as well.
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674. EYEStoSEA 2:30 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
LOL .... that crazy Em .....still twirling along :)



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675. presslord 2:31 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Meditation is not what you think...
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677. EYEStoSEA 2:34 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting presslord:
Meditation is not what you think...


Well, ya lost me there, Press :/
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679. presslord 2:36 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Well, ya lost me there, Press :/


just a random phrase to ponder ;-)
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680. KoritheMan 2:37 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting lovemamatus:
The market recovered today because the Fed suggested that we invest in 92L.


Okay, I admit. I laughed.
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681. tropicfreak 2:37 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting jasoniscoolmanxx09:
invest 92L KEEP MOVING WEST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS


Aquak where is that head banger of yours?
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682. Orcasystems 2:39 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Complete Update

Not a lot out there to track ...

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI






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684. tropicfreak 2:42 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Comment 678 thanks another one to add to my ignore list.

Ever since the beginning of the season my ignore list has tripled, it's sad that some have nothing better to do than to stir up trouble on the blog.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6566
685. tropicfreak 2:44 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting P451:
Evening. See it's still alive and spinning. Seems quite a bit away from making a name for itself.





Which one is 92L, the one on the left or right? TIA
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687. KoritheMan 2:45 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting tropicfreak:


Which one is 92L, the one on the left or right? TIA


The right.
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688. JLPR2 2:46 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
92L causing some spikes.
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689. FrankZapper 2:48 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
92L has its work cut out with all that dry air out ahead. Its chances of becoming a hurricane are about the same as Tiger Woods odds of winning the PGA.
Member Since: May 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1193
690. JLPR2 2:49 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting tropicfreak:


Which one is 92L, the one on the left or right? TIA


The one to the left, the other one is at the mid-levels.
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 7487
692. KoritheMan 2:50 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting KoritheMan:


The right.


Oh snap, I meant left. Dunno WHERE I got right from.
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693. tropicfreak 2:51 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting KoritheMan:


The right.


Quoting JLPR2:


The one to the left, the other one is at the mid-levels.


Ok I'm confused lol.
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695. Grothar 2:52 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19546
696. nofailsafe 2:52 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting P451:


Yeah it's pretty quiet for now. The Atlantic is void of MoJO.




30hrs ending 2Z



When's the MoJO expected to pop back up again?
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697. MississippiWx 2:53 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Evening, fellow bloggers.

SAL is going to be much less of an issue for 92L than it was with Emily. If shear remains low in front of it and 92L can keep its low level spin, it ought to have a pretty decent chance at developing in a couple of days once over warmer waters.

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698. tropicfreak 2:53 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting Grothar:


Thanks ol' gro!
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699. Tygor 2:54 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting dearmas:


5.5" in Wesley Chapel. LOVE IT


This is literally three times more rain than we've gotten this year. It's sad and desperate.
Member Since: May 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 128
700. KoritheMan 2:54 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting tropicfreak:




Ok I'm confused lol.


JLPR was correct. Even the greatest of us (just kidding :P) experience blunders from time to time.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 409 Comments: 15445
701. Grothar 2:55 AM GMT on August 10, 2011    
Quoting tropicfreak:


Thanks ol' gro!


Everytime I wake up, there's another invest. I think I'll go take another nap. You guys seem to have everything under control.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 56 Comments: 19546

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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