Nate makes landfall; Maria organizing, but pulling away from the islands
Tropical Storm Nate made landfall at 11 am EDT this morning just north of Barra de Nautla in the Mexican state of Veracruz, as a tropical storm with 45 mph winds. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Nate, and the storm should not cause significant flooding or damage as it pushes inland and dissipates later today.
Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Nate as it made landfall in the Veracruz state of Mexico near 11 am EDT Sunday, September 11, 2011.
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Maria has managed to organize in the face of the persistent moderate wind shear that has affected it, and now looks a little more like a tropical storm should. Though the center of circulation lies partially exposed to view, satellite imagery shows a large area of heavy thunderstorms lies to the northeast of Maria's center. These rains and the storm's strongest winds lie well away from the Lesser Antilles Islands, though one spiral band is bringing heavy rains to the islands, as seen on Martinique radar. A wind gust of 40 mph was reported on St. Martin at 11 am EDT, and one of 36 mph affected St. Kitts and Nevis at 9 am EDT during a rain squall. The trough of low pressure that is bringing hostile wind shear to Maria is predicted to slowly weaken over the next few days, which should allow the storm to grow to hurricane strength by Tuesday. On Wednesday, Maria will be making its closest approach to Bermuda, and the island could see sustained winds in the 20 - 40 mph range. Most of the models show that Maria will brush or strike Newfoundland, Canada on Friday or Saturday, and residents there should anticipate the possibility of tropical storm conditions late this week.
Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Maria.
Extratropical Storm Katia
Hurricane Katia brushed by Newfoundland, Canada yesterday morning, and is now racing east-northeast at 50 - 60 mph across the open Atlantic. On Monday, the storm will pass very close to the northern British Isles, bringing winds of 50 - 60 mph to the offshore waters of Northern Ireland and Western Scotland. Ex-Katia will bring 2 - 4 inches of rain to the coast, and its strong winds will likely cause significant tree damage and power failures.
Figure 3. The center of Extratropical Storm Katia is predicted to pass just north of the British Isles on Monday, bringing a large area 45 - 50 knots (52 - 58 mph, red colors) to the coast. This wind forecast is from the 00Z (8 pm EDT) run of the GFS model made last night. To convert from knots to mph, multiply by 1.15.
Elsewhere in the tropics
Most of the models predict the development of a tropical depression or strong tropical disturbance 5 - 6 days from now off the coast of Africa.
I'll have an update Monday morning. Peace to all this September 11!
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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Yes, go to their blog, it will say they are banned.
:O
911 related
Bomb at US base reminder of raging Afghan war
By PATRICK QUINN - Associated Press,RAHIM FAIEZ - Associated Press | AP %u2013 5 hrs ago
KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) %u2014 A powerful Taliban truck bomb that wounded 77 American soldiers and killed five Afghans outside a combat outpost served as a reminder on Sunday that 10 years after the Sept. 11 attacks, nearly 100,000 U.S. troops are still fighting a war that shows no signs of slowing down.;
NORAD: Military jets safely escort flight to NYC
Man detained at KC airport with suspicious items
Our membership fees are not even pennies compared to the amount of money they bring in through advertising.
We bloggers have little to no say over anything.
who
The WMO sets the rules for naming storms, in their document setting out names for the Atlantic/Caribbean it has the following statement:
The Greek alphabet (Alpha, Beta, etc.) will be used to name additional cyclones.
http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/F actShtTCNames1July05.pdf
This would lead me to believe that they would start again with Alpha, which also seems to me to be the logical way to proceed.
It was worth a valid effort, 115, I will give you that! LOL!
I guess if you have any questions, you could WUmail me.
Anything that affects such large bodies of water like La Nina and El Nino has the ability to affect weather patterns globally. I suspect if we start looking at some really awful events such as droughts, or flooding conditions in one place, we might find them in another on a regular basis.
Well, Nate is barely recognizable, and Maria hasn't done much, so what other feature is there to watch?
what is WORSE than raining cats and dogs...
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Hailing Cabs and Buses.....
Taz, You've been very quiet the last hour or so....??
Know anything...??
haha yea so what do you think about maria
That's a Win. :thumbs up:
Nate: Last advisory at 11PM tonight.
Maria: Hurricane on Wednesday.
Other: Ophelia coming by the weekend, Philippe by the end of next weekend.
:)
New Features?
really Ophelia by the weekend? from what?
yea buddy i could handle that
Jeez, seriously? WU admins aren't though enough with trolls and go overboard with good bloggers that strike a joke or two?
At this rate this blog will loose all it's good members and end up in the trash. Sorry for being so black and white about it, but it's the truth.
No wonder yesterday Maria exploded and the blog was dead, I remember back in 07, used to blog till very late/ early in the morning and there were people at that hour. Now there aren't any.
Well, enough of that. Maria's intense convection started weakening.
Well, I should change the wording a little...Ophelia OVER the weekend.
From an African wave the models are hinting at developing in the Eastern Atlantic in 5-7 days.
But the advertisers pay for the traffic.
And my feet will be walking elsewhere with a vanilla blog.
I like sprinkles on my cone..of DOOM.
It helps relieve the stress.
.
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Everything in moderation(sic), some break in the tension, it helps to create a larger more attractive and cohesive community for advertisers. imo
Weather was beautiful here -- blue skies, fluffy clouds & HOT.
I would like it to be just a little bit cooler please?
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 11 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM MARIA...LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO...AND ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE...LOCATED
INLAND ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Considering tropical depressions can't weaken, bet on the last advisory being written on the system at 11PM.
Weakening? More like DYING.
I remember those days...good times, good times :) Maybe this blog will find it's way back...
Was it a jealousy thing?
Dying? More like MURDERED.
I really dont see anything after Maria for at least 10 days.
17z
No, they've been permanently banned...Unless you mean...?
LoL!
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