Nate makes landfall; Maria organizing, but pulling away from the islands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:15 PM GMT on September 11, 2011

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Tropical Storm Nate made landfall at 11 am EDT this morning just north of Barra de Nautla in the Mexican state of Veracruz, as a tropical storm with 45 mph winds. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Nate, and the storm should not cause significant flooding or damage as it pushes inland and dissipates later today.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Nate as it made landfall in the Veracruz state of Mexico near 11 am EDT Sunday, September 11, 2011.

Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Maria has managed to organize in the face of the persistent moderate wind shear that has affected it, and now looks a little more like a tropical storm should. Though the center of circulation lies partially exposed to view, satellite imagery shows a large area of heavy thunderstorms lies to the northeast of Maria's center. These rains and the storm's strongest winds lie well away from the Lesser Antilles Islands, though one spiral band is bringing heavy rains to the islands, as seen on Martinique radar. A wind gust of 40 mph was reported on St. Martin at 11 am EDT, and one of 36 mph affected St. Kitts and Nevis at 9 am EDT during a rain squall. The trough of low pressure that is bringing hostile wind shear to Maria is predicted to slowly weaken over the next few days, which should allow the storm to grow to hurricane strength by Tuesday. On Wednesday, Maria will be making its closest approach to Bermuda, and the island could see sustained winds in the 20 - 40 mph range. Most of the models show that Maria will brush or strike Newfoundland, Canada on Friday or Saturday, and residents there should anticipate the possibility of tropical storm conditions late this week.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Maria.

Extratropical Storm Katia
Hurricane Katia brushed by Newfoundland, Canada yesterday morning, and is now racing east-northeast at 50 - 60 mph across the open Atlantic. On Monday, the storm will pass very close to the northern British Isles, bringing winds of 50 - 60 mph to the offshore waters of Northern Ireland and Western Scotland. Ex-Katia will bring 2 - 4 inches of rain to the coast, and its strong winds will likely cause significant tree damage and power failures.


Figure 3. The center of Extratropical Storm Katia is predicted to pass just north of the British Isles on Monday, bringing a large area 45 - 50 knots (52 - 58 mph, red colors) to the coast. This wind forecast is from the 00Z (8 pm EDT) run of the GFS model made last night. To convert from knots to mph, multiply by 1.15.

Elsewhere in the tropics
Most of the models predict the development of a tropical depression or strong tropical disturbance 5 - 6 days from now off the coast of Africa.

I'll have an update Monday morning. Peace to all this September 11!

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Wstorm:
Does this picture suffice, or would people confuse me with Hurricane Mitch? Or another user that uses this avatar?
Whoever you are just read the rules of the road, mind your P's and Q's, and put your best foot forward.
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Quoting Wstorm:
Does this picture suffice, or would people confuse me with Hurricane Mitch? Or another user that uses this avatar?


cmon man, really? using mitch's avatar... :p
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Of course it cant be storm ... that would be rule breaking. It's merely a coincidence. Perhaps a twin. ;)
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271. yoboi
storm jason w what does the rest of the season look like?
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Lower than avereage Hurricane Season so far. Higher than average named storms but actual hurricanes only 2. Full season has 6 and 3 of those by this date. TWC did the ACE (total cyclone energy) and considering only 2 storms we are lower than average as well
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Quoting Drakoen:
lol this blog.

i know... hahahaha
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Quoting FrankZapper:
Why are you using STORM'S picture? Look at the confusion you are causing. It makes you look like a troll.

No, it makes him look like StormW.

Oh, ok. I see your point.
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Wstorm,not a good idea to be displaying another persons photo without their consent. You may find yourself in civil court.
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Quoting yoboi:
storm w is jason

no it's not...jason can not make up good sentences. But this "newbie" could use a small dose of punctuation.
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Quoting Drakoen:
lol this blog.



noted
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
lol this blog.
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263. yoboi
storm w is jason
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Quoting aspectre:
Hard to believe we've been at War for 10years. Really not fair to the troops to be engaged for so long.
What the US military is s'poseta be doing is making it unnecessary to go to war. The soldiers are s'poseta be mostly doing maintenance, training, and guard duty during peacetime.
These guys and gals, all volunteers, are doin' hard time far too often for far too long.


I agree with all except the part about being 'volunteers'. It's not quite like that. They are well taken care of for life, and many traded service for a paid education.
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Quoting Wstorm:


I believe the trough would still pick up Maria, namely because the Atlantic high is forecast to be very weak so it would not take much of a weakness to lift Maria out.
Why are you using STORM'S picture? Look at the confusion you are causing. It makes you look like a troll.
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Quoting Wstorm:


Please read up a few posts, I am not StormW. Also were I StormW, I would be instantly banned for circumventing a ban through the creation of a another account.

so...why use his pic? That's a little, uhmm...weird.

I mean ya could been a puppy or a kitten or a mongoose or a slice of pizza...why use HIS pic?
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Quoting Wstorm:


Actually I am Wstorm, really named after Wilma (the only W storm at this point) which caused extensive damage to my home in Everglades City.
Quoting Wstorm:


Actually I am Wstorm, really named after Wilma (the only W storm at this point) which caused extensive damage to my home in Everglades City.
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Is it just me. Or, are these systems going slllooooowww? Seems like they are taking forever, to run their course.
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Quoting FrankZapper:
Are you T. F. “STORM” WALSH?



no hes not report him plzs
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
Winter Outlook


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Storm w welcome back! in the meanwhile i was reading this story about a solar eclipse and a correlation to hurricanes and earthquakes i am not certain about the hurricanes but lets see how next year's bermuda high is !
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Quoting Wstorm:


Actually I am Wstorm, really named after Wilma (the only W storm at this point) which caused extensive damage to my home in Everglades City.
Are you T. F. “STORM” WALSH?
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Quoting tropicfreak:


Sorry taz when I see that pic, I automatically think stormw, sorry.



nop this report him and he be gone
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
so sad that Nate didn't go where he was needed so much!
poor texas is dried up and burning. The air quality is no good and people with respiratory problems can't go outside.

Is there and chance of a TS arriving sometime this season?
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Quoting Tazmanian:



look at his name its not stormW


Sorry taz when I see that pic, I automatically think stormw, sorry.
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Quoting tropicfreak:


Hey stormW!!!!!!!! Great to see that your ban was lifted!



look at his name its not stormW
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
Quoting tropicfreak:


Hey stormW!!!!!!!! Great to see that your ban was lifted!




thats not him
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
Quoting islander101010:
hugo developed on the 8th of sept http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Hugo going to have to get another cat if you live by the water in merritt island florida its invested with guess what i hate those things


huh? can someone make sense of this?
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Quoting Sfloridacat5:


Using stormw's photo?

This is strange to say the least.




yup
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
Quoting Wstorm:


Actually I am Wstorm, really named after Wilma (the only W storm at this point) which caused extensive damage to my home in Everglades City.
If you're not the real StormW you can't use his picture.
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240. 7544
still moving wnw at 5pm adv
still 60 mph winds

when is this nw suppose to come in play ?
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Quoting Tazmanian:
he not storm W you guys i got a e mail from him and he said he a new poster new Wstorm


Using stormw's photo?

This is strange to say the least.
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This place is a trip at times. LOL
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he not storm W you guys i got a e mail from him and he said he a new poster new Wstorm
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
Quoting charlottefl:


That's kinda what I was getting at. Winds at 33ft are honestly useless to me cause I don't live at 33ft AGL, and those aren't the winds affecting my dwelling..


That's what it sounded like. I thought about all options, but in the end I waited to know the windspeed for the boats in storms, I'm usually calmed down by the thing because it's not blowing quite as strong where they are as it seems thanks to the houses and trees around, sure wonder what the boats looked like in a 68mph gust, but I wouldn't have been happy to watch, but we were under evacuation orders and didn't stick around to watch.
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Quoting Sfloridacat5:


Oh man, had me going.
I thought storm was back. :(



nop
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
guys this is not the real storm W hes a troll acting like storm W
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115125
Quoting Levi32:


No it's not him....don't be gullible.


Oh man, had me going.
I thought storm was back. :(
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Quoting Sfloridacat5:
It's Stormw!

Nice to see you posting in the forum.


No it's not him....don't be gullible.
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Gotta watch Maria.. she sneaky
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228. 7544
Quoting ncstorm:
has anyone noticed that Maria is south and west of her forecast points depicted by the models?



if thats so we could see a new cone change from the nhc soon or she just might get on track by making that right turn the big ? is when
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Quoting Wstorm:


What a strange storm shape
Looks like A familiar face???
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.