Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

95L drenches Florida; floods kill 84 in Central America; huge dust storm hits TX

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:43 PM GMT on October 18, 2011

+22

A large low pressure system off the Florida Gulf Coast, Invest 95L, is bringing heavy rains to Southwest Florida. Rainfall amounts in excess of 3 inches have been common across South Florida since Saturday; Miami has picked up 3.80" as of 9 am EDT this morning, and Key West Naval Air Facility has recorded 14.41", and 14.78" fell on Sugarloaf Key. Key West has experienced other rain events with far more precipitation; their all-time 24-hour rainfall is 23.28", set on November 11, 1980. Interestingly, this is more rain than fell in the entire year of 1974, when Key West received only 19.99".

Rains of 5 - 10 inches have fallen over much of the Florida Keys and Central Cuba since Sunday, according to radar rainfall estimates from the Key West Radar. Long-range radar out of Key West shows that the rain has now pushed north of the Keys, and the region between Naples and Fort Myers is getting the heaviest rains. Satellite loops show that 95L has a respectable amount of heavy thunderstorm activity, but the system is disorganized and has been stretched by wind shear. With wind shear now a high 20 - 30 knots over 95L, development is unlikely, and NHC has dropped their odds of it developing into a tropical depression to 10%. 95L will bring heavy rains of 2 - 3 inches to Southwest Florida today, and NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Florida in their "slight risk" area for severe weather, including the possibility of isolated tornadoes.

Figure 1. True-color MODIS image of an interesting 50 km-wide vortex near the north coast of Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula that became the center of 95L late yesterday afternoon. Image taken at 1:45 pm EDT October 17, 2011. Image credit: NASA.

Heavy rains kill 84 in Central America
A week of torrential rains across Central America have triggered extreme floods and landslides that have killed 84 people, with 9 missing, according to media reports. El Salvador and Guatemala have seen the worst flooding, with 32 and 31 people killed, respectively. Another 13 have died in Honduras, and 8 in Nicaragua. The rains were due to a large area of low pressure that was moistened by the landfall of Tropical Depression 12-E near the Mexico/Guatemala border last week. Since the beginning of October, the region near the coast on the Guatemala/El Salvador border has received over 800 mm (31.50") of rain, according to Norman Avila of climaya.com, a Guatemalan weather web site.

Figure 2. Visible satellite animation of the Texas South Plains dust storm of October 17, 2011. Image credit: NWS Lubbock.

Massive dust storm sweeps through the Texas Panhandle
It was a very bad afternoon rush hour yesterday in the Texas Panhandle. A powerful cold front pushed through the state during the afternoon, and damaging north winds behind the front whipped up a dangerous dust storm that cut visibility to near-zero during the afternoon rush hour. Lubbock recorded sustained winds of 48 mph, gusting to 63 mph, with a visibility of 0.2 miles in heavy dust at 5:36 pm CDT. The dust storm was reminiscent of the great dust storms of the 1930s dust bowl era, and was due to the ongoing exceptional drought. Unfortunately, the front brought no rain to the area, and Lubbock has received just 3.16" of rain so far in 2011--more than 13.50" below average. In his Climate Abyss blog, Texas's state climatologist, John Nielsen-Gammon, gives a 25% that the current drought will last five more years. He has an interesting post on how global warming may have affected the drought. He concludes:

Precipitation: The balance of evidence does not support the assertion that the rainfall deficit since October 2010 was made larger or more likely by global warming.

Temperature: Compared to long-term averages of summer temperature, the rainfall deficit accounted for about 4°F of excess heat and global warming accounted for about 1°F of excess heat. Warmer temperatures lead to greater water demand, faster evaporation, and greater drying-out of potential fuels for fire. Thus, the impacts of the drought were enhanced by global warming, much of which has been caused by man.

Video 1. Video of the October 17, 2011 dust storm in Lubbock, Texas.

Jeff Masters

Invest 95L (oneshotww)

We received rain most of the day yesterday and again today from Invest 95L. The visibility and flooding were pretty bad during the evening commute home. My street is totally under water. Most folks had enough sense to drive slow as conditions made it necessary to take it easy.

Invest 95L - My Street (oneshotww)

This is my street - it was slow going to get home. I don't recall ever driving thru so much and such deep water before. At times, it was tough to tell where the road was. We received rain most of the day yesterday and again today from Invest 95L. The visibility and flooding were pretty bad during the evening commute home. My street is totally under water. Most folks had enough sense to drive slow as conditions made it necessary to take it easy.

Categories: Dust Storm Flood Hurricane

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251. Jedkins01 6:49 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting TampaTom: I don't want to be down on Rainmageddon.. but, doesn't it seem as if the rain shield keeps getting pushed further south by the dry air? I'm sure the day is still early, but I'm wondering if we will even get to the one inch of rain forecast... LOL, actually we were forecasted to get between 2 and 4 inches with isolated amounts in the 6 to 8 inch range originally. But I doubt we will even get one, the NWS realized the forecast was bust and they dropped the numbers on all levels for Central Florida on the most recent update. Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5333

252. FLHurricaneHunter 6:50 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Getting dark and nasty looking here in the Keys..... Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 63

253. WeatherfanPR 6:51 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
no rain, no wind, no nothing for Carrollwood, Tampa. still expecting some rain around here, maybe later tonight or tomorrow. Member Since: August 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1506

254. kwgirl 6:51 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Just stuck my head out the door. There is a freshening breeze, but not over 20 mph. I know when that squall line gets here that will probably double. The line has not gone through yet. Edit: I am on the west side of the Island. It could be impacting the south side and I wouldn't know it for a while. Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530

255. Sfloridacat5 6:53 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting kwgirl: Just stuck my head out the door. There is a freshening breeze, but not over 20 mph. I know when that squall line gets here that will probably double. The line has not gone through yet. You're in Key West? If so keep us posted. Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026

256. aspectre 6:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Apparently BackwoodsTN and aprinz1979, you are yet another pair who never bother with reading this blog or its reader comments section. (And why do you come in pairs? Trolling/recruiting for another blog, maybe?) Of course core WUbers are interested in TropicalCyclone development... and dissipation. Why would we even bother with trying to relate climatological history with atmospheric, sea surface, etc conditions if we weren't? It ain't as if the NHC/etc does a bad job at reporting the weather, both current and predictable. Heck, given what they have to work with, they do an excellent job. But conflating that interest in development&dissipation with a desire for death&destruction shows only the malice contained within your own minds via "I'm only interested in the mayhem caused by storms, therefore everybody else interested in storms must be the same way." Which is as nonsensical as saying that wanting to be a master welder is the same as wanting to be an arsonist. Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846

257. TropicTraveler 6:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting kwgirl: I have a question. With the new buttons, why does Dr. Masters not have a minus button but has a report button. Is anyone on this blog going to report Dr. Masters to himself? Just wondering.... You can send him an email directly. I've done it and he answered me and then posted it on the blog. Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 896

258. Patrap 6:54 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Area forecast discussion...updated National Weather Service New Orleans la 1247 PM CDT Tuesday Oct 18 2011 Aviation... ..18z aviation discussion... A strong cold front will sweep through all of the terminals over the next few hours. The front will first go through kbtr by 20z...with passage through kgpt around 23z. A low stratus deck behind the front will lead to a period of MVFR restrictions...with ceilings running between 1000 to 2000 feet. This low cloud deck should clear kbtr by 01z...and kgpt by 06z. Strong northwest winds will also develop in the wake of the front...with northwest winds in excess of 20 knots expected at kmsy and knew after 00z. Skies will turn clear at all terminals by 06z as a very dry airmass advects into the region. 32 Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111503

259. stormpetrol 6:55 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Link I think it is possible for 12N/75W to become the next AOI. Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6400

260. alvarig1263 6:56 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Current conditions in Naples, FL from my house as of 2:53PM Pressure: 1004.4 MB Temp: 72.9F Dewpoint: 72F Wind: 9 MPH, with gusts to 22MPH Overcast, with moderate and steady rainfall. Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744

261. rod2635 6:57 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Am on extreme west side of Key West, Southard st. TWC showing two areas of rotation in the line heading towards KW. Member Since: January 27, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 168

262. Jedkins01 6:57 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting GTcooliebai: Well this is showing a ridiculous nasty line of thunderstorms, it may be overdone, but with the right dynamics you just never know :o the models were completely wrong though, that is just one example that you posted, I'm about 80% certain at this point that Tampa will not see significant weather( very heavy rain amounts, strong thunderstorms, etc.) I've observed far too many of these systems before, the Tampa Bay area will squeeze between 2 convective systems. Ive seen this happen many times, it happens often. I'm not sure why, and the models never pick up on it either, but its quite common actually. Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5333

263. cchsweatherman 6:57 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting stormpetrol: Link I think it is possible for 12N/75W to become the next AOI. I don't see anything there. Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926

264. wayne0224 6:58 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting kwgirl: Just stuck my head out the door. There is a freshening breeze, but not over 20 mph. I know when that squall line gets here that will probably double. The line has not gone through yet. Edit: I am on the west side of the Island. It could be impacting the south side and I wouldn't know it for a while. within the hour looks like. stay safe storm velocities show rotation in the squall. Member Since: December 1, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 124

265. stormpetrol 6:59 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6400

266. CaribBoy 6:59 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
THE THING AT 45-50W NEEDS TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2852

267. Patrap 6:59 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
College of DuPage Meteorology Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first. Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements. No severe warnings in past 3 hours Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111503

268. aprinz1979 7:01 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting aspectre: Apparently BackwoodsTN and aprinz1979, you are yet another pair who never bother with reading this blog or its reader comments section. (And why do you come in pairs? Trolling/recruiting for another blog, maybe?) Of course core WUbers are interested in TropicalCyclone development and dissipation. Why would we even bother with trying to relate climatological history with atmospheric, sea surface, etc conditions if we weren't? It ain't as if the NHC/etc does a bad job at reporting the weather, both current and predictable. Heck, given what they have to work with, they do an excellent job. But conflating that interest in development&dissipation with a desire death&destruction shows only the malice contained within your own minds via "I'm only interested in the mayhem caused by storms, therefore everybody else interested in storms must be the same way." Which is as nonsensical as saying that wanting to be a master welder is the same as wanting to be an arsonist. Hey buddy maybe you should read back and check the posts. A poster asked why everyone always wished for a hurricane to the tampa bay area and destruction. All I said Tampa residents that wished that upon themselves are masochists and non Tampa residents that wished that upon Tampa were Sadists. If you don't know the meaning of those words maybe you could use a dictionary. Just saying and no, I'm not recruiting anyone to any other site. Thank you Member Since: October 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 258

269. stormpetrol 7:01 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Member Since: April 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6400

270. indianrivguy 7:03 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Sfloridacat5: Anyone has live updates to Key West weather? Based on rader,the outflow from the approaching storms just blew through the area. I wanted to see if they are currently getting any high winds. wundermap of Key West Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1786

271. CaribBoy 7:05 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 259 PM AST TUE OCT 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS...MID UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH MID WEEK THEN LIFT NORTHEAST WITH TUTT LOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC TO RETROGRESS INTO OUR AREA OVR THE WEEKEND. TROF WILL LIFT OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ESTABLISHING AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .DISCUSSION...MID UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP A SUBSIDENCE CAP AROUND 650 MB WITH MAINLY ISOLD TO SCT SHALLOW CONVECTION NEXT FEW DAYS. RIDGE LIFTS OUT WITH A FAIRLY DEEP TUTT TO ESTABLISH ACROSS THE AREA OVR THE WEEKEND WITH AN INVERTED TROF AT THE SFC. AREA LOOKS TO BE UNDER THE UPPER CONVERGENT SIDE OF TUTT SO NOT EXPECTING ORGANIZED CONVECTION. NEXT WEEK THINGS LOOK TO GET MORE INTERESTING. TROF LIFTS OUT WITH A H25 ANTICYCLONE AND BROAD LOW PRES AT THE SFC ESTABLISHING ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WITH SHOULD BE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR TC FORMATION. A PAIR OF TROPICAL WAVES ACROSS THE ATLC...ONE CURRENTLY APPROACHING 50W AND ANOTHER LARGER ONE NEAR 30W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE ATLC AND REACH OUR AREA DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK AND COULD SERVE AS SEEDLING FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. PAST COUPLE OF GFS RUNS HAVE SHOWN TC DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE WINDWARDS WITH THE 12Z RUN SUGGESTING DEVELOPMENT WEST OF 70W. REGARDLESS OF ANY DEVELOPMENT...IT APPEARS THAT VERY DEEP MOISTURE WILL ENCOMPASS THE AREA NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIG RAINFALL EVENT. ATTM PREFER A SLOWER SOLUTION THAN THE 12Z GFS SIMILAR TO THE 12Z GFES WITH DEEP MOISTURE ARRIVING NEXT WED OCT 26 RATHER THAN MON AS SUGGESTED BY THE 12Z GFS. WITH A DEEP TROUGH LOCKED ACROSS ERN NOAM AND A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NEAR 70W...ANY TC DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE STEERED THIS WAY. LATEST CPC GLOBAL TROPICS HAZARD ASSESSMENT PAGE CONTINUE TO HAVE THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN BASIN UNDER HIGH CONFIDENCE OF TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS AND ABOVE AVG RAINFALL. I want rain... so please give me some Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2852

272. CaribBoy 7:08 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
"ANY TC DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE STEERED THIS WAY" well, which way? Where would the storm go? NW? NE? N? Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2852

273. rod2635 7:11 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Key West at 3:09 pm EST, still thunder rumbling. Last radar animation loop, if path holds, would put us here in KW at the southern edge of the really heavy intensity stuff. But a slight change in direction would be another story. Member Since: January 27, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 168

274. wayne0224 7:12 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting CaribBoy: "ANY TC DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE STEERED THIS WAY" well, which way? Where would the storm go? NW? NE? N? well since the report is from San Juan I would guess toward San Juan Member Since: December 1, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 124

275. charlottefl 7:13 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Pressure is 1003.1 in Naples now. Pretty low for not having a "storm" Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2672

276. LargoFl 7:14 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Jedkins01: the models were completely wrong though, that is just one example that you posted, I'm about 80% certain at this point that Tampa will not see significant weather( very heavy rain amounts, strong thunderstorms, etc.) I've observed far too many of these systems before, the Tampa Bay area will squeeze between 2 convective systems. Ive seen this happen many times, it happens often. I'm not sure why, and the models never pick up on it either, but its quite common actually. local nws said 1 to 3 inches if we are lucky in the tampa bay region, so things have changed i guess, this wasnt OUR storm tampa bay, unless things change once again Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 22426

277. Sfloridacat5 7:15 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting indianrivguy: wundermap of Key West That's something, but still not "live" weather. I was hoping someone had a link to "live" weather station. By live I meant something that showed constant updating by the second. Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026

278. Klolly23 7:17 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Jedkins01: LOL, actually we were forecasted to get between 2 and 4 inches with isolated amounts in the 6 to 8 inch range originally. But I doubt we will even get one, the NWS realized the forecast was bust and they dropped the numbers on all levels for Central Florida on the most recent update. The infamous "Sarasota Shield" was in effect again today...We can always count on it. Member Since: August 7, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 35

279. TropicTraveler 7:17 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Sfloridacat5: That's something, but still not "live" weather. I was hoping someone had a link to "live" weather station. By live I meant something that showed constant updating by the second. try the NWS live radar. It is NOAA/NWS.gov Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 896

280. Tropicsweatherpr 7:18 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting CaribBoy: "ANY TC DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE STEERED THIS WAY" well, which way? Where would the storm go? NW? NE? N? Good question. But it appears that low pressures may form in SW Caribbean or north of Venezuela and move NE,but very early to say for sure. October has been below normal in terms of rainfall here in San Juan,but let's see if this forecast pans out and the 2011 rainfall totals gets closer to the all time record of 87 inches that fell last year. Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 8192

281. kwgirl 7:18 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Sfloridacat5: That's something, but still not "live" weather. I was hoping someone had a link to "live" weather station. By live I ment something that showed constant updating by the second. When I go to the Key West radar it is behind by about 15 minutes. Unless you want me to call you on your cell and "call" the storm for you. What is funny, I just had an employee come in and complain about the rain all day. I said, it hasn't rained here all day, but I guess on the other side of the island it did. Go figure. Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530

282. Sfloridacat5 7:21 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting TropicTraveler: try the NWS live radar. It is NOAA/NWS.gov I'm looking for wind speed. In our area we have "weather bugs/locations" that you can monitor live (real time weather). You can see the wind speeds and directions constantly changing. I was wondering if anyone knew of such a location in Key West. Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026

283. alvarig1263 7:21 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting charlottefl: Pressure is 1003.1 in Naples now. Pretty low for not having a "storm" Where did you find the 1003.1 observation? Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744

284. kwgirl 7:22 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
We have a NWS office in Key West. I am sure if you look on line you will find their website. Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530

285. wpb 7:23 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documen ts/Two_Week_Forecasts/october_12_2011.pdf ABOVE CSU BILL GRAY REMAINDER OF SEASON FORECAST Member Since: May 28, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 483

286. wayne0224 7:25 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr: Good question. But it appears that low pressures may form in SW Caribbean or north of Venezuela and move NE,but very early to say for sure. October has been below normal in terms of rainfall here in San Juan,but let's see if this forecast pans out and the 2011 rainfall totals gets closer to the all time record of 87 inches that fell last year. Not being A smart ___ but the report is from the national weather service in San Juan Saying it would be steered that way so that means toward San Juan NO.??? Member Since: December 1, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 124

287. BaltimoreBrian 7:25 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Lowest pressure in Florida is at Pensacola according to 3 p.m. observations. 29.61". Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3345

288. charlottefl 7:26 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
1002.3 and still falling rapidly Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2672

289. alvarig1263 7:26 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting BaltimoreBrian: Lowest pressure in Florida is at Pensacola according to 3 p.m. observations. 29.61". 1002.7 MB or 29.61 in Naples, FL. Strong storms approaching! Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744

290. charlottefl 7:28 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting alvarig1263: Where did you find the 1003.1 observation? My Davis on my vehicle. It's 1002.3 now Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2672

291. indianrivguy 7:29 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Sfloridacat5: That's something, but still not "live" weather. I was hoping someone had a link to "live" weather station. By live I meant something that showed constant updating by the second. Hmmm, sorry mang, those personal weather stations updated pretty frequently, but I understand now what you mean. Live action on the speedo needle, gusts and all. :) Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 1786

292. alvarig1263 7:29 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting charlottefl: My Davis on my vehicle. It's 1002.3 now Oh cool. I'm just getting mine from weatherbug.com from an observation point in Naples. Wish my own weather equipment was still working, broke a few years back and haven't replaced it. Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744

293. Hurricane1956 7:30 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Don't understand the reasoning of the satellite presentation??,we have a HUGE!! BLOB of heavy convention over south Florida,it should be raining and stormy is very cloudy but not raining??,any explanation why????? and we have a tornado watch for this area.The Met set that the heavy rain and Gale force wind should begin late tonite?. Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 410

294. alvarig1263 7:33 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
1002.3MB or 29.60 pressure in Naples, FL now. Storms still about 1 hour out. Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744

295. WaterWitch11 7:33 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Hi all, just watched the dust storm in Texas. Pretty amazing footage. Member Since: August 11, 2008 Posts: 3 Comments: 1266

296. FLWaterFront 7:34 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting kwgirl: When I go to the Key West radar it is behind by about 15 minutes. Unless you want me to call you on your cell and "call" the storm for you. What is funny, I just had an employee come in and complain about the rain all day. I said, it hasn't rained here all day, but I guess on the other side of the island it did. Go figure. It sure would be odd if Key West were to get hit by a Midwestern-style F4 or F5 tornado. First, the wedge-shaped funnel comes into view in the rain shield, off of Malory Square and a mile or two out over the ocean.. Then next, it approaches the docks.. a big Carnival Cruise ship is uplifted into the funnel, spinning round and round.. it is a sight that no one who survives it will ever forget, so surreal and all. Next goes a juggler on a bicycle. He spins around and around the rapidly approaching funnel but oddly enough, his juggling continues apace, without dropping a single ball. Spinning around the huge funnel, he looks like Elvira Gulch from "The Wizard of Oz," peddling frantically as he goes around and around the churning vortex........ Oh wait! It was all just a dream. Never mind. Doom cancelled for KW. Good thing though, cuz most of the town had taken refuge from the pouring rain at Sloppy Joe's... Just another day in paradise! Member Since: October 15, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 495

297. kwgirl 7:36 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
I just went to the NWS site and it is as interesting as watching paint dry. They are calling for winds from 40-55 mph and have closed schools to get the kids home on the buses. They do not run the buses if the winds are going to exceed 40 mph. I bet the worst hits when I am ready to go home! Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530

298. alvarig1263 7:39 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Pressure now down to 1001.6MB or 29.58 inches here in Naples, FL. Getting pretty intense. Storms less than 1 hour from hitting the coast. Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744

299. TropicTraveler 7:40 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Hurricane1956: Don't understand the reasoning of the satellite presentation??,we have a HUGE!! BLOB of heavy convention over south Florida,it should be raining and stormy is very cloudy but not raining??,any explanation why????? and we have a tornado watch for this area.The Met set that the heavy rain and Gale force wind should begin late tonite?. If you look at the radar there are holes in the convection. It's not raining everywhere. Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 896

300. TBPauly 7:40 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting alvarig1263: 1002.3MB or 29.60 pressure in Naples, FL now. Storms still about 1 hour out. 29.65 up here at St. Pete-Clearwater airport. Something strong coming even up here.. Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 25

301. Sfloridacat5 7:41 PM GMT on October 18, 2011
Quoting Hurricane1956: Don't understand the reasoning of the satellite presentation??,we have a HUGE!! BLOB of heavy convention over south Florida,it should be raining and stormy is very cloudy but not raining??,any explanation why????? and we have a tornado watch for this area.The Met set that the heavy rain and Gale force wind should begin late tonite?. What you're seeing on satellite are the cloud tops, not necessarily the rain. Extreme S.E. Fl. has avoided most of the rain today. In my are of S.W. Fl. its been raining nonstop all day. See dry area over Miami. Keys to S.W. Florida are going to get more very heavy rain. It will eventually move into the Miami area later this evening. Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026

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