Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Category 4 Funso kills 12 in Mozambique; deadly Alabama tornado rated an EF-3
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:48 PM GMT on January 24, 2012 +22
Earth's first major tropical cyclone of 2012 is Tropical Cyclone Funso, a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds located in the Mozambique Channel between Madagascar and Mozambique. Conditions for intensification have been favorable over the past few days, with light wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, water temperatures of 29°C, and a pocket of high oceanic heat content with warm waters extending to great depth located under the center of the storm. Funso is expected to intensify further and have sustained winds of 145 mph by Wednesday. Fortunately, the center of the storm is expected to remain offshore as the storm moves slowly southwards. The outer spiral bands of Funso have dumped torrential rains on Mozambique the past several days, triggering floods that have killed at least twelve people. The floods have swept across the main north-south highway in the country, cutting off the capital of Maputo from the north and center of the country. Flooding from Funso was made worse by the saturated soils left by Tropical Depression Dando, whose rains caused flooding that killed ten people in the country last week.


Figure 1. Image of Tropical Cyclone Funso taken by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Terra satellite on January 23, 2012. At the time, Funso was a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Yesterday's deadly Clay, Alabama tornado rated an EF-3
A damage survey by the NWS confirmed that the tornado that hit Clay, Alabama yesterday, killing two and injuring over 100, was a strong EF-3 tornado with 150 mph winds. A second EF-3 tornado with 140 mph winds touched down yesterday near Koffman, Alabama, and tore off the roof of a house and a barn. These are the only two EF-3 tornadoes of the year so far. There have been no EF-4 or EF-5 tornadoes yet. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Southern Texas in their "Slight Risk" region for severe weather today, and portions of East Texas and Western Louisiana in the "Slight RIsk" region for Wednesday, and a few isolated tornadoes are possible in Texas and Louisiana over the next two days.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Hurricane Tornado
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101. washingtonian115 3:13 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting KoritheMan:


No offense, but I think you sometimes try too hard to find correlations where there are none.
Maybe my SARCASM flag was not high enough....
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102. KoritheMan 3:18 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Maybe my SARCASM flag was not high enough....


Ah phooey.
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15417
103. hurricanehunter27 3:21 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting sunlinepr:
Get your tank full today before skyrocketing gas prices....

Well if Iran does not give the US an excuse to attack it should blow over. But if we were to go to war with Iran we could take out there entire military without a single foot-soldier.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3351
104. skycycle 3:26 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
I was updating the wikipedia article on the 2011-12 southwest indian season and discovered through news sources that Dundo killed 10 people - 6 of them in South Africa. Coupled with the other 47 confirmed fatalities this takes it up to 52 so far, the deadliest season since 2007-08 when 122 were killed, mostly due to Cyclone Ivan.

The region had it quite easy the last 2-3 years but unfortunately it looks like this has come to an end
Member Since: August 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 73
105. BaltimoreBrian 3:28 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting KoritheMan:


No offense, but I think you sometimes try too hard to find correlations where there are none.


I don't remember 2003 being a particularly bad season for the USA, aside from Isabel.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3272
106. KoritheMan 3:29 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


I don't remember 2003 being a particularly bad season for the USA, aside from Isabel.


I was mainly responding to the 2005 part.
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111. washingtonian115 3:39 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting KoritheMan:


Ah phooey.
The reason I said such a thing was because people were posting doom and gloom articles over the Internet those years saying how the world has come to an end and this other non sense stuff.Just like that secret organization back in 03 said the world was going to explode with fire.Lol.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10585
114. HurricaneDean07 3:41 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
I dont really know what to do on here...
Not that interesting to track S hemisphere storms, i mean, its just really never interested me, just like watching ATL and EPAC. I mean i'm willing to watch the tropics other than those two basins, but only if it's and unordinary storm.
Just getting ancy and bored around here, think im gonna dig a tunnel to China for the remainder of the offseason... back probably in April or May Everyone. Been fun to check in after a month of silence, but think i'll hibernate some more.
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115. BaltimoreBrian 3:42 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Iran has quadruple the land area and triple the population of Iraq. Defeating the military is straightforward, occupying the country and establishing a decent government is something else.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3272
118. HurricaneDean07 3:45 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting my previous comment:
"just like watching ATL and EPAC."
I mean, i just like to watch ATL and EPAC, and sometimes WPAC, to be more specific.
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119. washingtonian115 3:46 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Great......Now we're talking about issues with Iran and Obama.....Getting off for tonight now.
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120. caneswatch 3:48 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


ignore koritheman, he is hot air


I think it's time for you to calm down.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
121. BaltimoreBrian 3:49 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting caneswatch:


I think it's time for you to calm down.


Agreed. KoritheMan is a very good blogger.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3272
122. SPLbeater 3:50 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


So Iran mines the strait and a U.S. warship is damaged, killing dozens of our brave sailors, and Obama won't respond????


he would have to think for awhile, lol
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
124. HurricaneDean07 3:52 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
FYI, i have nothing against Obama. i just don't think, from what he's shown in relationship with Israel, that he wouldn't do as much as some other people in this country would do... :|
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4031
125. SPLbeater 3:52 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting caneswatch:


I think it's time for you to calm down.


sorry but the ignore list is important when it comes to him because I have seen comments left that arent children appropriate..which is one of the community standards guide.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
126. caneswatch 3:52 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


Agreed. KoritheMan is a very good blogger.


He really is, definitely one of the best on here.
Member Since: October 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4473
128. caneswatch 3:53 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


sorry but the ignore list is important when it comes to him because I have seen comments left that arent children appropriate..which is one of the community standards guide.


And you don't violate them either?
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133. Patrap 3:58 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
134. Patrap 3:58 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    


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135. bohonkweatherman 4:00 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Looks like the drought is almost over for North Texas, they have had more rain the past 2 months than South Central Texas has received in a year, nothing but flood warnings and watches up there. I am happy for them but I wish they would share. :)
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138. RitaEvac 4:10 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
The EVENT.... is now in start mode


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139. RitaEvac 4:12 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
2-5 inches around the Dallas/Fort Worth area, and more to come

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140. RitaEvac 4:17 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
High temp is now reached at this precise time of 69 and looks to climb tonight, dewpoint at 68 and climbing as well.

Local met on local news mentioned it shouldn't be as bad as the Jan. 9th event, and that is possible, but shouldn't have been mentioned....all parameters point to heavy rain event and is barreling towards SE TX.
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141. KoritheMan 4:38 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


ignore koritheman, he is hot air


I can't help it because I'm popular. :/
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142. sunlinepr 4:44 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 8435
144. Patrap 5:15 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    




SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 13
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1005 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF AUSTIN
TEXAS TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LAREDO TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF A MIDLEVEL LOW OVER FAR W TX WILL
SPREAD EWD OVERNIGHT FROM THE RIO GRANDE TO S CENTRAL TX. A
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS S TX...AND THE
CAP WILL WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
FROM THE LAREDO AREA NEWD. MEANWHILE...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS
RELATIVELY STRONG ALONG THE CORRIDOR OF A 40 KT LLJ /EFFECTIVE SRH
AOA 300 M2 PER S2/...WITH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IN THE RANGE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS. A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE INITIAL
/MORE DISCRETE/ STORMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
NEAR THE RIO GRANDE...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL. THE DAMAGING WIND RISK
WILL INCREASE SOME LATER TONIGHT AS STORMS EVOLVE INTO A LARGER
LINEAR MCS AND MOVE EWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
146. KoritheMan 5:35 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Just for fun, which name(s) do you guys think will be particularly destructive or noteworthy in the Atlantic this year? I pick Gordon and Isaac, because what "I" storm isn't notable in some way?
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15417
147. Xyrus2000 5:38 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting yqt1001:


Iran has a doctrine of "no first strike". I don't see why they would be stupid enough to attack the US in the first place. A war with Iran probably won't happen for years, and by then Iran could be a lot stronger than it is now.

Look at it like China. In 2000, the US was nearly guaranteed to win in a war against China. Now it is a (very bloody) stalemate.


No, we were never guaranteed to win a war against China. The only method that would grant us a hollow victory would be total war and nuking the place. That isn't winning a war. That's just not losing.

Also, the whole idea is just plain ludicrous. China going to war with us (or vice versa) is like you declaring war on your kidneys. If China wanted to hurt the US, war is by far the worse choice in it's arsenal. All they'd have to do is trade embargo the US.

It's economical suicide no matter how you look at it. And that is just the start of the negative repercussions.

It's pointless to talk about who can kick who's butt, without a measured study of all the consequences. However, I don't think we've quite learned that lesson yet judging by all the hawks who are just itching for a war.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1016
148. AlwaysThinkin 5:43 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Looks like the first (and hopefully the last) tornado warning of the night.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1138 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

TXC137-250545-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120125T0545Z/
EDWARDS TX-
1138 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
EDWARDS COUNTY...

AT 1133 PM CST...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL EDWARDS COUNTY...OR 14
MILES NORTHWEST OF ROCKSPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3007 10037 3012 10048 3019 10042 3011 10026
TIME...MOT...LOC 0538Z 215DEG 35KT 3018 10036

$$
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149. TomTaylor 6:03 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Quoting washingtonian115:
Maybe my SARCASM flag was not high enough....
lol
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150. KoritheMan 6:05 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
Hey Tom, how's life bro?
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15417
151. KoritheMan 6:23 AM GMT on January 25, 2012    
0530 12 WNW ROCKSPRINGS EDWARDS TX 3008 10040 POSSIBLE TORNADO WEST OF ROCKSPRINGS NEAR STATE ROAD 55. (EWX)
Member Since: March 7, 2007 Posts: 408 Comments: 15417

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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