March 2012: warmest in U.S. history
Not only was March 2012 the warmest March in the U.S. since record keeping began in 1895, it was also the second most extreme month for warmth in U.S. history, said NOAA yesterday, in their monthly "State of the Climate" report. The average temperature of 51.1°F was 8.6 degrees above the 20th century average for March, and 0.5°F warmer than the previous warmest March in 1910. Of the more than 1,400 months that have passed since the U.S. weather records began in 1895, only one month--January 2006--had a larger departure from its average temperature than March 2012. A remarkable 25 states east of the Rockies had their warmest March on record, and an additional 15 states had a top-ten warmest March. Only four states were cooler than average, with Alaska being the coldest (tenth coldest March on record.)
Figure 1. Temperature rankings for March 2012 in the Contiguous U.S. Twenty five states set records for warmest March in the 118-year records (red colors.) Image credit: NOAA.
March 2012: most daily records broken of any month since July 1936
A wunderground analysis of weather records from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center temperature record database reveals that more daily high temperature records were broken in March in 2012 than for any month except July 1936, going back at least 100 years. Fully 11.3% of all daily high temperature records for the month of March in the U.S. are now held by the year 2012, for the 550 stations in NOAA's National Climatic Data Center database that have weather records extending back at least 100 years. The only month in U.S. history holding a higher percentage of daily temperatures records is July 1936. That month holds 14.4% of all the U.S. high temperature records for the month of July. That month occurred in the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936, the hottest summer in U.S. history.
Summer in March 2012: records not merely smashed, but obliterated
Among the 15,000 daily records for warmth set in March 2012 were 21 truly astonishing ones: cases where the low temperature for the day beat the previous high temperature for the day. It is quite rare for a weather station with a 50+ year period of record to break a daily temperature record by more than 10°F. During "Summer in March, 2012", beating daily records by 10° - 20°F was commonplace, and NOAA lists 44 cases where a daily record was broken by more than 22°F. Extraordinarily, four stations broke a record for the date by 30°F or more. Canada holds the most surreal record of this nature during the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave: Western Head, Nova Scotia hit 29.2°C (85°F) on March 22, breaking their previous record for the date (10.6°C in 1969) by 18.6°C (33.5°F.) Canada also had several stations break their all-time warmest April temperature records in March.
Last 3 months and 12 months were the warmest on record
The previous 12-month period (April 2011 -March 2012), which includes the second hottest summer (June-August) and fourth warmest winter (December-February), was the warmest such period for the contiguous United States. The year-to-date period (January - March) was also the warmest on record. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index, an index that tracks the highest 10 percent and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought, was 39 percent, nearly twice the long-term average and the highest value on record for the January - March period. The predominant factor was the large area experiencing extremes in warm daily maximum and minimum temperatures.
Analyzing the "Summer in March, 2012" heat wave
Dr. Martin Hoerling of NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder has posted a thorough analysis of the heat wave, which he calls, "Meteorological March Madness 2012". He explains that the event was probably a natural phenomenon, one that was predicted more than a month in advance by NOAA's long-range CFS model. A similar, though not as intense heat wave occurred in March 1910. However, he notes that the approximate 0.5 - 1°C warming in the Ohio Valley/Midwest U.S. in recent decades--due to human-caused emission of heat trapping gases like carbon dioxide--has significantly increased the odds of major heat waves occurring. He speculates that the odds of a 1-in-40 year heat wave in the Midwest may have increased by about 50% due to human-caused global warming, but that we really don't know how much global warming may have increased the odds of the March 2012 heat wave, saying "This issue of estimating reliable statistics of extreme, rare events continues to be a matter of active research." He estimates that human-caused global warming likely increased the intensity of the March 12 - 23, 2012 heat wave by about 5 - 10%, and concludes by saying, "The probability of heatwaves is growing as [human-caused] warming continues to progress. But there is always the randomness."
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC341-375-112030-
/O.NEW.KAMA.SV.W.0041.120411T1928Z-120411T2030Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
228 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MOORE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
NORTH CENTRAL POTTER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS
* UNTIL 330 PM CDT
* AT 225 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MASTERSON...OR ABOUT 20 MILES
SOUTH OF DUMAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MASTERSON...
FOUR WAY...
DUMAS...
Yes I'm aware:) Hammond makes me feel bad because I never even get close..
live web cam kat iceland
Hammond temperature:
73f : airport official
73.7: PWS on this site
74.8: My digital thermometer
2:35pm.
Now they are in much better agreement.
I don't need to know what are planet does in the bathroom:)
One day last summer it was like 98 every where except hammond, it was 104.
live web cam kat iceland
Books › Fiction › Erotica › "Global Warming & Climate Change"
I do know some weird local phenomenon happens around here sometimes.
A dry line can form over Tangipahoa parish, even between Livingston and Hammond, and they can be getting flooded in Hammond and not a drop over here by the parish border.
Other freaky stuff like that happens all the time.
I don't know if it's something to do with the lakes, or of the interstates and highways generate some sort of heat island affect that changes humidity, etc.
It just happens more than what seems to make sense.
I'd raise the TOR:CON to at least 7.
We may see a Moderate risk tomorrow for tornadoes alone.
I'll give a 10% hatched right now, but a 15% tornado probability may be needed.
The way mandeville is, sometimes a storm will be moving from west to east and it will disapate over the lake. Im like your kiddin, they got an inch and we get .02
Nothing too ominous though.
I say 10% at best, this 50 kts of shear doesnt earn anything higher.
But according to Dr. Forbes, you would be right with a 15%:
2% SPC prob = TORCON of 1 (or about 8% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
5% SPC prob = TORCON of 2 (or about 19% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
15% SPC prob = TORCON of 5 (or about 48% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
30% SPC prob = TORCON of 8 (or about 76% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
45% SPC prob = TORCON of 9 (or about 91% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
60% SPC prob = TORCON of 10 (or about 97% chance of a tornado within 50 miles)
Naturally, you could use these to create HAILCON or WINDCON too. ;)
Good afternoon, did you make that map?
Is she rumbling again? Seems like she has been since Eyjafjallajokull burped, earthquake speaking that is. If she does go, there will be a wall of water emptying into the ocean.
2012-04-11 19:04:19 UTC
Jezebels of the Earth by Wandering Meadowlark
"Product Description
"After being fired from her university job for her environmental activism, a mother and her daughter move to a small town in Montana, hoping to find peace and quiet in a house they recently inherited from a long lost aunt. To their dismay, they discover that their new home is a "house of ill repute." To put it mildly, this is not entirely a help in their efforts to improve their battered reputations.
"Located directly across the street from the local church, it would also seem to be inopportunely located. However, their new business partner, the madam who runs it, wouldn't have it any other way. She explains that the minister across the street gives them free advertising every Sunday. It's a self-sufficient economy, she insists: They provide the sin; the minister provides the salvation. Together, they circulate enough money to keep the tiny local economy afloat.
"The women quickly find themselves involved in a longstanding conflict with a powerful rancher. Nicknamed by his detractors Kingdom Come, he is a state senator and the head of a secretive religious group called the Priesthood. Rumor has it, he murdered his wife for adultery. With his daughter in rebellion, environmentalists fighting a coal mine he wants, and the Priesthood's many secrets to protect, the last thing he needs is for the two women to move in.
"Named Best of 2011 by Kirkus Review, Jezebels of the Earth is a novel about power, sex, and the climate crisis."
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
250 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN RUSK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HENDERSON...
* UNTIL 330 PM CDT
* AT 248 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HENDERSON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MINDEN...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE
STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...
MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.
&&
LAT...LON 3201 9460 3185 9486 3211 9498 3219 9480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 317DEG 10KT 3207 9490
$$
Using GEMPAK, yes.
It may be stronger than when it passed me, because radar says 77dbz.
Looks like max VIL was temporarily somewhere between 65 and 75 near Manchac.
Looks to be headed for Kenner area next.
Okay ill look into it, most of the time I do the blog on my phone so I mostly can't do it but where do u get it?
and,
We're about due for a California tornado right?
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
CAC019-031-107-112045-
/O.NEW.KHNX.SV.W.0001.120411T2002Z-120411T2045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
102 PM PDT WED APR 11 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HANFORD CA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL FRESNO COUNTY IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...
NORTHEASTERN KINGS COUNTY IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HANFORD...
WEST CENTRAL TULARE COUNTY IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...
* UNTIL 145 PM PDT.
* AT 1254 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND
FUNNEL CLOUDS. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HANFORD...AND MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LEMOORE BY 110 PM PDT...
HANFORD BY 120 PM PDT.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 11937 3624 11944 3634 12000 3655 11999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 284DEG 37KT 3638 11970
$$
SANGER
I'm thinking more Norco....
Magnitude8.6earthquake: ~272miles(437kilometres)SouthWest of BandaAceh,Indonesia
and ~834miles(1340kilometres)EastSouthEast of Panama,SriLanka
Magnitude8.2earthquake: ~385miles(620kilometres)SouthWest of BandaAceh,Indonesia
and ~842miles(1355kilometres)EastSouthEast of Panama,SriLanka
And 26 earthquakes of magnitudes5.0thru6.0 at 1.281n91.731e, 2.510n90.316e, 2.499n90.365e, 2.646n90.084e, 2.833n92.476e, 1.072n91.943e, 0.773n92.452e, 0.743n92.865e, 0.989n91.942e, 2.929n89.534e, 1.385n92.639e, 3.136n92.775e, 2.528n92.602e, 2.296n90.342e, 2.199n93.623e, 1.493n90.889e, 1.147n92.158e, 2.569n92.296e, 2.287n92.385e, 1.504n90.894e, 1.336n91.841e, 2.969n90.062e, 2.987n92.249e, 3.426n92.860e, 2.496n92.712e, 1.202n92.090e
This might go too far east to hit me though.
Plus I figure the previous one used up a lot of energy so maybe it's not as strong, but we'll see.
Probably goes a bit farther east this time, unless there's significant back-building.
The models have been picking up on them for a while.
I don't know, another t storm just developed north of you.
It's been consistantly on the models since last Sunday. I think the models are developing this area of convection east of the Bahamas down the road.
Would be quite interesting if it does eventuate, as it would lend support to our idea that early season conditions might be more conducive than average to TC formation.
Though I also have to admit that April formations in previous seasons have not automatically led to increaces in May and June formation...
I don't really mind, lol.
We don't see quarter sized hail right here very often. I'm 31 and only seen it 3 other times, about once per decade, adn this was the weakest incident because it was only a few stray stones to quarter size.
I've seen sustained quarter size two times in my life that I'm sure of, one in the late 1980's on this same piece of land, and one in 1991 while I was at school.
50 to 60mph wind and quarter size hail is no biggy. It's fun.
I mean, compared to the "unofficial" tornado in 2002 and then Katrina, that wasn't really noteworthy at all.
interesting storm south of Henderson. could be a wall cloud
My neighbors recently had their roof replaced, and the guy Sao it was the worst hail damage he's ever seen and it was only 12 years old, makes me think we get hail really often we just do not notice..
But who actually knowsK
Wow! That's incredible this will get bad!
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CLAYTON NEW MEXICO TO 80 MILES EAST OF BORGER TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ALONG A REMNANT SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES
INTO SOUTHEAST CO. BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS...STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL
WESTERLIES...AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...HART
Lots of energy to fuel tornadoes. Models seem to be showing more of an open trough now as opposed to a cut off feature which is key imo.
Doom?
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT WED APR 11 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CLAYTON NEW MEXICO TO 80 MILES EAST OF BORGER TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ALONG A REMNANT SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES
INTO SOUTHEAST CO. BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS...STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL
WESTERLIES...AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...HART
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"EXPOSURE is a fast paced thriller where the hero must outwit criminal and terrorist elements trying to stop him from delivering his final testimony to expose the global warming fraud.
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What's the doomcon at? 345/10?
From: treehugger.com
Along just one stretch of coastline in Peru, more than 3,000 dead dolphins have washed ashore in just the last 3 months, and the disturbing trend may only be escalating. With the latest discovery of 481 lifeless dolphins there in recent days, residents have begun to demand an explanation for the mysterious mass deaths -- and as far as enlisted experts can tell, offshore oil exploration in the region is the most likely culprit.
According to a report from Peru 21, local fishermen in Lambayeque, north Peru, were first to notice the inexplicable rise in dead dolphin appearing on shore -- averaging roughly 30 per day. While such mass orca strandings are not entirely uncommon, or fully understood, Peruvian biologist Carlos Yaipen of the Scientific Organization for Conservation of Aquatic Animals says activity from petroleum companies in the nearby waters is to blame in this instance.
Yaipen believes that a controversial technique for detecting oil beneath the seabed, using sonar or acoustic sensing, is leading the death of marine life en masse.
"The oil companies use different frequencies of acoustic waves and the effects produced by these bubbles are not plainly visible, but they generate effects later in the animals. That can cause death by acoustic impact, not only in dolphins, but also in marine seals and whales."
In 2003, scientists from the Zoological Society of London discovered that underwater sonar can lead to the formation of microscopic bubbles of nitrogen in the bloodstream and vital organs of aquatic mammals, afflicting the animals with a lethal condition commonly known as the Bends. Additionally, low-range acoustic sensors are suspected to cause disorientation and internal bleeding to exposed wildlife.
As of this writing, Peruvian authorities have yet to identify the company whose activities may be leading to this grim toll on native marine life. According to Offshore Magazine, a trade publication of petroleum news, at least one entity, Houston-based oil company BPZ Energy, has been actively surveying the seabed along the coast of Peru since the beginning of the year.
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