Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Damaging Tornadoes Slam Plains

Posted by: Shaun Tanner, 6:50 AM GMT on April 15, 2012

+36

A devastating string of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes tracked through Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Nebraska on Saturday. This severe weather outbreak was remarkable in its duration as supercell thunderstorms began to pop up in western Kansas late Saturday morning, and the dry line that was supposed to represent the end of the severe weather threat was only halfway through Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas by 1:00 AM Central Time Sunday. The moisture difference on either side of this dry line was remarkable as well, with dew points in the upper 60's to the east, and a very dry 20's to the west.

SPC Storm Reports from Saturday

The SPC storm reports show the track of these storms, with Kansas being the hardest hit. Early in the afternoon, most of the supercell thunderstorms were consistently producing weak tornadoes that skipped across western and central Kansas. As the low-level jet stream kicked in late in the afternoon and into the evening, the thunderstorms strengthened considerably. Probably the most remarkable supercell thunderstorm began in western Oklahoma near Woodward as a stunning multi-vortex tornado. The tornado actually was several tornadoes that danced into southern Kansas and eventually threatened Wichita. The tornado passed just south and east of the city, producing an 84 mph wind gust at the Wichita Airport. It also did extensive damage at the airport. In addition, the Oaklawn area of Wichita was declared a disaster area very soon after the tornado passed. The Sedgwick County commissioner declared the county a disaster area. This wedge tornado eventually moved along the Kansas Turnpike northeast of Wichita before finally dissipating.

Figure 1. Double tornadoes in Oklahoma close to the Kansas border. Image credit: news9.com

Figure 2. This tornado sparked a fire in Oklahoma as it passed through the area northeast of Woodward. Image credit: news9.com

The deadliest tornado of the outbreak struck Woodward, OK early Sunday morning, as the main squall line moved through western Oklahoma. This tornado was very large and particularly dangerous since it occurred at night when most residents assumed the threat had ended. There were multiple reports of not hearing the city's siren, so it is entirely possible that the siren was either struck by lightning or hit by the tornado itself. At least five deaths have been confirmed in the Woodward area from this tornado. Probably the scariest video of a tornado I have ever seen was taken of this Woodward tornado as it moved into town. Note you can see the scale of the tornado as between power flashes.

Video 1. Storm chaser video of one of Saturday's impressive tornadoes near Salina, Kansas.

Figure 3. Radar reflectivity image of the tornado that hit the south side of Wichita, Kansas, causing damage at the Wichita airport.

Perhaps the most telling feature of this severe weather outbreak was its repetitive nature. Salina, KS was tornado warned three times by three separate severe thunderstorms. Similarly, areas from Medicine Lodge to Kingman, Kansas were warned for two separate thunderstorms, while Woodward itself was warned very early in the day before a different tornado moved through the city late in the night.

Last night's storms have weakened, but a new round of severe weather is expected Sunday afternoon over portions of Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has put the region under their second highest level of alert, a "Moderate Risk."

Shaun Tanner

Thunderstorm Wind Damage (dhennem)

Straight line winds from a thunderstorm this evening blew several semi tractor/trailers over on Interstate 29 in Fremont county, Iowa.

Freak Hail Storm Texas Panhandle (Randy7628)

Night tornado (Andrewbre)

Night tornado in Manchester,OK

Clouds II (amo1379)

Categories: Tornado Severe Weather

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651. nrtiwlnvragn 11:34 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8943

652. Ameister12 11:35 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 9 Comments: 3518

653. nrtiwlnvragn 11:37 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 624 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0539 AM TORNADO 1 N PORTLAND 27.89N 97.33W 04/16/2012 SAN PATRICIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT DAMAGE TO HOMES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF PORTLAND. FENCES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN. 0544 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 SE WOODSBORO 28.20N 97.28W 04/16/2012 REFUGIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT WATER OVER THE ROAD ON FM 1360 AND ARANSAS RIVER ROAD BETWEEN WOODSBORO AND BAYVIEW. 0544 AM TORNADO GREGORY 27.92N 97.29W 04/16/2012 SAN PATRICIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT DAMAGE TO COTTON GIN NEAR GREGORY ALONG WITH POWERLINES DOWN. Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8943

654. JrWeathermanFL 11:39 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: That means its forming good right? Member Since: July 19, 2011 Posts: 7 Comments: 1051

655. WxGeekVA 11:39 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: Still completely frontal in nature it appears. Give it time though, these things don't usually appear overnight.... On another note, looks like my area might hit 90 degrees today, which is absolutely insane for this time of year. This heat is also contributing to a lot of drought, as the lawn is still mostly dormant, even though it should be growing season. Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3323

656. GeoffreyWPB 11:41 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
BOSTON (AP) -- With temperatures expected to rise into the high 80s during Monday's Boston Marathon, race organizers are advising inexperienced runners and those with medical conditions to sit this one out and warning those who do run to be extra careful with the heat. "Boston's record high for April 16 is 84 degrees, set in 2003," says weather.com Senior Meteorologist Jon Erdman. "This is definitely in jeopardy Monday." Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9127

657. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:44 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Boston MA Today: Sunny, with a high near 88. South wind between 8 and 16 mph. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25347

658. MAweatherboy1 11:45 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting GeoffreyWPB: BOSTON (AP) -- With temperatures expected to rise into the high 80s during Monday's Boston Marathon, race organizers are advising inexperienced runners and those with medical conditions to sit this one out and warning those who do run to be extra careful with the heat. "Boston's record high for April 16 is 84 degrees, set in 2003," says weather.com Senior Meteorologist Jon Erdman. "This is definitely in jeopardy Monday." The marathon's going to be brutal today... We certainly won't be seeing any course records like last year. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6378

659. StormTracker2K 11:47 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
I don't know if anybody has seen this but it looks as if another severe wx outbreak maybe looming this weekend for FL, coastal GA, and coastal Carolina's. Also lots of rain for these areas which is needed as we are in a severe drought. Euro Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

660. weatherh98 11:58 AM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: Its still got a front going but it looks like it has better circulation. Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6093

661. StormTracker2K 12:00 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting weatherh98: Its still got a front going but it looks like it has better circulation. Too far north and the air is too cool to get anything tropical out of this. Now if this was near Bermuda then we could be looking at Alberto as the waters are a little warmer. Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

662. StormTracker2K 12:01 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting Ameister12: amazing video thanks for sharing! Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

663. TropicalAnalystwx13 12:02 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Exactly one year ago, the final day of one of the worst tornado outbreaks in United States history would soon begin. A high risk, the first for 2011, would be issued for northeastern South Carolina, eastern North Carolina, and southeastern Virginia. A squall line rapidly formed in the central portion of the state and moved eastward, gradually transitioning into supercells. At 3:15 p.m. EDT, a tornado emergency was issued for the city of Raleigh as an upper-end EF3 moved through. The cities of Fayetteville, Jacksonville, Goldsboro, and Wilson would all be hit by an EF2 or higher tornado. April 14-16, 2011 was the deadliest outbreak since the Super Tuesday outbreak of 2008, but it would soon be surpassed not even two weeks later by 2011's Super Outbreak. If only we had knew what was about to happen... Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25347

664. jamesrainier 12:06 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69

665. StormTracker2K 12:07 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: Exactly one year ago, the final day of one of the worst tornado outbreaks in United States history would soon begin. A high risk, the first for 2011, would be issued for northeastern South Carolina, eastern North Carolina, and southeastern Virginia. A squall line rapidly formed in the central portion of the state and moved eastward, gradually transitioning into supercells. At 3:15 p.m. EDT, a tornado emergency was issued for the city of Raleigh as an upper-end EF3 moved through. The cities of Fayetteville, Jacksonville, Goldsboro, and Wilson would all be hit by an EF2 or higher tornado. April 14-16, 2011 was the deadliest outbreak since the Super Tuesday outbreak of 2008, but it would soon be surpassed not even two weeks later by 2011's Super Outbreak. If only we had knew what was about to happen... I'm surprised none were rated higher than EF-3. Any thoughs on the models for this weekend as it looks active for the coastal SE US? Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

666. oreodogsghost 12:07 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
1/2 inch so far in West houston - with more on the way! Member Since: February 2, 2009 Posts: 21 Comments: 1449

667. jamesrainier 12:08 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69

668. jamesrainier 12:13 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69

669. jamesrainier 12:14 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
708 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN MCMULLEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS * UNTIL 745 AM CDT * AT 703 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN MCMULLEN COUNTY...OR 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TILDEN... AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... RURAL CENTRAL MCMULLEN COUNTY... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69

670. nrtiwlnvragn 12:15 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
...STORM WARNING... .LOW 33N48W 1007 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM N SEMCIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N49W 1004 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 35N53W 1000 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 40W AND 59W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N58W 1005 MB. FROM 31N TO 39N BETWEEN 40W AND 64W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. Link Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 8943

671. weatherh98 12:19 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn: ...STORM WARNING... .LOW 33N48W 1007 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM N SEMCIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N49W 1004 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 35N53W 1000 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 42N BETWEEN 40W AND 59W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N58W 1005 MB. FROM 31N TO 39N BETWEEN 40W AND 64W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. Link Separate from that front Bert!! Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6093

672. biff4ugo 12:25 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Thanks Shaun! Great and timely update. Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 107 Comments: 1188

673. CybrTeddy 12:26 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Here it comes. Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20278

674. ncstorm 12:28 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: Exactly one year ago, the final day of one of the worst tornado outbreaks in United States history would soon begin. A high risk, the first for 2011, would be issued for northeastern South Carolina, eastern North Carolina, and southeastern Virginia. A squall line rapidly formed in the central portion of the state and moved eastward, gradually transitioning into supercells. At 3:15 p.m. EDT, a tornado emergency was issued for the city of Raleigh as an upper-end EF3 moved through. The cities of Fayetteville, Jacksonville, Goldsboro, and Wilson would all be hit by an EF2 or higher tornado. April 14-16, 2011 was the deadliest outbreak since the Super Tuesday outbreak of 2008, but it would soon be surpassed not even two weeks later by 2011's Super Outbreak. If only we had knew what was about to happen... I actually was on the road to Charlotte that day..went through some of the worst storms I have ever seen..my radio in the car constantly went off with Emergency warnings..people are still rebuilding in Bladen County where three people died that day Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479

675. yqt1001 12:30 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
The front which dropped a ton of rain on Texas last night dropped a ton of snow on us overnight. I was completely unprepared for the snow day that was coming. Our average low isn't even below freezing anymore. Oh well, I only have to go to school 3 days this week! :D Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1184

676. StormTracker2K 12:34 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy: Here it comes. There's two big cold fronts attached though. Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

677. CybrTeddy 12:38 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K: There's two big cold fronts attached though. It appears it's trying to detach, and will probably do so later this week as it moves southward towards Bermuda. This is very similar to Tropical Storm Ana's development in 2003, except this system is moving in the opposite direction. Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20278

678. StormTracker2K 12:41 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy: It appears it's trying to detach, and will probably do so later this week as it moves southward towards Bermuda. This is very similar to Tropical Storm Ana's development in 2003, except this system is moving in the opposite direction. I agree the southward movement should help this become STS Alberto. Well see! Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

679. belizeit 12:42 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Whats that NE of Brazil it does not look itz related but more like a Tropical Wave to me . But then i am not aquainted in what it uses to form a wave. Member Since: January 10, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 790

680. jamesrainier 12:43 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
TORNADO WARNING CORPUS CHRISTI TX - KCRP 727 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012 FLASH FLOOD WARNING CORPUS CHRISTI TX - KCRP 722 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012 http://kamala.cod.edu/svr/ 727 AM CDT MON APR 16 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN ARANSAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... SOUTHEASTERN SAN PATRICIO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 800 AM CDT * AT 724 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR INGLESIDE...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF PORTLAND...SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ARANSAS PASS... PALM HARBOR... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69

681. CybrTeddy 12:43 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K: I agree the southward movement should help this become STS Alberto. Well see! We certainty will. The phase diagrams indicate that this will become shallow-warm core on it's eastward track. While climatology is against it, it is entire possible our first named storm of the year will form tomorrow or Wednesday. Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20278

682. yqt1001 12:44 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
The system has 3 days to detach from those 2 fronts, which is very feasible. Some of the storms in 2011 managed to detach from a front within 12 hours of being invested. Any idea on if it's cold core or shallow warm core yet? Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1184

683. StormTracker2K 12:45 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Looking more and more that El-Nino will be here this summer. Looking like we maybe sitting at +1.5 by October. Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

684. Tropicsweatherpr 12:46 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting belizeit: Whats that NE of Brazil it does not look itz related but more like a Tropical Wave to me . But then i am not aquainted in what it uses to form a wave. Is part of ITCZ according to them. THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 8N13W TO 3N21W WHERE THE ITCZ AXIS CONTINUES S OF THE EQUATOR NEAR 27W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 4N TO S OF THE EQUATOR E OF 20W TO ACROSS THE PRIME MERIDIAN AND FROM 10N TO THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 47W-55W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 4N27W TO 2N31W. Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 8248

685. CybrTeddy 12:48 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting yqt1001: The system has 3 days to detach from those 2 fronts, which is very feasible. Some of the storms in 2011 managed to detach from a front within 12 hours of being invested. Any idea on if it's cold core or shallow warm core yet? Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20278

686. StormTracker2K 12:49 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
CFSv2 (SOI NOW AT -6!) Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

687. jamesrainier 12:49 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69

688. yqt1001 12:50 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy: Thanks! Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1184

689. StormTracker2K 12:51 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Damm we maybe in El-nino by the end of May beginning of June. Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

690. ncstorm 12:52 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
6th Person Died in Woodward, Ok tornado Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479

691. Tropicsweatherpr 12:55 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Today's updated anomalies graphic. Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 8248

692. StormTracker2K 12:57 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr: Today's updated anomalies graphic. Big increase it appears across the eastern Pacific. Also look what it's doing to the MJO. Folks this could be bad for the US as this could be the year for big Gulf & Caribbean hurricanes. Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

693. StormTracker2K 1:01 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
This could be a summer where the MJO stays in our neck of the woods. Yes we probably wont have the number that we had the last 2 years but the ones that do form could be take aim at C America and the Gulf Coast region. Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

694. Bergeron 1:03 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting yqt1001: The system has 3 days to detach from those 2 fronts, which is very feasible. Some of the storms in 2011 managed to detach from a front within 12 hours of being invested. Any idea on if it's cold core or shallow warm core yet? SST's won't support a warm core/ subtropical storm Member Since: October 19, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101

695. MAweatherboy1 1:06 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy: The CMC is pretty much the only one thinking warm core though... GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET all say cold core Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6378

696. yqt1001 1:07 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K: Big increase it appears across the eastern Pacific. Also look what it's doing to the MJO. Folks this could be bad for the US as this could be the year for big Gulf & Caribbean hurricanes. That's exactly it. People always seem to say that "El Nino = bust season" but it just increases the chances of a bust season. El Nino doesn't mean that a perfect storm of events can't happen and produce a 200mph monster, just decreases the chances. Member Since: November 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1184

697. Bergeron 1:11 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting yqt1001: That's exactly it. People always seem to say that "El Nino = bust season" but it just increases the chances of a bust season. El Nino doesn't mean that a perfect storm of events can't happen and produce a 200mph monster, just decreases the chances. Possibly...one of the key factors is going to be wind shear Member Since: October 19, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101

698. Bergeron 1:16 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential is on the increase...we are above last year at this time 2011 2012 Member Since: October 19, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101

699. Skyepony (Mod) 1:20 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1: The CMC is pretty much the only one thinking warm core though... GFS, NOGAPS, UKMET all say cold core Agreed. That was just yesterday's CMC reposted. Here's 06ZGFS Checking those water temps.. 00ZCMC has it more warm core but shallow, the SST are just as cold. There are Extratropical warm core off Greenland at times but they don't get invest or storm statues cause the SST are too cold. I'm not too excited~ little chance for a subtropical something, about no chance of something fully tropical. Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29372

700. weatherbro 1:20 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K: I don't know if anybody has seen this but it looks as if another severe wx outbreak maybe looming this weekend for FL, coastal GA, and coastal Carolina's. Also lots of rain for these areas which is needed as we are in a severe drought. Euro After this weekend(behind the front) it appears Orlando will enjoy highs in the low 70's with lows in the 40's/50's. Member Since: May 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1155

701. MAweatherboy1 1:20 PM GMT on April 16, 2012
Quoting Bergeron: Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential is on the increase...we are above last year at this time 2011 2012 This has the potential to be a very dangerous year despite some already calling it a bust... We may not see very many storms but if a favorable environment (lack of shear and dry air) sets up in the Gulf and Caribbean and combines with the warm SST's we could be looking at some powerful home grown storms. Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6378

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