Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting Chucktown:


You shouldn't fall asleep so early next time Press. Sorry, I do my best work after the sun goes down.

Hey watch out later, looks like a stormy Saturday evening here in the Lowcountry. Wouldn't be surprised to see a T-Storm Watch at some point. Morning sounding at CHS is pretty impressive, especially with downslope NW flow and compressional heating at the surface ahead of the front. Nice cold pocket setting up aloft later this evening, could be some big hail. The ladies on Folly won't like that.

Thanks for the heads up....we're goin' to a big out door party on Edisto this afternoon....will take my foul weather gear...

Quoting goosegirl1:


I hope you find people who will truly love you, no matter who you were born to be. I grew up during the eighties, and lost a few close guy friends to AIDS in the time before there was any idea of cause or treatment- and one of the families still insists my friend died from a "blood disorder." There is so much shame attached to a medical disorder that the families can't even speak of it. Partly due to this experience, I raised my daughter to be tolerant, peaceful and loving to everyone. This, of course, has resulted in her being physically attacked and bullied in school because she supports same-sex marriage and equality for all. We had to enroll her in a martial arts class so she could be safe at school- a sad situation for a 5 foot, 110 pound teenager.

sad situation, unfortunately i get bullied occasionally because im so big but at least with me i can protecct myself(6 foot 3 and 185, i just made fourteen)







good morning

Quoting ScottLincoln:

I would suggest that you look up each of the different temperature records if you are interested in their source. Most of them are satellite-derived which would not have issues with the urban heat island effect (as you implied).

So, what you are saying is that your belief is faith-based in nature, not scientific? Un-wavering beliefs regardless of facts to the contrary is one of the hallmarks of bigotry.


Temperature reconstructions exist from periods before human observations began. They are actual vital to much of our current understanding of physics, climate, and climate change. This is something that you could easily look up.

Doing these things (aka "fact checking" and/or "learning") would require an effort on your part, which would probably violate your personal "I will never believe" clause in a very severe way.

as a suggestion, maybe he is saying that we dont know EXACT daily temperatures or monthly for that matter. We have an idea over years

Quoting BobWallace:


Who is going to pay for all our coastal cities which will either need to be protected by massive sea walls or relocated to higher ground?

Insurance companies

Quoting AtHomeInTX:


You're a good mama. It can't be easy for either of you. Tell her to hang in there.

Thanks, I will :)

Quoting ScottLincoln:

I would suggest that you look up each of the different temperature records if you are interested in their source. Most of them are satellite-derived which would not have issues with the urban heat island effect (as you implied).

So, what you are saying is that your belief is faith-based in nature, not scientific? Un-wavering beliefs regardless of facts to the contrary is one of the hallmarks of bigotry.


Temperature reconstructions exist from periods before human observations began. They are actual vital to much of our current understanding of physics, climate, and climate change. This is something that you could easily look up.

Doing these things (aka "fact checking" and/or "learning") would require an effort on your part, which would probably violate your personal "I will never believe" clause in a very severe way.

Look, I'm not going to be "pushed around" like so many on this blog by the AGW alarmists. I am a certified met from an accredited university and have been studying weather for over 20 years. There just isn't enough info, nor will there ever be enough in my lifetime to lead me to believe that the climate is changing due to man's activity. You can throw me in the pile of TV mets who should be cramming that AGW crap down my viewers throats. Not happenin' here, nor will it ever.

Link

Quoting DoctorDave1:


Exactly. If there was a real AGW problem, the governments of the world would be out there with massive tree planting and preservation programs. The fact that they are not doing that says a lot about how they REALLY perceive a global warming threat due to CO2.

No, it says a lot about the people who elect those governments, the politicians, and the corporate interests that influence them.

Maybe you're to young to remember, but it took years to decades for any actions to be taken on pollution, ozone depletion, acid rain, asbestos, etc. despite overwhelming evidence of the damage being caused.

BTW, most developed nations have taken steps. That means little though when the world's largest contributors don't follow suit.

Quoting Xyrus2000:


No, it says a lot about the people who elect those governments, the politicians, and the corporate interests that influence them.

Maybe you're to young to remember, but it took years to decades for any actions to be taken on pollution, ozone depletion, acid rain, asbestos, etc. despite overwhelming evidence of the damage being caused.

BTW, most developed nations have taken steps. That means little though when the world's largest contributors don't follow suit.

Who are you putting down exactly about who one votes for? Maybe a reference?

Quoting ScottLincoln:


Unfortunately that is how it goes sometimes. Some freedom-loving, patriotic folk see an atheist as an enemy; not someone who is merely using their freedom in a different way. I've found many times that those preaching the loudest are usually are with the worst ethics/morals.

I would argue that we are all atheists. I just happen to believe in one fewer gods than most people. When the followers of those religions understand why they dismiss all other possible gods, they will understand why I dismiss theirs.

--Shamelessly modified from a quote by Stephen Roberts

Quoting LargoFl:
tree's and Global Warming, excellent site here with lots of Info..plant a tree today, I myself have planted 5 over the years ..................

Me, too.

Quoting LargoFl:
good morning everyone, beautiful day shaping up here in sunny Florida, have a great weekend folks!..

Define "beautiful".

Quoting EugeneTillman:



You'll be alright. Keep your head high and virtues of honesty, kindness, and respect close to you.

My experience with bullies is that they may think they're cream of the crop is their glory days, but the shock is always the greatest (and sometimes most fulfilling) when you get a chance to see their lives 10 or 20 years later.

Thank you!

Quoting weatherh98:


as a suggestion, maybe he is saying that we dont know EXACT daily temperatures or monthly for that matter. We have an idea over years

We would never be able to know exactly daily temperatures from periods that long ago. And the important thing is... we dont need to know. Exact daily temperatures are weather, not climate, and they would serve no purpose other than to provide for fuel for the cherry-picking fire of denialism. They'd start digging for hurricanes and heatwaves and this and that in all sorts of those reports in some attempt to cherry pick what they want to see, instead of looking at the overall statistics and the causes behind the changes.

Quoting weatherh98:


sad situation, unfortunately i get bullied occasionally because im so big but at least with me i can protecct myself(6 foot 3 and 185, i just made fourteen)







good morning

You are exceptionally tall and big for your age. I was very short until I was 16 years old, then I finally grew to 5 ft 10 inches and 190 lbs. I was ridiculed because I was the shortest kid in grades 7 thru 9. It was payback time when tenth rolled around. and I did seek and acquire retribution for what some of them did to me. There might be another interesting gulf low in a week..

Quoting Neapolitan:
It seems like you're missing most of the basics of the carbon cycle. See, there's always been a more or less even balance between the amount of CO2 emitted and the amount absorbed. Over the past 150 years or so, we (humans) have seriously upset that balance by emitting tens of billions of tons more CO2 into the environment each year than those natural processes are capable of handling. That CO2 doesn't go away; it accumulates. And as it accumulates, it causes heating--heating which, by the way, causes even more water vapor to be in the air, yet another feedback effect adding to the warmth.

So far as "global temps being flat for 10 years", that's not quite so. Several peer-reviewed studies have demonstrated that, once the effects of natural variations are taken out, CO2-induced warming has continued to increase. This first graph shows the departure from global average temperature since 1979 using the raw data of the 3 surface temperature records (GISS, NCDC, CRU) and the two satellite records (RSS, UAH) (courtesy ClimateProgress.org and the Washington Post):



...and this second shows the true warming signal:



You'll doubtless notice the lack of any "being flat".

AGW is real, it's happening, it's worsening, and we humans are likely mostly to blame. Those four facts are no longer even debated among credible scientists.

Dr. Gray of Colorado St. (to name just one) is not a credible scientist?

Quoting Xyrus2000:


I would argue that we are all atheists. I just happen to believe in one fewer gods than most people. When the followers of those religions understand why they dismiss all other possible gods, they will understand why I dismiss theirs.

--Shamelessly modified from a quote by Stephen Roberts

I'm not an atheist. I also believe in global warming. Somehow a lot of people on here don't seem to get the concept that if you believe in God you can still believe in global warming. Way too much bickering this morning. Everyone has a right to their beliefs and opinions, that's why this country is great.

Quoting Chucktown:


Look, I'm not going to be "pushed around" like so many on this blog by the AGW alarmists. I am a certified met from an accredited university and have been studying weather for over 20 years. There just isn't enough info, nor will there ever be enough in my lifetime to lead me to believe that the climate is changing due to man's activity. You can throw me in the pile of TV mets who should be cramming that AGW crap down my viewers throats. Not happenin' here, nor will it ever.

Link

Then don't be "pushed around." Do what you wish, I dont care. But it doesn't change the fact that you are just plain wrong, and will continue to be wrong, and are doing a massive disservice to your "met certification" and all of the physics knowledge it should have brought with it.

You have again just re-iterated what it means to not be a scientist, but instead be a ideologue who has only faith. At least you admit it so freely, which I respect.

Quoting DoctorDave1:


Dr. Gray of Colorado St. (to name just one) is not a credible scientist?

Not a credible climate scientist, no. He's getting past his prime, and isn't keeping up on the science of the issue.

Quoting MahFL:


Who is going to pay for all those trees to be planted ?

How about stimulus money?

Quoting EugeneTillman:

Could you me proof of that Xyrus

Certainly. You can look for CSPAN videos of congressional testimonies about climate science (or you can wait for the next one). It's pretty sad.

I appreciate honesty, but I don't respect it. Honesty should be a given.

I feel we may be setting up for a severe weather bust this afternoon/evening... There's a lot of convective activity in the 10% hatched area right now... This will probably limit storm development today.

(trying to steer us back into weather a little)

Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I'm not an atheist. I also believe in global warming. Somehow a lot of people on here don't seem to get the concept that if you believe in God you can still believe in global warming. Way too much bickering this morning. Everyone has a right to their beliefs and opinions, that's why this country is great.

I think SPLBeater has a lot to do with that. What you just said got overshadowed 200 times from his "God made the world warm" argument a while back.

Quoting Xyrus2000:


No, it says a lot about the people who elect those governments, the politicians, and the corporate interests that influence them.

Maybe you're to young to remember, but it took years to decades for any actions to be taken on pollution, ozone depletion, acid rain, asbestos, etc. despite overwhelming evidence of the damage being caused.

BTW, most developed nations have taken steps. That means little though when the world's largest contributors don't follow suit.

Other countries have been planting trees? And, you make a good point. Action is necessary after overwelming evidence is discovered. Possible AGW does not fall into that category.

Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I feel we may be setting up for a severe weather bust this afternoon/evening... There's a lot of convective activity in the 10% hatched area right now... This will probably limit storm development today.

(trying to steer us back into weather a little)

Yes well unless the sun were to start shining now

Is your country taking direct action but "donating" money to the UN?

Quoting weatherh98:


Who are you putting down exactly about who one votes for? Maybe a reference?

Can you clarify your question? I'm not sure what you're asking here.

Quoting EugeneTillman:



You mean you would subject me to watching an afternoon of CSPAN?? *snoooore*

I was kinda hoping you would be so kind to go out of your way to provide a link, reference, citation, a source of some kind to back up your above, unsubstantiated, blanket statement.

But if time is against you, no worries. I can always flip back and forth between the discover channel and CSPAN. *bites tongue*

Discovery is where it's at:) however the science channel only has 1 or 2 new shows and they aren't very good

Quoting yqt1001:


I think SPLBeater has a lot to do with that. What you just said got overshadowed 200 times from his "God made the world warm" argument a while back.

I liked SPL, he just struggled to control himself sometimes and could get a little overly feisty. The difference between us is that he denies global warming completely because he feels God would not let it happen while I feel that global warming is happening even though I still believe in God.

This is 84 hours out. This system will produce some severe weather.. DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2012

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS OH VALLEY REGION TO
MID-SOUTH...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID-UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS EXPECTED DAY-3...FEATURING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER
INTERIOR PAC NW. BY START OF PERIOD...ASSOCIATED 500-MB LOW SHOULD
BE MOVING EWD ALONG CANADIAN BORDER INVOF NERN ND/NWRN MN...WITH
TROUGH SWWD ACROSS WY. THIS LOW SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS LS OR
ADJOINING PARTS OF NWRN ONT THROUGH PERIOD. RELATED SFC
FRONTAL-WAVE CYCLONE SHOULD CURVE EWD TO NEWD FROM IL OR INDIANA
ACROSS UPPER OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. TRAILING COLD
FRONT SHOULD MOVE SEWD ACROSS LOWER OH VALLEY AND ARKLATEX REGION
DURING FIRST HALF OF PERIOD..THEN REACHING UPPER OH VALLEY...CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...MID-SOUTH AND CENTRAL/SRN TX BY 8/12Z. TX PORTION OF
FRONT MAY STALL BY THEN. AS WITH DAY-2...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING TIMING/POSITION OF COLD FRONT DURING
AFTERNOON...CORRESPONDING TO PERIOD OF MOST PROBABLE CONVECTIVE
INITIATION IN BOTH NEAR-FRONTAL REGIMES DISCUSSED BELOW.

MEANWHILE...PROGS ARE IN GEN AGREEMENT REGARDING PRESENCE OF CLOSED
AND ESSENTIALLY CUT-OFF MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SWRN CONUS BY
LATTER HALF OF PERIOD. HOWEVER...CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES EXIST
REGARDING TIMING AND SUBSYNOPTIC-SCALE SIZE/PLACEMENT OF RELATED
CYCLONE ALOFT.

...OH VALLEY REGION TO MID-SOUTH...
SCATTERED TSTMS IN LINES OR CLUSTERS AGAIN SHOULD DEVELOP INVOF SFC
COLD FRONTAL ZONE DAY-3...OFFERING DAMAGING WIND AND OCNL LARGE
HAIL. LACK OF MORE ROBUST DEEP-LAYER WIND PROFILES INDICATES
PREDOMINANTLY MULTICELLULAR CHARACTER. LAPSE RATES ARE FCST TO
INCREASE FROM NE-SW...WITH FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE THROUGHOUT
PREFRONTAL WARM SECTOR. BUOYANCY ACCORDINGLY WILL INCREASE FROM
NE-SW...BUT WITH INCREASE IN CINH AND DECREASE IN FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE. GREATEST PARAMETRIC OVERLAPS SHOULD BE FROM LOWER MS
VALLEY AND TN VALLEY REGIONS NEWD TO PORTIONS OH/INDIANA.
RELATIVELY DENSE CONCENTRATIONS OF CONVECTIVE/SVR POTENTIAL ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS AREA...WHICH IS NECESSARILY BROAD-BRUSHED ATTM
DUE TO PROGNOSTIC UNCERTAINTY...AND SUBJECT TO FUTURE LATERAL
SHIFTING.

Quoting EugeneTillman:



You mean you would subject me to watching an afternoon of CSPAN?? *snoooore*

I was kinda hoping you would be so kind to go out of your way to provide a link, reference, citation, a source of some kind to back up your above, unsubstantiated, blanket statement.

But if time is against you, no worries. I can always flip back and forth between the discover channel and CSPAN. *bites tongue*

I like to put CSPAN on during those nights when I'm struggling to fall asleep... It does the job well, and fast too!

Quoting Xyrus2000:


Can you clarify your question? I'm not sure what you're asking here.

Who are you saying is "bad" for electing certain people? Do you have a reference of a bad race?

Man struck by lightning in scrotum

A Spanish man has survived an unusual ordeal after being struck by lightning in the scrotum.

The 53-year-old man was walking down a street in Madrid when the lightning struck his scrotum through his pants, Spain's El Mondo newspaper reports.

The bolt is believed to have travelled down one of his legs and foot and right through to the footpath before he lost consciousness.

The man's son called paramedics who treated him for burns to his scrotum and feet.

Doctors at the Hospital de la Paz where the man was treated said his heart and brain functions were not affected by the lightning.

Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I liked SPL, he just struggled to control himself sometimes and could get a little overly feisty. The difference between us is that he denies global warming completely because he feels God would not let it happen while I feel that global warming is happening even though I still believe in God.

I know this is random but how old are you I know ta13 is now 15 I'm 14 jw


And wheres the next system that's bringing in the next round of bad severe wx

Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I liked SPL, he just struggled to control himself sometimes and could get a little overly feisty. The difference between us is that he denies global warming completely because he feels God would not let it happen while I feel that global warming is happening even though I still believe in God.

I liked him too. He ran afoul admin by calling the person who banned him a pathetic miscreant. He could have used a little more restraint.

Quoting weatherh98:


I know this is random but how old are you I know ta13 is now 15 I'm 14 jw


And wheres the next system that's bringing in the next round of bad severe wx

I'm 16.

Quoting AussieStorm:
Man struck by lightning in scrotum

A Spanish man has survived an unusual ordeal after being struck by lightning in the scrotum.

The 53-year-old man was walking down a street in Madrid when the lightning struck his scrotum through his pants, Spain's El Mondo newspaper reports.

The bolt is believed to have travelled down one of his legs and foot and right through to the footpath before he lost consciousness.

The man's son called paramedics who treated him for burns to his scrotum and feet.

Doctors at the Hospital de la Paz where the man was treated said his heart and brain functions were not affected by the lightning.

Poor guy

Quoting DoctorDave1:


Dr. Gray of Colorado St. (to name just one) is not a credible scientist?

Not in the realms of climate science. Since he has yet to publish any papers discrediting the theory of AGW, he has resorted to conspiracy theories based on a "secret" push by climate scientists to establish a one world government.

His tropical research is very well regarded, but in the realms of climate science he doesn't have any scientific credibility.

The NWS has been giving great descriptions of the hail size evolution of this storm. Earlier it was hen egg size, then golf ball, and now:

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1025 AM CDT SAT MAY 5 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN PIPESTONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
SOUTHERN MOODY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT

* AT 1024 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE
HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLMAN...OR 18
MILES EAST OF MADISON...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
TRENT AND EGAN AROUND 1030 AM CDT...
FLANDREAU AROUND 1035 AM CDT...
JASPER AROUND 1050 AM CDT...
PIPESTONE AND PIPESTONE NATIONAL MONUMENT AROUND 1055 AM CDT...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE IHLEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

LAT...LON 4409 9631 4385 9630 4385 9688 4402 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 1524Z 261DEG 34KT 4392 9672
WIND...HAIL <58MPH 1.50IN

$$

HANKO

Quoting weatherh98:


I know this is random but how old are you I know ta13 is now 15 I'm 14 jw


And wheres the next system that's bringing in the next round of bad severe wx

I'm not 15 until July.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I'm not 15 until July.

I was close enough hhahaha

Quoting EugeneTillman:



You mean you would subject me to watching an afternoon of CSPAN?? *snoooore*

I was kinda hoping you would be so kind to go out of your way to provide a link, reference, citation, a source of some kind to back up your above, unsubstantiated, blanket statement.

But if time is against you, no worries. I can always flip back and forth between the discover channel and CSPAN. *bites tongue*

What unsubstantiated claims? What kind of references are you looking for exactly? Do you want peer-reviewed articles or will some links to wikipedia suffice?

It's not that hard to put in "ozone hole" or "history of tobacco" or "acid rain" in Google and get a bunch of links to the controversies that surrounded those topics, but if that is what you want I can provide them for you.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I'm not 15 until July.

Mine is July 29 yours?