Azores storm 92L unlikely to develop; East Pacific hurricane season begins

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:24 PM GMT on May 14, 2012

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The hybrid low pressure system with both tropical and extratropical characteristics that formed Saturday over the far Eastern Atlantic, about 450 miles southwest of the southern Azores Islands (Invest 92L), has weakened considerably, and is unlikely to become Subtropical Storm Alberto. Wind shear has increased to a very high 25 - 40 knots over 92L today, causing a marked deterioration of the heavy thunderstorm activity. Also not helping is the fact 92L is over cold ocean waters of 68°F (20°C.) This is well below the 26°C usually needed for a tropical storm to form. Satellite estimates of 92L's winds were 35 mph at 7:45 am EDT Monday, according to NOAA/NESDIS. NHC estimated that 92L had top winds of 40 mph at 8 am EDT Monday, down 10 mph from Saturday's peak. Wind shear is expected to remain very high and water temperatures will cool as 92L moves northeast towards the Azores Islands on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the chances of the storm developing into a subtropical or tropical cyclone are near zero percent.


Figure 1. True color satellite photo of Invest 92L taken at 8:35 am EDT Monday May 14, 2012. Image credit: NASA.

Eastern Pacific hurricane season begins
The first tropical depression of the 2012 hurricane season has formed this morning in the Eastern Pacific, and it comes one day before the official May 15 start of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season. Tropical Depression One-E is located about 645 mi south of Manzanillo Mexico, and is headed west, away from any land areas. Wind shear is a low 5 - 10 knots, ocean temperatures are a warm 29°C, and TD One-E has a good chance of becoming the season's first tropical storm by Tuesday. It is unusual to get a tropical storm forming this early in the year in the Eastern Pacific; since record keeping began in 1949, there have only been two that have formed by May 15--Hurricane Alma of 1990, and an unnamed 1996 storm. TD One-E will not live for long--the storm is headed towards a region with high wind shear and cooler waters that should be able to destroy it late this week.

Only weak potential for an Atlantic system developing over the next week
The models have backed off on their predictions of a potential subtropical storm developing over the Western Caribbean or waters near Florida this weekend, though it is possible we might see something develop along an old cold frontal boundary between the Bahamas and Bermuda. If such a storm did develop, it would likely move northeast out to sea.

Jeff Masters

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552. MahFL
2:44 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


It looked active on radar across JAX yesterday. Did you guys get any rain?


I got 4.29 inches in Orange Park.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3494
551. wunderkidcayman
1:44 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
COME ON GUYS HAUL BUTTS OVER TO NEXT BLOG
AND LEAVE THIS OLD ONE
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12035
547. wunderkidcayman
1:18 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
hey guys before you jump off the carib development #1 06z gfs doesen't kill its just way weaker looke to keep it as a monsoonal low #2 now this is the first gfs has backed off on developing it into a storm so let us just wait til the 12Z and 18Z comes in to see it gfs realy plans to kill it off
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12035
546. Patrap
1:14 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
545. LargoFl
1:11 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Good Morning folks..still dry here, suns out and very few clouds here on the west coast,would be nice to get an afternoon shower,almost have forgotten what that is like its been so long since a good rain..well have a great day everyone......................
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38521
544. Patrap
1:10 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
New entry from Dr. Masters.



StormTracker2K: you have wu-mail.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128344
543. severstorm
1:05 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


LOL! Hey the east coast of FL is very dry too. Believe it or not Daytona has hardly had a drop of rain this month but 5 or so miles inland have had 3" to 4". Crazy! Hopefully the storms are more widespread today.
I hear you man. Just pulling your chain abit. really sticky over here this morning.
Member Since: November 25, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 956
542. StAugustineFL
1:05 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting MaryMichell46:


Well good morning StAug. How are you this morning? Hope you get some much needed rain today....


Good morning Mary. We have a 70% chance today so I'm keeping my fingers crossed. I'm out. A good day to all.
Member Since: March 8, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 802
541. jeffs713
1:03 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Good morning. GFS has backed off development in the Western Caribbean It really needs the expected May 22nd upgrade.

Yep, can't say I'm surprised. Quite a few of us looked at the GFS as more of an outlier with that solution. (looking back to previous years, the GFS and CMC have a tendency to CONSTANTLY spin stuff up over there)
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5882
540. StormTracker2K
1:02 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting severstorm:
Morning all, Hey stormtracker2k how about sharing some of that rain over here on the west coast of fl. lol maybe today


LOL! Hey the east coast of FL is very dry too. Believe it or not Daytona has hardly had a drop of rain this month but 5 or so miles inland have had 3" to 4". Crazy! Hopefully the storms are more widespread today.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
539. Ameister12
12:59 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Could make a run a hurricane strength.

I don't think so. It should be able to peak as a 50/60mph tropical storm, but that's it. Conditions should become less favorable later today as wind shear increases.
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 4979
538. severstorm
12:58 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


It looked active on radar across JAX yesterday. Did you guys get any rain?
Morning all, Hey stormtracker2k how about sharing some of that rain over here on the west coast of fl. lol maybe today
Member Since: November 25, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 956
536. StAugustineFL
12:52 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


It looked active on radar across JAX yesterday. Did you guys get any rain?


Some areas faired quite well. I only had .27. From TV Met Mike Buresh's blog "Welcome rain for the First Coast Mon. with more on the way Tue. & Wed. Midday through afternoon storms will fire each day....trending downward late in the week. A nice soaker for many spots Mon. including the following through 11pm:
JIA: 1.75".....Ft. Caroline: 2.9"...Arlington: 2.52"....FSC, North Campus (Lem Turner): 2.1".....Orange Park: 2.84"....Oceanway: 2.5"....Trout River/I-295: 1.66"....Mandarin: 3.0" with 50 mph wind gusts about 10:40pm....St. Simons Island, Ga: 1.58".
Additional rainfall of 1-2" will be a good bet Tue.-Wed. with locally higher amounts"
Member Since: March 8, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 802
535. StormTracker2K
12:49 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
April co2 is in...Mauna Loa

Note the numbers trend last 12 mth's, and esp last month.

co2now.org

396.18ppm



And people still say the climate isn't changing. A steady increase CO2 voer the last 3 years.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
534. StormTracker2K
12:47 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting biff4ugo:
Florida's average rainfall is around 50". With the high ET that is just barely a surplus.
Over the past 12 months, many parts of NE Florida have rain totals in the 20's. One area near Jacksonville only got 19".
Paving and Pumping don't help matters, but this is a Drought!


It looked active on radar across JAX yesterday. Did you guys get any rain?
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
533. bohonkweatherman
12:43 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
I hope those areas that need rain get it soon. 1.6 here last night and rain all around me right now. Perfect because I know the heat is coming to Texas and soon.
Member Since: July 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
532. Patrap
12:41 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
April co2 is in...Mauna Loa

Note the numbers trend last 12 mth's, and esp last month.

co2now.org

396.18ppm

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 424 Comments: 128344
531. biff4ugo
12:39 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Florida's average rainfall is around 50". With the high ET that is just barely a surplus.
Over the past 12 months, many parts of NE Florida have rain totals in the 20's. One area near Jacksonville only got 19".
Paving and Pumping don't help matters, but this is a Drought!
Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 114 Comments: 1570
530. StormTracker2K
12:35 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
It seems as if there are a lot more extremes across the globe lately.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
529. StormTracker2K
12:33 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Grains Wilt in Dry Europe as England Posts Its Hottest April in 352 Years

The United Nations’ food-price index, which reached a record 236.76 points in February, may climb to 240 points by the year’s end from 229.84 in March, driven by demand for meat, oilseeds and grains, Resilience AG fund manager William Adams said last week.

“If rain doesn’t arrive in 10 to 14 days, there will be start to be an impact on yields if there has not been already,” said David Eudall, an analyst at the HGCA, which is a division of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board.

“If a decent amount of rain does arrive in the coming days and weeks, the impact could be smaller. However, the forecasts are not predicting this in many areas at the moment.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Tony C. Dreibus in London at tdreibus@bloomberg.net
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
528. StormTracker2K
12:22 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Are the models still forecasting development on the Atlantic side?


None as they are now developing this upper low over FL and having it sit here for days while drawing up deep tropical moisture from the Caribbean.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
527. washingtonian115
12:20 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Are the models still forecasting development on the Atlantic side?
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16979
526. StormTracker2K
12:18 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.9 /1003.3mb/ 43.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.9 3.3 4.0

If we go with 2.9, it's a ~50 mph tropical storm. If we go with 3.3, it's a ~60 mph tropical storm. If we go with 4.0, it's a ~75 mph hurricane.

50 mph at the next adv. seems pretty likely.


Could make a run a hurricane strength.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
525. StormTracker2K
12:16 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
HPC 5 day rain outlook!
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
524. TropicalAnalystwx13
12:00 PM GMT on May 15, 2012
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.9 /1003.3mb/ 43.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.9 3.3 4.0

If we go with 2.9, it's a ~50 mph tropical storm. If we go with 3.3, it's a ~60 mph tropical storm. If we go with 4.0, it's a ~75 mph hurricane.

50 mph at the next adv. seems pretty likely.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
523. Tropicsweatherpr
11:45 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
First Tropical Weather Outlook for 2012 EPAC Hurricane Season.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ALETTA...LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...WHICH WILL RUN UNTIL NOVEMBER 30. LONG-TERM AVERAGES FOR
THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS...HURRICANES...AND MAJOR HURRICANES ARE
15...9...AND 4...RESPECTIVELY.

THE LIST OF NAMES FOR 2012 IS AS FOLLOWS:

NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION
------------------------------------------------- ------------
ALETTA A LET- AH MIRIAM MEER- YIM
BUD BUHD NORMAN NOR- MUHN
CARLOTTA KAR LOT- UH OLIVIA UH LIV- EE UH
DANIEL DAN- YUHL PAUL PALL
EMILIA EE MILL- YA ROSA ROH- ZUH
FABIO FAH- BEE O SERGIO SIR- GEE OH
GILMA GIL- MAH TARA TAIR- UH
HECTOR HEHK- TOR VICENTE VEE CEN- TAY
ILEANA ILL AY AH- NAH WILLA WIH- LAH
JOHN JAHN XAVIER ZAY- VEE UR
KRISTY KRIS- TEE YOLANDA YO LAHN- DA
LANE LAYNE ZEKE ZEEK

THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE ISSUANCE
TIMES OF THIS PRODUCT ARE 5 AM...11 AM...5 PM...AND 11 PM PDT.
AFTER THE CHANGE TO STANDARD TIME IN NOVEMBER...THE ISSUANCE TIMES
ARE 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM...AND 10 PM PST.

A SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED TO PROVIDE
UPDATES...AS NECESSARY...IN BETWEEN THE REGULARLY SCHEDULED
ISSUANCES OF THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK. SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED UNDER THE SAME WMO AND AWIPS HEADERS AS THE
REGULAR TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS.

A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
PUBLIC ADVISORY...THE FORECAST/ADVISORY...THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...
AND A WIND SPEED PROBABILITY PRODUCT...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS
FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL
ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT
UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL
WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE
ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE
UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO
HEADER WTPZ61-65 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP1-5.

ALL NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS ARE
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. SIGN UP FOR PRODUCT
UPDATES BY EMAIL AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/SIGNUP.SHTML...IN ALL LOWER
CASE. YOU CAN ALSO INTERACT WITH NHC ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NOAA.NATIONALHURRICANECENTER. GOV. NOTIFICATIONS
ARE AVAILABLE VIA TWITTER WHEN SELECT NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
PRODUCTS ARE ISSUED. INFORMATION ABOUT OUR EAST PACIFIC TWITTER
FEED IS AVAILABLE AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/TWITTER.SHTML...IN ALL
LOWER CASE.

&&
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ALETTA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON ALETTA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14267
522. Ameister12
11:45 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Alette has gotten better organized during the night. It's probably a moderate 50mph tropical storm right now.
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 4979
521. StormTracker2K
11:44 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting MaryMichell46:


It would be nice to see those reds move back over Texas.


Hi Mary, I know your pain however we in FL need it worse as we have only had half of our normal rainfall so far this year while you guys in TX have had over 30" in some cases so far this year while we have only had 5". However hang in there as El-Nino years tend to bring lots of rain from TX to FL so I'm sure more is on the way for you guys. Nothing like last years terrible drought in TX as lots of rain can be expected this year for you guys.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
519. GeoffreyWPB
11:37 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Rainy Season 2012 Underway
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11159
518. AstroHurricane001
11:34 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
I'll be heading over to Saskatchewan in central-western Canada for the rest of the week.

In 2010 and again last year, the province experienced severe floods despite having a relatively flat topography, including in major communities such as Estevan and Weyburn. I'll be observing the weather conditions there and possibly write something on the recent flood situation and the factors that contributed to it.
Member Since: August 30, 2008 Posts: 8 Comments: 2835
517. StormTracker2K
11:29 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
455 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS PERSISTENT
TODAY...WHICH WILL ALLOW MORE DAYTIME HEATING. WITH A MOIST
ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE...THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE SHOULD BECOME
ACTIVE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. BY
LATE AFTERNOON...MULTIPLE BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS ACROSS INTERIOR
SECTIONS ARE EXPECTED...CAUSING THE GREATEST COVERAGE AND
STRONGEST STORMS.

THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...BUT STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL OCCUR OVER THE GULF STREAM EARLY THIS
MORNING. SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE DURING THE AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WILL
LEAD TO A HIGHER COVERAGE OF STORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR BY LATE
AFTERNOON.

A FEW STRONG STORMS WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE EXPECTED. STORM MOTION TO THE EAST AT 5 TO
10 MPH IS ANTICIPATED...WITH SOME MOVING ACROSS THE COAST DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
516. StormTracker2K
11:27 AM GMT on May 15, 2012


This coincides with the upward MJO pulse
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
515. GeoffreyWPB
11:26 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11159
514. Tropicsweatherpr
11:26 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Good morning. GFS has backed off development in the Western Caribbean It really needs the expected May 22nd upgrade.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14267
513. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:21 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Aletta is strengthening this morning. Expect a 45 or 50 mph tropical storm at 11AM EDT/8AM PDT.

Objective T-numbers are at 2.9, or ~45 knots (50 mph).



Big blowup of convection underway.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32072
512. StormTracker2K
11:20 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Good Morning! Boy is it looking very wet across FL over the next week. Very beneficial rains are on the way as it looks as if the rainy season has now set in across drought ridden FL.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
511. WxGeekVA
11:06 AM GMT on May 15, 2012


Say bye-bye 92L!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
510. ncstorm
11:02 AM GMT on May 15, 2012


Round Two today..several fires yesterday from lightening strikes
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15300
508. MAweatherboy1
10:41 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Good morning... Happy first official day of East Pac season!

TS Aletta

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7787
507. MahFL
10:41 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
Ugh. The thunderstorm complex that was blowing up earlier this afternoon in the central gulf has since weakened and will continue to do so as it approaches the west coast of Florida.

Florida weather isn't what it used to be, that's for sure. Does anyone remember the old climate consisting of afternoon thunderstorms around 4 pm along the west coast? The almost yearly tropical storms? what happened?!


Our climate got drier.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3494
506. Doppler22
10:40 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting j2008:
Aletta is here which means its time for the dreaded poll season. How strong will Aletta get?
A) TS 45 MPH
B) TS 55 MPH
C) TS 65 MPH
D) Hurricane >75 MPH


i think A is right
Member Since: February 13, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 3754
505. luvtogolf
10:39 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
I see the GFS has backed way off from developing a storm in the NW Caribbean. Not surprised. It is only May. I do think we will see a storm either in the Caribbean or off the SE Coast during the first two weeks of June.
Member Since: June 12, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 992
504. MahFL
10:34 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting AllStar17:
Early start to hurricane season!
(click to enlarge)


It's only one day early, lol.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3494
503. OracleDeAtlantis
10:16 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
Quoting Ameister12:
Nice signature east of Conway, SC.


I chased it, and it fizzled out fast. :(

Nice green hail core, marginal super cell, no tornado. The proximity to the ocean kills these coming from the south, most of the time in this area.
Member Since: August 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 524
502. LargoFl
10:13 AM GMT on May 15, 2012
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
545 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-161000-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
545 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN
TODAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS
AWAY FROM THE COAST. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL BEING
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$

JELSEMA
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38521

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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