Subtropical Storm Beryl forms

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:03 PM GMT on May 26, 2012

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The second named storm of this unusually fast-starting 2012 Atlantic hurricane season is here. Subtropical Storm Beryl formed Friday night, a few hundred miles east of the South Carolina coast, from an area of disturbed weather that had moved from the Western Caribbean northeastward. Beryl's formation marks the first time since the hurricane season of 1908 that two Atlantic named storms have formed so early in the year. The only other year with two storms so early in the year was 1887. Records of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic extend back to 1851.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Beryl.

The clockwise flow of air around an extremely intense ridge of high pressure that is bringing record heat to the Midwest this weekend is currently driving Beryl to the southwest, and this motion is likely continue until Beryl is very close to the Georgia/Northern Florida coast on Sunday night. As I explain in my Subtropical Storm Tutorial, a subtropical storm typically has a large, cloud free center of circulation, with very heavy thunderstorm activity in a band removed at least 100 miles from the center. The difference between a subtropical storm and a tropical storm is not that important as far as the winds they can generate, but tropical storms generate more rain. A key difference between tropical and subtropical storms is that tropical systems have the potential to quickly grow into hurricanes, while subtropical storms do not. Thus, we need not be concerned about Beryl intensifying to hurricane strength while it is still subtropical. If the storm manages to build a large amount of heavy thunderstorms near its center, these thunderstorms should be able to add enough heat and moisture to the atmosphere to turn Beryl into a tropical storm. This process will be aided as Beryl passes over the warmest waters of the Gulf Stream Saturday night and Sunday morning. But as Beryl makes its likely transition to a tropical storm on Sunday afternoon and evening as it approaches the coast, the storm will move off of the warmest Gulf Stream waters into waters that are cooler (25°, 77°F), and with with lower total heat content. This will limit the storm's potential to strengthen. The 11 am Saturday wind probability advisory from NHC gave Beryl just an 8% chance of becoming a hurricane. There is a lot of dry air surrounding Beryl, thanks to an upper-level low pressure system aloft, and this will keep rainfall amounts much lower that what we would expect if Beryl was a tropical storm. Thus, flooding due to heavy rains is probably not a huge concern with this storm, particularly since the Southeast U.S. coast is under moderate to extreme drought. The 2 - 4 inches of rain expected from Beryl will not be enough to bust the drought, since the Southeast U.S. is generally suffering a rainfall deficit of 8 - 12 inches (since October 1.) Heavy rains from Beryl are not likely to begin affecting coastal South Carolina, Georgia, and Northern Florida until Sunday.


Figure 2. Moderate to exceptional drought is currently gripping the Southeast U.S.; Beryl's rains would be welcome. Image credit: U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Bud hits Mexico and dissipates
Hurricane Bud hit Mexico as a tropical depression early this morning, and has now dissipated, thanks to dry air, wind shear, and interaction with Mexico's mountainous terrain. As Bud approached Mexico on Friday, it brought tropical storm-force winds and heavy rains to the coast. Winds at Manzanillo peaked at 41 mph, with a gust to 55 mph, Friday afternoon. Thursday night at 11 pm EDT, Bud peaked at Category 3 status, with 115 mph winds, becoming the earliest Category 3 hurricane on record so early in the year in the Eastern Pacific. There are no reports of deaths or damage from Bud so far, and with only another inch or so of rain expected from the storm, Mexico appears to have escaped serious damage.


Figure 3. True-color satellite image of Hurricane Bud taken by NASA's Terra satellite at 1:15 pm EDT May 25, 2012. At the time, Bud was a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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1413. LargoFl
....................Tampa Bay 7 day
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1412. LargoFl
Quoting unf97:
Good morning everyone. Beryl is getting ready to pay a visit to where I am here in Jacksonville. It will be very interesting around here the next 48 hours or so. This will be the first landfalling cyclone directly from the east to impact this area since Hurricane Dora in 1964.

I'll keep the blog updated along with otherswho live here during the event. Aquak9 I hope you are fine and ready for Beryl.
ok good your right on the track over there, stay safe ok and let us know whats happening as best you can
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1411. LargoFl
Quoting centrfla:
news is saying a little rain and wind...what do you think unf97
yes this isnt a monster storm, but one has to watch out for those 50-60 mph gusts and of course lots of lightning and quite possibly water spouts and tornado's with a land falling storm like this..for us in Tampa bay, not much today, tomorrow maybe more rain which we sure can use alot of.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1410. K8eCane
anyone here from ga.?
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
news is saying a little rain and wind...what do you think unf97
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tx unf97...i am in daytona area...keep us posted
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1407. unf97
Good morning everyone. Beryl is getting ready to pay a visit to where I am here in Jacksonville. It will be very interesting around here the next 48 hours or so. This will be the first landfalling cyclone directly from the east to impact this area since Hurricane Dora in 1964.

I'll keep the blog updated along with otherswho live here during the event. Aquak9 I hope you are fine and ready for Beryl.
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1406. K8eCane
im looking at the water vapor loop and within that huge center it looks like a smaller center can be see rotating around, and then all of a sudden a white plume of something darts right out of there. what is that?
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
1405. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1404. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1403. LargoFl
Quoting K8eCane:
Largo I hope it gives you bunches of rain because yall need it
thanks
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1402. K8eCane
Largo I hope it gives you bunches of rain because yall need it
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
1401. LargoFl
Quoting K8eCane:
Morning Largo
good morning,going to be a long hard posting day today LOL
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1400. LargoFl
Quoting K8eCane:
i know its sort of an illusion per se because this is a center of circulation thats trying really hard to fill in tightly but i dont see it happening and i dont think there will be much left of it after its over land a short while lol
yes i kinda agree with you there, this is a rain making storm with some wind,after landfall, and it weakens, we are hoping it sits around awhile, giving us rain in all the parched area's of northern florida
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1399. K8eCane
Morning Largo
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
1398. LargoFl
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY AND MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. AFTER
LANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND
THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER
LANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA...
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1397. K8eCane
i know its sort of an illusion per se because this is a center of circulation thats trying really hard to fill in tightly but i dont see it happening and i dont think there will be much left of it after its over land a short while lol
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
1396. LargoFl
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
409 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

GAZ114>119-137>141-271615-
/O.NEW.KCHS.FF.A.0001.120527T2200Z-120529T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
TATTNALL-EVANS-INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-
COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-
INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...REIDSVILLE...CLAXTON...PEMBROKE...
FORT MCALLISTER...SAVANNAH...TYBEE ISLAND...LUDOWICI...
HINESVILLE...HALFMOON LANDING...TOWNSEND...DARIEN
409 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...COASTAL BRYAN...COASTAL
CHATHAM...COASTAL LIBERTY...COASTAL MCINTOSH...EVANS...INLAND
BRYAN...INLAND CHATHAM...INLAND LIBERTY...INLAND MCINTOSH...
LONG AND TATTNALL.

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WILL APPROACH THE REGION TODAY AND MOVE
ONSHORE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS EVENING. BERYL IS THEN
EXPECTED TO MEANDER ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND FAR NORTHEAST
FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE PUSHING OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY.

* THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. AT THIS TIME THE HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR NEAR THE ALTAMAHA RIVER. MUCH OF THIS WILL
LIKELY FALL TONIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN
PERSISTING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. ELEVATED TIDES AT THE COAST MAY
ENHANCE THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING EAST OF INTERSTATE 95.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS
PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF FLOODING
DEVELOPS.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38078
1395. K8eCane
That could be featured on a show titled What went wrong with mother nature
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
1394. K8eCane
Well I have never seen a storm with an eye (like feature) quite like THAT before. Wow. That should be called a super eye (like feature). This thing aint goin tropical IMHO
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3098
Quoting StormHunter89:


Right, I was thinking more on the line with watches like with watches where a hurricane can strengthen rapidly from a strong tropical storm to cat 3, or 4 in a short amount of time. Correct me if I'm wrong, but our understanding of hurricanes and their development has reached that point where such warning/planning is possible.



Sadly, not yet...

Search still on for 'holy grail' of hurricane forecasting

Fri May 18, 2012 5:19pm EDT

* Hurricane intensity forecasts still a work in progress

* Significant gains might be years away, forecasters warn

* Intensity change forecasts seen as key to public safety

By Tom Brown

MIAMI, May 18 (Reuters) - Bill Read, the top U.S. hurricane forecaster for the last 4-1/2 years, says researchers may be edging closer to finding the "holy grail" of hurricane forecasting.

But Read, who steps down as director of the Miami-based National Hurricane Center on June 1, acknowledged in an interview it could be the end of this decade before there is any significant improvement in forecasting the rapid intensity changes in a hurricane.

"That's still the holy grail if you will in hurricane forecast research, to try to capture those rapid changes in intensity," Read told Reuters.
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Beryl is looking much better this evening, the accelerated motion is on track with what I've been expecting. I knew that slow speed would be short lived.

BTW, I'm still expecting a further south and west track. I'm not sure why the NHC is buying the right bias ECMWF just because it has been reliable recently. The reason why is that the ECMWF has performed poorly with Beryl from the start, and the local NWS offices have also noted this as well.


You can see Beryl accelerating towards the coast. A landfall from St. Augustine to Dayton Beach still seems most likely to me. I also think it has a chance to make it it all the way across the state before turning back northeast...
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Quoting traumaboyy:
Hey AtHome!!

Yeah, always look foreward to the season! I know they say it is supposed to be quiet this year....but sure is starting with a bang!!


Yes, it seems so. Just shows how unpredictable tropical seasons, systems, or subTS's, can be. And this one is set to come in at a place that doesn't get hit often I gather. Wonder what the rest of the season has in store.
:)
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Quoting KoritheMan:
It is. The National Hurricane Center uses terminology like "GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL."

Granted, there may be a better way to get that to the public, but still...


Right, I was thinking more on the line with watches like with watches where a hurricane can strengthen rapidly from a strong tropical storm to cat 3, or 4 in a short amount of time. Correct me if I'm wrong, but our understanding of hurricanes and their development has reached that point where such warning/planning is possible.

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Hey AtHome!!

Yeah, always look foreward to the season! I know they say it is supposed to be quiet this year....but sure is starting with a bang!!
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Quoting traumaboyy:
Hey Kori!

looks like I am fixin to get some rain!


Hey Trauma! Getting to be that night shift time of year for me too. Hope you get some nice rains. :)
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Hey Kori!

looks like I am fixin to get some rain!
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Hurricane Preparedness Week

National Hurricane Preparedness Week 2012 runs from May 27th through June 2nd.

Hurricane hazards come in many forms, including storm surge, heavy rainfall, inland flooding, high winds, tornadoes, and rip currents. The National Weather Service is responsible for protecting life and property through issuance of timely watches and warnings, but it is essential that your family be ready before a storm approaches. Furthermore, mariners should be aware of special safety precautions when confronted with a hurricane.

Download the Tropical Cyclone Preparedness Guide (PDF) or follow the links for more information. But remember, this is only a guide. The first and most important thing anyone should do when facing a hurricane threat is to use common sense.
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Quoting Jedkins01:



I highly disagree, its better to take things conservative then be the boy who cries wolf. A professional meteorologist should not hype things, I don't think the NWS welcomes that sort of take on things, and neither does the public. Nobody wants to see things over hyped, people stop listening and stop paying attention eventually.


It's always better to be over prepared than underprepared.
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Quoting RussianWinter:
Does anyone think we'll see a nightmare scenario similar to Wilma again? It's storms like these that make me wake up to see the 2 Am and 5 Am updates.
Eventually. Eventually there will be a storm stronger than Wilma in the Atlantic.
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Quoting StormHunter89:


If a storm could become a major hurricane then it should be in some kind of watch/warning
It is. The National Hurricane Center uses terminology like "GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL."

Granted, there may be a better way to get that to the public, but still...
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Quoting Mclem1:


That is a good point but I still think it isnt the right idea. If a storm is underwarned and not seen as the destructive possibility it could be then people may not be aware of what is coming toward them. Sure maybe sometimes the warning turns out not to be necessary, but I'd love to see the career a meteorologist has for not giving ample warning about a hurricane that causes deaths and property damages because they didnt want to "cause panic in case it didnt pan out"



I would rather a meteorologist be as accurate and objective as possible. Besides they have watches for a reason, so as to alert people that they need to keep an eye on the weather. Though I think the warning system could use an upgrade like the one they are experimenting with tornadoes. If a storm could become a major hurricane then it should be in some kind of watch/warning so people know to have they're essentials and belongings on standby to get out of dodge in case something does blow up rapidly.
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Derived from (NHC) ATCF data for SubtropicalStormBeryl for 27May6amGMT:
It's most recent position is 30.8n78.1w
Its vector had changed from SWest at ~9.1mph(14.7km/h) to WSWest at ~12.1mph(19.5km/h)
MaxSusWinds had held steady at ~45knots(52mph)83km/h
And minimum pressure had held steady 998millibars

For those who like to visually track STS.Beryl's path...
FPR is FortPierce . COI is MerrittIsland . FD48 is PonteVedraBeach . JAX is Jacksonville

The kinked line is as much of 94Ls path as would fit on this particular map scale
The Northernmost dot on the kinked line is where Invest94L became SubTropicalStormBeryl
The NEasternmost dot on the longest straight line-segment was STS.Beryl's most recent position

The longest coast-to-sea line-segment is a straightline-projection
through STS.Beryl's 2 most recent positions to the coastline.
The C0I dumbbell was the endpoint of the 26May12pmGMT straightline projection
connected to its closest airport.
The FPR dumbbell was the endpoint* of the 26May6pmGMT & the 27May12amGMT straightline projection
connected to its closest airport.
On 27May6amGMT, STS.Beryl was headed toward passing over PonteVedraBeach,Florida in ~15hours from now

Copy&paste eyw, fpr-27.39n80.26w,fpr-27.426n80.274w, coi-28.3779n80.6w, fd48, jax, gge-33.292n79.172w, 25.1n80.1w, 26.5n78.7w, 28.1n78.1w, 30.0n75.6w, 31.2n75.1w, 32.3n74.9w, 32.3n74.9w-32.4n75.3w, 32.4n75.3w-31.9n76.0w, 31.9n76.0w-31.6n76.3w, 31.6n76.3w-31.0n76.9w, 31.0n76.9w-30.8n78.1w, 31.0n76.9w-30.20n81.366w into the GreatCircleMapper for more*information.
The previous mapping for comparison.

* For more complete info, replace the 'comma&space's between 25.1n80.1w and the first 32.3n74.9w with dashes, AND leave the comma&space between the first and second 32.3n74.9w
(The forum program inserts spaces into overly long strings of letters&numbers&characters.
So I couldn't leave a 'copy&paste'able copy of what generated my map.)
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
1379. Mclem1
Quoting Jedkins01:



I highly disagree, its better to take things conservative then be the boy who cries wolf. A professional meteorologist should not hype things, I don't think the NWS welcomes that sort of take on things, and neither does the public. Nobody wants to see things over hyped, people stop listening and stop paying attention eventually.




That is a good point but I still think it isnt the right idea. If a storm is underwarned and not seen as the destructive possibility it could be then people may not be aware of what is coming toward them. Sure maybe sometimes the warning turns out not to be necessary, but I'd love to see the career a meteorologist has for not giving ample warning about a hurricane that causes deaths and property damages because they didnt want to "cause panic in case it didnt pan out"
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Quoting cchsweatherman:


Honestly I believe hyping a storm is better than totally downplaying a storm. Reason I say that is that hyping a storm brings more attention and awareness to storm preparedness. With that being said, the only station down here that I believe over hypes storms and systems in Channel 7-WSVN. Both Local 10 News and CBS 4 News here do a great job not only analyzing systems but providing consistent delivery in forecasts.



I highly disagree, its better to take things conservative then be the boy who cries wolf. A professional meteorologist should not hype things, I don't think the NWS welcomes that sort of take on things, and neither does the public. Nobody wants to see things over hyped, people stop listening and stop paying attention eventually.


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Quoting ProgressivePulse:


I dunno SJ. I give it 50/50 making the transition before landfall. Just my opinion of course, ULL is still very well a part of Beryl.


Agreed.
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Quoting traumaboyy:
Good morning night shift!!


Hi Ron.
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Late night blog, hot off the press!
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Good morning night shift!!
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Quoting StormJunkie:


Big central core. Typical of an STS. She does look as decent as she has ever looked though.

night all.


I dunno SJ. I give it 50/50 making the transition before landfall. Just my opinion of course, ULL is still very well a part of Beryl.
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Quoting galvestonhurricane:


One storm that was actually quite similar to Humberto was Alicia, although Alicia did form more in the center of the GOM. Come to think about it, Texans haven't had much luck with "A" storms (Alicia and Allison come to mind).


Ran across this a while back.

Texas Hurricanes 1950 - 2010
Most major storms that hit Texas usually start with A - B - C
by ScubaMom
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Big central core. Typical of an STS. She does look as decent as she has ever looked though.

night all.
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Quoting CosmicEvents:
I'm a weather geek, particularly interested in tropical cyclones.....and if I knew I could or couldn't be there....I'd pay A LOT to get out, and you couldn't pay me enough to be there. These things are pretty on satellite but messy at ground level.



Well, I say that if I knew for certain I would be or could make myself safe from harm. Imagine sitting on Cozumel at the time that image was taken. Imagine the visuals of being inside, your own recon flight through the eye. Which I would also love to do someday. I did happen to get the opportunity to be inside Wilma's eye at the end of the day. Just not in the clear state as it was over Cozumel.
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1369. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53536
Quoting galvestonhurricane:



Hello! The best way to learn is by reading what the best people on here put such as Levi32, CCHSweatherman, Patrap, Bahahurican, stormjunkie, etc. And if you don't understand something, just ask, we will do our best to answer your question!


Always feel free to message me here too if needed.

By the way Galveston, your avatar here reminded me of the insane video I saw of the massive storm surge washing away so much of the Texas coastline and property.
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Not so much like that date around here. It's almost 2 a.m. and nothing's sitting off our coast, moving in. Lol.





One storm that was actually quite similar to Humberto was Alicia, although Alicia did form more in the center of the GOM. Come to think about it, Texans haven't had much luck with "A" storms (Alicia and Allison come to mind).
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Quoting JFV2007:


LOL. You lost me there, ma'am.


Um, I am not a ma'am, so... If you want to talk to a girl, go talk to skyepony.
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Quoting galvestonhurricane:


You are located in S. Florida, right? Are the weathermen down there hyping up the storm even though it will likely have little effect on you except for rain? In the Houston/Galveston area, the tv "meteorologists" are notorious for hyping up the smallest things...


No hype here in Palm Beach County. Being a holiday weekend they are staying away from it with a 10ft pole other than the surf impacts for beach goers.

From this morning

UPDATE: Tropical Storm Beryl

There's little change in the 11 AM advisory to earlier thinking. Beryl will move into North Florida or South Georgia Sunday Night. Effects on the Treasure Coast would be 6 to 8 foot seas with plenty of rough surf..lower seas Palm Beach County. Our rain chances increase to 50/50 for Tomorrow in Palm Beach County and 70% on the Treasure Coast. Total rainfall should be under 1" in our local area. The storm stays weak and is too far from us. The result will be little wind effects here in South Florida.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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