Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Beryl headed out to sea
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:53 PM GMT on May 30, 2012 +33
The center of Tropical Depression Beryl is close to the ocean again, and the storm has strengthened slightly in response. Beryl's heavy rain show will be focused on Eastern North Carolina today, where widespread rain amounts of 2 - 4 inches can be expected. Beryl's heaviest rains fell over Lafayette County, Florida, on Monday and Tuesday, where 12.65" was measured as of 6:30 am EDT Tuesday near Midway. Beryl spawned a single tornado on both Monday and Tuesday; these twisters did only minor damage. There is a slight chance the storm could produce another weak tornado today over North Carolina. The storm is being blamed for one death--a swimmer that drowned in rough surf in Daytona Beach, Florida. Another swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina. All things considered, Beryl was just the sort of tropical storm the Southeast U.S. needed--strong enough to bring the heavy rains needed to alleviate the severe to exceptional drought conditions over the region, but not so strong as to cause major damage and loss of life. The main bummer was that Beryl hit during the Memorial Day holiday weekend, costing the tourism industry tens of millions of dollars in lost business. With Beryl caught in a trough of low pressure and accelerating to the northeast, the storm should transition to an extratropical storm later today.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 2:25 pm EDT May 29, 2012 by NASA's Aqua satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical depression with winds of 30 mph.


Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl over the past seven days from NOAA/AHPS.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Hurricane
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351. LargoFl 10:40 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
LAC065-107-MSC149-310030-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0057.120530T2228Z-120531T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
528 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
NORTHEASTERN TENSAS PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VICKSBURG...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 529 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN NEAR SOMERSET...OR 19 MILES
SOUTH OF TALLULAH. THE STORMS WERE NEARLY STATIONARY. ESTIMATED
RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...HAVE
OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AFTON

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
HOUR WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.
FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3244 9116 3244 9096 3243 9096 3244 9095
3244 9078 3210 9103 3208 9108 3205 9108
3205 9110 3208 9114 3207 9116 3205 9116
3209 9130

$$

GRG
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352. LargoFl 10:42 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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353. LargoFl 10:43 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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354. Methurricanes 10:44 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Remember, just because Beryl is post-tropical, it has all the threats of a tropical storm to the OBX of North Carolina.
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355. PakaSurvivor 10:44 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting pcola57:


"It's not just in the Tampa area alone"..A small meek voice is heard from the man standing and waving in his withered vegetable patch...(ie: Me)..LOL :)


Good evening all. Weather in the Florida Panhandle is hot and dry, and monitoring the Fire on the East Side of the Eglin AFB reservation. Smoke spreading (depending in wind direction) into Crestview this evening. Was bad in Fort Walton Beach and surrounding areas this morning. Hows things in Texas RitaEvac?
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356. LargoFl 10:46 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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357. LargoFl 10:49 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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358. LargoFl 10:50 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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359. TropicalAnalystwx13 10:51 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    




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360. BDAwx 10:52 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Post tropical storm Beryl producing 39kt sustained winds with 997mb pressure and almost 2.5ft storm surge at Hatteras, NC?

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361. LargoFl 10:52 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
541 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

ALC035-099-302300-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-120530T2300Z/
CONECUH AL-MONROE AL-
541 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MONROE AND SOUTHWESTERN CONECUH COUNTIES...

AT 536 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR FRISCO CITY...OR NEAR EXCEL...
MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEGARGEL... FRISCO CITY... EXCEL...
REPTON...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL (800) 284-9059.

&&

LAT...LON 3153 8738 3139 8715 3126 8732 3126 8743
3141 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 271DEG 2KT 3142 8737

$$
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362. MAweatherboy1 10:52 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
This is the southern Childress TX storm...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
551 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN KING COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.
SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 548 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A RAPIDLY
ROTATING WALL CLOUD CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE WALL CLOUD
WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF HACKBERRY...OR ABOUT 10 MILES EAST OF
PADUCAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE PADUCAH...
HACKBERRY AND CHALK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3375 10018 3401 10032 3414 10010 3407 10004
3384 10004 3384 10000 3383 9999 3376 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 323DEG 25KT 3401 10012

$$

MEADOWS
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363. MAweatherboy1 10:55 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
The radar presentation of the tornado warned storm near Paducah TX is excellent.
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364. pcola57 10:55 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
.
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366. pcola57 11:01 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
.
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367. MAweatherboy1 11:02 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting pcola57:
Childress,Tx Loop


There has to be a tornado on the ground with that one.
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368. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:02 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Wow!

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369. MAweatherboy1 11:03 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Wow!


Yeah no kidding! That storm is crazy, it gets stronger every frame!
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370. Methurricanes 11:03 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting pcola57:
Childress,Tx Loop


thats a massive hail core heading for Cromwell, TX, luckly it looks like the possible tornado will go south of town.
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371. Ameister12 11:04 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
This is probably one of the strongest looking rotations I have seen a while.

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372. pcola57 11:05 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
.
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373. MAweatherboy1 11:06 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
90mph non tornadic winds reported with this one, Jim Cantore says strong tornado with debris ball no joke!!!
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374. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:06 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Strong tornado on the ground, confirmed.

Looks like a debris ball.

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375. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 11:08 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
looks like some active areas coming into view

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376. MAweatherboy1 11:08 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
This could easily be demolishing everything in its path- luckily there isn't much in its path, mostly rural areas.
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377. DavidHOUTX 11:11 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Strong tornado on the ground, confirmed.

Looks like a debris ball.



That is one nasty storm. The rotation is unbelievable
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378. MAweatherboy1 11:15 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
613 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
FOARD COUNTY IN NORTH TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTY IN NORTH TEXAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 610 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A TORNADO IS VERY LIKELY NEAR HACKBERRY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

* THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF SOUTHWESTERN FOARD AND NORTHWESTERN KNOX COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE TORNADO WILL BE HIDDEN BY RAIN AND YOU MAY NOT SEE IT. DO NOT
WAIT. TAKE COVER NOW.

This one is probably an EF 3 or more, again luckily over mostly rural areas.
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379. Tropicsweatherpr 11:15 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
603 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXC101-269-302315-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120530T2315Z/
KING TX-COTTLE TX-
603 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE AND
NORTHEASTERN KING COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 559 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HACKBERRY...OR 13 MILES EAST
OF PADUCAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 600 PM 80 TO 90 MPH WINDS WERE REPORTED AT PADUCAH
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COTTLE AND NORTHEASTERN
KING COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3376 10017 3402 10027 3414 10010 3407 10004
3384 10004 3384 10000 3383 9999 3376 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 323DEG 25KT 3395 10006

$$

MEADOWS
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
602 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

TXC399-302315-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0017.000000T0000Z-120530T2315Z/
RUNNELS TX-
602 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RUNNELS COUNTY...

AT 559 PM CDT... THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR BENOIT...OR NEAR BALLINGER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. PUBLIC
REPORTS FROM BALLINGER INDICATE ROTATION WITHIN THE STORM AND BLOW
DUST FROM STRONG WINDS IN THE AREA. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO BE
PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A TORNADO.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS.
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
OVERTURNED VEHICLES...
DAMAGE TO TREES...SOME MAY BE UPROOTED...
DAMAGE TO HOMES...MAY DESTROY MANUFACTURED HOMES...
DENTED VEHICLES...
MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE...
MAY BREAK WINDOWS ON VEHICLES AND HOMES...
MAY INJURE PEOPLE...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK LEFT UNPROTECTED...
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BENOIT BY 610 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3192 9983 3170 9981 3176 10011 3188 10009
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 278DEG 21KT 3179 9988

$$
DANIELS
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380. Ameister12 11:16 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
It will likely be extremely hard to see this tornado. Radar show that the rotation is located in extremely heavy rain and large hail.
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381. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:17 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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382. MAweatherboy1 11:19 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It seems to at least be maintaining strength if not intensifying.
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383. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:20 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Storm is cycling.
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384. MAweatherboy1 11:22 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Storm is cycling.

The scary thing is there's nothing to stop it from cycling over and over again... No storms in front of it to interfere with it, and favorable conditions
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385. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:23 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Actually, no it isn't. The storm just has an irregular...uhh, velocity signature.

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386. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 11:23 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
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387. MAweatherboy1 11:23 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
AT 614 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A TORNADO
WAS VERY LIKELY OCCURRING NEAR THE COTTLE-FOARD COUNTY LINE WEST OF
CROWELL. THE STORM WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. IN ADDITION TO
THE THREAT OF A TORNADO... THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL LARGER THAN BASEBALLS AND WINDS GUSTS OF 80 MPH.
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388. Barefootontherocks 11:24 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Wow!

No kidding-o! four cells popped in TX panhandle (add) off the dryline. Two southerly ones came together with a bang. You could see it on SRV loop!

CDT 5:28pm


CDT 5:46 pm (mod: switch to graphic that's time-stamped)


(Please excuse me while I answer my weather radio.)

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389. PedleyCA 11:24 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

No idea.


Here are a bunch of Duck Pictures.

12 different kinds
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390. DavidHOUTX 11:25 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Very nice outflow boundary
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391. MAweatherboy1 11:26 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
I think its cycling now... Rotation is a bit less defined.
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392. Walshy 11:27 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?

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393. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:28 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I think its cycling now... Rotation is a bit less defined.

Yeah.

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394. MAweatherboy1 11:28 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
It's also very possible there's a tornado on the ground with the other tornado warned storm in Texas farther south.
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395. MAweatherboy1 11:29 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting Walshy:
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?


Yes, thankfully.
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396. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:30 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting Walshy:
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?


Link
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397. DavidHOUTX 11:30 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting Walshy:
Any LIVE News sites covering this tornado online? Or is it in the middle of no where?



Check out Link
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398. lobdelse81 11:35 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
These are mallard ducks. Male has the green head. Mallard is the most common kind of duck in the USA.


Cute :-)
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399. MAweatherboy1 11:36 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
The storm has already cycled through, rotation is back and very strong.
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400. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:38 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Very likely producing a tornado again (if it ever stopped):

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401. 1900hurricane 11:42 PM GMT on May 30, 2012    
Man, I should have gone chasing today! I briefly thought about it, but the tornado potential looked kinda low and most of the stuff looked like it might have been out of my range. I could have made it to that storm near Childress though. Oh well, maybe I'll get lucky tomorrow? The hatched area will be all around me.

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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