Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

More record-setting heat; Waldo Canyon Fire consumes 15,000 acres

Posted by: Angela Fritz, 7:17 PM GMT on June 27, 2012

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Tuesday's heat toppled many records in the Central U.S., particularly in Colorado, Nebraska, and Kansas. On Monday and Tuesday combined, 11 locations tied or broke their all-time record high temperature, 78 locations broke their all-time record high for the month of June, and 382 daily high records fell. Some notable Tuesday records from our Weather Historian:

115° in McCook, Nebraska is the all-time record for any month. The old records for site are 114° 7/20/1932 and for June 112° 6/5/1933—both set in the heat waves of the 1930s. Yesterday's 115° at Mc Cook also broke the all-time Nebraska state June record of 114° which was set in Franklin in 1936.

105° in Denver, Colorado, ties Monday's all-time record, and ties the 5-day record for number of days above 100°.

101° in Colorado Springs, Colorado is the all-time undisputed record high for any month.

111° in Miles City, Montana is the all-time high for any month.

111° in Lamar, Colorado tied that all-time heat record in any month.

115° in Hill City, Kansas is the new June record, but fell short of all-time 117° reading, and one degree short of Kansas state June record.

110° in Dodge City, Kansas ties the all-time high for any month, which was just set last June.

Wheat Ridge, Colorado (103°) and Cedar Bluff Dam, Kansas (110°) also tied their all-time record highs on Tuesday. Our Weather Historian Christopher C. Burt, who mused that this heat wave is starting to shape up like the record setting heat waves of the 1930s, will have a full-length post on this week's incredible heat wave on Friday. Today the heat shifts eastward, with eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois in an excessive heat watch, and eastern Kansas and western Missouri in an excessive heat warning. St. Louis could start to see 100°+ today, and Chicago will likely have their warmest day on Thursday. This heat wave will reach the eastern U.S. by Friday.

Waldo Canyon Fire engulfs parts of Colorado Springs

Firefighters are "on the offensive" on Wednesday as they fight the Waldo Canyon Fire, which started Saturday afternoon for reasons unknown. The fire is 5% contained as of Wednesday afternoon, though firefighters are using triage protocol, according to the AP, to save the homes that they are able to save. 30,000 people have fled their homes on Wednesday as the fire grew to over 15,000 acres. The region remains in a red flag warning as conditions continue to be unfavorable for fighting both this and the High Park fire, which continues to burn west of Fort Collins. Humidity is expected to remain around or less than 10%, and winds could gust up to 50 mph.

Figure 1. The Waldo Canyon Fire as seen on Wundermap, which is burning just northwest of Colorado Springs, and is 5% contained. This fire has engulfed over 15,000 acres since it began on Saturday, as firefighters try to fight the blaze under weather conditions favorable for wildfires.

Debby Says Farewell

Tropical Depression Debby is in the Atlantic and moving further out to sea and rainfall is winding down. Over the past week, Debby has dropped more than 20 inches of rain over northern Florida, and widespread amounts of 10+ inches as far south as Port Charlotte. While still classified as tropical, Debby seems to be losing her tropical characteristics as it merges with the frontal boundary that guided it across Florida. The depression continues to be hammered by westerly wind shear, and could be classified as post-tropical or dissipate all together soon.

Figure 2. Rainfall accumulation over the past 7 days as of June 27. Debby has dropped more than 20 inches of rain over northern Florida, and widespread amounts of 10+ inches as far south as Port Charlotte. Image modified from NWS.

Meantime, in the main development region of the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center is giving an African easterly wave a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. This is the first main development region activity we've seen so far this season, though its peak usually doesn't happen until later in the Summer and early Fall. This wave is producing some thunderstorm activity which is visible on satellite, and it appears to have moderate mid-level circulation. Wind shear in the region is relatively low, only 10-15 knots, and the wave is moving into a more favorable wind shear zone, which will remain until it reaches the Lesser Antilles. The moisture in and around this wave is also relatively low. I would also put this wave's probability of development at minimal over the next few days.

Angela

Waldo Canyon Wildfire (apphotos)

Fire from the Waldo Canyon wildfire burns as it moved into subdivisions and destroyed homes in Colorado Springs, Colo., on Tuesday, June 26, 2012. (AP Photo/Gaylon Wampler)

Categories: Heat Fire Hurricane Extreme Weather

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851. Progster 5:21 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Its pretty clear "ex" Debby Has a circulation: Link Caution: big (36 mb) beautiful vis loop Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 412

852. FutureWx6221 5:21 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: Ok, I know not many people are on, but I will still do this: POLL TIME!!!! What will the C Atl AOI do? A) Dissipate soon B) Produce rain and thunderstorms through the antilles and then dissipate C) Become a strong wave/TD with heavy rains and flooding before hitting land D) Become a solid TD E) TS F) Hurricane G) I dont know why i am doing this after all the above choices but OTHER I'm a legitimate G...maintain limited convection until it reaches the Caribbean, then it depends on shear, SST's, etc. Member Since: June 26, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 103

853. wunderkidcayman 5:21 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: the wave will not moisten its whole path, it cannot reach all the way back to the e atl for moisture when it nears the antilles. However, it will produce rains and thunderstorms. Development, no dude look it will not reach back into the EAtl for moisture yes and the reasion why it won't is because that moisture field is following the AOI and will continue to do so and it will be drier behind it when it it near the antilles and there will not be anything to prevent the moisture field to follow the AOI the path will moisten when the AOI moves in Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

854. Methurricanes 5:21 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Tropics Chat anyone? Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 528

856. Patrap 5:23 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM EASTERN QUEBEC AND NOVA SCOTIA ALONG THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD TO A BASE NEAR 27N78W. THE TROUGHING SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT ANALYZED FROM 32N74W INTO A 1006 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF DEBBY...CENTERED NEAR 31N75W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 27N80W WITH A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED SE OF THE FRONT FROM 27N77W TO THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR 26N80W. WHILE GALE FORCE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IN THE SE QUADRANT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE ALSO OCCURRING IN THE NE QUADRANT FROM 31N-34N BETWEEN 68W-74W...AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 31N69W TO 23N79W...INCLUDING THE NW AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...A NARROW UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N45W TO 20N56W AND SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 30N35W TO 29N40W TO 22N48W. IT REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1029 MB HIGH CENTERED NORTH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 40N42W. THE SURFACE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DISSIPATING OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTH PROVIDING FULL INFLUENCE E OF 60W BY EARLY FRIDAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ HUFFMAN Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111425

857. weatherh98 5:23 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting Methurricanes: Tropics Chat anyone? Sorry meth I would but I'm on my phone Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

858. FutureWx6221 5:24 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
double post, removed Member Since: June 26, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 103

859. wunderkidcayman 5:24 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
GeorgiaStormz too early to do poll on the AOI atleast wait till it get closer Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

860. Tribucanes 5:25 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
A, isn't the dry air starting to take a negative toll? Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 1636

861. weatherh98 5:25 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting Patrap: ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM EASTERN QUEBEC AND NOVA SCOTIA ALONG THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD TO A BASE NEAR 27N78W. THE TROUGHING SUPPORTS A STATIONARY FRONT ANALYZED FROM 32N74W INTO A 1006 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF DEBBY...CENTERED NEAR 31N75W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW FROM THE LOW CENTER TO THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA NEAR 27N80W WITH A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED SE OF THE FRONT FROM 27N77W TO THE FLORIDA COAST NEAR 26N80W. WHILE GALE FORCE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW IN THE SE QUADRANT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE ALSO OCCURRING IN THE NE QUADRANT FROM 31N-34N BETWEEN 68W-74W...AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 31N69W TO 23N79W...INCLUDING THE NW AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. FARTHER EAST OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC...A NARROW UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N45W TO 20N56W AND SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED FROM 30N35W TO 29N40W TO 22N48W. IT REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1029 MB HIGH CENTERED NORTH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 40N42W. THE SURFACE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DISSIPATING OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTH PROVIDING FULL INFLUENCE E OF 60W BY EARLY FRIDAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ HUFFMAN So what we learned here is.... Debby is a cold front Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

862. cyclonekid 5:25 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting NCHurricane2009: If Debby comes back...it will still be Debby...even though it merged with the front earlier. Similar thing happened with Dean in 1997.... Can't be 97. 97's D name was Danny. Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 51 Comments: 1629

863. weatherh98 5:26 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting Tribucanes: A, isn't the dry air starting to take a negative toll? It looks like its starting to Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

864. aspectre 5:27 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
764 jeffs713: Her [exDebby's] vortex looks really stretched out. I think she is still somewhat attached to the front, but starting to break off. That said, it is going to take some time for her to regain tropical characteristics, and I honestly don't think she has that time with the high pressure pushing her east. We shall see, though, it will definitely be interesting. From land, but isn't the Azores(Bermuda)High also pushing exDebby west. Squeezed between two overs, strengthens in the cool... overpressure/high Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4846

865. weatherh98 5:27 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting cyclonekid: Can't be 97. 97's D name was Danny. It had to be 98 on the name cycle Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

866. PedleyCA 5:27 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting Progster: Its pretty clear "ex" Debby Has a circulation: Link Caution: big (36 mb) beautiful vis loop It was 55MB and wasn't a very worthy use of bandwidth. Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2143

867. Gearsts 5:28 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting weatherh98: It looks like its starting to It has since it came out of africa. Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1996

868. weatherh98 5:28 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting Gearsts: It has since it came out of africa. It prolly won't last Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

869. Progster 5:30 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting PedleyCA: It was 55MB and wasn't a very worthy use of bandwidth. to each their own. Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 412

870. GeorgiaStormz 5:30 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting windshear1993: yea b is reasonable lol we might see ernesto till friday july 13th DOOM Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7163

871. TropicalAnalystwx13 5:32 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
The wave is not going to dissipate before reaching the islands. Dry air may be a limiting factor for continued development, but it won't kill it. Wind shear will not increase until it enters the Caribbean. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25292

872. stormchaser19 5:32 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
july historically don't have much cyclone activity,neither storms of the cape verde area, and with the MJO saying that we are not going to see much getting out of africa until late july when the MJO enter in the negative phase again,so probably storms that maybe develops will develops in western carribean or north-northeast ,nearly florida . MJO Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 1357

873. MoeWest 5:32 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: Ok, I know not many people are on, but I will still do this: POLL TIME!!!! What will the C Atl AOI do? A) Dissipate soon B) Produce rain and thunderstorms through the antilles and then dissipate C) Become a strong wave/TD with heavy rains and flooding before hitting land D) Become a solid TD E) TS F) Hurricane G) I dont know why i am doing this after all the above choices but OTHER C Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 56

874. allancalderini 5:33 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting weatherh98: It had to be 98 on the name cycle 98 Was Danielle. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

875. 19N81W 5:33 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
catl aoi convection already looks to be taking a nw turn just not enough moisture around it wunderkid....not to mention the caribbean which is dry Member Since: August 24, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 332

876. allancalderini 5:34 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
000 ABNT20 KNHC 281730 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE POST-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF DEBBY...IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ABOUT 300 MILES WEST OF BERMUDA. THE LOW IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND WINDS TO GALE FORCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAIN DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE WAVE MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

877. TropicalAnalystwx13 5:34 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25292

878. weatherh98 5:35 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: Pinhole:P Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

879. reedzone 5:40 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: 000 ABNT20 KNHC 281730 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE POST-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF DEBBY...IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ABOUT 300 MILES WEST OF BERMUDA. THE LOW IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND WINDS TO GALE FORCE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAIN DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE WAVE MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN NHC way of saying, don't care bout Debby anymore.. It's over. Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7247

880. islander101010 5:45 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting MoeWest: C b.moe. Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2967

881. weatherboyfsu 5:45 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Debby made the NHC look like dummies so they have washed their hands of her..... Theres no way that you can say that theres no closed circulation.......and some decent thunderstorm activity.... Member Since: July 17, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1025

882. 12george1 5:46 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting weatherh98: It had to be 98 on the name cycle Danielle? Member Since: August 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 205

883. Patrap 5:46 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
FSU, eh? LOL Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111425

884. MoeWest 5:46 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting islander101010: b.moe. Ok, ok, I admit it was drought induced wishful thinking. NEED rain here on Curacao. Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 56

885. stormchaser19 5:48 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting MoeWest: C B Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 1357

886. weatherh98 5:49 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting MoeWest: Ok, ok, I admit it was drought induced wishful thinking. NEED rain here on Curacao. WISHCASTER. JK we all do it Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

887. VirginIslandsVisitor 5:51 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: Ok, I know not many people are on, but I will still do this: POLL TIME!!!! What will the C Atl AOI do? A) Dissipate soon B) Produce rain and thunderstorms through the antilles and then dissipate C) Become a strong wave/TD with heavy rains and flooding before hitting land D) Become a solid TD E) TS F) Hurricane G) I dont know why i am doing this after all the above choices but OTHER I've NEVER answered one of these but I'm really hoping for "B" because we need the rain so badly! Our cisterns are starting to dry up and I don't fancy getting water from a water truck as it is so expensive. "C" is a common occurrence here on the island so it's no nevermind to me. "D" and "E" and "F" I can do without, thank you very much. I've seen too many hurricanes and would be happy to be without another one for a long time! Lindy Member Since: July 30, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 236

888. GeorgiaStormz 5:54 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
ok, was about to leave home but now im back. Anyone know how the colorado fire is going? havent got any new the supreme court stole the spotlight Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7163

889. AllStar17 5:55 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
NHC doesn't care about Debby anymore...deserves way more than 10%. Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5135

890. allancalderini 5:56 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting reedzone: NHC way of saying, don't care bout Debby anymore.. It's over. Agree sometimes I don`t agree with the NHC. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

891. Doppler22 5:57 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Kinda off topic but Dewey Beach, DE was named the cleanest beach in america and Ocean City Maryland was named 2nd.... Has anybody ever been to Ocean City? Last time I was there it was like now... a big heat wave was going on Member Since: February 13, 2012 Posts: 2 Comments: 1232

892. cyclonekid 6:04 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: I would at least give it a 50 or 60% chance. Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 51 Comments: 1629

893. weatherh98 6:05 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting cyclonekid: I would at least give it a 50 or 60% chance. its still a cold front.... Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

894. Doppler22 6:06 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting cyclonekid: I would at least give it a 50 or 60% chance. agreed Member Since: February 13, 2012 Posts: 2 Comments: 1232

895. cyclonekid 6:06 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting weatherh98: its still a cold front.... It may be, but it still looks good and has a decent chance to detach itself. Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 51 Comments: 1629

896. GeorgiaStormz 6:07 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Id give it a 15% chance it is too extratropical Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7163

897. weatherh98 6:08 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz: Id give it a 15% chance it is too extratropical i agree and i think the nhc agrees with us Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

898. TropicalAnalystwx13 6:08 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
I hate when the NHC does this. Ex-Debby obviously deserves higher than 10%. Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25292

899. weatherh98 6:09 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: I hate when the NHC does this. Ex-Debby obviously deserves higher than 10%. 20%? Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

900. weatherh98 6:11 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Quoting cyclonekid: It may be, but it still looks good and has a decent chance to detach itself. Plus... THE NHC HATES DEBBY Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091

901. turtlehurricane 6:12 PM GMT on June 28, 2012
Doksuri is putting up a very nice central dense overcast, but it is misplaced from the center due to 20-30 kt of wind shear. JTWC expects that Doksuri won't intensify much more, and I have to agree considering how misplaced the circulation seems to be from the center of the convection. Also only a day until landfall somewhere around Hong Kong. I put a full analysis of Doksuri on http://weather.schematical.com/ Member Since: July 22, 2005 Posts: 227 Comments: 466

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