Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Thanks for the update. This should indeed please those wishing for winters return. However, I worry for those with high heating bills.

Short term models aren't looking as cold as even 12-24 hours ago. There will be a pretty good cold shot to the mid-west and N. East starting this weeked; however, it doesn't look as if it's going it get absolutly frigid or not.

Only the NOGAPS says temps of 260 degree Kelvin and below(8 degrees F) will reach all the way down to the Kentucky/Tennessee and Viginia N. Carlonina borders by into next weekend. The rest of the models don't have the cold going as far south, but they all say by this weekend that we won't be enjoying the mild weather anymore.

I don't trust the groundhog at all. Stranger things have happened...and the more weeks of winter is all relative based on location.

It is all fun and many of us that celebrate groundhogs day for other reasons. I “unofficially” look at today as the first day of spring. Days are noticeably getting longer, I can walk around the lake before it gets dark, birds are signing, animals are pairing up, and things are starting to become better! I make it through the winter knowing the warblers and butterflies will be back in the spring. Either Mr. Groundhog is right or wrong, it is still a fun day to have hope for spring!

Crazy, I dont think the groundhog has ever said Spring is here. I've never heard the news say the groundhog didnt see its shadow. It always says thier's 6 week's of winter, and this time he's actually right cuz winter is about to make a return.

Wow, we're in for a cold February! That should be enough for speculators to take gas above $4/ gallon!!

Still not going to be cold enough to close up the lakes in Southern Michigan. May ice over but not enought to stand on. Dissapointed Ice Fishermen for sure.

Ok globalize, let's not overdo it here. It could, and I stress,

Glad I'm not an ice fisherman, just a regular one =)
But anyways, I doubt gas will go up to $4/gallon just because of some cold weather. We'll see, but I dont think its too likely. You obviously disagree, globalize.

Oops, that what happened when all the weird stuff happened to my comp. Disregard the choppy post, I was changing this around and something screwy happened.

U.S. Average is $2.34 a gallon at the moment. I will say it will go to $2.69 a gallon by 2/16 and peak at $2.89 by the end of the month. Don't think you will see it get back above $3 until closer to Memorial Day and it will probably bounce around either side of $3 all summer provide there are no major supply problems (Hurricane's,Iran,etc...).

A few potshots then I reply to the good doctor's new post

Globalize - gas will be going up period. Cold weather doesn't has as much effect on gas as oil (since their isn't too many homes that heat with gasoline aka car fuel). Now international events on the other hand do. Since its a sellers market right now because Business 101, demand is high, supply is tight and any little effect causes a mad rush of buying.

As far as high heating prices we could always ask Iran for some uraium to keep warm (LOL).

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Seriously if what the good Doctor is preaching comes to past then us folks around the lakes may be in for some fun since usually the lakes are partial to full frozen this time of year. They are not (maybe I can sneak up to Lake Ontario today before sunset and snap a couple of shots, for those not in the know I live about 2 miles from the southern shore of Lake Ontario). Being the case if a good strong front came down I wouldn't be surpised to see a repeat of a blizzard we had a couple of years back where it snowed 22 inches in under 10 hours, then another 20 inches 2 days after.

Actually, cold weather usually depresses gasoline prices because people drive less in the cold.

My natural gas bill was $170 even with the warmest January on record in KC! Sheesh, and last January I used a lot more but paid less.

hey oriondarkwood, I'm about 15 K from the western end of Lake Ontario, and yes all it will take is cold air and a good strong wind off the lake to bury those on the downwind side...

rwdobson,

True, but that is usually offset by the drop in supply as production shifts from gasoline to home heating oil.

Snowboy,

Since yer talking clicks aka kilometers instead of miles (for those not in the know 1 kilometer = 0.621371192 miles, thanks to Google, I live in the Toronto area for 2 years snowboy). And assumeing you talking exterme western in (ie Burlington Bay area) that would put you around the St. Geroge area.

Do I get a cigar (LOL)?

Yea they is a bridge near my house (look up Webster, NY on the map and go west you see a Irondequoit Bay, there is a bridge on expressway 104), this is a nasty bridge to cross in a blizzard, the wind is funneled in along with everything else. My poor Nissian gets batted around like a hockey puck on that bridge during a blizzard.

Anyone taken a look at Boloeste lately? It's a hurricane now and incredibly small. The whole storm center CDO is only about 140 miles across. I think Katrina had hurricane force winds out 140 miles each side at one time!

Something ya'll might appreciate...Link

Winter, what is this winter all of you speak of?

:P

Greetings to all from Tucson ;)

...and the shift to home heating oil is partly balanced by the fact that refineries don't have to make as many different blends of gas as they do during ozone season. it's a complicated business.

That is is. I have a friend who is a project engineer for one of the major refiners in the US. It's incredibly complex. Most of us think in terms of oil and gas, but there are countless variations of each, not to mention all the volatile chemical by products, some of which are used as inputs into other products.

so how is Snowshow west virgina gonna be, more snow around febeurary 17th?

volcanopele,

Greets, and I know people from Tucson. I am surpised everyone is not sick most of the time because from what I heard (correct me if I am wrong) is most of the malls, grocery stores etc.. etc.. have the AC crankin at its like 100 degress outside then you step into a mall that is somewhere just above 60

no snow global warming andrew

well i am going to West Virgina feberaury 17th just wanted to see if it would snow , and i dont belive in global warming

well lets wait a few more years boy then you wil find out

Hi there volcanpele!!! I lived in Tucson for about 10 years! Small world!! Where are you located? I lived on the other side of Mt.Lemon in Coronado. That is just before Oracle.

but it might be snowing on graduation day 2008 LOL

If global warming was true in the first place, it wouldnt happen in 5 years for climate change, and second of all this earth of ours have been around for billons of years, this could be a natural thing, i wont worry about this.

Boldman..you are making me feel OLD!! LOL!!

nah, maybe nice sunshine like grad day 2005 for my bro

oh boy here we go here comes calling cali folk racists

The Question is the Nor'Easter's NOT the Cold though

GO GFS PLEASE BE RIGHT THIS TIME!!

i lived in Raleign NC when we had a major snowstorm in january 2001

lol buckeye

Ok everyone..we have now turned the page on the calander and finally what I have been waiting for all "winter" the COLD will finally arrive!! Add the pinapple express and I want a major snowstorm for Valentine's day!! What a great time for some snow days here in the south!!! WOO HOO!!!

We all why people want snowstorms on valetines day, so people could snuggle up. Next 9 months later the birth rate SHOOTS up

Snowman I am keeping fingers and toes crossed for the GFS to verify!! At least I know that you will appriciate the white stuff as much as I do!!! :) GOOO SUPER SUNDAY SNOW!!!

whats so bad about that

But that is vary rare, i think the world will balance out itself

nothing is bad,the babies would be called "Valentine day babies"

Not for me!!! LOL!! All finished there!! The fire and an old football or current basketball game on after building the biggest snowman available!!! PARADISE!!!! :)

Still a couple of days yet, it got up to 52 degrees today and tommorrow suppose to be mid-40's. Saturday night and Sunday supposely when the winter show is going to kick off. Actually might be good in the long run kill all the bugs that are crawling out cause they think its spring. (not to mention cover the leaves in my backyard I didn't rake last fall)

well 70 temps in jax is the PREFECT WEATHER for me>

Gatorboy..they would be called Thanksgiving babies!!!

True buckeye, very true.

alright strong storms heading towards jax, this is going to be an interesting night

Hey orion!!! I didn't rake this fall either!! LOL! :) I need the snow to cover up the oak and pine on the ground! LOL!

yall are lucky to see snow yearound, well in jax we dont even has rakes!

i have a better chance of snow then jax

Hey buckeyefan1, did you see who had the top recruting class in football, THE FLORIDA GATORS BABY