Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Typhoon Chebi less destructive than feared
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:04 PM GMT on November 11, 2006 +1
Typhoon Chebi slammed into the main island of Luzon in the Philippines last night at 6pm EST as a Category 3 storm with top winds of 120 mph. There are no reports of deaths yet, and damage appears to be much less than occurred for Super Typhoon Cimaron, which made landfall October 29 as a Category 5 storm with maximum sustained winds of 160-180 mph. Cimaron killed at least 15, left 2500 homeless, and destroyed about 8% of the island's rice and corn crop. However, Chebi was a much weaker typhoon, and dumped far less rain on the Philippines since it moved across the islands relatively quickly. Rainfall estimates by NOAA (Figure 1) show maximum rain amounts from Chebi were in the 4-7 inch range, which should not cause the kind of widespread flash flooding and landslides that are the primary hazard of typhoons in the Philippines. Cimaron dumped about 50% more rain on the Philippines than Chebi did.


Figure 1. Estimated rainfall for Typhoon Chebi. Image credit: NOAA


Figure 2. Typhoon Chebi shortly after landfall. Image credit: NRL Navy Reasearch Lab.

My next blog will be Monday, when I plan to discuss a new hurricane-like storm found on Saturn.

Jeff Masters
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201. Patrap 3:04 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
In the year 2525
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
202. Patrap 3:06 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
If man is still alive..Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
203. Seaknight8 3:06 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
ric,

Thanks for the postings on GW. Appreciate your effort to avoid polemics & stick to serious studies.

Guess my take on that is that, given the general agreement on the dire consequences of continued GW, if there is any possibility that human activity is a contributing factor (not necessarily the sole cause), we should do something about what is under our control.
Member Since: November 1, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
204. Patrap 3:07 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
We shall see .....but stash some freon..just in case.LOL!
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
205. Patrap 3:07 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
Im all for Iceberg herding..Yahooooo!
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
206. ricderr 3:13 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
seaknight...we can quote so many needs for reducing oil and lessenning polution..without using unproven global warming theories as the catalyst
Member Since: June 27, 2006 Posts: 626 Comments: 18069
207. Patrap 3:11 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
Seriously..heres a good read on the CO2 discussion..with the numbers and graphs from an unbiased source.Great readLink
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
208. Patrap 3:15 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
Its sort of dated material..But the numbers have grown ..if I can find the darn thing I saved with the recent data somewhere around this System running on Gum..and gentle taps Ive got.LOL
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
209. Patrap 3:55 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
A more recent paper on Co2rise and Hurricanes, with simulationsLink
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
210. Skyepony (Mod) 4:16 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
As for your 1st example..
Does the Research Council do research? Fund research?

The National Research Council has no research laboratories. Rather than conducting its own research, it generally evaluates and compiles research done by others. However, in a few cases and increasingly so in recent years, the institution has been funding research in areas such as transportation, medical care, highways, and international scientific and technical programs in developing countries.

So without a link there, we can't see what funded their references, if the references are even listed.

source

The National Research Council is mostly funded by the government, though a small % is funded by industrial organizations.

Your second example doesn't fit in the catagory of current research. Current is important as more resources & better tests have been developed to prove or disprove.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29268
211. Skyepony (Mod) 4:21 PM GMT on November 13, 2006    
You realise that last article says CO2 is expected to raise the SSTs? NOAA totally says global warming is inpart due to humans & has for the last few years.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29268

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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