Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quiet Atlantic; police blow up weather station
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:34 PM GMT on July 23, 2007 +3
There's not much to talk about in the Atlantic today. A tropical wave we were watching (97L), east of Bermuda, has moved north over colder waters and is no longer a threat to develop. A large area of Saharan dust and dry air is present between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands, which will discourage any development in this region over the next few days. Later in the week, the UKMET and ECMWF models are hinting that conditions may moisten enough for something to develop off the coast of Africa. However, tropical storm formation in this region is unusual in July, and I'd be surprised if something did develop.

The long range GFS model shows that the steering pattern for the next two weeks will be much different than what we saw in 2006 and so far in 2007. We will no longer have a dominant trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. that will act recurve storms out to sea. Instead, an alternating series of weak ridges and weak troughs rippling along the jet stream is expected. No particular region of the Atlantic will be at higher risk of being hit with such a pattern.

Police robot blows up weather station
If you've never seen one before, familiarize yourself with what a weather stations looks like. State Police in Virginia had apparently never seen one before, and sent a police robot in to blow up a "suspicious object" hanging from a tree near a hospital in Virginia. The object turned out to be a home weather station. A tree is not a very good place to put a weather station--how can you measure accurate precipitation and winds there? Perhaps that's what the police were wondering, too, and this made them suspicious enough to terminate the threatening weather station.

In case you missed it, here's my analysis of the QuikSCAT science presented at Thursday's Congressional hearing.

Jeff Masters
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651. catastropheadjuster 12:16 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
Good Morning all. So is the tropics still quite? Been really sick and haven't been able to get on that much.
Member Since: August 24, 2006 Posts: 21 Comments: 3556
653. keywestdingding 12:28 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
maybe we'll have a parade of storms this year. like there was in 1995
Member Since: March 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 88
654. msphar 12:32 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
Another 48 hour reprieve, sweet.

If it can just stretch out this way for another 10 days, I can stay home for the wife's b-day. My focus is the CV sourced storms.
Member Since: August 20, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
657. IKE 12:36 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
It's raining here right now in the panhandle of Florida.

Rain/thunder and 71 degrees.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
658. msphar 12:37 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
I'll make a prediction, sometime in the 3 - 4 weeks, the 48 hour message will be replaced.
Member Since: August 20, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 258
661. IKE 12:40 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
NEW BLOG!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
662. msphar 12:43 PM GMT on July 24, 2007    
SW Monsoon weather reached here (tahoe) yesterday. First clouds in oh say, 3 or 4 months. Forecast is 50% this AM and 40% this afternoon for isolated to scattered thunderstorms and showers.
Member Since: August 20, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 258

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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